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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-10 | 42-42 | 217-225 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 17-9 | 52-42 | 261-228 | | in all lined games | 12-10 | 42-42 | 217-225 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 13-9 | 45-41 | 234-217 | | as an underdog | 4-6 | 19-19 | 91-103 | 1-2 | 19-11 | 63-40 | 2-8 | 10-28 | 52-143 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-1 | 3-1 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8-7 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 15-14 | | in road games | 5-7 | 18-21 | 96-110 | 1-2 | 19-9 | 62-43 | 5-8 | 14-27 | 78-142 | | in road lined games | 5-7 | 18-21 | 96-110 | 1-2 | 19-9 | 62-43 | 4-8 | 13-26 | 73-136 | | against conference opponents | 7-5 | 27-23 | 147-148 | 0-0 | 24-13 | 86-67 | 8-4 | 28-22 | 163-136 | | in February games | 2-4 | 10-13 | 48-72 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 37-26 | 4-2 | 12-11 | 60-61 | | on Wednesday games | 3-4 | 10-15 | 53-56 | 0-1 | 10-8 | 29-25 | 4-3 | 13-14 | 71-47 | | after a non-conference game | 5-4 | 15-19 | 82-71 | 1-2 | 18-11 | 49-44 | 8-5 | 23-20 | 99-90 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-1 | 6-2 | 21-27 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 21-9 | 2-1 | 9-2 | 29-25 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-5 | 17-20 | 101-114 | 1-2 | 20-10 | 70-48 | 5-6 | 15-24 | 91-135 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 8-7 | 45-63 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 40-23 | 2-0 | 6-9 | 40-68 |
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| in all games | 12-7 | 42-33 | 217-218 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 13-11 | 36-56 | 235-252 | | in all lined games | 12-7 | 42-33 | 217-218 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 12-9 | 28-51 | 202-242 | | as a favorite | 7-2 | 13-6 | 100-73 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 39-32 | 10-0 | 18-2 | 146-31 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 3-2 | 16-12 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 8-2 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 17-11 | | in all home games | 3-3 | 18-17 | 100-88 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 7-2 | 23-22 | 150-66 | | in home lined games | 3-3 | 18-17 | 100-88 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 6-1 | 18-20 | 128-64 | | against conference opponents | 6-5 | 25-21 | 146-145 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 8-4 | 18-30 | 152-147 | | in February games | 3-2 | 11-11 | 62-58 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 28-34 | 5-1 | 10-13 | 59-64 | | on Wednesday games | 5-4 | 17-10 | 63-53 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 24-29 | 5-5 | 13-15 | 67-58 | | after a non-conference game | 6-2 | 16-13 | 71-76 | 0-0 | 13-6 | 36-45 | 5-7 | 17-26 | 84-102 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12-16 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-1 | 14-13 | 62-62 | 0-0 | 15-9 | 40-38 | 2-3 | 10-20 | 61-68 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-4 | 20-15 | 105-115 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 56-61 | 3-7 | 9-30 | 76-153 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 8-8 | 49-57 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 31-34 | 0-1 | 3-13 | 35-73 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 7-5 | 27-21 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 17-19 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 19-30 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-1 | 13-8 | 53-40 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 28-32 | 4-2 | 9-13 | 38-58 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 17-9 | +9.4 | 12-10 | 1-2 | 67.0 | 31.5 | 43.1% | 37.7 | 63.0 | 29.7 | 40.1% | 30.9 | | Road Games | 7-8 | +4.4 | 7-7 | 1-2 | 63.6 | 30.4 | 41.3% | 37.9 | 65.1 | 30.5 | 41.5% | 31.5 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -1.2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 67.4 | 30.2 | 44.5% | 34.8 | 66.2 | 32.4 | 43.4% | 29.8 | | Conference Games | 8-4 | +2.8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 67.0 | 28.9 | 44.0% | 36.4 | 60.9 | 28.5 | 38.9% | 30.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.0 | 31.5 | 22-52 | 43.1% | 5-16 | 32.0% | 17-25 | 69.8% | 38 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.7 | 31.2 | 24-54 | 43.8% | 6-19 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.6 | 30.4 | 21-51 | 41.3% | 5-17 | 30.2% | 16-23 | 69.1% | 38 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.0 | 29.7 | 22-54 | 40.1% | 7-20 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 31 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.2 | 30.4 | 23-55 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.1 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 41.5% | 7-19 | 34.1% | 13-20 | 67.4% | 31 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
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| All Games | 13-11 | +7.5 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 68.6 | 30.1 | 42.9% | 33.2 | 68.6 | 30.3 | 42.3% | 35.9 | | Home Games | 7-2 | +5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 68.7 | 30.6 | 42.0% | 34.9 | 63.1 | 26.7 | 40.2% | 35.4 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 67.4 | 30.0 | 42.1% | 33.8 | 64.2 | 28.4 | 41.3% | 36.2 | | Conference Games | 8-4 | +6.5 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 67.7 | 28.0 | 42.9% | 32.8 | 67.9 | 30.0 | 42.9% | 36.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.6 | 30.1 | 24-55 | 42.9% | 5-17 | 32.5% | 16-21 | 77.3% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66 | 30.6 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 69.6% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 68.7 | 30.6 | 23-54 | 42.0% | 5-17 | 31.4% | 18-22 | 81.0% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.6 | 30.3 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 7-22 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 71.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.7 | 30.2 | 23-54 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.1 | 26.7 | 23-56 | 40.2% | 7-22 | 33.7% | 10-15 | 69.6% | 35 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W MICHIGAN 68.7, TOLEDO 68.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TOLEDO is 18-14 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 17-16 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | W MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TOLEDO is 11-4 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 12-3 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/16/2013 | TOLEDO | 56 | | | 19 | 21-57 | 36.8% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 26 | 6 | 12 | | | W MICHIGAN | 79 | -3 | SU ATS | 34 | 32-65 | 49.2% | 8-22 | 36.4% | 7-8 | 87.5% | 44 | 12 | 15 | 2/25/2012 | W MICHIGAN | 74 | -1.5 | Over | 41 | 30-61 | 49.2% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 35 | 15 | 9 | | | TOLEDO | 83 | 136.5 | SU ATS | 44 | 30-62 | 48.4% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 34 | 11 | 5 | 1/14/2012 | TOLEDO | 52 | 150 | Under | 21 | 20-56 | 35.7% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 9-17 | 52.9% | 24 | 8 | 10 | | | W MICHIGAN | 74 | -10 | SU ATS | 33 | 30-61 | 49.2% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 48 | 17 | 15 | 2/23/2011 | TOLEDO | 56 | 134 | ATS | 16 | 18-46 | 39.1% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 16-24 | 66.7% | 25 | 5 | 17 | | | W MICHIGAN | 68 | -15 | SU Under | 45 | 21-43 | 48.8% | 10-21 | 47.6% | 16-24 | 66.7% | 34 | 6 | 20 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (169-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 38% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-44) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (173-175) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 48.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-32) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 02/05/2013 - Charles Harris out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| [G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) |
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