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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
VALPARAISO (13-5) AT DETROIT (11-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: VALPARAISO
512: DETROIT
144.5
-3.0
68.9 / 59.2
77.8 / 69.9
13-5
11-6
9-6
4-8
0-2
1-1
46.3
43.9
73.0
72.8
35.8
34.3
39.7
46.2
71.2
68.1
34.9
39.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VALPARAISO  
DETROIT-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-639-3998-890-227-3485-7513-558-30303-198
in all lined games9-639-3998-890-227-3485-7510-551-2998-94
when the total is 140 to 149.50-09-424-150-09-524-160-010-422-18
as an underdog1-215-1354-460-010-1146-381-213-1531-71
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-01-28-70-02-17-60-01-27-8
in road games5-418-2145-420-111-1537-345-419-2195-126
in road lined games5-418-2145-420-111-1537-345-419-2030-59
in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.50-02-14-50-02-17-20-01-21-8
against conference opponents3-123-2054-470-018-2256-433-132-13183-94
in January games3-114-625-180-04-1217-233-115-585-46
after a conference game3-023-1854-510-018-2258-463-031-14179-97
off a win against a conference rival2-015-1324-320-011-1731-262-020-1139-31
after allowing 60 points or less4-313-1426-300-29-1227-185-317-1278-55
when playing against a team with a winning record4-423-2363-560-116-2055-465-327-2099-130
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-012-1033-310-011-1141-221-014-962-57
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-00-13-40-01-03-20-00-19-10
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-03-311-90-03-36-90-02-422-37

DETROIT - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-831-43141-1711-139-25119-11311-650-36180-183
in all lined games4-831-43141-1711-139-25119-1137-642-36154-177
when the total is 140 to 149.50-110-1912-211-021-1025-100-114-1815-21
as a favorite2-615-2674-890-021-1356-457-233-10123-45
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-02-111-100-02-09-51-02-114-8
in all home games1-413-2061-780-019-964-399-033-8117-51
in home lined games1-413-2061-780-019-964-396-026-896-49
in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.50-07-47-40-08-38-30-08-38-3
against conference opponents1-219-2494-1080-025-1775-823-129-17106-109
in January games1-25-1338-510-011-540-283-111-946-53
after a conference game1-118-2389-1040-024-1678-722-128-18107-107
off a loss against a conference rival0-08-642-470-07-840-360-010-544-55
when playing against a team with a winning record4-417-1964-880-117-1255-584-415-2254-113
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-110-1235-500-015-638-351-112-1135-60
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-08-719-240-08-616-241-011-419-29
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-013-1043-390-110-1130-391-213-1029-58
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-5-3.29-60-268.932.346.3%34.759.226.939.7%28.2
Road Games5-4-0.25-40-164.928.645.5%32.963.328.641.7%27.3
Last 5 Games4-1-0.54-10-069.030.645.0%37.259.825.039.1%28.8
Conference Games3-1-23-10-069.731.245.1%36.058.723.538.4%29.5
VALPARAISO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.932.323-5046.3%7-2035.8%15-2173.0%35813187163
vs opponents surrendering66.531.823-5344.5%6-1833.6%14-2068.9%34913177153
Team Stats (Road Games)64.928.621-4745.5%6-1932.6%16-2272.5%33711205173
Stats Against (All Games)59.226.920-5139.7%5-1334.9%14-2071.2%28710207143
vs opponents averaging64.229.923-5541.2%6-1933.6%13-1968.8%33912187143
Stats Against (Road Games)63.328.621-5141.7%5-1239.4%16-2272.1%27610207133

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-6-1.64-81-177.837.043.9%33.969.933.346.2%34.3
Home Games9-0+51-40-084.040.044.8%34.469.633.945.9%34.8
Last 5 Games4-1-0.61-30-080.838.245.7%33.869.435.445.2%35.0
Conference Games3-1-1.61-20-080.238.045.9%35.767.233.743.9%35.2
DETROIT Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.837.027-6143.9%8-2334.3%16-2272.8%341015189124
vs opponents surrendering67.431.724-5642.3%6-1933.6%13-1969.6%351013187144
Team Stats (Home Games)84.040.028-6244.8%9-2436.7%20-2676.2%349161711114
Stats Against (All Games)69.933.325-5446.2%6-1639.1%13-2068.1%34912175174
vs opponents averaging6730.724-5642.5%6-1834.0%13-1967.6%351013177144
Stats Against (Home Games)69.633.926-5645.9%7-1741.7%11-1763.8%35911205203
Average power rating of opponents played: VALPARAISO 68.8,  DETROIT 68.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
VALPARAISO is 8-3 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1997
VALPARAISO is 9-4 straight up against DETROIT since 1997
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 5-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DETROIT since 1997
VALPARAISO is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1997
VALPARAISO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT since 1997
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons.
VALPARAISO is 2-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/6/2012DETROIT70137SU ATS2424-5742.1%4-1526.7%18-2766.7%33106
 VALPARAISO50-2 Under2716-4436.4%2-1811.1%16-1888.9%36418
2/2/2012DETROIT73142.5 Over4526-5547.3%6-2128.6%15-2075.0%2899
 VALPARAISO78-2.5SU ATS3624-4454.5%12-2254.5%18-2475.0%26315
1/6/2012VALPARAISO73148.5SU ATS3224-4850.0%8-2040.0%17-2373.9%31717
 DETROIT71-4.5 Under3524-5742.1%4-1625.0%19-2770.4%311211
3/4/2011DETROIT78145 Over3629-6643.9%6-2128.6%14-2263.6%401312
NVALPARAISO88-3.5SU ATS4030-6248.4%15-2755.6%13-1776.5%36913
2/10/2011DETROIT74142.5 3226-5844.8%6-1442.9%16-2369.6%32813
 VALPARAISO82-8SU Over3431-6150.8%8-2630.8%12-1866.7%35913
1/16/2011VALPARAISO78142.5SU ATS3929-5651.8%5-1631.2%15-2657.7%291115
 DETROIT68-2 Over2819-5038.0%1-911.1%29-3582.9%361719
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VALPARAISO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 55% of the time since 1997. (83-68)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (157-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-32)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 47.4% of the time since 1997. (65-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (104-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-28)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
VALPARAISO
No significant injuries.
DETROIT
[G] 01/17/2013 - Jason Calliste probable Thursday vs. Valparaiso ( Nose )
[G] 01/17/2013 - Ray McCallum probable Thursday vs. Valparaiso ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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