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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
UNLV (11-1) AT N CAROLINA (9-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
531: UNLV
532: N CAROLINA
161.5
-2.0
79.3 / 63.1
84.0 / 69.7
11-1
9-3
6-5
5-4
2-2
5-4
45.3
45.5
72.2
64.8
34.6
37.4
37.1
38.1
72.6
67.8
28.6
32.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
UNLV  
N CAROLINA-8
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
UNLV - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-532-43196-1702-229-37157-15011-161-19333-163
in all lined games6-532-43196-1702-229-37157-15010-156-19242-129
when the total is 160 to 169.50-00-02-00-00-01-20-00-02-1
as an underdog1-05-769-481-06-647-481-05-744-74
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick1-03-223-81-04-113-101-03-223-8
in road games1-29-1780-631-212-1456-653-017-1086-91
in road lined games1-29-1780-631-212-1456-653-016-1072-74
in a road game where the total is 160 to 169.50-00-00-00-00-00-10-00-00-1
against ACC opponents0-02-03-00-01-11-20-02-03-1
in December games3-39-1351-361-28-1132-357-020-489-33
on Saturday games2-210-1886-670-08-1666-624-021-7128-71
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-11-521-221-04-218-180-12-433-27
after a non-conference game6-520-2189-732-215-1760-6211-139-7170-68
in non-conference games6-520-2188-742-215-1764-5911-139-7170-69
after scoring 80 points or more1-39-1560-460-19-1138-444-018-7101-48
when playing against a team with a winning record4-323-31144-1152-020-29112-1116-137-18191-141
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-13-533-190-05-125-222-05-346-35

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-441-38259-2355-438-41216-1939-370-17399-142
in all lined games5-441-38259-2355-438-41216-1936-363-17363-139
when the total is 160 to 169.50-01-138-310-01-033-350-02-056-13
as a favorite5-337-33212-1785-336-34172-1446-261-10330-66
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-01-19-70-01-19-50-01-110-6
in all home games3-120-14113-1013-118-16102-726-038-2203-43
in home lined games3-120-14113-1013-118-16102-724-032-2175-41
in a home game where the total is 160 to 169.50-00-118-180-01-019-170-01-030-6
against Mountain West conference opponents0-00-14-10-01-02-20-00-15-1
in December games2-211-647-424-011-640-274-115-388-20
on Saturday games2-110-1373-753-014-1058-624-021-4113-47
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-24-726-331-15-623-282-111-250-17
after a non-conference game5-420-22130-1005-420-2199-859-338-11212-55
in non-conference games5-421-21130-995-421-2098-869-338-11218-50
after scoring 80 points or more1-318-23138-1182-218-23114-1062-333-10221-54
when playing against a team with a winning record2-430-27214-1875-126-31176-1673-344-15291-130
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-414-1890-723-117-1667-712-323-11119-50
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-28-988-741-18-871-651-110-899-71
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
UNLV - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-1-26-52-279.238.245.3%42.263.127.837.1%34.5
Road Games4-0+21-21-274.234.043.7%40.059.727.241.7%32.0
Last 5 Games5-0+33-11-178.240.649.1%40.462.428.439.6%29.4
UNLV Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.238.227-6045.3%7-1934.6%19-2672.2%421218189146
vs opponents surrendering67.531.524-5741.7%6-1932.6%13-2069.2%351013188143
Team Stats (Road Games)74.234.025-5843.7%6-1835.1%17-2764.5%401215179123
Stats Against (All Games)63.127.822-6037.1%5-1928.6%13-1872.6%34910216153
vs opponents averaging6932.725-5643.7%6-1833.4%14-2069.7%361014176154
Stats Against (Road Games)59.727.222-5441.7%5-1630.2%10-1662.5%32512224174

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-3-6.15-45-484.039.645.5%45.769.729.138.1%38.6
Home Games6-003-13-187.740.547.2%48.067.323.337.1%35.8
Last 5 Games4-1-2.12-24-087.441.245.0%46.274.827.238.9%38.6
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)84.039.632-7145.5%8-2137.4%12-1864.8%461520159144
vs opponents surrendering68.832.825-5942.1%7-2033.0%13-1968.3%361013188154
Team Stats (Home Games)87.740.533-7147.2%8-2038.2%13-2064.2%481624158163
Stats Against (All Games)69.729.125-6638.1%8-2432.7%12-1767.8%391113178163
vs opponents averaging70.332.825-5842.6%7-2033.1%14-2069.4%371013188154
Stats Against (Home Games)67.323.324-6637.1%8-2432.2%11-1762.5%361012189164
Average power rating of opponents played: UNLV 68.2,  N CAROLINA 72.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
UNLV is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against UNLV since 1997
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 1-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
11/26/2011UNLV90157SU ATS3831-7143.7%13-3240.6%15-1883.3%481313
NN CAROLINA80-8 Over4228-6543.1%4-944.4%20-3360.6%39910
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring UNLV in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UNLV games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (153-157)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UNLV games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (197-214)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-35)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UNLV games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (132-136)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UNLV games 45.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.7% of the time since 1997. (168-184)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-37)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
UNLV
[G] 12/29/2012 - Bryce Dejean-Jones is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Head )
[F] 12/29/2012 - Savon Goodman is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Thigh )
[G] 12/29/2012 - Anthony Marshall probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Calf )
[F] 12/28/2012 - Mike Moser "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Elbow )
[F] 12/08/2012 - Demetris Morant redshirt ( None )
N CAROLINA
[G] 12/29/2012 - Reggie Bullock expected to miss Saturday vs. UNLV ( Concussion )
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