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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:30 PM
PENN ST (8-4) AT WISCONSIN (9-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
505: PENN ST
506: WISCONSIN
125.0
-18.5
65.4 / 65.9
73.2 / 56.3
8-4
9-4
3-4
4-7
3-2
4-3
40.9
45.1
68.8
64.8
29.1
36.4
40.8
40.3
73.7
68.8
36.0
33.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PENN ST  
WISCONSIN-22
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games3-429-31202-1973-230-30119-1288-439-39220-259
in all lined games3-429-31202-1973-230-30119-1284-428-37157-253
when the total is 120 to 129.51-313-1641-453-119-1244-441-312-1935-53
as an underdog0-316-24130-1432-123-2187-920-311-3365-216
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-03-331-350-04-221-130-00-64-62
as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points0-01-06-130-01-05-50-00-10-19
in road games0-08-1481-850-013-949-470-04-1837-129
in road lined games0-08-1481-850-013-949-470-04-1837-129
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-03-613-190-06-315-170-02-78-24
against conference opponents0-021-18131-1380-020-2183-920-016-2584-191
in January games0-09-756-570-07-1035-360-06-1136-82
after a non-conference game3-49-1474-633-29-1138-357-422-14128-75
after scoring 80 points or more1-01-232-220-11-210-181-01-234-30
when playing against a team with a winning record1-222-24137-1491-124-2497-924-223-31107-205
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-014-1286-940-117-1167-583-011-1965-131

WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-740-34250-2154-337-31146-1799-460-23351-159
in all lined games4-740-34250-2154-337-31146-1797-451-23318-157
when the total is 120 to 129.51-421-1784-774-123-1374-863-227-11113-50
as a favorite4-531-26180-1492-324-27101-1347-246-11271-62
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points3-28-745-401-14-624-335-014-185-2
as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points0-10-214-130-11-18-111-01-127-1
in all home games4-320-14121-922-215-1466-748-138-5217-31
in home lined games4-320-14121-922-215-1466-746-129-5188-30
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-212-738-332-110-732-383-017-263-9
against conference opponents0-018-21144-1290-024-1587-1110-026-13177-103
in January games0-07-859-570-08-734-400-010-575-44
after a non-conference game4-722-13111-824-312-1756-699-434-10174-55
after allowing 60 points or less3-532-16146-1274-226-1994-1006-340-14204-87
after scoring 80 points or more1-33-425-232-14-215-191-36-443-14
when playing against a team with a winning record1-530-27177-1643-233-23115-1402-437-22222-138
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-4-0.23-43-265.430.240.9%37.365.926.240.8%31.5
Road Games1-3-20-32-156.727.537.2%34.072.730.247.7%33.5
Last 5 Games4-1+12-11-174.237.846.5%41.069.427.437.5%30.0
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.430.222-5340.9%6-1929.1%16-2368.8%371010216133
vs opponents surrendering6731.424-5741.7%6-1932.6%13-1970.0%351012187133
Team Stats (Road Games)56.727.520-5437.2%4-1823.3%12-1865.8%34138216131
Stats Against (All Games)65.926.220-5040.8%8-2236.0%17-2373.7%31611216133
vs opponents averaging69.633.125-5544.2%7-2033.7%14-2069.7%35913176144
Stats Against (Road Games)72.730.223-4847.7%9-2046.8%17-2472.2%33812187123

WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-4-74-74-373.235.445.1%37.756.325.540.3%30.5
Home Games8-1-4.54-32-277.237.947.9%40.149.319.736.5%27.1
Last 5 Games4-1-1.42-31-272.435.446.0%39.051.621.439.6%28.6
WISCONSIN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)73.235.427-5945.1%8-2336.4%12-1864.8%38121514895
vs opponents surrendering66.331.124-5642.3%6-1933.6%12-1869.5%34913177133
Team Stats (Home Games)77.237.929-6047.9%9-2238.7%11-1669.0%40121712895
Stats Against (All Games)56.325.521-5240.3%4-1333.3%10-1568.7%3179185143
vs opponents averaging67.832.724-5544.1%6-1833.4%13-1970.5%35913176133
Stats Against (Home Games)49.319.719-5136.5%4-1430.6%8-1266.7%2758165143
Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 70.7,  WISCONSIN 71.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
WISCONSIN is 15-12 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
WISCONSIN is 22-6 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 5-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at WISCONSIN since 1997
WISCONSIN is 7-6 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
WISCONSIN is 13-0 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/19/2012PENN ST55114.5 ATS2122-5639.3%4-1822.2%7-1163.6%2775
 WISCONSIN65-14.5SU Over3520-4742.6%11-2250.0%14-1782.4%381012
1/31/2012WISCONSIN52-8SU Under1717-4835.4%5-1926.3%13-1968.4%3185
 PENN ST46113.5 ATS2318-5036.0%2-1020.0%8-1457.1%3699
3/11/2011PENN ST36119.5SU ATS2013-3933.3%3-1225.0%7-887.5%3168
NWISCONSIN33-7.5 Under1615-5129.4%2-219.5%1-333.3%3495
2/20/2011PENN ST66119 ATS1926-4953.1%11-2250.0%3-560.0%21410
 WISCONSIN76-11.5SU Over3225-4654.3%8-1553.3%18-2185.7%2887
1/29/2011WISCONSIN52-3.5 Under2922-5242.3%6-2030.0%2-366.7%2568
 PENN ST56119SU ATS2019-4047.5%6-1735.3%12-2060.0%29810
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (163-164)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 45.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (194-187)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-27)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.2% of the time since 1997. (100-112)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (138-150)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PENN ST
[G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles )
WISCONSIN
[F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None )
[G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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