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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-13 | 47-38 | 225-241 | 11-9 | 46-36 | 161-171 | 12-12 | 60-33 | 318-199 | | in all lined games | 10-13 | 47-38 | 225-241 | 11-9 | 46-36 | 161-171 | 12-12 | 54-33 | 277-199 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 5-5 | 25-18 | 82-76 | 4-6 | 23-21 | 66-92 | 5-6 | 27-18 | 89-71 | | as an underdog | 2-6 | 13-14 | 66-94 | 7-2 | 17-11 | 59-75 | 2-7 | 10-18 | 42-123 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-16 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2-17 | | in road games | 3-3 | 16-12 | 70-86 | 4-2 | 16-12 | 53-59 | 3-4 | 15-14 | 66-97 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 16-12 | 70-86 | 4-2 | 16-12 | 53-59 | 3-4 | 15-14 | 63-97 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 9-21 | | against conference opponents | 5-5 | 26-22 | 131-148 | 6-5 | 32-18 | 98-109 | 5-6 | 30-20 | 152-134 | | in February games | 1-2 | 12-5 | 55-54 | 2-1 | 11-7 | 38-41 | 1-2 | 12-6 | 63-49 | | on Wednesday games | 4-1 | 12-4 | 41-60 | 3-2 | 8-8 | 30-39 | 4-1 | 16-1 | 64-44 | | after a conference game | 5-5 | 27-21 | 136-141 | 7-3 | 31-18 | 101-106 | 5-5 | 29-20 | 158-127 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-2 | 12-6 | 64-60 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 37-51 | 3-2 | 13-6 | 67-62 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-12 | 31-32 | 160-186 | 9-6 | 36-25 | 127-136 | 7-11 | 37-28 | 187-176 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-3 | 17-19 | 92-112 | 4-3 | 22-15 | 81-83 | 3-4 | 19-18 | 102-108 |
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| in all games | 10-12 | 37-47 | 240-235 | 9-11 | 42-39 | 173-200 | 17-8 | 53-38 | 364-172 | | in all lined games | 10-12 | 37-47 | 240-235 | 9-11 | 42-39 | 173-200 | 14-8 | 48-38 | 317-171 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-6 | 17-19 | 64-74 | 3-6 | 16-21 | 64-74 | 5-4 | 21-16 | 83-58 | | as a favorite | 4-7 | 23-32 | 171-164 | 3-6 | 21-29 | 111-145 | 9-2 | 38-17 | 275-70 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 3-0 | 20-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5-19 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 28-4 | | in all home games | 3-7 | 19-22 | 103-98 | 3-6 | 17-20 | 66-78 | 9-4 | 36-10 | 207-43 | | in home lined games | 3-7 | 19-22 | 103-98 | 3-6 | 17-20 | 66-78 | 6-4 | 31-10 | 162-43 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-3 | 2-7 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 2-7 | 9-18 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 21-8 | | against conference opponents | 5-6 | 20-27 | 146-140 | 3-8 | 25-24 | 104-127 | 4-7 | 19-30 | 178-119 | | in February games | 2-1 | 7-9 | 61-43 | 1-2 | 10-8 | 31-49 | 2-1 | 7-11 | 73-36 | | on Wednesday games | 2-2 | 5-8 | 42-31 | 3-1 | 4-8 | 25-25 | 2-2 | 8-5 | 59-23 | | after a conference game | 5-5 | 19-26 | 144-140 | 3-7 | 24-23 | 101-130 | 5-6 | 19-29 | 178-118 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-3 | 9-10 | 38-42 | 2-4 | 10-9 | 33-30 | 3-3 | 9-10 | 46-36 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-2 | 6-11 | 81-88 | 1-2 | 11-7 | 58-83 | 1-2 | 5-13 | 110-67 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-4 | 8-13 | 85-104 | 2-2 | 14-8 | 78-82 | 2-3 | 12-12 | 140-75 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-1 | 6-10 | 48-52 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 41-46 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 59-51 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-5 | 9-16 | 68-70 | 3-6 | 16-10 | 59-68 | 3-6 | 8-18 | 75-68 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 7-11 | 18-26 | 105-114 | 7-10 | 27-17 | 95-98 | 10-8 | 22-23 | 129-99 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 12-12 | -10.4 | 10-13 | 11-9 | 65.2 | 30.2 | 41.6% | 40.0 | 63.7 | 29.0 | 39.6% | 34.5 | | Road Games | 3-7 | -7.9 | 3-6 | 6-3 | 62.1 | 29.4 | 38.9% | 41.3 | 67.6 | 30.9 | 40.6% | 37.1 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 61.6 | 24.4 | 39.5% | 37.8 | 72.2 | 32.4 | 42.2% | 35.8 | | Conference Games | 5-6 | +0.3 | 5-5 | 6-5 | 61.7 | 27.5 | 40.4% | 38.1 | 67.8 | 31.2 | 41.3% | 36.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.2 | 30.2 | 24-58 | 41.6% | 4-13 | 30.2% | 13-20 | 63.1% | 40 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.1 | 29.1 | 23-55 | 41.3% | 6-19 | 32.6% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.1 | 29.4 | 23-59 | 38.9% | 5-16 | 29.7% | 12-19 | 60.4% | 41 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.7 | 29.0 | 23-57 | 39.6% | 5-16 | 32.2% | 13-19 | 70.8% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.8 | 31.2 | 24-54 | 43.5% | 6-17 | 33.8% | 14-20 | 69.0% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 67.6 | 30.9 | 24-58 | 40.6% | 6-18 | 32.0% | 15-21 | 69.3% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
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| All Games | 17-8 | +4 | 10-12 | 9-11 | 71.6 | 33.8 | 42.8% | 34.0 | 66.6 | 30.9 | 42.8% | 34.9 | | Home Games | 9-4 | -4 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 69.3 | 31.2 | 42.3% | 35.6 | 64.7 | 29.5 | 43.0% | 31.9 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +2.4 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 66.8 | 29.6 | 41.6% | 28.8 | 70.6 | 33.2 | 48.4% | 35.0 | | Conference Games | 4-7 | -4.2 | 5-6 | 3-8 | 64.7 | 29.4 | 40.6% | 31.5 | 68.5 | 32.2 | 45.1% | 34.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.6 | 33.8 | 25-59 | 42.8% | 8-24 | 33.6% | 13-18 | 72.3% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 29.8 | 23-55 | 41.7% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 67.8% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 69.3 | 31.2 | 25-60 | 42.3% | 7-24 | 31.0% | 12-17 | 68.5% | 36 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.6 | 30.9 | 23-54 | 42.8% | 7-19 | 34.9% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 70 | 33 | 25-56 | 44.3% | 7-19 | 35.1% | 13-20 | 69.1% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.7 | 29.5 | 22-52 | 43.0% | 7-19 | 36.5% | 13-18 | 70.0% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 76.8, ILLINOIS 75.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| PURDUE is 19-11 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | PURDUE is 20-11 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 13 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PURDUE is 4-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | PURDUE is 5-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| PURDUE is 10-3 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | PURDUE is 8-5 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/2/2013 | ILLINOIS | 61 | -3 | Under | 33 | 21-59 | 35.6% | 10-26 | 38.5% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 35 | 10 | 10 | | | PURDUE | 68 | 138.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 25-61 | 41.0% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 45 | 12 | 11 | 2/15/2012 | PURDUE | 67 | 131.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 27-60 | 45.0% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 6-10 | 60.0% | 34 | 10 | 11 | | | ILLINOIS | 62 | -3 | Under | 28 | 25-56 | 44.6% | 3-21 | 14.3% | 9-11 | 81.8% | 29 | 6 | 12 | 12/31/2011 | ILLINOIS | 60 | 129.5 | Over | 24 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 5-21 | 23.8% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 30 | 12 | 17 | | | PURDUE | 75 | -6.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 25-44 | 56.8% | 9-17 | 52.9% | 16-28 | 57.1% | 26 | 3 | 13 | 3/1/2011 | ILLINOIS | 67 | 134.5 | ATS | 37 | 27-54 | 50.0% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 34 | 5 | 13 | | | PURDUE | 75 | -9.5 | SU Over | 37 | 25-58 | 43.1% | 11-26 | 42.3% | 14-19 | 73.7% | 31 | 8 | 7 | 2/13/2011 | PURDUE | 81 | 134.5 | SU ATS | 27 | 25-60 | 41.7% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 24-31 | 77.4% | 42 | 11 | 12 | | | ILLINOIS | 70 | -3 | Over | 32 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 28 | 4 | 14 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (188-185) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 46.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (205-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (145-150) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 45.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-41) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (155-158) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-34) | |
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| [G] 02/08/2013 - Dru Anthrop expected to miss 2-4 weeks ( Hand ) | | [F] 02/05/2013 - Jay Simpson out for season ( Foot ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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