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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 11:00 PM
OREGON (14-2) AT USC (7-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
559: OREGON
560: USC
134.5
+4.0
76.4 / 61.4
63.8 / 64.1
14-2
7-10
8-6
6-9
2-4
7-3
46.4
42.5
74.6
66.8
33.7
33.3
39.3
40.9
66.5
69.5
31.4
36.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
OREGON-6 
USC  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
OREGON - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-646-36223-2262-436-33150-15914-259-30294-203
in all lined games8-646-36223-2262-436-33150-15912-252-30259-199
when the total is 130 to 139.51-016-942-430-114-1141-451-017-845-43
as a favorite6-520-21124-1281-219-1174-7910-133-8193-65
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-01-011-90-10-17-51-01-012-9
in road games2-118-989-852-112-1457-632-112-1573-107
in road lined games2-118-989-852-112-1457-632-112-1571-107
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-03-18-40-01-32-100-03-16-6
against conference opponents2-129-15143-1470-221-2199-1133-025-19145-151
in January games2-111-754-690-26-1033-473-011-760-67
after a conference game1-227-17134-1490-120-2095-1153-027-17146-149
off a win against a conference rival1-114-1065-740-112-1049-532-013-1174-69
when playing against a team with a losing record1-19-652-431-09-427-293-117-388-28
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-05-331-270-05-318-190-06-242-17
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-04-214-120-03-210-140-05-120-6
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-17-521-191-16-414-204-114-340-10

USC - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-930-46224-2297-330-40147-1607-1032-51257-230
in all lined games6-930-46224-2297-330-40147-1606-1029-51235-227
when the total is 130 to 139.50-19-550-301-06-840-390-19-550-32
as an underdog3-415-24112-965-117-2174-802-67-3363-147
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick1-12-411-122-03-311-71-12-411-12
in all home games3-512-2496-1163-012-1870-665-421-21156-83
in home lined games3-512-2496-1163-012-1870-664-418-21138-81
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-02-112-80-00-310-90-03-016-4
against conference opponents3-115-26147-1412-118-24109-1022-214-29134-159
in January games3-17-1164-582-112-547-332-26-1259-64
after a conference game2-113-26142-1431-117-23107-1012-215-28134-158
off a win against a conference rival0-15-864-641-05-849-510-15-864-66
after allowing 60 points or less0-39-2461-682-013-1852-560-38-2670-70
when playing against a team with a winning record5-723-29157-1496-320-29111-1145-819-36146-176
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-09-1393-850-010-1180-601-07-1577-103
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-04-628-320-04-522-261-03-721-39
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-714-1959-695-212-1940-564-711-2451-82
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
OREGON - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-2+5.88-62-476.438.746.4%39.761.428.739.3%30.6
Road Games2-2+1.82-22-278.031.740.8%44.278.236.540.8%40.0
Last 5 Games5-0+43-10-272.835.445.6%38.458.027.236.9%32.2
Conference Games3-0+32-10-272.333.745.9%34.065.730.744.2%30.7
OREGON Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)76.438.727-5946.4%6-1733.7%16-2274.6%401214189154
vs opponents surrendering65.93124-5542.7%6-1833.9%13-1967.8%35913187143
Team Stats (Road Games)78.031.727-6540.8%5-2023.7%20-2773.1%4416122310153
Stats Against (All Games)61.428.722-5639.3%6-1831.4%11-1766.5%31810186172
vs opponents averaging66.43123-5542.8%6-1833.2%14-2067.3%35913177144
Stats Against (Road Games)78.236.525-6240.8%7-2132.6%20-2774.3%401115217174

USC - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games7-10-96-97-363.829.142.5%34.964.132.940.9%33.8
Home Games5-4-4.83-53-065.330.142.8%37.860.330.036.6%33.8
Last 5 Games3-2+1.63-22-166.829.443.4%36.665.431.640.4%34.0
Conference Games2-2+0.73-12-167.730.045.4%35.766.534.541.9%32.7
USC Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.829.124-5642.5%5-1433.3%12-1866.8%35913196135
vs opponents surrendering64.429.623-5740.2%6-1932.7%13-1868.3%34912187143
Team Stats (Home Games)65.330.124-5742.8%5-1532.1%12-1963.5%381013195136
Stats Against (All Games)64.132.922-5340.9%6-1736.9%14-2069.5%34811168133
vs opponents averaging67.732.124-5542.9%6-1832.6%14-2168.4%371013177144
Stats Against (Home Games)60.330.020-5336.6%6-1834.2%15-2269.0%3489178132
Average power rating of opponents played: OREGON 70.6,  USC 75.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
OREGON is 16-15 against the spread versus USC since 1997
OREGON is 19-13 straight up against USC since 1997
16 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 3-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at USC since 1997
OREGON is 10-3 against the spread versus USC since 1997
OREGON is 8-6 straight up against USC since 1997
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at USC over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/19/2012USC62113 ATS2825-6141.0%2-1315.4%10-1283.3%27109
 OREGON65-6.5SU Over3020-4445.5%6-1637.5%19-2479.2%341119
2/12/2011OREGON61127.5SU ATS2523-5541.8%9-2142.9%6-875.0%34913
 USC51-8.5 Under1921-5736.8%3-1915.8%6-1250.0%321112
1/13/2011USC62-6 Over2622-5341.5%6-1833.3%12-1485.7%311114
 OREGON68126.5SU ATS3224-5642.9%7-2133.3%13-1968.4%341112
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring OREGON in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (178-184)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 45.7% of the time since 1997. (166-197)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-38)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (130-138)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (144-121)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-30)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
OREGON
No significant injuries.
USC
[F] 01/16/2013 - Ari Stewart is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Oregon ( Disciplinary )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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