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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 9:00 PM
PENN ST (8-14) AT NEBRASKA (11-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
647: PENN ST
648: NEBRASKA
120.5
-6.0
60.7 / 67.0
58.7 / 62.3
8-14
11-12
7-10
11-10
7-8
6-9
38.6
41.5
69.6
67.2
26.9
30.1
42.5
42.8
70.5
64.8
36.0
32.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PENN ST  
NEBRASKA-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-1033-37206-2037-834-36123-1348-1439-49220-269
in all lined games7-1033-37206-2037-834-36123-1344-1428-47157-263
when the total is 119.5 or less0-05-114-40-04-312-70-02-57-12
as an underdog4-720-28134-1474-725-2789-980-1111-4165-224
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-37-70-03-23-80-02-35-9
in road games3-111-1584-861-314-1250-500-44-2237-133
in road lined games3-111-1584-861-314-1250-500-44-2237-133
in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less0-02-15-20-03-06-10-00-31-6
against conference opponents4-625-24135-1444-624-2787-980-1016-3584-201
in February games0-17-749-560-19-628-360-15-1035-74
on Saturday games2-27-671-681-15-831-464-210-866-96
after a conference game3-623-23131-1404-525-2485-981-917-3491-193
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-16-644-421-16-630-310-22-1017-69
off a loss against a conference rival3-613-1887-974-517-1659-660-98-2556-134
after allowing 60 points or less2-510-1646-474-215-933-261-613-1765-57
after scoring 60 points or less2-711-1757-686-317-1447-433-912-2351-95
after 3 or more consecutive losses3-46-845-503-46-825-350-74-1126-77
when playing against a team with a losing record2-26-449-311-22-613-262-211-384-34
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-13-124-180-10-46-190-13-122-21
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-512-1253-664-416-1050-440-84-2229-95
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-618-1890-1004-721-1771-643-1011-2965-141
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-12-216-181-03-110-160-11-315-20
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game0-13-233-221-03-212-220-13-345-26

NEBRASKA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1031-41184-2056-929-37108-12911-1242-43252-236
in all lined games11-1031-41184-2056-929-37108-1299-1229-43170-226
when the total is 119.5 or less3-16-37-52-24-56-61-33-65-7
as a favorite2-311-1778-761-010-1441-504-118-10105-52
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-13-313-181-03-313-120-15-117-14
in all home games6-617-2094-842-612-2144-658-634-16190-75
in home lined games6-617-2094-842-612-2144-656-621-16111-71
in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less2-13-34-41-23-34-41-23-35-3
against conference opponents6-420-26127-1424-620-2678-942-813-33102-171
in February games1-05-1252-640-18-935-390-14-1349-69
on Saturday games4-213-1376-842-38-1745-534-315-1499-97
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-05-417-190-14-510-112-08-335-21
after a conference game6-320-24124-1344-521-2376-903-714-32109-163
off a loss against a conference rival6-117-1484-723-415-1654-532-510-2162-100
after scoring 60 points or less7-415-1763-624-417-1243-427-517-1870-74
when playing against a team with a losing record1-14-529-231-05-314-163-015-380-23
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games1-01-219-151-02-19-91-01-221-16
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-02-14-51-02-14-41-03-19-4
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-12-27-101-02-17-62-19-240-8
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-14-8.27-107-860.726.738.6%35.667.028.842.5%33.4
Road Games1-7-43-43-454.524.436.6%33.969.930.944.8%35.6
Last 5 Games0-5-4.82-32-356.023.235.6%32.467.830.643.4%36.8
Conference Games0-10-84-64-655.022.635.9%33.568.431.844.4%35.7
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)60.726.721-5438.6%5-1826.9%14-2069.6%3699225133
vs opponents surrendering64.329.623-5641.0%6-1832.5%13-1869.1%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)54.524.420-5536.6%4-1624.4%10-1570.0%34108226153
Stats Against (All Games)67.028.821-5042.5%7-1936.0%18-2570.5%33712196124
vs opponents averaging68.832.424-5543.8%6-1834.2%14-2068.9%361014176134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.930.922-4944.8%7-1841.4%18-2765.9%361013167124

NEBRASKA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-12+2.111-106-958.727.041.5%32.562.328.442.8%34.8
Home Games8-6-1.26-62-658.027.141.0%34.458.626.441.2%33.4
Last 5 Games2-3+0.63-22-360.827.642.9%31.066.232.242.1%35.8
Conference Games2-8-1.46-44-654.824.538.5%31.964.130.142.7%39.0
NEBRASKA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)58.727.022-5341.5%5-1630.1%10-1567.2%32810175113
vs opponents surrendering6429.523-5441.9%6-1733.3%13-1868.1%33912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)58.027.122-5341.0%4-1529.2%10-1666.1%3489175114
Stats Against (All Games)62.328.422-5242.8%5-1632.0%13-2064.8%35811156113
vs opponents averaging68.932.324-5544.4%6-1835.1%14-2069.2%35913177134
Stats Against (Home Games)58.626.421-5041.2%5-1633.8%12-1963.9%3379165123
Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 75.9,  NEBRASKA 74.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
NEBRASKA is 2-1 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEBRASKA since 1997
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/19/2013NEBRASKA68120.5SU ATS3324-5147.1%4-1330.8%16-16100.0%27411
 PENN ST64-4 Over2822-5738.6%5-2025.0%15-2462.5%361114
2/11/2012NEBRASKA51121 Under2619-4839.6%6-2030.0%7-1163.6%21411
 PENN ST67-3SU ATS3623-4452.3%9-2339.1%12-1485.7%30413
1/11/2012PENN ST58116.5 Over2220-6033.3%3-2412.5%15-1978.9%341213
 NEBRASKA70-5.5SU ATS3422-4055.0%7-1936.8%19-2965.5%31417
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (166-169)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 44.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEBRASKA games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (164-157)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEBRASKA games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-31)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (104-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEBRASKA games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (102-100)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEBRASKA games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-33)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PENN ST
[G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles )
NEBRASKA
[C] 02/08/2013 - Sergei Vucetic missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Penn State ( Knee )
[G] 01/11/2013 - Mike Peltz out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/09/2012 - Deverell Biggs expected to redshirt ( None )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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