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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:00 PM
W MICHIGAN (17-9) AT TOLEDO (13-11) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
741: W MICHIGAN
742: TOLEDO
OFF
-1.0
67.0 / 63.0
68.6 / 68.6
17-9
13-11
12-10
12-7
1-2
0-0
43.1
42.9
69.8
77.3
32.0
32.5
40.1
42.3
68.7
71.1
34.4
33.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
W MICHIGAN  
TOLEDO-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
W MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1042-42217-2251-241-23134-11017-952-42261-228
in all lined games12-1042-42217-2251-241-23134-11013-945-41234-217
as an underdog4-619-1991-1031-219-1163-402-810-2852-143
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick1-13-115-140-00-28-71-13-115-14
in road games5-718-2196-1101-219-962-435-814-2778-142
in road lined games5-718-2196-1101-219-962-434-813-2673-136
against conference opponents7-527-23147-1480-024-1386-678-428-22163-136
in February games2-410-1348-720-011-637-264-212-1160-61
on Wednesday games3-410-1553-560-110-829-254-313-1471-47
after a non-conference game5-415-1982-711-218-1149-448-523-2099-90
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-16-221-271-06-221-92-19-229-25
when playing against a team with a winning record5-517-20101-1141-220-1070-485-615-2491-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-18-745-630-09-440-232-06-940-68

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-742-33217-2180-029-25115-11713-1136-56235-252
in all lined games12-742-33217-2180-029-25115-11712-928-51202-242
as a favorite7-213-6100-730-05-539-3210-018-2146-31
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-03-216-120-03-18-21-03-217-11
in all home games3-318-17100-880-019-1056-457-223-22150-66
in home lined games3-318-17100-880-019-1056-456-118-20128-64
against conference opponents6-525-21146-1450-017-1871-808-418-30152-147
in February games3-211-1162-580-09-828-345-110-1359-64
on Wednesday games5-417-1063-530-09-824-295-513-1567-58
after a non-conference game6-216-1371-760-013-636-455-717-2684-102
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more0-05-512-160-07-314-80-04-612-16
revenging a road loss vs opponent3-114-1362-620-015-940-382-310-2061-68
when playing against a team with a winning record4-420-15105-1150-015-1156-613-79-3076-153
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-18-849-570-06-931-340-13-1335-73
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-17-527-210-03-617-192-25-819-30
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-113-853-400-09-728-324-29-1338-58
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
W MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-9+9.412-101-267.031.543.1%37.763.029.740.1%30.9
Road Games7-8+4.47-71-263.630.441.3%37.965.130.541.5%31.5
Last 5 Games3-2-1.21-40-067.430.244.5%34.866.232.443.4%29.8
Conference Games8-4+2.87-50-067.028.944.0%36.460.928.538.9%30.9
W MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.031.522-5243.1%5-1632.0%17-2569.8%381112185153
vs opponents surrendering67.731.224-5443.8%6-1934.3%14-2069.3%35913177143
Team Stats (Road Games)63.630.421-5141.3%5-1730.2%16-2369.1%381110195162
Stats Against (All Games)63.029.722-5440.1%7-2034.4%13-1968.7%31912207134
vs opponents averaging66.230.423-5542.7%6-1933.4%13-1969.5%34913187143
Stats Against (Road Games)65.130.523-5441.5%7-1934.1%13-2067.4%31913198124

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-11+7.512-70-068.630.142.9%33.268.630.342.3%35.9
Home Games7-2+53-30-068.730.642.0%34.963.126.740.2%35.4
Last 5 Games4-1+32-20-067.430.042.1%33.864.228.441.3%36.2
Conference Games8-4+6.56-50-067.728.042.9%32.867.930.042.9%36.0
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.630.124-5542.9%5-1732.5%16-2177.3%33812177123
vs opponents surrendering6630.623-5343.4%6-1834.3%14-2069.6%34913177143
Team Stats (Home Games)68.730.623-5442.0%5-1731.4%18-2281.0%35914157113
Stats Against (All Games)68.630.324-5642.3%7-2233.7%14-2071.1%361013187144
vs opponents averaging65.730.223-5442.7%6-1933.3%13-1969.5%34913187143
Stats Against (Home Games)63.126.723-5640.2%7-2233.7%10-1569.6%351112196144
Average power rating of opponents played: W MICHIGAN 68.7,  TOLEDO 68.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TOLEDO is 18-14 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997
TOLEDO is 17-16 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TOLEDO since 1997
TOLEDO is 11-4 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997
TOLEDO is 12-3 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/16/2013TOLEDO56  1921-5736.8%4-1233.3%10-1471.4%26612
 W MICHIGAN79-3SU ATS3432-6549.2%8-2236.4%7-887.5%441215
2/25/2012W MICHIGAN74-1.5 Over4130-6149.2%5-1729.4%9-1464.3%35159
 TOLEDO83136.5SU ATS4430-6248.4%9-1947.4%14-1877.8%34115
1/14/2012TOLEDO52150 Under2120-5635.7%3-2015.0%9-1752.9%24810
 W MICHIGAN74-10SU ATS3330-6149.2%6-1931.6%8-1266.7%481715
2/23/2011TOLEDO56134 ATS1618-4639.1%4-1625.0%16-2466.7%25517
 W MICHIGAN68-15SU Under4521-4348.8%10-2147.6%16-2466.7%34620
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (169-177)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 38% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-44)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (173-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 48.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-32)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
W MICHIGAN
[G] 02/05/2013 - Charles Harris out for season ( Shoulder )
TOLEDO
[G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal )
[G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal )
[F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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