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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:00 PM
VALPARAISO (23-7) AT WI-GREEN BAY (16-13) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
561: VALPARAISO
562: WI-GREEN BAY
135.0
-2.0
72.0 / 62.5
66.4 / 62.5
23-7
16-13
17-10
15-11
3-3
0-3
48.3
43.8
73.5
76.2
37.1
33.3
41.0
40.6
72.8
74.0
33.3
33.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VALPARAISO  
WI-GREEN BAY0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games17-1047-43106-933-330-3588-7623-768-32313-200
in all lined games17-1047-43106-933-330-3588-7620-761-31108-96
when the total is 130 to 139.51-015-2232-381-014-2134-351-022-1537-35
as an underdog2-216-1355-461-011-1147-382-214-1532-71
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-01-28-70-02-17-60-01-27-8
in road games9-522-2249-432-113-1539-349-523-2299-127
in road lined games9-522-2249-432-113-1539-349-523-2134-60
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.50-03-68-90-03-58-100-02-75-14
against conference opponents10-530-2461-513-021-2259-4312-341-15192-96
in March games0-02-511-140-03-412-100-03-427-20
on Saturday games5-314-1336-272-110-1332-268-224-7109-68
after a conference game11-331-2162-543-121-2361-4712-240-16188-99
off a win against a conference rival8-321-1630-353-114-1834-279-227-1346-33
when playing against a team with a winning record10-829-2769-602-218-2157-4713-535-22107-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games7-418-1439-352-113-1243-239-222-1170-59
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games6-114-523-140-16-722-107-017-229-20
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-518-1437-300-110-1133-239-324-844-57

WI-GREEN BAY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1146-34206-1970-326-30113-10216-1345-46252-235
in all lined games15-1146-34206-1970-326-30113-10114-1338-45202-219
when the total is 130 to 139.50-017-1064-460-013-1367-460-011-1664-51
as a favorite9-620-1694-880-27-1642-5210-527-10136-54
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-03-219-170-03-18-91-03-221-16
in all home games8-321-1397-860-010-1248-4611-233-8166-65
in home lined games8-321-1397-860-010-1248-459-226-8128-61
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.50-06-120-90-02-416-140-05-225-6
against conference opponents9-532-18137-1330-220-1980-7010-528-25140-141
in March games0-00-19-130-00-18-50-00-18-16
on Saturday games6-420-1181-860-011-1054-387-518-16103-97
after a conference game8-528-18133-1220-217-1978-6410-527-25142-138
revenging a road loss vs opponent5-216-764-480-19-835-284-413-1264-57
off a win against a conference rival4-513-1263-660-111-845-335-413-1473-66
when playing against a team with a winning record9-830-22105-1180-118-1666-489-921-3486-161
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-416-1057-700-010-743-256-313-1446-87
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-46-825-400-05-622-172-38-819-49
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-816-1657-620-19-1234-325-814-2246-84
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-7+2.817-103-372.033.848.3%33.562.528.941.0%28.8
Road Games9-5+2.69-52-169.631.247.2%32.167.630.843.9%28.8
Last 5 Games4-1+2.23-21-176.437.053.2%33.269.030.042.7%27.6
Conference Games12-3+310-53-074.334.748.7%32.565.729.842.4%30.1
VALPARAISO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.033.824-5048.3%7-2037.1%16-2273.5%33814187153
vs opponents surrendering66.531.123-5344.2%6-1834.1%14-2070.1%34913177144
Team Stats (Road Games)69.631.223-4947.2%6-1933.0%17-2373.7%32812196153
Stats Against (All Games)62.528.922-5341.0%5-1433.3%15-2072.8%29810207132
vs opponents averaging65.930.323-5542.3%6-1933.8%13-1969.8%33913187133
Stats Against (Road Games)67.630.823-5343.9%5-1338.5%16-2272.1%29811207123

WI-GREEN BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games16-13-2.315-110-366.431.843.8%35.262.530.140.6%30.6
Home Games11-2+3.68-30-068.533.445.2%36.356.426.336.9%30.1
Last 5 Games4-1+24-10-167.431.444.8%34.460.831.440.2%28.6
Conference Games10-5+2.89-50-266.730.445.6%35.560.228.638.3%28.8
WI-GREEN BAY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.431.823-5243.8%5-1433.3%16-2276.2%35913176145
vs opponents surrendering66.83124-5443.9%6-1734.7%14-1971.2%34813176143
Team Stats (Home Games)68.533.422-4945.2%5-1337.8%19-2576.3%36814167156
Stats Against (All Games)62.530.122-5340.6%6-1933.9%13-1774.0%31712197123
vs opponents averaging66.630.723-5542.9%7-1934.5%13-1971.6%33913187133
Stats Against (Home Games)56.426.320-5436.9%6-2032.2%10-1471.5%30711218143
Average power rating of opponents played: VALPARAISO 69.2,  WI-GREEN BAY 69.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
WI-GREEN BAY is 8-4 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997
WI-GREEN BAY is 9-5 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-2 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at WI-GREEN BAY since 1997
WI-GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997
WI-GREEN BAY is 6-1 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 2-0 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/23/2013WI-GREEN BAY61  3120-5139.2%4-1723.5%17-2181.0%33916
 VALPARAISO73-8.5SU ATS3420-4940.8%6-2128.6%27-3381.8%3178
1/26/2012VALPARAISO60137.5 Under2719-4641.3%8-1844.4%14-2360.9%31410
 WI-GREEN BAY75-1SU ATS3226-5745.6%6-1540.0%17-2568.0%39106
12/31/2011WI-GREEN BAY87133.5 ATS3629-4959.2%12-2450.0%17-2373.9%25716
 VALPARAISO90-6.5SU Over4930-5653.6%10-2147.6%20-2580.0%28812
2/21/2011VALPARAISO80-2 Over3329-6346.0%11-2544.0%11-1291.7%34718
 WI-GREEN BAY81137SU ATS4132-6549.2%3-1225.0%14-1782.4%36813
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring WI-GREEN BAY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 55% of the time since 1997. (88-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WI-GREEN BAY games 53.8% of the time since 1997. (170-146)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WI-GREEN BAY games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-31)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (68-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WI-GREEN BAY games 53% of the time since 1997. (98-87)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WI-GREEN BAY games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-21)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
VALPARAISO
[G] 02/09/2013 - Alex Rossi out indefinitely ( Heart )
WI-GREEN BAY
[F] 02/05/2013 - Daniel Turner out for season ( Knee )
[G/F] 11/24/2012 - Josh Humphrey out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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