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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
PURDUE (10-8) AT MICHIGAN (17-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: PURDUE
512: MICHIGAN
132.5
-14.5
66.8 / 61.2
79.3 / 59.5
10-8
17-1
8-10
11-6
8-6
10-7
42.3
51.0
62.8
71.4
31.6
41.0
38.4
40.7
68.8
63.4
30.9
31.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PURDUE  
MICHIGAN-13 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1045-35223-2388-643-33158-16810-858-29316-195
in all lined games8-1045-35223-2388-643-33158-16810-852-29275-195
when the total is 130 to 139.54-424-1781-753-422-1965-904-426-1688-69
as an underdog2-313-1166-914-114-1056-742-310-1442-119
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-01-05-20-01-02-40-00-10-7
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-01-012-50-01-04-120-00-10-17
in road games2-215-1169-853-015-1052-572-214-1265-95
in road lined games2-215-1169-853-015-1052-572-214-1262-95
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-06-314-160-05-413-170-05-49-21
against conference opponents3-224-19129-1453-229-1595-1063-228-16150-130
in January games4-210-1160-654-213-840-434-212-972-54
after a non-conference game5-820-1789-1004-515-1760-647-631-12159-71
after allowing 60 points or less3-411-1470-735-017-660-504-320-10112-55
when playing against a team with a winning record4-930-29159-1836-433-23124-1346-736-24186-172
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-016-1691-1091-119-1378-812-018-14101-104
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-09-857-661-011-653-471-08-959-66
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-519-16100-1045-021-1282-743-418-17105-104
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-01-211-230-03-012-120-01-210-24
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-12-536-460-15-222-350-13-433-51

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-650-28222-21610-742-34151-16517-162-25278-222
in all lined games11-650-28222-21610-742-34151-16516-153-25226-218
when the total is 130 to 139.54-416-1267-615-315-1354-747-117-1162-68
as a favorite10-526-17109-1009-625-1670-7215-038-5159-54
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points1-12-18-41-11-23-42-03-012-0
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points5-47-622-214-56-711-189-013-044-0
in all home games6-424-13113-975-519-1673-7911-040-6192-71
in home lined games6-424-13113-975-519-1673-7910-031-6144-69
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.53-15-526-162-25-515-274-010-029-13
against conference opponents3-229-16146-1323-224-2195-1124-128-17128-153
in January games3-212-1172-553-211-1239-524-112-1164-65
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-06-225-230-03-515-230-06-230-24
after a conference game2-227-17143-1282-220-2488-1173-127-18132-148
off a win against a conference rival1-214-1362-631-211-1639-552-114-1356-71
after scoring 80 points or more5-38-536-365-38-521-188-011-356-33
when playing against a team with a winning record10-542-23174-1509-634-29122-12514-142-24164-179
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-222-13102-881-216-1971-872-119-1679-116
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-213-566-521-28-1046-542-19-945-73
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-225-10109-855-417-1774-788-121-1595-109
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PURDUE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-8-9.48-108-666.831.742.3%41.261.227.938.4%34.1
Road Games2-5-7.82-55-164.329.739.7%42.369.129.939.5%38.4
Last 5 Games3-2+13-24-165.830.843.2%40.061.627.837.9%37.0
Conference Games3-2+1.43-23-263.629.641.6%40.263.429.839.1%37.2
PURDUE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.831.725-5942.3%4-1431.6%12-2062.8%411214185135
vs opponents surrendering64.529.323-5541.4%6-1832.6%13-1967.8%34912187133
Team Stats (Road Games)64.329.724-5939.7%5-1631.3%12-2060.0%421213214145
Stats Against (All Games)61.227.922-5738.4%5-1530.9%13-1968.8%34911177124
vs opponents averaging65.93123-5443.1%5-1633.1%14-2068.3%361012176134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.129.923-5939.5%5-1731.9%17-2469.6%381112178104

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-1+6.211-610-779.338.151.0%37.259.527.740.7%28.8
Home Games11-0+16-45-582.340.250.9%39.256.626.039.1%29.3
Last 5 Games4-1+1.23-23-277.436.050.6%36.862.229.841.9%28.8
Conference Games4-1+1.23-23-277.436.050.6%36.862.229.841.9%28.8
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.338.129-5751.0%9-2141.0%12-1771.4%37916125103
vs opponents surrendering66.330.424-5543.0%6-1934.4%12-1867.9%35913176143
Team Stats (Home Games)82.340.231-6150.9%9-2341.8%11-1571.6%39101810582
Stats Against (All Games)59.527.723-5640.7%6-2031.7%7-1263.4%29812155123
vs opponents averaging67.831.924-5643.0%6-1833.2%13-2067.9%351013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)56.626.022-5739.1%6-2129.7%5-960.6%29811144123
Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 75.4,  MICHIGAN 72.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
PURDUE is 14-12 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
PURDUE is 16-10 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1997
PURDUE is 8-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
PURDUE is 7-5 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/25/2012PURDUE75127.5SU ATS3227-5450.0%7-1546.7%14-1687.5%3155
 MICHIGAN61-5.5 Over2825-6041.7%9-3228.1%2-450.0%3189
1/24/2012MICHIGAN66126.5SU ATS3027-5054.0%6-1442.9%6-966.7%30712
 PURDUE64-5.5 Over2823-5244.2%9-2634.6%9-1275.0%2369
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PURDUE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (188-182)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (168-171)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49% of the time since 1997. (142-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 44.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.5% of the time since 1997. (121-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PURDUE
No significant injuries.
MICHIGAN
[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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