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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 10:00 PM
STANFORD (9-4) AT USC (5-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
537: STANFORD
538: USC
125.5
+3.0
70.2 / 63.6
62.6 / 63.3
9-4
5-8
5-6
3-8
2-1
5-2
40.9
41.6
73.7
67.5
27.3
32.5
40.0
40.6
75.1
71.3
31.9
36.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
STANFORD-6
USC  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
STANFORD - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-636-37250-2152-131-30170-1659-450-31352-151
in all lined games5-636-37250-2152-131-30170-1657-442-31322-148
when the total is 120 to 129.51-19-1028-281-110-828-272-011-832-24
as a favorite4-424-23179-1561-118-19108-1077-134-13275-64
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-10-317-111-03-017-41-01-219-9
in road games0-29-1497-752-012-1170-581-19-15102-73
in road lined games0-29-1497-752-012-1170-581-18-15100-72
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-11-59-131-03-311-111-02-49-13
against conference opponents0-018-21156-1310-019-19111-1070-018-21188-102
in January games0-07-974-510-06-941-440-07-988-37
after a non-conference game5-617-1892-882-112-1359-599-430-11161-51
after allowing 60 points or less3-214-1391-821-012-1056-602-317-14133-55
when playing against a team with a losing record2-08-858-440-07-623-393-015-5101-19
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-213-961-541-17-1238-553-212-1070-49
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-16-323-170-03-410-232-010-138-9

USC - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games3-827-45221-2285-228-39145-1595-830-49255-228
in all lined games3-827-45221-2285-228-39145-1594-827-49233-225
when the total is 120 to 129.51-36-1828-443-211-1634-401-46-2132-43
as an underdog0-412-24109-964-016-2073-790-55-3261-146
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-11-410-121-02-310-70-11-410-12
in all home games2-411-2395-1151-010-1868-664-320-20155-82
in home lined games2-411-2395-1151-010-1868-663-317-20137-80
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.50-11-610-181-04-513-170-13-618-12
against conference opponents0-012-25144-1400-016-23107-1010-012-27132-157
in January games0-04-1061-570-010-445-320-04-1057-62
after a non-conference game3-816-2081-855-212-1739-594-816-23122-71
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-15-723-231-06-614-131-24-1020-29
when playing against a team with a winning record2-620-28154-1484-218-28109-1133-617-34144-174
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-712-1957-694-211-1939-562-79-2449-82
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
STANFORD - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-4-25-62-170.232.640.9%38.663.630.140.0%33.5
Road Games3-303-32-170.333.542.8%33.568.734.042.3%36.8
Last 5 Games4-1+12-22-072.036.044.1%39.265.029.243.0%27.6
STANFORD Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.232.624-5940.9%5-1927.3%16-2273.7%391212187135
vs opponents surrendering66.53123-5741.2%6-1933.1%13-1968.7%351012187143
Team Stats (Road Games)70.333.525-5942.8%7-2135.2%12-1772.1%33914206114
Stats Against (All Games)63.630.122-5640.0%5-1631.9%14-1975.1%34811195153
vs opponents averaging71.433.625-5645.4%7-2036.1%13-1969.7%35915177144
Stats Against (Road Games)68.734.023-5542.3%5-1629.6%17-2274.8%371110174134

USC - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games5-8-9.63-85-262.628.841.6%34.763.332.440.6%34.1
Home Games4-3-52-41-064.729.942.0%39.357.428.034.8%33.3
Last 5 Games2-3-61-41-060.029.041.9%37.056.626.836.7%34.2
USC Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.628.823-5541.6%5-1532.5%12-1867.5%35813186145
vs opponents surrendering63.729.122-5640.1%6-1932.4%13-1967.7%35912197143
Team Stats (Home Games)64.729.924-5642.0%5-1632.7%12-1965.9%391014195146
Stats Against (All Games)63.332.422-5340.6%6-1836.2%14-1971.3%34811178143
vs opponents averaging67.532.324-5642.4%6-1832.3%14-2167.1%371013177144
Stats Against (Home Games)57.428.019-5334.8%6-1930.6%14-2168.2%3378189132
Average power rating of opponents played: STANFORD 74.6,  USC 74.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
STANFORD is 17-16 against the spread versus USC since 1997
STANFORD is 20-13 straight up against USC since 1997
14 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-2 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-2 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at USC since 1997
STANFORD is 10-6 against the spread versus USC since 1997
USC is 8-8 straight up against STANFORD since 1997
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at USC over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/12/2012STANFORD59-6SU ATS2022-4944.9%6-1540.0%9-1464.3%451218
 USC47113 Under1815-4831.2%4-1428.6%13-1872.2%1919
12/31/2011USC43112 Under2516-4634.8%2-922.2%9-1752.9%24713
 STANFORD51-7SU ATS3118-4440.9%4-1233.3%11-1291.7%32416
2/19/2011USC69124SU ATS4025-4753.2%8-1457.1%11-2250.0%3239
 STANFORD53-2 Under3119-5733.3%3-1717.6%12-1963.2%371211
1/20/2011STANFORD42118.5 Under2214-6322.2%3-1816.7%11-1573.3%341410
 USC65-7SU ATS3725-4555.6%7-1450.0%8-1553.3%42717
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring STANFORD in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in STANFORD games 46.2% of the time since 1997. (176-205)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in STANFORD games 52.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 45.6% of the time since 1997. (164-196)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 42.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-37)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in STANFORD games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (147-133)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in STANFORD games 55.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (142-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-29)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
STANFORD
[G/F] 11/28/2012 - Anthony Brown out for season ( Hip )
USC
[G] 01/03/2013 - Jio Fontan is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Stanford ( Thumb )
[F] 01/02/2013 - Eric Wise probable Thursday vs. Stanford ( Disciplinary )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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