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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| PENN ST | | | | WISCONSIN | -22 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 3-4 | 29-31 | 202-197 | 3-2 | 30-30 | 119-128 | 8-4 | 39-39 | 220-259 | | in all lined games | 3-4 | 29-31 | 202-197 | 3-2 | 30-30 | 119-128 | 4-4 | 28-37 | 157-253 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-3 | 13-16 | 41-45 | 3-1 | 19-12 | 44-44 | 1-3 | 12-19 | 35-53 | | as an underdog | 0-3 | 16-24 | 130-143 | 2-1 | 23-21 | 87-92 | 0-3 | 11-33 | 65-216 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 3-3 | 31-35 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 21-13 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 4-62 | | as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-19 | | in road games | 0-0 | 8-14 | 81-85 | 0-0 | 13-9 | 49-47 | 0-0 | 4-18 | 37-129 | | in road lined games | 0-0 | 8-14 | 81-85 | 0-0 | 13-9 | 49-47 | 0-0 | 4-18 | 37-129 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 15-17 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8-24 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 21-18 | 131-138 | 0-0 | 20-21 | 83-92 | 0-0 | 16-25 | 84-191 | | in January games | 0-0 | 9-7 | 56-57 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 35-36 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 36-82 | | after a non-conference game | 3-4 | 9-14 | 74-63 | 3-2 | 9-11 | 38-35 | 7-4 | 22-14 | 128-75 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-0 | 1-2 | 32-22 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10-18 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 34-30 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 22-24 | 137-149 | 1-1 | 24-24 | 97-92 | 4-2 | 23-31 | 107-205 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 14-12 | 86-94 | 0-1 | 17-11 | 67-58 | 3-0 | 11-19 | 65-131 |
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| in all games | 4-7 | 40-34 | 250-215 | 4-3 | 37-31 | 146-179 | 9-4 | 60-23 | 351-159 | | in all lined games | 4-7 | 40-34 | 250-215 | 4-3 | 37-31 | 146-179 | 7-4 | 51-23 | 318-157 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-4 | 21-17 | 84-77 | 4-1 | 23-13 | 74-86 | 3-2 | 27-11 | 113-50 | | as a favorite | 4-5 | 31-26 | 180-149 | 2-3 | 24-27 | 101-134 | 7-2 | 46-11 | 271-62 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 3-2 | 8-7 | 45-40 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 24-33 | 5-0 | 14-1 | 85-2 | | as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points | 0-1 | 0-2 | 14-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 27-1 | | in all home games | 4-3 | 20-14 | 121-92 | 2-2 | 15-14 | 66-74 | 8-1 | 38-5 | 217-31 | | in home lined games | 4-3 | 20-14 | 121-92 | 2-2 | 15-14 | 66-74 | 6-1 | 29-5 | 188-30 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-2 | 12-7 | 38-33 | 2-1 | 10-7 | 32-38 | 3-0 | 17-2 | 63-9 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 18-21 | 144-129 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 87-111 | 0-0 | 26-13 | 177-103 | | in January games | 0-0 | 7-8 | 59-57 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 34-40 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 75-44 | | after a non-conference game | 4-7 | 22-13 | 111-82 | 4-3 | 12-17 | 56-69 | 9-4 | 34-10 | 174-55 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-5 | 32-16 | 146-127 | 4-2 | 26-19 | 94-100 | 6-3 | 40-14 | 204-87 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-3 | 3-4 | 25-23 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 15-19 | 1-3 | 6-4 | 43-14 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-5 | 30-27 | 177-164 | 3-2 | 33-23 | 115-140 | 2-4 | 37-22 | 222-138 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-4 | -0.2 | 3-4 | 3-2 | 65.4 | 30.2 | 40.9% | 37.3 | 65.9 | 26.2 | 40.8% | 31.5 | | Road Games | 1-3 | -2 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 56.7 | 27.5 | 37.2% | 34.0 | 72.7 | 30.2 | 47.7% | 33.5 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 74.2 | 37.8 | 46.5% | 41.0 | 69.4 | 27.4 | 37.5% | 30.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.4 | 30.2 | 22-53 | 40.9% | 6-19 | 29.1% | 16-23 | 68.8% | 37 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67 | 31.4 | 24-57 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 32.6% | 13-19 | 70.0% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 56.7 | 27.5 | 20-54 | 37.2% | 4-18 | 23.3% | 12-18 | 65.8% | 34 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.9 | 26.2 | 20-50 | 40.8% | 8-22 | 36.0% | 17-23 | 73.7% | 31 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.6 | 33.1 | 25-55 | 44.2% | 7-20 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 72.7 | 30.2 | 23-48 | 47.7% | 9-20 | 46.8% | 17-24 | 72.2% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
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| All Games | 9-4 | -7 | 4-7 | 4-3 | 73.2 | 35.4 | 45.1% | 37.7 | 56.3 | 25.5 | 40.3% | 30.5 | | Home Games | 8-1 | -4.5 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 77.2 | 37.9 | 47.9% | 40.1 | 49.3 | 19.7 | 36.5% | 27.1 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -1.4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 72.4 | 35.4 | 46.0% | 39.0 | 51.6 | 21.4 | 39.6% | 28.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.2 | 35.4 | 27-59 | 45.1% | 8-23 | 36.4% | 12-18 | 64.8% | 38 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.3 | 31.1 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 12-18 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 77.2 | 37.9 | 29-60 | 47.9% | 9-22 | 38.7% | 11-16 | 69.0% | 40 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 56.3 | 25.5 | 21-52 | 40.3% | 4-13 | 33.3% | 10-15 | 68.7% | 31 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 32.7 | 24-55 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 70.5% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 49.3 | 19.7 | 19-51 | 36.5% | 4-14 | 30.6% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 27 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 70.7, WISCONSIN 71.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| WISCONSIN is 15-12 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 22-6 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PENN ST is 5-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 3-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| WISCONSIN is 7-6 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 13-0 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/19/2012 | PENN ST | 55 | 114.5 | ATS | 21 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 4-18 | 22.2% | 7-11 | 63.6% | 27 | 7 | 5 | | | WISCONSIN | 65 | -14.5 | SU Over | 35 | 20-47 | 42.6% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 14-17 | 82.4% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 1/31/2012 | WISCONSIN | 52 | -8 | SU Under | 17 | 17-48 | 35.4% | 5-19 | 26.3% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 31 | 8 | 5 | | | PENN ST | 46 | 113.5 | ATS | 23 | 18-50 | 36.0% | 2-10 | 20.0% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 36 | 9 | 9 | 3/11/2011 | PENN ST | 36 | 119.5 | SU ATS | 20 | 13-39 | 33.3% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 7-8 | 87.5% | 31 | 6 | 8 | | N | WISCONSIN | 33 | -7.5 | Under | 16 | 15-51 | 29.4% | 2-21 | 9.5% | 1-3 | 33.3% | 34 | 9 | 5 | 2/20/2011 | PENN ST | 66 | 119 | ATS | 19 | 26-49 | 53.1% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 3-5 | 60.0% | 21 | 4 | 10 | | | WISCONSIN | 76 | -11.5 | SU Over | 32 | 25-46 | 54.3% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 18-21 | 85.7% | 28 | 8 | 7 | 1/29/2011 | WISCONSIN | 52 | -3.5 | Under | 29 | 22-52 | 42.3% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 2-3 | 66.7% | 25 | 6 | 8 | | | PENN ST | 56 | 119 | SU ATS | 20 | 19-40 | 47.5% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 12-20 | 60.0% | 29 | 8 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (163-164) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 45.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (194-187) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-27) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.2% of the time since 1997. (100-112) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (138-150) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34) | |
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| [G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles ) | |
| [F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None ) | | [G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out for season ( Knee ) |
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