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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| W ILLINOIS | | | | N DAKOTA ST | -10 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 14-5 | 31-34 | 40-37 | 1-0 | 13-27 | 19-31 | 18-5 | 43-43 | 169-289 | | in all lined games | 14-5 | 31-34 | 40-37 | 1-0 | 13-27 | 19-31 | 15-4 | 29-37 | 34-44 | | as an underdog | 2-1 | 16-21 | 22-23 | 0-0 | 9-19 | 14-21 | 1-2 | 8-30 | 10-36 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | | in road games | 6-3 | 13-19 | 17-20 | 1-0 | 8-12 | 11-14 | 6-4 | 13-27 | 42-174 | | in road lined games | 6-3 | 13-19 | 17-20 | 1-0 | 8-12 | 11-14 | 6-3 | 10-23 | 12-26 | | against conference opponents | 8-4 | 22-29 | 31-31 | 1-0 | 11-22 | 17-26 | 10-2 | 23-28 | 90-179 | | in February games | 2-0 | 6-12 | 9-13 | 1-0 | 6-7 | 8-9 | 2-0 | 6-13 | 39-73 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 1-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 9-27 | | after a conference game | 7-2 | 20-23 | 28-25 | 1-0 | 11-19 | 16-23 | 9-2 | 25-26 | 100-168 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-2 | 12-5 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 7-2 | 14-8 | 16-12 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 9-4 | 17-12 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7-10 | 12-4 | 23-18 | 52-62 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-1 | 15-13 | 18-14 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 11-13 | 2-1 | 11-20 | 32-125 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 8-11 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 5-14 | 17-66 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3-11 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-0 | 6-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 6-3 | 14-37 |
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| in all games | 14-9 | 39-35 | 51-44 | 0-1 | 22-19 | 29-33 | 19-6 | 50-35 | 136-90 | | in all lined games | 14-9 | 39-35 | 51-44 | 0-1 | 22-19 | 29-33 | 17-6 | 41-33 | 52-44 | | as a favorite | 11-6 | 24-24 | 30-28 | 0-0 | 16-10 | 17-19 | 15-2 | 33-15 | 41-17 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 3-2 | | in all home games | 5-3 | 14-14 | 16-18 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 15-10 | 10-0 | 30-7 | 82-20 | | in home lined games | 5-3 | 14-14 | 16-18 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 15-10 | 8-0 | 21-7 | 23-11 | | against conference opponents | 6-7 | 20-30 | 25-38 | 0-0 | 17-13 | 20-23 | 10-3 | 27-24 | 78-50 | | in February games | 1-2 | 8-10 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 11-6 | 2-1 | 8-10 | 31-22 | | after a conference game | 6-6 | 23-25 | 28-34 | 0-0 | 16-12 | 21-20 | 9-3 | 27-24 | 77-49 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-3 | 9-12 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 11-4 | 11-6 | 4-2 | 12-11 | 26-22 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-4 | 10-13 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 11-9 | 7-2 | 15-11 | 18-16 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 7-8 | 14-11 | 16-11 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 7-5 | 9-6 | 18-12 | 38-28 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 4-1 | 9-2 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 5-3 | 4-1 | 9-3 | 21-12 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-4 | 12-17 | 20-23 | 0-1 | 11-9 | 16-18 | 2-4 | 10-19 | 34-49 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-2 | 4-12 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10-12 | 0-2 | 3-13 | 17-22 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 6-8 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-2 | 7-6 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 6-8 | 17-16 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-1 | 5-5 | 18-8 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-1 | 6-6 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 7-6 | 29-12 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 18-5 | +9.4 | 14-5 | 1-0 | 61.3 | 27.8 | 46.9% | 31.7 | 52.4 | 24.2 | 38.6% | 29.2 | | Road Games | 8-4 | +5.1 | 8-3 | 1-0 | 59.7 | 28.1 | 45.8% | 30.3 | 56.2 | 26.4 | 40.9% | 29.2 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2.4 | 4-1 | 1-0 | 57.8 | 27.6 | 44.9% | 31.0 | 51.6 | 23.0 | 37.5% | 30.4 | | Conference Games | 10-2 | +7.4 | 8-4 | 1-0 | 63.7 | 28.0 | 47.2% | 31.9 | 57.6 | 23.9 | 40.0% | 30.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.3 | 27.8 | 22-46 | 46.9% | 5-13 | 39.0% | 13-20 | 66.1% | 32 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.5 | 32.9 | 25-54 | 46.2% | 6-18 | 36.1% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 59.7 | 28.1 | 21-46 | 45.8% | 5-13 | 39.5% | 12-18 | 69.8% | 30 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 52.4 | 24.2 | 19-50 | 38.6% | 5-16 | 31.4% | 9-14 | 64.9% | 29 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 64.1 | 29.8 | 23-53 | 42.9% | 6-17 | 34.5% | 12-18 | 69.2% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 56.2 | 26.4 | 20-49 | 40.9% | 5-16 | 33.0% | 10-15 | 68.7% | 29 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
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| All Games | 19-6 | +4.6 | 14-9 | 0-1 | 68.3 | 32.8 | 48.0% | 34.2 | 55.7 | 24.9 | 38.2% | 28.9 | | Home Games | 10-0 | +3 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 74.3 | 35.2 | 53.3% | 33.5 | 50.1 | 23.0 | 37.6% | 24.2 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -1.8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 62.0 | 28.2 | 45.8% | 33.0 | 53.8 | 23.6 | 40.5% | 26.0 | | Conference Games | 10-3 | -0.4 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 68.1 | 33.4 | 50.7% | 33.2 | 54.0 | 23.9 | 40.1% | 25.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.3 | 32.8 | 25-52 | 48.0% | 7-20 | 37.6% | 11-15 | 70.2% | 34 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70 | 32.7 | 25-55 | 45.4% | 7-19 | 35.7% | 13-19 | 70.3% | 33 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 74.3 | 35.2 | 27-51 | 53.3% | 8-20 | 38.7% | 12-17 | 67.1% | 33 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 55.7 | 24.9 | 19-50 | 38.2% | 5-17 | 32.5% | 12-17 | 70.6% | 29 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67 | 31.2 | 23-54 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 71.2% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 50.1 | 23.0 | 18-47 | 37.6% | 5-16 | 30.2% | 10-13 | 75.2% | 24 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W ILLINOIS 65.2, N DAKOTA ST 67.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| W ILLINOIS is 6-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST since 1997 | | N DAKOTA ST is 6-6 straight up against W ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| W ILLINOIS is 5-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons | | W ILLINOIS is 5-1 straight up against N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| W ILLINOIS is 2-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST since 1997 | | N DAKOTA ST is 4-1 straight up against W ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N DAKOTA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | N DAKOTA ST is 1-1 straight up against W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/19/2013 | N DAKOTA ST | 42 | -3.5 | | 20 | 17-50 | 34.0% | 4-20 | 20.0% | 4-5 | 80.0% | 34 | 9 | 11 | | | W ILLINOIS | 50 | | SU ATS | 13 | 13-34 | 38.2% | 3-7 | 42.9% | 21-36 | 58.3% | 26 | 2 | 6 | 3/4/2012 | N DAKOTA ST | 53 | -3.5 | Under | 23 | 18-46 | 39.1% | 7-17 | 41.2% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 27 | 5 | 9 | | N | W ILLINOIS | 58 | 117.5 | SU ATS | 22 | 19-42 | 45.2% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 27 | 2 | 12 | 2/25/2012 | W ILLINOIS | 77 | 118.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 28-51 | 54.9% | 5-8 | 62.5% | 16-21 | 76.2% | 33 | 9 | 9 | | | N DAKOTA ST | 64 | -8.5 | Over | 31 | 25-53 | 47.2% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 9-10 | 90.0% | 21 | 5 | 8 | 12/1/2011 | N DAKOTA ST | 51 | -7 | Under | 20 | 16-44 | 36.4% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 35 | 7 | 20 | | | W ILLINOIS | 55 | 130 | SU ATS | 26 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 34 | 9 | 11 | 2/10/2011 | W ILLINOIS | 48 | | | 19 | 19-43 | 44.2% | 2-7 | 28.6% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 24 | 1 | 18 | | | N DAKOTA ST | 68 | -14.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 23-51 | 45.1% | 6-14 | 42.9% | 16-21 | 76.2% | 33 | 9 | 14 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W ILLINOIS games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (25-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-24) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N DAKOTA ST games 44.2% of the time since 1997. (34-43) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N DAKOTA ST games 41.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-38) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 11/02/2012 - Billy Molinari out for season ( Knee ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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