|
|
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
---|
|
|
|
All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
---|
|
|
|
|
|
in all games | 15-14 | 44-42 | 225-217 | 11-9 | 34-39 | 164-166 | 25-8 | 74-27 | 335-185 | in all lined games | 15-14 | 44-42 | 225-217 | 11-9 | 34-39 | 164-166 | 22-8 | 61-27 | 266-184 | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 7-4 | 16-10 | 30-17 | 7-4 | 10-15 | 21-26 | 7-4 | 16-10 | 28-20 | as an underdog | 4-4 | 15-17 | 97-80 | 4-3 | 7-22 | 59-69 | 4-4 | 15-17 | 63-115 | in all neutral court games | 4-1 | 9-11 | 38-41 | 4-0 | 11-8 | 30-41 | 4-1 | 10-10 | 40-43 | as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-4 | in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-1 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 4-4 | 6-7 | against conference opponents | 10-10 | 34-26 | 153-140 | 6-8 | 22-28 | 109-109 | 13-7 | 42-18 | 170-128 | in March games | 3-2 | 6-8 | 41-40 | 4-1 | 9-4 | 36-42 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 46-36 | on Friday nights | 1-1 | 3-6 | 10-15 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 21-14 | when playing with one or less days rest | 5-4 | 9-13 | 38-50 | 4-4 | 7-15 | 30-43 | 9-2 | 20-9 | 65-46 | after a conference game | 9-10 | 31-28 | 145-145 | 6-8 | 23-27 | 111-112 | 12-7 | 40-19 | 166-131 | when playing on a neutral court | 4-1 | 9-11 | 38-41 | 4-0 | 11-8 | 30-41 | 4-1 | 10-10 | 40-43 | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-2 | 9-5 | 42-40 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 26-38 | 3-2 | 10-4 | 45-40 | off a win against a conference rival | 4-8 | 23-18 | 89-78 | 4-5 | 16-18 | 65-68 | 6-6 | 27-14 | 94-75 | in all tournament games | 3-2 | 8-9 | 40-37 | 3-0 | 9-6 | 31-39 | 5-1 | 11-7 | 43-37 | in tournament semi-final games | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1-6 | in conference tournament games | 2-0 | 4-2 | 12-13 | 2-0 | 5-1 | 13-11 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 10-15 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 10-10 | 30-32 | 175-154 | 5-9 | 18-35 | 126-131 | 13-8 | 42-25 | 202-157 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-8 | 20-21 | 112-94 | 4-7 | 14-22 | 83-89 | 8-6 | 25-16 | 109-102 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 6-5 | 15-10 | 53-34 | 4-5 | 8-15 | 35-43 | 6-5 | 16-9 | 41-48 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 8-6 | 20-17 | 82-68 | 6-5 | 13-22 | 57-69 | 9-5 | 24-14 | 83-78 |
|
|
|
|
in all games | 18-14 | 59-39 | 257-238 | 9-12 | 37-52 | 161-202 | 27-5 | 82-25 | 364-173 | in all lined games | 18-14 | 59-39 | 257-238 | 9-12 | 37-52 | 161-202 | 27-5 | 76-25 | 330-172 | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 5-4 | 14-7 | 30-18 | 3-6 | 7-14 | 18-28 | 7-2 | 18-3 | 39-9 | as a favorite | 17-14 | 46-33 | 191-180 | 9-11 | 27-42 | 125-151 | 26-5 | 67-14 | 288-88 | in all neutral court games | 3-2 | 13-4 | 36-45 | 4-1 | 7-11 | 31-36 | 4-1 | 14-4 | 45-38 | as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8-4 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 10-6 | in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 6-1 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 2-8 | 2-0 | 7-0 | 8-3 | against conference opponents | 11-8 | 37-25 | 161-137 | 4-10 | 23-34 | 98-122 | 15-4 | 43-19 | 193-108 | in March games | 4-0 | 16-3 | 50-39 | 2-2 | 6-14 | 36-44 | 4-0 | 15-5 | 61-30 | on Friday nights | 1-0 | 5-4 | 16-16 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 10-15 | 1-0 | 8-1 | 24-8 | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-2 | 14-4 | 52-56 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 34-37 | 4-1 | 14-5 | 78-39 | after a conference game | 11-7 | 37-24 | 158-137 | 4-10 | 22-35 | 101-127 | 14-4 | 41-20 | 191-109 | when playing on a neutral court | 3-2 | 13-4 | 36-45 | 4-1 | 7-11 | 31-36 | 4-1 | 14-4 | 45-38 | off a win against a conference rival | 11-3 | 30-12 | 104-85 | 4-7 | 18-21 | 71-82 | 12-2 | 28-14 | 124-68 | after allowing 60 points or less | 13-7 | 35-16 | 99-79 | 8-6 | 27-19 | 76-76 | 18-2 | 47-9 | 127-60 | in all tournament games | 2-3 | 12-5 | 43-42 | 3-1 | 6-11 | 35-41 | 4-1 | 14-4 | 58-28 | in tournament semi-final games | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 6-4 | in conference tournament games | 1-0 | 7-1 | 18-15 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 12-17 | 1-0 | 7-1 | 22-11 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 13-11 | 40-33 | 185-192 | 9-10 | 27-43 | 132-160 | 19-5 | 51-25 | 229-158 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 7-6 | 29-21 | 121-108 | 4-7 | 18-31 | 89-105 | 9-4 | 31-20 | 132-102 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 7-4 | 18-10 | 54-50 | 3-8 | 7-22 | 35-54 | 8-3 | 17-12 | 54-52 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 11-8 | 26-18 | 88-96 | 7-10 | 13-30 | 59-82 | 15-4 | 28-17 | 102-87 |
|
|
|
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
---|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 25-8 | +7.4 | 15-14 | 11-9 | 70.8 | 32.7 | 46.6% | 36.2 | 62.9 | 28.9 | 41.7% | 32.1 | Road Games | 8-6 | +3.6 | 8-6 | 7-4 | 66.1 | 30.1 | 43.0% | 34.1 | 66.1 | 30.9 | 44.7% | 33.3 | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1.2 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 65.8 | 27.6 | 41.0% | 34.6 | 62.2 | 29.6 | 45.3% | 33.4 | Conference Games | 13-7 | +5.2 | 10-10 | 6-8 | 67.1 | 29.9 | 43.7% | 34.6 | 64.9 | 29.5 | 44.4% | 33.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 70.8 | 32.7 | 26-55 | 46.6% | 7-18 | 37.5% | 13-18 | 70.5% | 36 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.1 | 30 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 69.0% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 66.1 | 30.1 | 23-55 | 43.0% | 6-17 | 35.5% | 13-18 | 72.1% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.9 | 28.9 | 24-57 | 41.7% | 5-17 | 31.7% | 10-14 | 68.8% | 32 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.6 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-17 | 32.8% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.1 | 30.9 | 25-56 | 44.7% | 5-15 | 31.3% | 11-16 | 70.7% | 33 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 27-5 | -0.1 | 18-14 | 9-12 | 73.6 | 33.7 | 44.6% | 37.6 | 57.9 | 26.2 | 38.9% | 33.7 | Road Games | 12-4 | -3.4 | 11-5 | 6-8 | 71.9 | 30.6 | 43.0% | 37.1 | 59.7 | 27.1 | 38.8% | 34.7 | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 5-0 | 2-3 | 70.2 | 31.8 | 45.3% | 35.4 | 54.8 | 24.6 | 37.0% | 35.4 | Conference Games | 15-4 | -4.9 | 11-8 | 4-10 | 70.4 | 32.6 | 43.8% | 36.9 | 58.4 | 27.1 | 38.2% | 34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 73.6 | 33.7 | 26-58 | 44.6% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 16-22 | 71.1% | 38 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 64.1 | 29.4 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 13-18 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 71.9 | 30.6 | 25-57 | 43.0% | 5-16 | 32.2% | 17-24 | 72.5% | 37 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.9 | 26.2 | 21-53 | 38.9% | 5-17 | 30.7% | 11-18 | 65.2% | 34 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 19 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 69.2% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 59.7 | 27.1 | 21-53 | 38.8% | 5-16 | 28.9% | 14-20 | 67.6% | 35 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
|
|
Average power rating of opponents played: NOTRE DAME 75.8, LOUISVILLE 77.8 |
|
|
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
---|
|
|
NOTRE DAME is 8-4 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997 | LOUISVILLE is 7-5 straight up against NOTRE DAME since 1997 | 10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
LOUISVILLE is 3-3 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons | LOUISVILLE is 3-3 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons | 5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/9/2013 | NOTRE DAME | 57 | 124.5 | Over | 27 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 5-19 | 26.3% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 31 | 9 | 11 | | LOUISVILLE | 73 | -11.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 26-51 | 51.0% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 15-19 | 78.9% | 32 | 8 | 10 | 2/9/2013 | LOUISVILLE | 101 | -6 | Over | 24 | 33-81 | 40.7% | 5-25 | 20.0% | 30-48 | 62.5% | 54 | 18 | 14 | | NOTRE DAME | 104 | 126 | SU ATS | 27 | 32-77 | 41.6% | 7-25 | 28.0% | 33-49 | 67.3% | 54 | 16 | 18 | 3/9/2012 | LOUISVILLE | 64 | -3.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 28-50 | 56.0% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 3-4 | 75.0% | 28 | 6 | 14 | N | NOTRE DAME | 50 | 120 | Under | 19 | 19-53 | 35.8% | 2-17 | 11.8% | 10-19 | 52.6% | 33 | 16 | 12 | 1/7/2012 | NOTRE DAME | 67 | 131.5 | SU ATS | 24 | 20-63 | 31.7% | 5-26 | 19.2% | 22-29 | 75.9% | 40 | 14 | 11 | | LOUISVILLE | 65 | -12 | Over | 28 | 22-52 | 42.3% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 17-27 | 63.0% | 42 | 11 | 18 | 3/11/2011 | LOUISVILLE | 83 | 138 | SU ATS | 32 | 28-73 | 38.4% | 7-23 | 30.4% | 20-25 | 80.0% | 49 | 19 | 9 | N | NOTRE DAME | 77 | -1.5 | Over | 46 | 25-58 | 43.1% | 8-24 | 33.3% | 19-25 | 76.0% | 35 | 8 | 11 |
|
|
|
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
---|
|
|
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NOTRE DAME games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (181-170) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NOTRE DAME games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (211-200) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-38) | |
|
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NOTRE DAME games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (156-135) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NOTRE DAME games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-33) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 44.7% of the time since 1997. (139-172) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-42) | |
|
|
|
|
[G] 02/28/2013 - Scott Martin out for season ( Knee ) | [F] 01/03/2013 - Eric Katenda out indefinitely ( Academics ) | |
[F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Personal ) | [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) |
|
|