|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| SE MISSOURI ST | | | | TENNESSEE ST | -10 |  |
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 3-8 | 31-32 | 149-167 | 0-1 | 30-23 | 111-92 | 10-8 | 35-46 | 195-267 | | in all lined games | 3-8 | 31-32 | 149-167 | 0-1 | 30-23 | 111-92 | 4-7 | 24-41 | 94-226 | | as an underdog | 2-4 | 21-24 | 112-113 | 0-1 | 20-20 | 80-69 | 0-6 | 10-37 | 44-185 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 2-6 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 1-7 | 6-18 | | in road games | 3-3 | 18-16 | 88-81 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 61-49 | 4-4 | 12-28 | 64-158 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 18-16 | 88-81 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 61-49 | 2-4 | 9-25 | 35-136 | | against conference opponents | 0-4 | 20-21 | 106-118 | 0-1 | 22-17 | 86-65 | 2-2 | 19-23 | 117-168 | | in January games | 0-3 | 8-11 | 52-54 | 0-1 | 10-7 | 44-27 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 58-79 | | on Saturday games | 0-4 | 8-15 | 52-76 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 49-36 | 3-3 | 11-18 | 71-112 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 0-3 | 8-12 | 49-60 | 0-1 | 11-8 | 42-29 | 2-3 | 6-20 | 54-98 | | after a conference game | 1-3 | 20-20 | 103-113 | 0-1 | 21-15 | 82-63 | 1-3 | 17-25 | 112-172 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 8-12 | 63-71 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 49-42 | 0-1 | 7-13 | 38-101 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-1 | 3-4 | 43-47 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 29-28 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 42-74 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-2 | 5-6 | 20-15 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 12-12 | 3-3 | 6-8 | 14-25 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-4 | 10-15 | 61-70 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 47-37 | 0-5 | 5-23 | 34-129 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 5-10 | 37-42 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 29-24 | 0-1 | 3-13 | 22-73 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 7-6 | 35-30 | 167-158 | 0-0 | 27-24 | 106-103 | 10-7 | 45-35 | 182-280 | | in all lined games | 7-6 | 35-30 | 167-158 | 0-0 | 27-24 | 106-103 | 6-7 | 34-33 | 124-207 | | as a favorite | 3-2 | 14-13 | 46-52 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 39-35 | 4-1 | 24-3 | 74-25 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 3-1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 9-5 | | in all home games | 2-1 | 11-12 | 51-70 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 37-45 | 6-0 | 28-4 | 114-78 | | in home lined games | 2-1 | 11-12 | 51-70 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 37-45 | 3-0 | 20-3 | 70-52 | | against conference opponents | 3-1 | 21-19 | 111-116 | 0-0 | 20-17 | 77-76 | 4-0 | 26-15 | 127-162 | | in January games | 3-0 | 11-8 | 50-59 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 36-40 | 3-0 | 13-7 | 58-85 | | on Saturday games | 1-2 | 10-12 | 62-56 | 0-0 | 11-8 | 43-35 | 3-1 | 17-7 | 69-87 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-3 | 11-12 | 70-61 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 42-45 | 1-4 | 14-13 | 78-106 | | after a conference game | 3-0 | 20-18 | 105-108 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 72-74 | 3-0 | 25-16 | 122-166 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-0 | 14-8 | 54-41 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 37-35 | 3-0 | 18-7 | 52-51 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-2 | 9-7 | 23-21 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 17-14 | 3-3 | 14-9 | 22-38 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-0 | 7-2 | 29-31 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 19-19 | 2-0 | 7-4 | 39-61 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-3 | 15-13 | 82-77 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 43-56 | 2-3 | 11-20 | 48-158 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 8-7 | 41-44 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 26-33 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 31-75 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 10-8 | -2.3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 71.6 | 33.4 | 45.6% | 38.3 | 69.2 | 30.9 | 39.4% | 37.4 | | Road Games | 4-6 | -3.3 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 64.3 | 30.4 | 41.7% | 37.5 | 69.9 | 30.9 | 38.8% | 39.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +2 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 71.0 | 31.4 | 43.9% | 35.2 | 78.0 | 32.0 | 45.8% | 38.2 | | Conference Games | 2-2 | +1 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 72.2 | 31.2 | 43.4% | 35.5 | 81.2 | 34.0 | 48.6% | 39.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.6 | 33.4 | 26-57 | 45.6% | 7-18 | 36.8% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 38 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 71.6 | 34.3 | 26-58 | 44.2% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 69.0% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.3 | 30.4 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 7-18 | 36.8% | 11-16 | 68.3% | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.2 | 30.9 | 25-63 | 39.4% | 6-20 | 30.5% | 13-19 | 70.2% | 37 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.6 | 24-58 | 41.8% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.9 | 30.9 | 25-64 | 38.8% | 6-20 | 27.7% | 15-20 | 72.4% | 40 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 10-7 | +0.5 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 67.1 | 29.9 | 42.0% | 36.9 | 64.5 | 29.4 | 40.7% | 34.2 | | Home Games | 6-0 | +3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 76.8 | 35.0 | 51.5% | 35.5 | 54.8 | 23.8 | 35.4% | 32.8 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4.8 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 70.4 | 31.2 | 49.6% | 34.4 | 58.8 | 25.8 | 37.6% | 31.6 | | Conference Games | 4-0 | +4.8 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 71.2 | 32.7 | 50.0% | 37.5 | 57.5 | 25.0 | 36.0% | 29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.1 | 29.9 | 23-54 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 30.9% | 16-23 | 70.3% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.7 | 31.7 | 24-54 | 44.2% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 15-21 | 70.6% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 76.8 | 35.0 | 25-49 | 51.5% | 7-17 | 41.9% | 18-24 | 76.0% | 35 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.5 | 29.4 | 22-55 | 40.7% | 5-18 | 29.8% | 14-21 | 66.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.7 | 30.4 | 24-57 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 31.6% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 35 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 54.8 | 23.8 | 21-58 | 35.4% | 4-18 | 22.9% | 9-14 | 65.1% | 33 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 1 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: SE MISSOURI ST 64.9, TENNESSEE ST 68.5 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| SE MISSOURI ST is 12-11 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST since 1997 | | TENNESSEE ST is 16-13 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST since 1997 | | 12 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| TENNESSEE ST is 2-1 against the spread versus SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons | | TENNESSEE ST is 3-0 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| SE MISSOURI ST is 7-4 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST since 1997 | | TENNESSEE ST is 9-5 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST since 1997 | | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| SE MISSOURI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons | | TENNESSEE ST is 1-0 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/4/2012 | TENNESSEE ST | 75 | 136.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 25-59 | 42.4% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 20-31 | 64.5% | 35 | 14 | 5 | | | SE MISSOURI ST | 72 | -1 | Over | 35 | 27-66 | 40.9% | 10-24 | 41.7% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 49 | 17 | 17 | 2/24/2011 | SE MISSOURI ST | 52 | 135.5 | ATS | 14 | 21-47 | 44.7% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 7-11 | 63.6% | 25 | 4 | 15 | | | TENNESSEE ST | 57 | -9 | SU Under | 34 | 21-55 | 38.2% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 10-10 | 100.0% | 33 | 9 | 12 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SE MISSOURI ST games 53.2% of the time since 1997. (132-116) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SE MISSOURI ST games 57.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-20) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE ST games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (130-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE ST games 56.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-25) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
| [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Michael Porter out indefinitely ( Foot ) | |
| [F] 12/29/2012 - Robert Covington out 3-5 weeks ( Knee ) |
|
|