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Thursday at 7:00 PM			VA COMMONWEALTH (16-3) AT RICHMOND (12-7)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
509: VA COMMONWEALTH 510: RICHMOND	137.5 +8.5	79.3 / 61.3 70.4 / 65.2	16-3 12-7	6-6 4-12	3-5 3-1	45.8 44.9	66.0 72.3	35.2 38.0	42.8 43.2	68.3 73.7	32.3 33.4

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
VA COMMONWEALTH	-8
RICHMOND

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

VA COMMONWEALTH - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	6-6	43-41	229-211	3-5	37-42	135-128	16-3	73-22	330-171
in all lined games	6-6	43-41	229-211	3-5	37-42	135-128	9-3	64-22	287-163
when the total is 130 to 139.5	2-5	21-21	62-65	3-4	21-21	68-59	4-3	31-11	92-36
as a favorite	5-5	26-33	142-137	2-4	26-28	95-92	8-2	50-11	235-53
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points	0-1	5-2	14-7	0-0	4-2	13-5	1-0	6-1	18-3
in road games	0-2	15-14	95-83	1-0	13-15	58-43	4-0	22-9	95-99
in road lined games	0-2	15-14	95-83	1-0	13-15	58-43	2-0	20-9	86-94
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5	0-0	2-5	9-12	0-0	4-3	13-8	0-0	3-4	11-10
against conference opponents	2-2	20-24	147-144	1-0	20-23	86-82	4-0	36-10	199-100
in January games	2-2	13-11	75-70	1-0	9-12	39-39	6-0	23-3	102-46
after a conference game	1-2	22-20	152-133	1-0	18-24	85-80	3-0	37-8	201-97
off a win against a conference rival	1-2	17-15	96-92	1-0	17-15	64-60	3-0	30-5	135-62
after scoring 80 points or more	4-1	9-11	46-44	1-2	8-9	28-25	7-1	17-6	76-33
when playing against a team with a winning record	5-4	31-25	130-113	2-5	22-31	81-76	7-3	38-21	142-118
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	0-0	19-8	73-61	0-0	11-17	48-43	0-0	20-8	76-62

RICHMOND - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	4-12	37-38	213-207	3-1	30-31	121-129	12-7	57-31	289-205
in all lined games	4-12	37-38	213-207	3-1	30-31	121-129	9-7	48-29	236-194
when the total is 130 to 139.5	0-3	17-19	52-48	2-1	14-22	42-59	0-3	22-15	55-47
as an underdog	0-5	11-16	102-86	1-1	11-14	60-75	0-5	10-19	65-129
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points	0-0	0-0	4-1	0-0	0-0	2-3	0-0	0-0	2-3
in all home games	3-6	15-17	88-95	1-0	14-8	59-46	10-2	33-9	164-66
in home lined games	3-6	15-17	88-95	1-0	14-8	59-46	7-2	24-8	128-60
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5	0-0	4-5	7-9	0-0	5-4	10-7	0-0	6-3	12-5
against conference opponents	1-3	19-19	136-125	0-0	18-18	78-78	2-2	25-15	162-110
in January games	2-3	8-11	63-55	0-0	10-4	35-28	3-2	11-9	76-52
after a conference game	1-2	20-16	129-124	0-0	16-18	78-79	2-2	25-14	161-110
off a win against a conference rival	0-1	14-9	77-73	0-0	10-12	48-42	0-1	15-9	92-67
after scoring 80 points or more	1-3	6-7	21-29	0-0	5-4	16-12	6-0	11-6	30-29
when playing against a team with a winning record	3-8	22-26	126-121	2-1	18-23	78-87	4-7	28-27	127-150
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	1-1	13-11	65-65	0-0	9-14	44-57	1-1	15-11	69-69
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	1-0	5-2	23-23	0-0	0-7	18-20	1-0	5-3	23-27
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	1-6	10-11	57-49	2-1	7-11	40-37	3-4	11-12	53-62
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	0-0	2-1	13-10	0-0	1-2	10-10	0-0	2-1	14-10
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	0-1	4-3	30-28	0-0	2-4	16-20	0-1	4-3	30-36

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

VA COMMONWEALTH - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	16-3	-0.5	6-6	3-5	79.3	39.0	45.8%	36.7	61.3	26.4	42.8%	33.7
Road Games	6-2	-0.6	2-4	2-2	80.6	39.5	47.4%	37.1	63.7	27.6	42.7%	32.1
Last 5 Games	5-0	+3	2-2	1-0	77.4	35.8	45.8%	35.2	66.2	28.2	43.9%	35.8
Conference Games	4-0	+3	2-2	1-0	82.0	37.5	48.1%	35.7	69.0	27.7	45.2%	34.7

VA COMMONWEALTH Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	79.3	39.0	29-64	45.8%	9-25	35.2%	12-18	66.0%	37	14	17	19	13	12	3
vs opponents surrendering	67.4	31.7	24-57	42.7%	6-19	33.4%	13-18	69.1%	34	10	13	18	7	14	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	80.6	39.5	29-61	47.4%	10-24	42.3%	12-19	63.5%	37	13	15	19	9	13	2
Stats Against (All Games)	61.3	26.4	22-51	42.8%	5-17	32.3%	12-18	68.3%	34	9	12	17	6	21	3
vs opponents averaging	69.6	32.2	25-56	44.3%	7-19	34.7%	13-19	68.8%	35	10	14	17	7	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	63.7	27.6	22-52	42.7%	6-17	33.6%	13-18	72.1%	32	9	11	18	5	17	3

RICHMOND - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	12-7	-0.6	4-12	3-1	70.4	32.9	44.9%	29.6	65.2	29.3	43.2%	35.2
Home Games	10-2	+1.4	3-6	1-0	75.4	35.7	47.4%	30.7	61.5	28.7	41.0%	33.0
Last 5 Games	3-2	+1	2-3	0-0	68.4	35.0	43.8%	27.6	64.6	30.4	42.0%	40.4
Conference Games	2-2	0	1-3	0-0	62.7	31.7	41.0%	28.2	63.7	30.5	41.7%	41.7

RICHMOND Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	70.4	32.9	23-51	44.9%	8-22	38.0%	16-22	72.3%	30	8	13	18	8	13	4
vs opponents surrendering	65.4	30.2	23-54	42.0%	6-18	32.6%	14-20	68.4%	34	9	12	18	7	14	4
Team Stats (Home Games)	75.4	35.7	24-50	47.4%	9-22	40.5%	19-25	74.9%	31	8	14	18	8	13	4
Stats Against (All Games)	65.2	29.3	23-53	43.2%	5-15	33.4%	14-20	73.7%	35	10	12	19	7	15	3
vs opponents averaging	67.8	31.7	24-55	43.6%	6-18	34.2%	14-20	69.3%	35	9	13	18	7	14	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	61.5	28.7	21-51	41.0%	5-15	30.4%	15-20	74.8%	33	9	11	21	6	16	3

Average power rating of opponents played: VA COMMONWEALTH 74.3, RICHMOND 71.5

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

VA COMMONWEALTH is 12-8 against the spread versus RICHMOND since 1997

VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-9 straight up against RICHMOND since 1997

6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

RICHMOND is 1-1 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons

RICHMOND is 1-1 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at RICHMOND since 1997

RICHMOND is 5-5 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH since 1997

RICHMOND is 6-4 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH since 1997

2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons.

RICHMOND is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons

RICHMOND is 1-0 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
12/9/2011	RICHMOND	51	127	Under	27	17-47	36.2%	4-20	20.0%	13-19	68.4%	33	7	17
	VA COMMONWEALTH	73	-4.5	SU ATS	35	23-51	45.1%	7-14	50.0%	20-28	71.4%	33	6	7

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VA COMMONWEALTH in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VA COMMONWEALTH games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (177-172)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VA COMMONWEALTH games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in RICHMOND games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (162-160)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in RICHMOND games 55.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-26)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VA COMMONWEALTH games 53.9% of the time since 1997. (124-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VA COMMONWEALTH games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in RICHMOND games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (106-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in RICHMOND games 43.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-31)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

VA COMMONWEALTH

[F] 11/02/2012 - Mo Alie-Cox out for season ( Eligibility )

[G] 11/02/2012 - Jordan Burgess out for season ( Eligibility )

RICHMOND

[F] 01/11/2013 - Derrick Williams expected to miss 3-4 weeks ( Ankle )

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05/23/2013
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