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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 9:00 PM
PURDUE (13-7) AT MICHIGAN (15-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
545: PURDUE
546: MICHIGAN
139.5
-11.5
74.3 / 69.5
77.3 / 64.3
13-7
15-4
6-11
10-6
6-10
9-7
42.8
48.5
66.7
75.1
33.7
39.1
40.7
43.3
70.4
73.7
31.3
33.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PURDUE  
MICHIGAN-16
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-1140-43236-2576-1043-34173-18413-751-38335-212
in all lined games6-1140-43236-2576-1043-34173-18410-746-38291-212
when the total is 130 to 139.51-315-1684-821-315-1669-972-215-1791-77
as an underdog4-318-1773-1004-323-1367-802-512-2446-132
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-00-12-50-01-04-30-00-11-7
in road games3-113-1174-901-313-1156-642-211-1469-102
in road lined games3-113-1174-901-313-1156-642-211-1466-102
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.51-03-215-140-11-58-221-03-313-17
against conference opponents2-521-24137-1572-528-17104-1173-422-24158-143
in January games2-49-1263-701-511-1142-503-311-1176-59
after a conference game2-423-22143-1491-528-16107-1143-323-22165-135
off a loss against a conference rival1-215-869-641-214-842-541-215-872-66
after scoring 60 points or less0-210-846-480-28-932-421-111-760-41
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-03-230-270-01-212-220-04-142-20
when playing against a team with a winning record5-526-32169-1954-533-22137-1435-529-31195-186
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-215-1797-1180-320-1387-882-115-18107-114
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-00-311-250-02-213-140-00-410-27
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game3-13-639-493-16-426-382-23-735-56

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-647-37241-2339-746-39171-18215-470-22307-233
in all lined games10-647-37241-2339-746-39171-18213-464-22253-229
when the total is 130 to 139.56-221-1978-707-126-1569-807-132-979-72
as a favorite7-433-26123-1137-532-2984-8710-251-10181-61
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points1-02-09-101-01-17-61-02-017-2
in all home games6-122-14121-1024-316-2179-878-140-3206-73
in home lined games6-122-14121-1024-316-2179-876-134-3156-71
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.53-16-219-114-06-316-153-18-124-7
against conference opponents6-125-21156-1434-323-24107-1227-034-13144-159
in January games6-115-880-564-39-1543-587-019-574-65
after a conference game5-122-23153-1394-221-25100-1276-031-15148-154
off a win against a conference rival5-114-1870-704-216-1748-626-020-1367-76
after scoring 80 points or more2-58-1139-433-311-826-233-415-661-39
when playing against a team with a winning record6-637-30188-1647-535-33136-1409-449-20184-189
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-021-18114-963-117-2381-984-027-1394-122
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PURDUE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-7+0.46-116-1074.335.042.8%40.169.532.740.7%36.1
Road Games3-5-1.64-43-569.630.139.2%39.972.234.643.1%34.7
Last 5 Games3-2+1.21-40-563.830.236.4%41.864.230.238.5%34.8
Conference Games3-4-0.82-52-566.731.337.7%41.668.732.441.1%34.4
PURDUE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)74.335.026-6142.8%6-1733.7%16-2466.7%401313206126
vs opponents surrendering69.332.224-5543.1%6-1834.1%15-2269.1%35912206124
Team Stats (Road Games)69.630.124-6139.2%6-1835.7%16-2270.8%401210215125
Stats Against (All Games)69.532.723-5840.7%6-1931.3%16-2370.4%361012206136
vs opponents averaging70.533.324-5643.3%6-1933.7%16-2370.8%35912196124
Stats Against (Road Games)72.234.624-5643.1%6-1835.2%18-2571.9%35810207126

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-4+1.710-69-777.336.448.5%33.564.330.643.3%31.0
Home Games8-1+0.66-14-382.641.351.5%34.858.028.040.0%28.1
Last 5 Games5-0+7.64-14-176.636.852.3%29.069.834.247.8%29.0
Conference Games7-0+8.66-14-374.334.751.4%28.965.732.145.4%29.1
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.336.427-5548.5%9-2239.1%15-2075.1%3381615693
vs opponents surrendering68.832.124-5742.0%6-1932.7%15-2169.6%351012206124
Team Stats (Home Games)82.641.328-5551.5%9-2341.5%16-2079.8%3591713683
Stats Against (All Games)64.330.624-5543.3%6-1733.0%11-1573.7%31812175123
vs opponents averaging72.534.525-5644.3%6-1934.7%16-2370.6%36913196124
Stats Against (Home Games)58.028.022-5440.0%5-1728.7%10-1373.1%28811174112
Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 72.8,  MICHIGAN 73.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
PURDUE is 15-12 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
PURDUE is 16-12 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
12 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1997
PURDUE is 8-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
PURDUE is 7-6 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/6/2013MICHIGAN80-6.5SU Over3025-5942.4%7-1838.9%23-2979.3%3065
 PURDUE75135 ATS3426-6043.3%5-1533.3%18-2185.7%421213
1/24/2013PURDUE53135 3321-5438.9%7-2231.8%4-757.1%29812
 MICHIGAN68-15SU Under3227-5549.1%7-1643.7%7-1070.0%35910
2/25/2012PURDUE75127.5SU ATS3227-5450.0%7-1546.7%14-1687.5%3155
 MICHIGAN61-5.5 Over2825-6041.7%9-3228.1%2-450.0%3189
1/24/2012MICHIGAN66126.5SU ATS3027-5054.0%6-1442.9%6-966.7%30712
 PURDUE64-5.5 Over2823-5244.2%9-2634.6%9-1275.0%2369
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PURDUE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (196-202)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 42.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (184-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-35)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (157-158)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 47.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 45.4% of the time since 1997. (138-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 56.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PURDUE
No significant injuries.
MICHIGAN
[F] 12/27/2013 - Mitch McGary out indefinitely ( Back )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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