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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 5-1 | 36-34 | 222-215 | 0-2 | 32-31 | 131-126 | 5-2 | 37-37 | 305-180 | | in all lined games | 5-1 | 36-34 | 222-215 | 0-2 | 32-31 | 131-126 | 4-2 | 33-37 | 271-175 | | as a favorite | 3-0 | 18-15 | 143-135 | 0-0 | 15-13 | 87-86 | 3-0 | 22-11 | 224-61 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 19-11 | | in road games | 2-0 | 15-11 | 86-98 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 50-49 | 1-1 | 10-16 | 91-106 | | in road lined games | 2-0 | 15-11 | 86-98 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 50-49 | 1-1 | 10-16 | 86-102 | | against conference opponents | 1-0 | 24-16 | 133-133 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 84-78 | 1-0 | 22-18 | 187-87 | | in December games | 0-0 | 6-8 | 48-42 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 28-23 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 61-48 | | on Saturday games | 2-0 | 13-13 | 80-86 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 53-44 | 2-1 | 14-14 | 112-68 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-0 | 13-11 | 71-65 | 0-1 | 12-11 | 44-43 | 1-0 | 13-12 | 98-49 | | after a conference game | 0-0 | 22-17 | 127-129 | 0-0 | 22-16 | 79-80 | 0-0 | 22-18 | 185-88 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 12-8 | 83-90 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 54-60 | 0-0 | 12-9 | 130-54 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-0 | 10-7 | 57-57 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 29-33 | 2-0 | 8-9 | 78-44 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 0-0 | 11-3 | 40-25 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 23-15 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 56-15 |
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| in all games | 4-3 | 28-25 | 76-82 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 4-4 | 22-43 | 86-105 | | in all lined games | 4-3 | 28-25 | 76-82 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 3-4 | 17-38 | 66-96 | | as an underdog | 4-3 | 25-21 | 54-50 | 1-0 | 22-17 | 50-43 | 3-4 | 14-34 | 34-72 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2-5 | | in all home games | 0-1 | 8-10 | 29-30 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 33-28 | 1-1 | 12-14 | 49-30 | | in home lined games | 0-1 | 8-10 | 29-30 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 33-28 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 34-28 | | against conference opponents | 1-0 | 16-17 | 53-58 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 58-54 | 0-1 | 11-24 | 53-61 | | in December games | 0-0 | 5-5 | 14-15 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 23-8 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 15-25 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 11-10 | 31-31 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 33-29 | 0-0 | 9-15 | 38-34 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-1 | 10-9 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 25-21 | 2-2 | 9-13 | 35-27 | | after a conference game | 1-0 | 16-16 | 54-55 | 0-0 | 17-14 | 50-58 | 1-0 | 12-22 | 53-61 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 9-10 | 27-28 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 29-27 | 0-0 | 7-14 | 25-32 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-1 | 3-2 | 7-10 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-10 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-1 | 8-8 | 14-16 | 1-0 | 8-5 | 16-10 | 2-2 | 5-13 | 11-22 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-1 | 10-9 | 36-38 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 33-36 | 1-2 | 6-20 | 30-54 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 5-6 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 13-11 | 1-0 | 3-9 | 10-18 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-2 | +2.4 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 70.4 | 32.0 | 41.4% | 41.7 | 60.9 | 29.3 | 37.3% | 35.4 | | Road Games | 2-2 | +0.4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 63.5 | 29.2 | 38.2% | 39.0 | 61.2 | 29.2 | 39.5% | 37.7 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2.4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 71.0 | 33.8 | 43.1% | 40.2 | 61.0 | 28.4 | 38.5% | 33.2 | | Conference Games | 1-0 | +1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 65.0 | 32.0 | 46.0% | 36.0 | 54.0 | 30.0 | 38.2% | 28.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.4 | 32.0 | 25-60 | 41.4% | 5-21 | 24.8% | 16-25 | 63.4% | 42 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.9 | 32.4 | 25-58 | 42.2% | 6-20 | 27.6% | 15-22 | 67.7% | 39 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.5 | 29.2 | 23-60 | 38.2% | 5-21 | 25.0% | 12-20 | 62.0% | 39 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 60.9 | 29.3 | 21-56 | 37.3% | 4-16 | 24.3% | 15-21 | 70.3% | 35 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.3 | 31.3 | 23-55 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 31.7% | 13-19 | 67.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 61.2 | 29.2 | 22-57 | 39.5% | 3-13 | 20.8% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 38 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 19 | 5 |
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| All Games | 4-4 | +3 | 4-3 | 1-0 | 58.9 | 28.2 | 38.1% | 31.6 | 64.7 | 31.1 | 42.5% | 39.2 | | Home Games | 2-1 | +0.8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 59.0 | 27.3 | 37.6% | 33.0 | 63.3 | 29.3 | 44.5% | 37.0 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +2.2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 60.8 | 29.4 | 38.8% | 33.4 | 62.4 | 28.6 | 40.1% | 40.8 | | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 56.0 | 33.0 | 38.1% | 36.0 | 58.0 | 28.0 | 38.5% | 38.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 58.9 | 28.2 | 22-58 | 38.1% | 7-23 | 32.3% | 7-10 | 74.7% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.9 | 31.2 | 24-58 | 40.6% | 6-20 | 32.1% | 12-18 | 69.0% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 59.0 | 27.3 | 22-59 | 37.6% | 7-22 | 33.3% | 7-10 | 70.0% | 33 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.7 | 31.1 | 22-53 | 42.5% | 7-20 | 32.5% | 13-19 | 67.3% | 39 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.4 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 42.0% | 6-17 | 32.6% | 14-21 | 66.8% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.3 | 29.3 | 23-52 | 44.5% | 6-19 | 29.8% | 12-17 | 70.0% | 37 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W KENTUCKY 66.9, TROY 68.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TROY is 10-4 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | TROY is 7-7 straight up against W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | 7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TROY is 3-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | TROY is 3-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TROY is 7-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | TROY is 5-2 straight up against W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | TROY is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/11/2012 | W KENTUCKY | 77 | 146 | Over | 39 | 26-64 | 40.6% | 9-26 | 34.6% | 16-27 | 59.3% | 39 | 12 | 13 | | | TROY | 83 | 0 | SU ATS | 30 | 27-60 | 45.0% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 22-30 | 73.3% | 42 | 12 | 13 | 1/7/2012 | TROY | 67 | 142.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 27-61 | 44.3% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 7-8 | 87.5% | 34 | 12 | 15 | | | W KENTUCKY | 65 | -4.5 | Under | 36 | 23-54 | 42.6% | 7-25 | 28.0% | 12-17 | 70.6% | 33 | 9 | 15 | 1/22/2011 | TROY | 58 | 153.5 | Under | 30 | 21-65 | 32.3% | 8-34 | 23.5% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 35 | 9 | 13 | | | W KENTUCKY | 77 | -10 | SU ATS | 41 | 29-64 | 45.3% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 14-21 | 66.7% | 51 | 14 | 15 | 1/13/2011 | W KENTUCKY | 68 | -4 | Over | 32 | 25-65 | 38.5% | 6-29 | 20.7% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 36 | 12 | 15 | | | TROY | 82 | 149.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 27-69 | 39.1% | 10-24 | 41.7% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 54 | 20 | 15 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (173-168) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 61.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-20) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (75-68) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 63.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-16) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 11/30/2012 - Caden Dickerson out indefinitely ( Shoulder ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( ACL ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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