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Thursday at 7:00 PM			PURDUE (10-8) AT MICHIGAN (17-1)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
511: PURDUE 512: MICHIGAN	132.5 -14.5	66.8 / 61.2 79.3 / 59.5	10-8 17-1	8-10 11-6	8-6 10-7	42.3 51.0	62.8 71.4	31.6 41.0	38.4 40.7	68.8 63.4	30.9 31.7

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
PURDUE
MICHIGAN	-13

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	8-10	45-35	223-238	8-6	43-33	158-168	10-8	58-29	316-195
in all lined games	8-10	45-35	223-238	8-6	43-33	158-168	10-8	52-29	275-195
when the total is 130 to 139.5	4-4	24-17	81-75	3-4	22-19	65-90	4-4	26-16	88-69
as an underdog	2-3	13-11	66-91	4-1	14-10	56-74	2-3	10-14	42-119
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points	0-0	1-0	5-2	0-0	1-0	2-4	0-0	0-1	0-7
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points	0-0	1-0	12-5	0-0	1-0	4-12	0-0	0-1	0-17
in road games	2-2	15-11	69-85	3-0	15-10	52-57	2-2	14-12	65-95
in road lined games	2-2	15-11	69-85	3-0	15-10	52-57	2-2	14-12	62-95
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5	0-0	6-3	14-16	0-0	5-4	13-17	0-0	5-4	9-21
against conference opponents	3-2	24-19	129-145	3-2	29-15	95-106	3-2	28-16	150-130
in January games	4-2	10-11	60-65	4-2	13-8	40-43	4-2	12-9	72-54
after a non-conference game	5-8	20-17	89-100	4-5	15-17	60-64	7-6	31-12	159-71
after allowing 60 points or less	3-4	11-14	70-73	5-0	17-6	60-50	4-3	20-10	112-55
when playing against a team with a winning record	4-9	30-29	159-183	6-4	33-23	124-134	6-7	36-24	186-172
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	2-0	16-16	91-109	1-1	19-13	78-81	2-0	18-14	101-104
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	1-0	9-8	57-66	1-0	11-6	53-47	1-0	8-9	59-66
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	2-5	19-16	100-104	5-0	21-12	82-74	3-4	18-17	105-104
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	0-0	1-2	11-23	0-0	3-0	12-12	0-0	1-2	10-24
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	0-1	2-5	36-46	0-1	5-2	22-35	0-1	3-4	33-51

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	11-6	50-28	222-216	10-7	42-34	151-165	17-1	62-25	278-222
in all lined games	11-6	50-28	222-216	10-7	42-34	151-165	16-1	53-25	226-218
when the total is 130 to 139.5	4-4	16-12	67-61	5-3	15-13	54-74	7-1	17-11	62-68
as a favorite	10-5	26-17	109-100	9-6	25-16	70-72	15-0	38-5	159-54
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points	1-1	2-1	8-4	1-1	1-2	3-4	2-0	3-0	12-0
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points	5-4	7-6	22-21	4-5	6-7	11-18	9-0	13-0	44-0
in all home games	6-4	24-13	113-97	5-5	19-16	73-79	11-0	40-6	192-71
in home lined games	6-4	24-13	113-97	5-5	19-16	73-79	10-0	31-6	144-69
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5	3-1	5-5	26-16	2-2	5-5	15-27	4-0	10-0	29-13
against conference opponents	3-2	29-16	146-132	3-2	24-21	95-112	4-1	28-17	128-153
in January games	3-2	12-11	72-55	3-2	11-12	39-52	4-1	12-11	64-65
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest	0-0	6-2	25-23	0-0	3-5	15-23	0-0	6-2	30-24
after a conference game	2-2	27-17	143-128	2-2	20-24	88-117	3-1	27-18	132-148
off a win against a conference rival	1-2	14-13	62-63	1-2	11-16	39-55	2-1	14-13	56-71
after scoring 80 points or more	5-3	8-5	36-36	5-3	8-5	21-18	8-0	11-3	56-33
when playing against a team with a winning record	10-5	42-23	174-150	9-6	34-29	122-125	14-1	42-24	164-179
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	1-2	22-13	102-88	1-2	16-19	71-87	2-1	19-16	79-116
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	1-2	13-5	66-52	1-2	8-10	46-54	2-1	9-9	45-73
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	7-2	25-10	109-85	5-4	17-17	74-78	8-1	21-15	95-109

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

PURDUE - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	10-8	-9.4	8-10	8-6	66.8	31.7	42.3%	41.2	61.2	27.9	38.4%	34.1
Road Games	2-5	-7.8	2-5	5-1	64.3	29.7	39.7%	42.3	69.1	29.9	39.5%	38.4
Last 5 Games	3-2	+1	3-2	4-1	65.8	30.8	43.2%	40.0	61.6	27.8	37.9%	37.0
Conference Games	3-2	+1.4	3-2	3-2	63.6	29.6	41.6%	40.2	63.4	29.8	39.1%	37.2

PURDUE Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	66.8	31.7	25-59	42.3%	4-14	31.6%	12-20	62.8%	41	12	14	18	5	13	5
vs opponents surrendering	64.5	29.3	23-55	41.4%	6-18	32.6%	13-19	67.8%	34	9	12	18	7	13	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	64.3	29.7	24-59	39.7%	5-16	31.3%	12-20	60.0%	42	12	13	21	4	14	5
Stats Against (All Games)	61.2	27.9	22-57	38.4%	5-15	30.9%	13-19	68.8%	34	9	11	17	7	12	4
vs opponents averaging	65.9	31	23-54	43.1%	5-16	33.1%	14-20	68.3%	36	10	12	17	6	13	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	69.1	29.9	23-59	39.5%	5-17	31.9%	17-24	69.6%	38	11	12	17	8	10	4

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	17-1	+6.2	11-6	10-7	79.3	38.1	51.0%	37.2	59.5	27.7	40.7%	28.8
Home Games	11-0	+1	6-4	5-5	82.3	40.2	50.9%	39.2	56.6	26.0	39.1%	29.3
Last 5 Games	4-1	+1.2	3-2	3-2	77.4	36.0	50.6%	36.8	62.2	29.8	41.9%	28.8
Conference Games	4-1	+1.2	3-2	3-2	77.4	36.0	50.6%	36.8	62.2	29.8	41.9%	28.8

MICHIGAN Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	79.3	38.1	29-57	51.0%	9-21	41.0%	12-17	71.4%	37	9	16	12	5	10	3
vs opponents surrendering	66.3	30.4	24-55	43.0%	6-19	34.4%	12-18	67.9%	35	9	13	17	6	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	82.3	40.2	31-61	50.9%	9-23	41.8%	11-15	71.6%	39	10	18	10	5	8	2
Stats Against (All Games)	59.5	27.7	23-56	40.7%	6-20	31.7%	7-12	63.4%	29	8	12	15	5	12	3
vs opponents averaging	67.8	31.9	24-56	43.0%	6-18	33.2%	13-20	67.9%	35	10	13	17	7	13	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	56.6	26.0	22-57	39.1%	6-21	29.7%	5-9	60.6%	29	8	11	14	4	12	3

Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 75.4, MICHIGAN 72.4

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

PURDUE is 14-12 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997

PURDUE is 16-10 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997

11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

PURDUE is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

PURDUE is 2-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1997

PURDUE is 8-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997

PURDUE is 7-5 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997

5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.

PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
2/25/2012	PURDUE	75	127.5	SU ATS	32	27-54	50.0%	7-15	46.7%	14-16	87.5%	31	5	5
	MICHIGAN	61	-5.5	Over	28	25-60	41.7%	9-32	28.1%	2-4	50.0%	31	8	9
1/24/2012	MICHIGAN	66	126.5	SU ATS	30	27-50	54.0%	6-14	42.9%	6-9	66.7%	30	7	12
	PURDUE	64	-5.5	Over	28	23-52	44.2%	9-26	34.6%	9-12	75.0%	23	6	9

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PURDUE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (188-182)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (168-171)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49% of the time since 1997. (142-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 44.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.5% of the time since 1997. (121-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-32)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

PURDUE

No significant injuries.

MICHIGAN

[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle )

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