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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 3-2 | 33-28 | 208-213 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 2-6 | 25-51 | 224-247 | | in all lined games | 3-2 | 33-28 | 208-213 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 1-5 | 17-47 | 191-238 | | as a favorite | 1-0 | 7-4 | 94-71 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 39-32 | 1-0 | 9-2 | 137-31 | | as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-3 | | in road games | 2-2 | 15-14 | 93-110 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 0-6 | 6-30 | 59-161 | | in road lined games | 2-2 | 15-14 | 93-110 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 0-5 | 3-27 | 52-154 | | in December games | 1-0 | 5-4 | 38-35 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 16-20 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 46-50 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 10-14 | 71-87 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 40-38 | 0-1 | 9-19 | 81-94 | | after a non-conference game | 3-2 | 13-13 | 68-76 | 0-0 | 13-6 | 36-45 | 2-6 | 14-25 | 81-101 | | in non-conference games | 3-2 | 14-12 | 68-73 | 0-0 | 12-7 | 44-37 | 2-6 | 15-25 | 80-104 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-0 | 12-13 | 85-74 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 44-50 | 2-1 | 15-17 | 122-63 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-0 | 9-7 | 49-39 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 28-32 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 34-56 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 11-11 | 35-41 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 27-34 | 2-0 | 14-13 | 44-41 |
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| in all games | 2-3 | 20-29 | 136-163 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 3-7 | 24-44 | 192-254 | | in all lined games | 2-3 | 20-29 | 136-163 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 1-4 | 14-37 | 108-200 | | as an underdog | 2-3 | 16-16 | 93-108 | 0-0 | 8-17 | 57-74 | 1-4 | 7-26 | 41-164 | | as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2-7 | | in all home games | 0-2 | 4-18 | 48-77 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 41-39 | 1-4 | 13-20 | 128-80 | | in home lined games | 0-2 | 4-18 | 48-77 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 41-39 | 0-2 | 5-17 | 64-66 | | against MAC opponents | 1-0 | 3-2 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7-13 | | in December games | 0-1 | 3-6 | 26-36 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 18-17 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 43-63 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 5-11 | 51-71 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 37-42 | 2-1 | 9-17 | 78-107 | | after a non-conference game | 2-2 | 10-8 | 42-54 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 23-25 | 3-6 | 15-18 | 77-92 | | in non-conference games | 2-3 | 9-7 | 35-52 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 18-26 | 3-7 | 15-19 | 72-97 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-0 | 8-5 | 24-33 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 19-24 | 3-2 | 10-13 | 39-47 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-2 | 12-12 | 45-53 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 31-47 | 2-3 | 11-17 | 42-77 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-0 | 5-9 | 36-32 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 19-30 | 1-0 | 5-11 | 31-50 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-0 | 8-11 | 58-75 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 42-49 | 1-2 | 13-14 | 108-91 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 2-6 | -2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 70.1 | 33.0 | 42.2% | 32.1 | 74.2 | 34.6 | 44.3% | 36.7 | | Road Games | 1-6 | -2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 68.7 | 31.4 | 42.2% | 31.9 | 75.1 | 35.3 | 45.1% | 37.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 74.8 | 35.2 | 45.6% | 33.0 | 73.2 | 30.4 | 44.5% | 32.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.1 | 33.0 | 24-56 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 32.6% | 17-23 | 75.7% | 32 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 30.7 | 23-55 | 42.1% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 14-19 | 70.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 68.7 | 31.4 | 24-57 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 15-19 | 75.6% | 32 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 74.2 | 34.6 | 25-56 | 44.3% | 7-21 | 34.9% | 17-24 | 73.0% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 31.2 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 7-20 | 34.0% | 14-19 | 71.4% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 75.1 | 35.3 | 25-56 | 45.1% | 8-22 | 37.1% | 16-22 | 72.6% | 37 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
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| All Games | 3-7 | -2.2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 56.9 | 26.2 | 41.6% | 29.4 | 60.9 | 28.6 | 44.3% | 32.3 | | Home Games | 1-4 | -2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 56.2 | 25.2 | 42.9% | 28.4 | 58.0 | 26.0 | 44.3% | 31.8 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 57.8 | 26.6 | 42.0% | 30.0 | 60.0 | 26.2 | 44.0% | 30.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 56.9 | 26.2 | 21-51 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 8-15 | 58.2% | 29 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 63.2 | 28.6 | 22-53 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 13-20 | 67.3% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 56.2 | 25.2 | 21-49 | 42.9% | 5-15 | 29.9% | 10-18 | 54.5% | 28 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 60.9 | 28.6 | 20-46 | 44.3% | 6-18 | 31.7% | 15-21 | 70.9% | 32 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.3 | 30.2 | 23-54 | 43.1% | 6-17 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 65.5% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.0 | 26.0 | 19-44 | 44.3% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 14-21 | 66.4% | 32 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 70.9, E ILLINOIS 61.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| E ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | E ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| E ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | E ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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2/19/2011 | E ILLINOIS | 75 | 122.5 | SU ATS | 33 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 20-22 | 90.9% | 36 | 8 | 11 | | | TOLEDO | 58 | 0 | Over | 28 | 19-48 | 39.6% | 9-28 | 32.1% | 11-16 | 68.7% | 22 | 4 | 11 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49% of the time since 1997. (165-172) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (113-112) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-18) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) | |
| [G] 12/07/2012 - Dennis Green "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jonathan Miller out indefinitely ( Eligibility ) |
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