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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 16-16 | 47-49 | 233-230 | 1-4 | 33-33 | 132-128 | 18-15 | 50-50 | 318-193 | | in all lined games | 16-16 | 47-49 | 233-230 | 1-4 | 33-33 | 132-128 | 17-15 | 46-50 | 284-188 | | as an underdog | 4-8 | 20-25 | 79-82 | 1-4 | 17-20 | 42-41 | 2-10 | 12-33 | 46-117 | | in all neutral court games | 3-2 | 11-9 | 48-26 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 28-26 | 3-2 | 11-9 | 50-28 | | as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 2-0 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 5-1 | | against conference opponents | 10-12 | 33-28 | 142-145 | 0-1 | 24-16 | 84-79 | 12-10 | 33-28 | 198-97 | | in March games | 2-1 | 9-3 | 36-17 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 23-19 | 2-1 | 9-3 | 38-17 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 4-8 | 16-19 | 74-73 | 0-3 | 12-13 | 44-45 | 5-7 | 17-19 | 102-56 | | after a conference game | 8-13 | 30-30 | 135-142 | 0-1 | 22-17 | 79-81 | 11-10 | 33-28 | 196-98 | | when playing on a neutral court | 3-2 | 11-9 | 48-26 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 28-26 | 3-2 | 11-9 | 50-28 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 2-2 | 8-6 | 18-18 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 11-10 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 14-24 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-6 | 17-14 | 88-96 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 54-60 | 7-4 | 19-13 | 137-58 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 6-4 | 14-11 | 61-61 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 29-33 | 6-4 | 12-13 | 82-48 | | in all tournament games | 3-1 | 11-8 | 45-30 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 26-26 | 3-1 | 11-8 | 49-29 | | in tournament semi-final games | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-5 | | in conference tournament games | 2-0 | 8-1 | 28-13 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 14-14 | 2-0 | 8-1 | 34-9 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-12 | 15-26 | 117-123 | 1-3 | 14-14 | 69-70 | 4-12 | 15-28 | 132-120 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-7 | 10-12 | 67-62 | 0-1 | 8-6 | 39-39 | 2-7 | 9-13 | 78-54 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-3 | 4-3 | 22-12 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 19-15 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-7 | 6-11 | 47-35 | 1-3 | 8-6 | 30-24 | 1-6 | 5-13 | 43-42 |
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| in all games | 12-15 | 37-42 | 195-194 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 19-11 | 50-46 | 245-237 | | in all lined games | 12-15 | 37-42 | 195-194 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 16-11 | 39-43 | 182-214 | | as a favorite | 8-12 | 20-22 | 90-92 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 13-7 | 32-11 | 129-56 | | in all neutral court games | 0-1 | 2-7 | 17-26 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12-9 | 1-0 | 3-6 | 21-26 | | as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | | against conference opponents | 10-11 | 27-29 | 136-136 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 13-8 | 32-25 | 140-138 | | in March games | 0-2 | 2-4 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 12-15 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 5-4 | 18-14 | 83-60 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 41-40 | 6-3 | 22-15 | 91-83 | | after a conference game | 10-11 | 26-26 | 125-130 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 13-8 | 30-27 | 138-139 | | when playing on a neutral court | 0-1 | 2-7 | 17-26 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12-9 | 1-0 | 3-6 | 21-26 | | off a win against a conference rival | 6-6 | 14-14 | 60-67 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 8-4 | 17-14 | 70-68 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-2 | 6-7 | 15-27 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16-13 | 2-1 | 6-10 | 13-34 | | in all tournament games | 0-1 | 2-7 | 15-24 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14-8 | 1-0 | 3-6 | 15-26 | | in tournament semi-final games | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 | | in conference tournament games | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10-5 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 12-14 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-3 | 19-15 | 102-95 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 55-49 | 7-4 | 14-23 | 71-139 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-2 | 9-7 | 53-54 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 34-22 | 3-2 | 8-9 | 41-70 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 18-15 | -1.2 | 16-16 | 1-4 | 67.5 | 31.4 | 43.3% | 36.2 | 66.1 | 30.5 | 42.5% | 32.8 | | Road Games | 7-11 | -2.3 | 8-10 | 1-4 | 66.1 | 30.8 | 42.5% | 35.6 | 69.9 | 32.5 | 44.4% | 33.7 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 73.0 | 38.6 | 48.9% | 32.4 | 67.8 | 29.4 | 41.7% | 31.4 | | Conference Games | 12-10 | -3.5 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 68.0 | 32.2 | 43.8% | 34.5 | 66.6 | 30.2 | 43.8% | 31.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.5 | 31.4 | 23-54 | 43.3% | 6-20 | 32.3% | 14-21 | 67.2% | 36 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68 | 31.6 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 14-21 | 68.6% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 66.1 | 30.8 | 24-55 | 42.5% | 6-20 | 31.7% | 12-19 | 65.6% | 36 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.1 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 42.5% | 6-17 | 33.2% | 14-21 | 69.3% | 33 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.4 | 31.1 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 68.4% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.9 | 32.5 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 5-16 | 33.6% | 16-23 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 19-11 | -7.9 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 69.0 | 30.6 | 40.7% | 36.8 | 62.9 | 28.5 | 41.5% | 35.1 | | Road Games | 6-9 | -10.6 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 66.3 | 29.2 | 39.0% | 36.0 | 68.3 | 30.7 | 44.1% | 36.2 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 66.8 | 28.8 | 39.9% | 36.6 | 63.8 | 27.8 | 40.3% | 32.0 | | Conference Games | 13-8 | -6.9 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 67.9 | 29.8 | 39.8% | 37.2 | 62.2 | 28.5 | 40.9% | 34.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.0 | 30.6 | 23-56 | 40.7% | 6-20 | 31.3% | 17-25 | 68.7% | 37 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.2 | 32.4 | 24-56 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-21 | 68.3% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 66.3 | 29.2 | 22-56 | 39.0% | 6-20 | 32.0% | 17-24 | 69.5% | 36 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.9 | 28.5 | 22-54 | 41.5% | 6-17 | 32.9% | 13-19 | 67.7% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67 | 30.7 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 68.3 | 30.7 | 24-54 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 36.1% | 14-20 | 70.4% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W KENTUCKY 69.6, ARKANSAS ST 66.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 19-10 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | W KENTUCKY is 18-12 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/9/2013 | ARKANSAS ST | 67 | | SU ATS | 30 | 22-52 | 42.3% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 14-20 | 70.0% | 40 | 7 | 10 | | | W KENTUCKY | 49 | -2 | | 25 | 16-50 | 32.0% | 5-21 | 23.8% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 30 | 6 | 11 | 1/5/2013 | W KENTUCKY | 61 | | | 27 | 22-51 | 43.1% | 11-27 | 40.7% | 6-13 | 46.2% | 30 | 9 | 17 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 75 | -6 | SU ATS | 23 | 27-57 | 47.4% | 9-24 | 37.5% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 35 | 12 | 8 | 2/23/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 76 | 130 | Over | 38 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 3-13 | 23.1% | 31-38 | 81.6% | 39 | 15 | 13 | | | W KENTUCKY | 79 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 26-46 | 56.5% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 21-24 | 87.5% | 17 | 2 | 16 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (189-173) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 65.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (48-25) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.8% of the time since 1997. (167-149) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 55.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-31) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 02/26/2013 - Teeng Akol out for season ( Academics ) | | [F] 12/05/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) |
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