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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 12:00 PM
PENN ST (8-16) AT MICHIGAN (21-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
803: PENN ST
804: MICHIGAN
130.5
-22.0
60.8 / 67.3
76.0 / 61.0
8-16
21-4
8-11
13-10
8-8
13-11
38.5
49.4
69.7
70.1
27.6
40.3
42.2
41.7
71.2
64.5
35.3
32.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PENN ST  
MICHIGAN-24 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1134-38207-2048-835-36124-1348-1639-51220-271
in all lined games8-1134-38207-2048-835-36124-1344-1628-49157-265
when the total is 130 to 139.53-211-1452-592-39-1752-560-59-1732-81
as an underdog5-821-29135-1485-726-2790-980-1311-4365-226
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points3-06-334-351-25-422-150-30-94-65
as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points1-01-19-60-11-11-50-10-21-14
in road games3-211-1684-871-314-1250-500-54-2337-134
in road lined games3-211-1684-871-314-1250-500-54-2337-134
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.51-04-414-191-03-514-170-12-66-27
against conference opponents5-726-25136-1455-625-2788-980-1216-3784-203
in February games1-28-850-571-110-629-360-35-1235-76
after a conference game4-724-24132-1415-526-2486-981-1117-3691-195
off a loss against a conference rival4-714-1988-985-518-1660-660-118-2756-136
after 3 or more consecutive losses4-57-946-514-47-826-350-94-1326-79
when playing against a team with a winning record6-527-27142-1525-528-28101-964-1023-39107-213
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-120-1395-953-220-1670-650-511-2557-139
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games4-613-1354-675-417-1051-440-104-2429-97
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-719-1991-1015-722-1772-643-1211-3165-143

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1052-32224-22013-1145-38154-16921-466-28282-225
in all lined games13-1052-32224-22013-1145-38154-16920-457-28230-221
when the total is 130 to 139.55-617-1468-636-616-1655-7710-220-1265-69
as a favorite12-828-20111-10311-1027-2072-7619-242-7163-56
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points6-48-623-214-76-911-2011-015-046-0
as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points2-12-15-71-21-22-63-03-012-0
in all home games7-525-14114-986-720-1874-8114-043-6195-71
in home lined games7-525-14114-986-720-1874-8113-034-6147-69
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.53-25-626-173-26-516-275-011-030-13
against conference opponents5-631-20148-1366-627-2598-1168-432-20132-156
in February games0-412-751-603-110-938-461-311-849-65
after a conference game4-629-21145-1325-623-2891-1217-431-21136-151
off a loss against a conference rival1-213-680-662-110-949-632-113-671-77
after scoring 60 points or less1-015-663-631-010-1146-551-014-763-70
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-11-130-270-10-215-220-11-129-36
when playing against a team with a losing record0-15-435-470-17-221-251-012-078-27
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-03-120-250-04-011-170-04-028-17
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-11-118-170-11-110-131-02-024-11
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-23-328-281-23-317-203-06-154-17
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-16-10.28-118-860.827.038.5%35.567.329.342.2%34.0
Road Games1-8-53-53-454.324.635.9%34.469.631.143.5%36.1
Last 5 Games0-5-52-32-258.425.836.2%32.468.031.640.5%39.6
Conference Games0-12-105-75-656.223.836.2%33.668.732.443.5%36.4
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)60.827.021-5438.5%5-1827.6%14-2069.7%3599225133
vs opponents surrendering64.329.423-5641.1%6-1832.3%13-1869.7%34912186134
Team Stats (Road Games)54.324.619-5435.9%4-1624.1%12-1770.4%34107236153
Stats Against (All Games)67.329.321-5042.2%7-1935.3%19-2671.2%34712196124
vs opponents averaging68.431.924-5543.6%6-1834.1%14-2069.3%361013176134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.631.121-4943.5%7-1839.9%20-2967.8%361013177125

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-4+4.813-1013-1176.036.249.4%36.061.028.541.7%30.4
Home Games14-0+27-56-779.838.650.5%37.856.926.539.9%29.3
Last 5 Games2-3-2.41-43-266.230.243.6%32.268.230.846.8%35.4
Conference Games8-4-0.25-66-671.733.247.5%34.663.730.243.2%32.2
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)76.036.229-5849.4%8-2040.3%11-1570.1%36915126103
vs opponents surrendering65.43023-5542.4%6-1834.4%12-1868.3%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)79.838.630-5950.5%9-2243.1%10-1570.2%3810179583
Stats Against (All Games)61.028.523-5641.7%7-2032.1%8-1264.5%30912155123
vs opponents averaging67.831.924-5643.3%6-1833.7%14-2068.6%351013177124
Stats Against (Home Games)56.926.523-5739.9%6-2130.1%5-960.5%29812144123
Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 75.8,  MICHIGAN 75.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN is 18-9 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 20-8 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 10-3 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 11-2 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/4/2012MICHIGAN71-5.5SU ATS3925-4259.5%10-1855.6%11-1573.3%23414
 PENN ST65122.5 Over2822-5540.0%6-1442.9%15-1883.3%311512
12/29/2011PENN ST53125 Under2221-5339.6%4-1526.7%7-1258.3%32813
 MICHIGAN71-10.5SU ATS3625-5347.2%8-2532.0%13-1586.7%3289
2/6/2011MICHIGAN65121SU ATS2725-5149.0%9-1947.4%6-966.7%2765
 PENN ST62-5 Over2419-4740.4%10-2835.7%14-1782.4%3188
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PENN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (167-170)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 44.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (170-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.7% of the time since 1997. (105-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.6% of the time since 1997. (124-154)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-35)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PENN ST
[G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles )
MICHIGAN
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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