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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 6:00 PM
TROY (10-14) AT MIDDLE TENN ST (21-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
593: TROY
594: MIDDLE TENN ST
OFF
-17.5
62.9 / 65.7
69.8 / 58.6
10-14
21-4
14-6
11-11
1-0
1-2
40.1
45.7
70.1
66.7
31.7
37.4
43.8
40.4
64.2
63.1
36.6
29.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TROY  
MIDDLE TENN ST-19 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-638-2886-851-027-1980-6810-1428-5392-115
in all lined games14-638-2886-851-027-1980-689-1123-4572-103
as an underdog12-533-2362-521-022-1750-437-1018-4038-78
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-16-412-111-04-49-90-10-100-23
as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points0-03-14-30-02-23-30-00-40-7
in road games6-321-1342-461-013-1039-342-98-3226-73
in road lined games6-321-1342-461-013-1039-342-77-2724-65
against conference opponents10-325-2062-610-020-1458-545-816-3158-68
in February games2-08-823-210-07-722-211-17-924-21
on Saturday games6-017-1037-310-013-833-294-313-1842-37
when playing with one or less days rest9-116-933-240-09-625-216-413-1539-29
after a conference game10-225-1863-570-017-1450-586-717-2958-68
off a loss against a conference rival5-114-1132-290-012-829-273-410-1828-36
when playing against a team with a winning record8-116-942-381-09-933-364-59-2333-57
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-08-425-210-03-515-272-24-821-25
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-03-17-50-00-46-61-02-37-6
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-07-612-160-03-813-112-14-1011-19

MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1143-36180-1671-228-3093-11521-464-27266-215
in all lined games11-1143-36180-1671-228-3093-11518-457-25187-169
as a favorite10-831-2690-891-219-2259-6217-149-11133-51
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points7-19-714-171-15-47-108-016-027-5
as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points2-13-34-50-01-12-23-06-010-0
in all home games8-223-1478-731-114-1242-4812-037-6161-66
in home lined games8-223-1478-731-114-1242-4810-032-6102-52
against conference opponents8-625-22120-1051-116-2166-7913-138-11164-109
in February games2-08-846-460-09-533-222-012-565-51
on Saturday games4-320-867-600-112-1036-378-025-695-74
when playing with one or less days rest5-219-1065-601-111-1230-427-020-1090-75
after a conference game6-725-20112-1001-116-1964-7411-235-13161-111
off a win against a conference rival6-619-1668-631-112-1536-5110-228-985-56
after allowing 60 points or less6-820-1757-651-111-1429-4712-328-1186-61
when playing against a team with a losing record6-221-1474-641-015-1346-479-031-9144-59
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-113-847-390-08-1032-263-017-579-30
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-03-312-140-03-310-70-06-025-6
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game0-24-922-250-15-615-163-012-256-15
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-14+3.114-61-062.930.040.1%33.765.730.643.7%37.2
Road Games3-10-1.77-41-061.029.639.0%33.367.732.044.1%37.6
Last 5 Games3-2+2.65-00-067.830.844.5%33.462.628.640.6%33.8
Conference Games5-8-2.410-30-063.431.041.6%33.564.830.743.4%35.4
TROY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.930.023-5840.1%7-2231.7%9-1370.1%341012166112
vs opponents surrendering68.132.224-5642.9%6-1933.6%14-2068.3%361013187154
Team Stats (Road Games)61.029.623-5839.0%7-2229.8%9-1273.0%331011175102
Stats Against (All Games)65.730.623-5343.7%7-1936.6%12-1964.2%371013155123
vs opponents averaging66.430.624-5642.3%6-1833.0%13-2067.4%351012187154
Stats Against (Road Games)67.732.024-5444.1%7-2038.2%13-2162.4%381015145113

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-4+7.411-111-269.832.645.7%36.858.626.140.4%31.0
Home Games12-0+58-21-176.436.748.9%38.255.223.237.4%30.4
Last 5 Games5-0+53-20-171.228.451.1%33.259.425.640.8%29.4
Conference Games13-1+58-61-170.331.847.1%37.357.524.339.1%30.4
MIDDLE TENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.832.625-5545.7%5-1437.4%14-2266.7%371115208144
vs opponents surrendering66.53123-5642.0%6-1833.0%14-2068.2%351012187154
Team Stats (Home Games)76.436.728-5748.9%6-1638.1%14-2266.3%381218208133
Stats Against (All Games)58.626.120-5040.4%5-1629.7%13-2163.1%3189197163
vs opponents averaging68.331.324-5642.9%6-1933.8%14-2067.3%361012188154
Stats Against (Home Games)55.223.218-4937.4%4-1628.2%14-2264.2%3087206172
Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 67.5,  MIDDLE TENN ST 70.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TROY is 8-6 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-7 straight up against TROY since 1997
13 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-3 against the spread versus TROY since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-2 straight up against TROY since 1997
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/26/2012TROY58141 ATS3023-5046.0%5-1827.8%7-1258.3%29919
 MIDDLE TENN ST71-17SU Under3926-5349.1%7-1741.2%12-2254.5%341314
1/5/2012MIDDLE TENN ST63-10SU3625-6439.1%4-2020.0%9-1275.0%451813
 TROY53146.5 Under2721-5538.2%8-2532.0%3-650.0%33515
2/17/2011MIDDLE TENN ST65-2 Under2722-6533.8%1-175.9%20-2871.4%421817
 TROY69144.5SU ATS3723-5442.6%7-1643.7%16-2661.5%42824
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TROY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (84-71)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 66.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 51% of the time since 1997. (146-140)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 59.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-29)
Edge=TROY
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
TROY
[G] 01/25/2013 - R.J. Scott out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee )
MIDDLE TENN ST
[F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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