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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 10-6 | 40-32 | 215-217 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 11-10 | 34-55 | 233-251 | in all lined games | 10-6 | 40-32 | 215-217 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 10-8 | 26-50 | 200-241 | as an underdog | 5-4 | 29-24 | 109-135 | 0-0 | 22-20 | 71-83 | 2-8 | 10-46 | 48-201 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 14-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7-26 | in road games | 7-3 | 20-15 | 98-111 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 4-8 | 10-32 | 63-163 | in road lined games | 7-3 | 20-15 | 98-111 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 4-7 | 7-29 | 56-156 | against conference opponents | 5-4 | 24-20 | 145-144 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 7-3 | 17-29 | 151-146 | in February games | 1-1 | 9-10 | 60-57 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 28-34 | 3-0 | 8-12 | 57-63 | on Wednesday games | 5-3 | 17-9 | 63-52 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 24-29 | 5-4 | 13-14 | 67-57 | after a conference game | 4-4 | 24-19 | 143-140 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 79-72 | 6-3 | 17-29 | 149-147 | off a win against a conference rival | 2-3 | 8-7 | 80-65 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 37-32 | 5-1 | 9-7 | 87-64 | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-1 | 10-6 | 59-54 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 38-31 | 3-1 | 11-7 | 63-63 | after scoring 60 points or less | 4-1 | 19-10 | 65-65 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 45-48 | 2-3 | 9-22 | 57-87 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 6-1 | 16-14 | 89-75 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 44-50 | 7-2 | 20-18 | 127-64 | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 3-1 | 11-9 | 60-42 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 32-33 | 4-0 | 12-9 | 75-31 |
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in all games | 7-15 | 37-45 | 194-207 | 0-0 | 35-24 | 133-99 | 9-15 | 47-40 | 213-263 | in all lined games | 7-15 | 37-45 | 194-207 | 0-0 | 35-24 | 133-99 | 7-15 | 43-40 | 171-234 | as a favorite | 2-7 | 20-27 | 76-76 | 0-0 | 21-15 | 68-49 | 4-5 | 32-15 | 109-44 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-1 | 4-4 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13-13 | 2-0 | 7-1 | 25-6 | in all home games | 2-6 | 16-19 | 90-86 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 56-44 | 6-4 | 29-9 | 127-85 | in home lined games | 2-6 | 16-19 | 90-86 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 56-44 | 4-4 | 26-9 | 102-75 | against conference opponents | 3-7 | 19-26 | 123-146 | 0-0 | 18-18 | 89-61 | 4-6 | 26-20 | 114-175 | in February games | 0-3 | 6-13 | 46-65 | 0-0 | 12-5 | 38-24 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 47-73 | on Wednesday games | 3-5 | 13-9 | 47-51 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 33-15 | 3-5 | 15-8 | 43-63 | after a conference game | 3-6 | 21-23 | 120-142 | 0-0 | 19-17 | 93-57 | 4-5 | 28-18 | 117-171 | off a win against a conference rival | 2-1 | 13-11 | 53-51 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 43-33 | 1-2 | 15-10 | 54-51 | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-4 | 10-13 | 42-42 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 27-26 | 1-5 | 9-16 | 43-54 | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-8 | 7-11 | 35-54 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 20-19 | 2-8 | 8-13 | 36-68 | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 2-4 | 6-6 | 24-24 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 18-5 | 3-4 | 8-5 | 22-31 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-7 | 18-22 | 102-108 | 0-0 | 21-10 | 74-51 | 0-9 | 17-25 | 75-163 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 10-11 | 48-63 | 0-0 | 12-7 | 47-28 | 0-3 | 9-13 | 39-84 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 11-10 | +6.5 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 68.3 | 30.1 | 43.1% | 32.8 | 68.7 | 30.4 | 42.3% | 35.8 | Road Games | 5-8 | +2.5 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 68.8 | 30.2 | 44.3% | 31.5 | 72.3 | 32.4 | 43.8% | 36.2 | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 70.8 | 30.0 | 45.9% | 31.2 | 64.0 | 27.4 | 41.2% | 33.6 | Conference Games | 7-3 | +6.5 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 67.9 | 28.0 | 43.9% | 32.0 | 67.6 | 29.4 | 43.0% | 36.0 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 68.3 | 30.1 | 23-54 | 43.1% | 5-16 | 32.1% | 16-21 | 77.8% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.4 | 30.2 | 23-53 | 43.1% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 68.8 | 30.2 | 24-55 | 44.3% | 5-16 | 33.6% | 15-20 | 75.6% | 31 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 3 | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.7 | 30.4 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 7-21 | 33.9% | 14-19 | 71.4% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 4 | vs opponents averaging | 65.7 | 30.3 | 23-54 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 69.7% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 72.3 | 32.4 | 25-56 | 43.8% | 7-21 | 34.2% | 16-23 | 70.8% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
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All Games | 9-15 | -8.5 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 64.3 | 32.6 | 43.3% | 35.8 | 66.2 | 32.5 | 41.8% | 31.6 | Home Games | 6-4 | -2.5 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 67.2 | 32.9 | 43.4% | 36.0 | 62.9 | 29.3 | 39.6% | 30.8 | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -0.4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 64.0 | 35.0 | 44.4% | 32.6 | 66.2 | 31.2 | 43.8% | 31.0 | Conference Games | 4-6 | -2.6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 64.7 | 32.1 | 42.4% | 34.0 | 68.3 | 34.4 | 43.8% | 31.9 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 64.3 | 32.6 | 22-52 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 68.8% | 36 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 66.3 | 31.3 | 23-54 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 67.2 | 32.9 | 22-51 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 31.1% | 17-22 | 74.4% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.2 | 32.5 | 23-54 | 41.8% | 6-17 | 34.0% | 15-21 | 70.7% | 32 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 66 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 42.8% | 6-19 | 33.9% | 14-19 | 70.5% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 62.9 | 29.3 | 21-52 | 39.6% | 6-18 | 31.7% | 16-20 | 78.5% | 31 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 68.2, BUFFALO 69.2 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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TOLEDO is 12-5 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997 | TOLEDO is 10-7 straight up against BUFFALO since 1997 | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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TOLEDO is 6-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997 | BUFFALO is 4-3 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/4/2012 | BUFFALO | 72 | -5 | SU ATS | 31 | 26-61 | 42.6% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 14-23 | 60.9% | 50 | 16 | 12 | | TOLEDO | 65 | 140.5 | Under | 40 | 22-58 | 37.9% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 14-21 | 66.7% | 32 | 7 | 10 | 2/3/2011 | TOLEDO | 58 | 130.5 | Over | 37 | 19-46 | 41.3% | 7-17 | 41.2% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 17 | 7 | 18 | | BUFFALO | 81 | -19 | SU ATS | 42 | 31-52 | 59.6% | 9-16 | 56.2% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 32 | 11 | 18 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (171-175) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-32) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 52% of the time since 1997. (168-155) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-34) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
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[G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot ) | [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) | |
[G] 12/19/2012 - Jarod Oldham out indefinitely ( Wrist ) | [G] 11/02/2012 - Stan Wier out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
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