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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 4-3 | 30-36 | 242-236 | 2-4 | 26-29 | 173-178 | 9-1 | 45-33 | 381-173 | in all lined games | 4-3 | 30-36 | 242-236 | 2-4 | 26-29 | 173-178 | 6-1 | 35-32 | 317-171 | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-2 | 3-10 | 70-65 | 1-1 | 8-5 | 66-69 | 2-0 | 7-6 | 90-47 | as an underdog | 1-0 | 14-12 | 69-65 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 56-49 | 0-1 | 3-24 | 41-95 | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 2-10 | in road games | 0-0 | 10-11 | 89-82 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 62-58 | 0-0 | 6-17 | 91-84 | in road lined games | 0-0 | 10-11 | 89-82 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 62-58 | 0-0 | 6-16 | 89-83 | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14-9 | against ACC opponents | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7-8 | in December games | 1-2 | 8-6 | 33-38 | 2-1 | 4-7 | 25-22 | 3-0 | 13-4 | 79-28 | on Wednesday games | 0-0 | 6-7 | 39-36 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 20-26 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 69-22 | after a non-conference game | 4-3 | 13-14 | 98-87 | 2-4 | 9-13 | 67-60 | 9-1 | 27-11 | 193-62 | in non-conference games | 4-3 | 12-15 | 93-94 | 2-4 | 7-15 | 68-72 | 9-1 | 27-11 | 186-70 | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-1 | 7-14 | 82-76 | 0-1 | 10-8 | 65-61 | 1-0 | 13-13 | 136-51 | after scoring 80 points or more | 3-0 | 6-4 | 74-77 | 1-2 | 6-5 | 59-53 | 3-1 | 7-7 | 120-59 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-2 | 23-24 | 195-181 | 1-3 | 19-23 | 147-154 | 5-1 | 21-30 | 248-153 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-1 | 7-9 | 80-66 | 0-3 | 8-7 | 62-56 | 2-1 | 7-11 | 92-72 |
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in all games | 6-3 | 46-33 | 280-247 | 3-4 | 35-38 | 228-209 | 7-2 | 64-19 | 422-152 | in all lined games | 6-3 | 46-33 | 280-247 | 3-4 | 35-38 | 228-209 | 7-2 | 60-19 | 386-149 | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 2-0 | 19-15 | 87-78 | 2-0 | 20-14 | 91-77 | 2-0 | 26-8 | 115-54 | as a favorite | 4-3 | 40-26 | 228-185 | 2-3 | 30-30 | 180-154 | 5-2 | 56-10 | 349-70 | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 5-0 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 24-3 | in all home games | 3-2 | 23-13 | 123-106 | 2-2 | 14-19 | 106-80 | 4-1 | 35-4 | 215-46 | in home lined games | 3-2 | 23-13 | 123-106 | 2-2 | 14-19 | 106-80 | 4-1 | 32-4 | 187-44 | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 28-19 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 29-17 | 1-0 | 10-0 | 37-10 | against Big 12 conference opponents | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7-7 | in December games | 3-1 | 11-5 | 51-43 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 41-31 | 3-1 | 14-3 | 92-21 | on Wednesday games | 1-0 | 7-3 | 52-50 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 44-44 | 1-0 | 8-3 | 74-32 | after a non-conference game | 6-3 | 21-18 | 137-105 | 3-4 | 17-19 | 102-92 | 7-2 | 33-10 | 220-59 | in non-conference games | 6-3 | 23-16 | 138-103 | 3-4 | 18-18 | 102-92 | 7-2 | 34-9 | 227-53 | after scoring 80 points or more | 3-2 | 18-19 | 144-123 | 2-2 | 17-17 | 119-109 | 4-1 | 32-7 | 230-56 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-2 | 33-24 | 230-198 | 3-2 | 24-28 | 186-180 | 4-2 | 39-18 | 308-140 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 4-2 | 11-7 | 95-78 | 3-3 | 7-10 | 75-72 | 4-2 | 10-8 | 105-76 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 9-1 | +3 | 4-3 | 2-4 | 78.8 | 37.1 | 44.8% | 43.7 | 68.4 | 33.8 | 39.3% | 34.2 | Road Games | 2-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 80.0 | 43.0 | 41.0% | 47.0 | 75.0 | 34.3 | 42.7% | 34.3 | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 77.0 | 36.8 | 44.7% | 43.6 | 65.0 | 29.6 | 37.6% | 35.4 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 78.8 | 37.1 | 27-61 | 44.8% | 5-15 | 34.0% | 19-31 | 61.4% | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 8 | vs opponents surrendering | 72.7 | 34 | 25-58 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 33.1% | 16-24 | 68.5% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 4 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 80.0 | 43.0 | 27-67 | 41.0% | 4-16 | 25.5% | 21-31 | 68.1% | 47 | 16 | 12 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 7 | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.4 | 33.8 | 23-59 | 39.3% | 8-22 | 35.5% | 14-22 | 65.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 15 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 75.5 | 35.9 | 26-59 | 44.6% | 6-19 | 34.6% | 17-24 | 68.8% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 75.0 | 34.3 | 25-59 | 42.7% | 7-17 | 40.0% | 18-27 | 65.4% | 34 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 2 |
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All Games | 7-2 | +6.4 | 6-3 | 3-4 | 78.0 | 36.8 | 47.8% | 40.4 | 67.7 | 30.8 | 37.9% | 35.2 | Home Games | 4-1 | +1 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 77.8 | 38.8 | 48.5% | 40.4 | 65.0 | 26.2 | 38.5% | 32.2 | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +5.4 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 78.8 | 35.6 | 47.6% | 40.8 | 67.8 | 31.4 | 37.2% | 39.4 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 78.0 | 36.8 | 28-60 | 47.8% | 3-9 | 29.4% | 18-30 | 61.1% | 40 | 12 | 15 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 5 | vs opponents surrendering | 69.9 | 32.3 | 24-58 | 41.9% | 6-20 | 32.4% | 15-22 | 70.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 77.8 | 38.8 | 29-59 | 48.5% | 3-9 | 30.2% | 18-31 | 57.3% | 40 | 13 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.7 | 30.8 | 21-56 | 37.9% | 7-22 | 31.7% | 18-25 | 73.9% | 35 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 77.3 | 36.4 | 27-58 | 46.0% | 7-19 | 34.6% | 17-25 | 69.7% | 38 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.0 | 26.2 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 18-24 | 72.1% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 2 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: TEXAS 73.1, N CAROLINA 76.9 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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TEXAS is 4-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | TEXAS is 4-1 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997 | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons | N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS since 1997 | N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS since 1997 | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons | N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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12/19/2012 | N CAROLINA | 67 | -5 | Over | 33 | 21-67 | 31.3% | 3-19 | 15.8% | 22-32 | 68.7% | 47 | 17 | 18 | | TEXAS | 85 | 143.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 30-74 | 40.5% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 19-26 | 73.1% | 46 | 12 | 13 | 12/21/2011 | TEXAS | 63 | 154.5 | Under | 23 | 24-69 | 34.8% | 9-25 | 36.0% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 34 | 15 | 13 | | N CAROLINA | 82 | -10 | SU ATS | 39 | 28-63 | 44.4% | 3-7 | 42.9% | 23-31 | 74.2% | 49 | 19 | 13 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (200-194) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-30) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (213-230) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-36) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (155-142) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 45.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-26) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (179-198) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-36) | |
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No significant injuries. | |
[G] 11/07/2013 - Leslie McDonald out indefinitely ( Eligibility ) | [G] 11/07/2013 - P.J. Hairston out indefinitely ( Suspension ) |
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