|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 9-5 | 39-31 | 214-216 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 8-10 | 31-55 | 230-251 | | in all lined games | 9-5 | 39-31 | 214-216 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 7-8 | 23-50 | 197-241 | | as a favorite | 4-1 | 10-5 | 97-72 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 39-32 | 5-0 | 13-2 | 141-31 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-0 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 7-3 | | in road games | 6-3 | 19-15 | 97-111 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 3-8 | 9-32 | 62-163 | | in road lined games | 6-3 | 19-15 | 97-111 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 3-7 | 6-29 | 55-156 | | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 23-19 | 144-143 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 4-3 | 14-29 | 148-146 | | in February games | 0-0 | 8-9 | 59-56 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 28-34 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 54-63 | | on Saturday games | 4-1 | 14-15 | 75-88 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 40-38 | 4-2 | 13-20 | 85-95 | | after a conference game | 3-3 | 23-18 | 142-139 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 79-72 | 3-3 | 14-29 | 146-147 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-2 | 7-6 | 79-64 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 37-32 | 2-1 | 6-7 | 84-64 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-0 | 3-4 | 28-36 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 11-13 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 35-36 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 5-0 | 15-13 | 88-74 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 44-50 | 5-2 | 18-18 | 125-64 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 2-0 | 10-8 | 59-41 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 32-33 | 2-0 | 10-9 | 73-31 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-0 | 9-6 | 25-24 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18-22 | 2-1 | 10-7 | 27-24 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 4-0 | 14-11 | 38-41 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 27-34 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 47-42 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 10-8 | 38-33 | 198-202 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 5-14 | 19-61 | 153-298 | | in all lined games | 10-8 | 38-33 | 198-202 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 4-14 | 14-59 | 126-280 | | as an underdog | 9-8 | 34-28 | 143-131 | 0-1 | 21-25 | 74-74 | 3-14 | 9-55 | 47-233 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-1 | 3-5 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 5-18 | | in all home games | 3-4 | 13-18 | 81-96 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 44-46 | 3-5 | 13-24 | 100-105 | | in home lined games | 3-4 | 13-18 | 81-96 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 44-46 | 2-5 | 9-23 | 81-97 | | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 22-18 | 135-140 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 71-71 | 3-4 | 12-30 | 94-187 | | in February games | 0-0 | 7-9 | 56-55 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 34-26 | 0-0 | 3-14 | 35-79 | | on Saturday games | 3-4 | 15-12 | 79-79 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 39-38 | 0-7 | 3-26 | 61-116 | | after a conference game | 3-4 | 21-20 | 129-138 | 0-0 | 18-16 | 71-68 | 2-5 | 11-31 | 94-186 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-2 | 5-6 | 43-46 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 20-28 | 0-2 | 2-9 | 37-54 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-2 | 16-13 | 72-86 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 41-46 | 2-3 | 12-22 | 78-101 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 7-9 | 40-47 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 27-26 | 0-1 | 3-14 | 36-52 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 8-10 | +3.5 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 68.9 | 30.3 | 43.1% | 33.1 | 70.1 | 31.2 | 42.8% | 36.1 | | Road Games | 4-8 | +1.5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 68.8 | 30.3 | 44.3% | 31.3 | 73.0 | 33.1 | 44.2% | 36.7 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | 0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 67.8 | 27.8 | 43.9% | 31.4 | 73.2 | 32.4 | 46.5% | 36.4 | | Conference Games | 4-3 | +3.5 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 69.3 | 27.6 | 44.1% | 32.3 | 70.9 | 30.9 | 44.5% | 36.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.9 | 30.3 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 5-16 | 32.4% | 16-20 | 79.0% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30.4 | 23-53 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 14-19 | 69.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 68.8 | 30.3 | 25-56 | 44.3% | 6-16 | 34.2% | 14-18 | 75.3% | 31 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.1 | 31.2 | 24-57 | 42.8% | 8-22 | 34.0% | 14-20 | 71.2% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.9 | 30.9 | 23-54 | 43.0% | 7-19 | 34.1% | 13-19 | 70.0% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 73.0 | 33.1 | 25-56 | 44.2% | 7-21 | 33.7% | 16-22 | 71.4% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 5-14 | -0.4 | 10-8 | 0-1 | 56.4 | 24.1 | 36.2% | 34.2 | 64.7 | 30.9 | 43.6% | 33.4 | | Home Games | 3-5 | -2.2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 55.2 | 26.2 | 36.7% | 33.5 | 60.9 | 28.7 | 43.7% | 31.5 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +2.8 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 52.6 | 21.6 | 31.2% | 34.4 | 64.0 | 30.4 | 42.6% | 34.8 | | Conference Games | 3-4 | +4.6 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 55.4 | 22.9 | 33.5% | 33.0 | 64.1 | 30.9 | 44.1% | 33.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 56.4 | 24.1 | 20-55 | 36.2% | 5-16 | 27.5% | 12-18 | 66.4% | 34 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.3 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 69.3% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 55.2 | 26.2 | 20-54 | 36.7% | 4-16 | 25.2% | 12-17 | 67.6% | 33 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.7 | 30.9 | 20-47 | 43.6% | 8-21 | 36.1% | 17-23 | 71.6% | 33 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.1 | 31 | 23-55 | 42.5% | 7-20 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 69.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.9 | 28.7 | 19-43 | 43.7% | 7-19 | 35.9% | 16-23 | 70.4% | 31 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 69, N ILLINOIS 68.7 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| N ILLINOIS is 16-14 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 18-13 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| N ILLINOIS is 2-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | N ILLINOIS is 3-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| N ILLINOIS is 8-7 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | N ILLINOIS is 9-6 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/29/2012 | TOLEDO | 61 | -3.5 | Under | 32 | 19-43 | 44.2% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 18-20 | 90.0% | 25 | 2 | 11 | | | N ILLINOIS | 65 | 128.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 21-51 | 41.2% | 7-21 | 33.3% | 16-19 | 84.2% | 31 | 11 | 10 | 1/18/2012 | N ILLINOIS | 41 | 129 | Under | 18 | 13-43 | 30.2% | 3-16 | 18.7% | 12-23 | 52.2% | 27 | 12 | 23 | | | TOLEDO | 71 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 25-47 | 53.2% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 12-14 | 85.7% | 32 | 9 | 17 | 2/26/2011 | N ILLINOIS | 75 | 131.5 | SU ATS | 32 | 25-63 | 39.7% | 9-24 | 37.5% | 16-26 | 61.5% | 47 | 17 | 14 | | | TOLEDO | 70 | 0 | Over | 27 | 20-58 | 34.5% | 6-24 | 25.0% | 24-31 | 77.4% | 38 | 11 | 9 | 1/15/2011 | TOLEDO | 54 | 135.5 | ATS | 23 | 22-59 | 37.3% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 33 | 7 | 11 | | | N ILLINOIS | 64 | -10.5 | SU Under | 29 | 24-58 | 41.4% | 11-29 | 37.9% | 5-8 | 62.5% | 41 | 9 | 13 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (170-174) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.5% of the time since 1997. (169-141) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 61.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-24) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
| [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
|
|