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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN (13-11) AT OHIO ST (17-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
513: NORTHWESTERN
514: OHIO ST
123.0
-16.5
63.6 / 62.1
71.7 / 59.1
13-11
17-6
11-10
12-9
8-7
8-12
41.6
46.0
66.0
69.8
35.1
37.2
41.5
38.9
64.5
68.5
33.8
32.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
OHIO ST-16 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1039-37199-2048-741-30135-12113-1152-39221-258
in all lined games11-1039-37199-2048-741-30135-12110-1138-39152-254
when the total is 120 to 129.53-45-849-575-111-258-472-56-840-68
as an underdog7-520-20134-1415-620-1979-845-711-2960-217
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-20-332-310-21-215-160-20-31-62
as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points0-20-39-90-21-24-40-20-30-18
in road games3-414-1783-872-418-1356-523-412-2138-136
in road lined games3-414-1783-872-418-1356-523-411-2135-136
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-22-320-261-14-125-211-23-312-35
against conference opponents5-624-25137-1423-724-2595-894-720-3085-197
in February games1-18-966-491-011-638-321-19-946-74
after a conference game5-524-23131-1342-722-2588-854-623-26100-181
off a loss against a conference rival4-215-1392-862-413-1658-554-217-1271-115
after scoring 60 points or less6-39-1090-884-411-851-516-313-896-112
when playing against a team with a winning record9-831-33139-1418-633-2895-948-1030-3894-202
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-318-1983-761-514-2253-603-413-2441-123
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-39-1255-551-57-1440-472-44-1719-92
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-716-1984-864-616-1765-623-911-2549-127

OHIO ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-949-39255-2118-1247-41164-18617-683-17372-159
in all lined games12-949-39255-2118-1247-41164-18615-672-17321-157
when the total is 120 to 129.52-114-946-430-313-1145-473-021-364-28
as a favorite10-845-35175-1387-1041-39111-13015-370-11272-50
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points5-219-1156-414-313-1828-467-031-097-2
as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points0-04-312-60-05-38-70-08-019-0
in all home games7-525-18123-995-720-2460-9512-251-4235-45
in home lined games7-525-18123-995-720-2460-9510-240-4184-44
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-07-218-160-14-617-191-010-030-6
against conference opponents6-528-24161-1283-829-24102-1157-441-12189-106
in February games1-26-1157-532-112-638-401-211-769-44
after a conference game5-527-24155-1283-728-24101-1166-440-12188-106
off a loss against a conference rival1-26-455-422-17-433-322-110-158-44
after allowing 80 points or more0-00-122-140-00-113-100-00-123-18
when playing against a team with a winning record7-536-29196-1534-836-30131-1436-652-17229-143
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-323-22125-932-426-2087-913-334-12138-86
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-416-1778-702-520-1458-694-322-1289-62
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-624-24109-1094-827-2285-978-434-15134-92
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-14-219-190-23-310-152-05-132-6
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game4-210-530-292-46-914-267-017-166-9
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-11-1.411-108-763.629.241.6%32.262.127.041.5%36.8
Road Games5-4+8.65-43-460.225.939.3%31.461.124.141.6%35.9
Last 5 Games2-3+1.62-31-356.427.039.5%31.062.229.041.4%39.8
Conference Games4-7+3.45-63-758.725.539.8%28.565.428.043.5%39.4
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.629.222-5241.6%8-2235.1%13-1966.0%32715166114
vs opponents surrendering653023-5641.6%6-1832.9%13-1868.5%34912187133
Team Stats (Road Games)60.225.920-5139.3%7-2131.8%14-1972.4%31812176122
Stats Against (All Games)62.127.022-5441.5%5-1633.8%12-1964.5%371013186124
vs opponents averaging68.631.824-5643.4%6-1933.8%14-2068.8%361013176134
Stats Against (Road Games)61.124.121-5141.6%5-1630.3%14-2164.2%361111196124

OHIO ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-6-0.912-98-1271.735.146.0%36.559.126.538.9%32.1
Home Games12-2-0.47-55-774.937.447.8%38.455.925.936.0%32.0
Last 5 Games3-2+0.83-22-365.629.845.7%33.262.627.641.9%30.2
Conference Games7-4+1.26-53-864.631.245.8%33.360.926.840.3%32.6
OHIO ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.735.126-5646.0%6-1737.2%14-1969.8%361014166115
vs opponents surrendering63.729.423-5541.5%6-1832.6%13-1868.2%34912176133
Team Stats (Home Games)74.937.427-5747.8%7-1838.4%13-2067.8%381016177125
Stats Against (All Games)59.126.521-5438.9%6-1932.6%11-1668.5%32810174133
vs opponents averaging67.431.624-5543.6%6-1834.3%13-1969.5%35912176134
Stats Against (Home Games)55.925.919-5336.0%6-2030.1%12-1766.9%3289184152
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 73.8,  OHIO ST 76.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 14-11 against the spread versus OHIO ST since 1997
OHIO ST is 23-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 4-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at OHIO ST since 1997
OHIO ST is 6-6 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
OHIO ST is 12-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/29/2012OHIO ST75-7.5SU Over3929-5850.0%6-1931.6%11-1668.7%441816
 NORTHWESTERN73133.5 ATS2926-5250.0%13-2748.1%8-1361.5%1847
12/28/2011NORTHWESTERN54136.5 Over2617-5332.1%7-2035.0%13-1968.4%30511
 OHIO ST87-16.5SU ATS4129-6147.5%10-2050.0%19-3063.3%49149
3/11/2011NORTHWESTERN61137.5 ATS2319-5137.3%7-2133.3%16-1888.9%2755
NOHIO ST67-12SU Under2819-5932.2%3-1520.0%26-3281.2%48177
1/29/2011OHIO ST58-10.5SU Under2721-3756.8%2-825.0%14-2070.0%2025
 NORTHWESTERN57144 ATS2520-5139.2%9-3030.0%8-1172.7%3187
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring OHIO ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.4% of the time since 1997. (171-149)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 55.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OHIO ST games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (195-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OHIO ST games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-34)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (111-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OHIO ST games 48.3% of the time since 1997. (145-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OHIO ST games 45.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-45)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee )
[C] 02/11/2013 - Alex Olah expected to miss ( Head )
[C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee )
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
OHIO ST
No significant injuries.
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