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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-11 | 34-38 | 207-204 | 8-8 | 35-36 | 124-134 | 8-16 | 39-51 | 220-271 | | in all lined games | 8-11 | 34-38 | 207-204 | 8-8 | 35-36 | 124-134 | 4-16 | 28-49 | 157-265 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-2 | 11-14 | 52-59 | 2-3 | 9-17 | 52-56 | 0-5 | 9-17 | 32-81 | | as an underdog | 5-8 | 21-29 | 135-148 | 5-7 | 26-27 | 90-98 | 0-13 | 11-43 | 65-226 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 3-0 | 6-3 | 34-35 | 1-2 | 5-4 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 0-9 | 4-65 | | as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points | 1-0 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-14 | | in road games | 3-2 | 11-16 | 84-87 | 1-3 | 14-12 | 50-50 | 0-5 | 4-23 | 37-134 | | in road lined games | 3-2 | 11-16 | 84-87 | 1-3 | 14-12 | 50-50 | 0-5 | 4-23 | 37-134 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 14-19 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 14-17 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 6-27 | | against conference opponents | 5-7 | 26-25 | 136-145 | 5-6 | 25-27 | 88-98 | 0-12 | 16-37 | 84-203 | | in February games | 1-2 | 8-8 | 50-57 | 1-1 | 10-6 | 29-36 | 0-3 | 5-12 | 35-76 | | after a conference game | 4-7 | 24-24 | 132-141 | 5-5 | 26-24 | 86-98 | 1-11 | 17-36 | 91-195 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-7 | 14-19 | 88-98 | 5-5 | 18-16 | 60-66 | 0-11 | 8-27 | 56-136 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 4-5 | 7-9 | 46-51 | 4-4 | 7-8 | 26-35 | 0-9 | 4-13 | 26-79 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-5 | 27-27 | 142-152 | 5-5 | 28-28 | 101-96 | 4-10 | 23-39 | 107-213 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-1 | 20-13 | 95-95 | 3-2 | 20-16 | 70-65 | 0-5 | 11-25 | 57-139 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-6 | 13-13 | 54-67 | 5-4 | 17-10 | 51-44 | 0-10 | 4-24 | 29-97 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-7 | 19-19 | 91-101 | 5-7 | 22-17 | 72-64 | 3-12 | 11-31 | 65-143 |
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| in all games | 13-10 | 52-32 | 224-220 | 13-11 | 45-38 | 154-169 | 21-4 | 66-28 | 282-225 | | in all lined games | 13-10 | 52-32 | 224-220 | 13-11 | 45-38 | 154-169 | 20-4 | 57-28 | 230-221 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 5-6 | 17-14 | 68-63 | 6-6 | 16-16 | 55-77 | 10-2 | 20-12 | 65-69 | | as a favorite | 12-8 | 28-20 | 111-103 | 11-10 | 27-20 | 72-76 | 19-2 | 42-7 | 163-56 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 6-4 | 8-6 | 23-21 | 4-7 | 6-9 | 11-20 | 11-0 | 15-0 | 46-0 | | as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points | 2-1 | 2-1 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 12-0 | | in all home games | 7-5 | 25-14 | 114-98 | 6-7 | 20-18 | 74-81 | 14-0 | 43-6 | 195-71 | | in home lined games | 7-5 | 25-14 | 114-98 | 6-7 | 20-18 | 74-81 | 13-0 | 34-6 | 147-69 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 3-2 | 5-6 | 26-17 | 3-2 | 6-5 | 16-27 | 5-0 | 11-0 | 30-13 | | against conference opponents | 5-6 | 31-20 | 148-136 | 6-6 | 27-25 | 98-116 | 8-4 | 32-20 | 132-156 | | in February games | 0-4 | 12-7 | 51-60 | 3-1 | 10-9 | 38-46 | 1-3 | 11-8 | 49-65 | | after a conference game | 4-6 | 29-21 | 145-132 | 5-6 | 23-28 | 91-121 | 7-4 | 31-21 | 136-151 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-2 | 13-6 | 80-66 | 2-1 | 10-9 | 49-63 | 2-1 | 13-6 | 71-77 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-0 | 15-6 | 63-63 | 1-0 | 10-11 | 46-55 | 1-0 | 14-7 | 63-70 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 1-1 | 30-27 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 15-22 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 29-36 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-1 | 5-4 | 35-47 | 0-1 | 7-2 | 21-25 | 1-0 | 12-0 | 78-27 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 3-1 | 20-25 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 28-17 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 1-1 | 18-17 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10-13 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 24-11 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-2 | 3-3 | 28-28 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 17-20 | 3-0 | 6-1 | 54-17 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-16 | -10.2 | 8-11 | 8-8 | 60.8 | 27.0 | 38.5% | 35.5 | 67.3 | 29.3 | 42.2% | 34.0 | | Road Games | 1-8 | -5 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 54.3 | 24.6 | 35.9% | 34.4 | 69.6 | 31.1 | 43.5% | 36.1 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 58.4 | 25.8 | 36.2% | 32.4 | 68.0 | 31.6 | 40.5% | 39.6 | | Conference Games | 0-12 | -10 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 56.2 | 23.8 | 36.2% | 33.6 | 68.7 | 32.4 | 43.5% | 36.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 60.8 | 27.0 | 21-54 | 38.5% | 5-18 | 27.6% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 35 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.3 | 29.4 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 13-18 | 69.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 54.3 | 24.6 | 19-54 | 35.9% | 4-16 | 24.1% | 12-17 | 70.4% | 34 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.3 | 29.3 | 21-50 | 42.2% | 7-19 | 35.3% | 19-26 | 71.2% | 34 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 31.9 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.6 | 31.1 | 21-49 | 43.5% | 7-18 | 39.9% | 20-29 | 67.8% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
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| All Games | 21-4 | +4.8 | 13-10 | 13-11 | 76.0 | 36.2 | 49.4% | 36.0 | 61.0 | 28.5 | 41.7% | 30.4 | | Home Games | 14-0 | +2 | 7-5 | 6-7 | 79.8 | 38.6 | 50.5% | 37.8 | 56.9 | 26.5 | 39.9% | 29.3 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.4 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 66.2 | 30.2 | 43.6% | 32.2 | 68.2 | 30.8 | 46.8% | 35.4 | | Conference Games | 8-4 | -0.2 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 71.7 | 33.2 | 47.5% | 34.6 | 63.7 | 30.2 | 43.2% | 32.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 76.0 | 36.2 | 29-58 | 49.4% | 8-20 | 40.3% | 11-15 | 70.1% | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.4 | 30 | 23-55 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 12-18 | 68.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 79.8 | 38.6 | 30-59 | 50.5% | 9-22 | 43.1% | 10-15 | 70.2% | 38 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.0 | 28.5 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 7-20 | 32.1% | 8-12 | 64.5% | 30 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.9 | 24-56 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 56.9 | 26.5 | 23-57 | 39.9% | 6-21 | 30.1% | 5-9 | 60.5% | 29 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 75.8, MICHIGAN 75.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN is 18-9 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN is 20-8 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN is 4-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN is 4-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MICHIGAN is 10-3 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN is 11-2 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/4/2012 | MICHIGAN | 71 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 39 | 25-42 | 59.5% | 10-18 | 55.6% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 23 | 4 | 14 | | | PENN ST | 65 | 122.5 | Over | 28 | 22-55 | 40.0% | 6-14 | 42.9% | 15-18 | 83.3% | 31 | 15 | 12 | 12/29/2011 | PENN ST | 53 | 125 | Under | 22 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 4-15 | 26.7% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 32 | 8 | 13 | | | MICHIGAN | 71 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 25-53 | 47.2% | 8-25 | 32.0% | 13-15 | 86.7% | 32 | 8 | 9 | 2/6/2011 | MICHIGAN | 65 | 121 | SU ATS | 27 | 25-51 | 49.0% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 27 | 6 | 5 | | | PENN ST | 62 | -5 | Over | 24 | 19-47 | 40.4% | 10-28 | 35.7% | 14-17 | 82.4% | 31 | 8 | 8 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (167-170) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 44.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (170-175) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-36) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.7% of the time since 1997. (105-115) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.6% of the time since 1997. (124-154) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-35) | |
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| [G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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