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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:00 PM
TOLEDO (11-10) AT BUFFALO (9-15) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
763: TOLEDO
764: BUFFALO
OFF
-5.0
68.3 / 68.7
64.3 / 66.3
11-10
9-15
10-6
7-15
0-0
0-0
43.1
43.3
77.8
68.8
32.1
33.3
42.3
41.8
71.4
70.7
33.9
34.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TOLEDO  
BUFFALO-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-640-32215-2170-029-25115-11711-1034-55233-251
in all lined games10-640-32215-2170-029-25115-11710-826-50200-241
as an underdog5-429-24109-1350-022-2071-832-810-4648-201
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-10-114-180-00-07-60-20-27-26
in road games7-320-1598-1110-09-1444-634-810-3263-163
in road lined games7-320-1598-1110-09-1444-634-77-2956-156
against conference opponents5-424-20145-1440-017-1871-807-317-29151-146
in February games1-19-1060-570-09-828-343-08-1257-63
on Wednesday games5-317-963-520-09-824-295-413-1467-57
after a conference game4-424-19143-1400-016-1979-726-317-29149-147
off a win against a conference rival2-38-780-650-03-737-325-19-787-64
after allowing 60 points or less2-110-659-540-07-638-313-111-763-63
after scoring 60 points or less4-119-1065-650-012-1145-482-39-2257-87
when playing against a team with a losing record6-116-1489-750-010-1344-507-220-18127-64
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games3-111-960-420-08-932-334-012-975-31

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-1537-45194-2070-035-24133-999-1547-40213-263
in all lined games7-1537-45194-2070-035-24133-997-1543-40171-234
as a favorite2-720-2776-760-021-1568-494-532-15109-44
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-14-417-140-03-313-132-07-125-6
in all home games2-616-1990-860-015-1156-446-429-9127-85
in home lined games2-616-1990-860-015-1156-444-426-9102-75
against conference opponents3-719-26123-1460-018-1889-614-626-20114-175
in February games0-36-1346-650-012-538-241-210-1047-73
on Wednesday games3-513-947-510-09-533-153-515-843-63
after a conference game3-621-23120-1420-019-1793-574-528-18117-171
off a win against a conference rival2-113-1153-510-010-1243-331-215-1054-51
after allowing 60 points or less2-410-1342-420-010-727-261-59-1643-54
after scoring 60 points or less1-87-1135-540-07-320-192-88-1336-68
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games2-46-624-240-05-118-53-48-522-31
when playing against a team with a winning record2-718-22102-1080-021-1074-510-917-2575-163
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-210-1148-630-012-747-280-39-1339-84
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-10+6.510-60-068.330.143.1%32.868.730.442.3%35.8
Road Games5-8+2.58-30-068.830.244.3%31.572.332.443.8%36.2
Last 5 Games5-0+53-10-070.830.045.9%31.264.027.441.2%33.6
Conference Games7-3+6.55-40-067.928.043.9%32.067.629.443.0%36.0
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.330.123-5443.1%5-1632.1%16-2177.8%33812177123
vs opponents surrendering65.430.223-5343.1%6-1834.1%14-2069.5%34913177143
Team Stats (Road Games)68.830.224-5544.3%5-1633.6%15-2075.6%31711197133
Stats Against (All Games)68.730.424-5642.3%7-2133.9%14-1971.4%361113197144
vs opponents averaging65.730.323-5442.7%6-1933.6%13-1969.7%33913187143
Stats Against (Road Games)72.332.425-5643.8%7-2134.2%16-2370.8%361113197144

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-15-8.57-150-064.332.643.3%35.866.232.541.8%31.6
Home Games6-4-2.52-60-067.232.943.4%36.062.929.339.6%30.8
Last 5 Games2-3-0.42-30-064.035.044.4%32.666.231.243.8%31.0
Conference Games4-6-2.63-70-064.732.142.4%34.068.334.443.8%31.9
BUFFALO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.332.622-5243.3%6-1833.3%14-2068.8%361114195164
vs opponents surrendering66.331.323-5443.8%6-1834.2%13-1968.3%34914187144
Team Stats (Home Games)67.232.922-5143.4%6-1931.1%17-2274.4%361014186154
Stats Against (All Games)66.232.523-5441.8%6-1734.0%15-2170.7%321012187123
vs opponents averaging6630.523-5442.8%6-1933.9%14-1970.5%33913177143
Stats Against (Home Games)62.929.321-5239.6%6-1831.7%16-2078.5%31812197143
Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 68.2,  BUFFALO 69.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TOLEDO is 12-5 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997
TOLEDO is 10-7 straight up against BUFFALO since 1997
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BUFFALO since 1997
TOLEDO is 6-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997
BUFFALO is 4-3 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/4/2012BUFFALO72-5SU ATS3126-6142.6%6-2030.0%14-2360.9%501612
 TOLEDO65140.5 Under4022-5837.9%7-1353.8%14-2166.7%32710
2/3/2011TOLEDO58130.5 Over3719-4641.3%7-1741.2%13-1776.5%17718
 BUFFALO81-19SU ATS4231-5259.6%9-1656.2%10-1471.4%321118
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BUFFALO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (171-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 52% of the time since 1997. (168-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-34)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
TOLEDO
[G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal )
[G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal )
[F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None )
BUFFALO
[G] 12/19/2012 - Jarod Oldham out indefinitely ( Wrist )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Stan Wier out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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