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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
PURDUE (11-10) AT NORTHWESTERN (12-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
523: PURDUE
524: NORTHWESTERN
120.0
-1.0
65.8 / 63.2
63.4 / 61.8
11-10
12-10
9-11
10-9
9-8
7-7
41.9
41.4
63.1
65.4
31.2
35.3
39.1
41.7
70.3
63.4
32.7
33.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PURDUE  
NORTHWESTERN0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-1146-36224-2399-844-35159-17011-1059-31317-197
in all lined games9-1146-36224-2399-844-35159-17011-1053-31276-197
when the total is 119.5 or less1-01-16-61-02-011-11-01-17-5
as an underdog2-413-1266-925-215-1157-752-510-1642-121
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-05-111-140-02-48-90-05-111-15
in road games2-215-1169-853-115-1152-582-314-1365-96
in road lined games2-215-1169-853-115-1152-582-314-1362-96
in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less1-01-03-11-01-03-11-01-04-0
against conference opponents4-325-20130-1464-430-1796-1084-429-18151-132
in February games0-011-354-520-09-636-400-011-462-47
on Saturday games1-59-1181-833-18-1046-612-412-10111-66
after a conference game4-326-19135-1395-229-1799-1054-328-18157-125
off a loss against a conference rival2-111-563-591-28-936-502-112-566-61
after allowing 80 points or more0-35-425-251-15-310-171-26-332-23
after scoring 60 points or less4-19-342-432-34-928-384-110-355-37
when playing against a team with a winning record5-1031-30160-1847-634-25125-1367-937-26187-174
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-117-1792-1102-320-1579-833-219-16102-106
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-110-958-672-212-854-492-29-1160-68
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-620-17101-1056-222-1483-764-619-19106-106
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-06-123-171-14-314-92-06-129-11
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game4-19-231-311-34-620-164-19-256-15

NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-938-36198-2037-740-30134-12112-1051-38220-257
in all lined games10-938-36198-2037-740-30134-1219-1037-38151-253
when the total is 119.5 or less0-10-227-360-11-129-330-10-220-43
as a favorite3-517-1760-612-119-1152-364-425-1087-35
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-10-614-131-02-48-110-11-516-11
in all home games5-617-1889-974-315-1660-547-732-16159-98
in home lined games5-617-1889-974-315-1660-544-719-1693-94
in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less0-00-012-150-00-012-140-00-012-15
against conference opponents4-523-24136-1412-723-2594-893-619-2984-196
in February games0-07-865-480-010-637-320-08-845-73
on Saturday games1-38-569-702-16-736-371-39-663-95
after a conference game4-423-22130-1331-721-2587-853-522-2599-180
off a loss against a conference rival3-214-1391-861-412-1657-553-216-1270-115
after scoring 60 points or less5-38-1089-883-410-850-515-312-895-112
when playing against a team with a winning record8-730-32138-1407-632-2894-947-929-3793-201
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-217-1882-750-513-2252-602-312-2340-122
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-38-1254-550-56-1439-471-43-1718-92
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-715-1983-863-615-1764-622-910-2548-127
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PURDUE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-10-9.49-119-865.830.941.9%40.263.228.439.1%34.8
Road Games2-6-7.82-55-262.930.139.6%40.669.030.140.6%38.0
Last 5 Games3-2+23-13-264.428.842.4%38.867.027.438.4%37.2
Conference Games4-4+1.44-34-462.028.440.7%38.068.030.540.6%37.7
PURDUE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.830.925-5941.9%4-1431.2%12-1963.1%401214185135
vs opponents surrendering64.129.123-5641.1%6-1932.3%12-1868.3%33912187133
Team Stats (Road Games)62.930.123-5939.6%5-1731.4%11-1859.9%411113204145
Stats Against (All Games)63.228.422-5739.1%5-1632.7%13-1970.3%35912177125
vs opponents averaging67.431.824-5543.8%6-1633.9%14-2068.9%361013176134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.030.124-5940.6%5-1633.3%16-2369.6%381112167104

NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-10-1.410-97-763.428.741.4%32.461.826.841.7%36.5
Home Games7-7-115-64-365.030.342.2%32.962.928.642.2%36.8
Last 5 Games2-3+4.43-20-555.424.039.2%28.460.227.842.9%37.0
Conference Games3-6+3.44-52-757.123.638.9%28.165.327.844.5%39.2
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.428.721-5241.4%8-2135.3%13-2065.4%32715166113
vs opponents surrendering64.730.123-5641.7%6-1832.9%12-1867.8%34912187133
Team Stats (Home Games)65.030.322-5342.2%8-2236.6%12-2062.1%33717156104
Stats Against (All Games)61.826.822-5341.7%6-1733.7%12-1963.4%371012186124
vs opponents averaging6932.424-5643.8%6-1934.3%14-2068.6%361013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)62.928.623-5442.2%6-1735.7%11-1864.8%371014186123
Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 76.3,  NORTHWESTERN 73.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 13-11 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997
PURDUE is 16-9 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 3-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 3-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NORTHWESTERN since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 7-5 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 6-6 straight up against PURDUE since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/12/2012NORTHWESTERN76135 Over2628-5749.1%10-2343.5%10-1566.7%2869
 PURDUE87-6.5SU ATS3126-6142.6%11-2347.8%24-3372.7%40135
1/28/2012PURDUE58136SU ATS2624-5444.4%6-2030.0%4-850.0%2355
 NORTHWESTERN56-1 Under2220-4544.4%8-2138.1%8-1457.1%371116
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NORTHWESTERN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (188-183)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 48.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (171-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-25)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (143-150)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (110-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-31)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PURDUE
No significant injuries.
NORTHWESTERN
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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