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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 3:30 PM
WISCONSIN (14-7) AT ILLINOIS (15-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
819: WISCONSIN
820: ILLINOIS
125.5
+2.0
66.9 / 55.0
72.3 / 66.6
14-7
15-7
6-13
8-11
5-10
8-9
43.2
42.9
60.8
72.0
34.9
33.2
40.3
42.7
70.5
67.9
32.2
34.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
WISCONSIN-4 
ILLINOIS  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-1342-40252-2215-1038-38147-18614-765-26356-162
in all lined games6-1342-40252-2215-1038-38147-18612-756-26323-160
when the total is 120 to 129.52-822-2185-815-524-1775-906-430-13116-52
as a favorite5-1032-31181-1543-825-32102-13911-450-13275-64
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-23-321-181-13-310-180-23-323-16
in road games1-512-1688-852-416-1250-632-414-1483-95
in road lined games1-512-1688-852-416-1250-632-414-1482-94
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-23-827-262-09-227-260-24-725-29
against conference opponents2-620-27146-1351-725-2288-1185-331-16182-106
in February games0-06-956-470-010-536-360-011-468-40
after a conference game2-520-26141-1371-626-2091-1164-330-16181-106
off a loss against a conference rival0-28-750-470-29-632-331-111-462-41
after allowing 60 points or less5-1034-21148-1325-827-2595-10611-545-16209-89
after scoring 60 points or less3-416-970-731-511-1346-516-120-5102-50
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games2-16-122-181-15-113-112-16-125-24
when playing against a team with a winning record3-1132-33179-1704-934-30116-1477-742-25227-141
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-420-2098-1001-523-1772-923-325-15117-90

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1135-46238-2348-941-37172-19815-751-37362-171
in all lined games8-1135-46238-2348-941-37172-19812-746-37315-170
when the total is 120 to 129.53-19-1155-492-214-752-553-110-1168-39
as an underdog4-412-1464-695-320-859-513-58-2037-99
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick1-12-34-151-13-210-51-12-34-15
in all home games2-618-21102-972-516-1965-778-335-9206-42
in home lined games2-618-21102-972-516-1965-775-330-9161-42
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-05-321-201-06-222-201-06-232-10
against conference opponents3-518-26144-1392-624-22103-1252-617-29176-118
in February games0-05-859-420-09-630-470-05-1071-35
after a conference game3-417-25142-1392-523-21100-1283-517-28176-117
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more1-01-06-20-10-11-31-01-05-3
revenging a road loss vs opponent2-28-937-411-39-832-292-28-945-35
off a loss against a conference rival3-212-1462-501-412-1542-452-312-1564-50
after allowing 80 points or more0-22-514-171-15-316-71-15-322-12
when playing against a team with a winning record8-828-32189-1787-833-28140-15512-634-30231-155
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-411-19108-1022-416-1677-1021-59-23117-100
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-47-1566-692-415-858-661-56-1773-67
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-1016-25103-1136-826-1594-968-720-22127-98
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-7-4.26-135-1066.932.143.2%36.255.025.240.3%31.4
Road Games3-5+0.41-73-460.426.639.5%31.964.533.045.1%36.2
Last 5 Games2-3+0.81-41-454.225.438.3%31.656.028.240.7%33.2
Conference Games5-3+2.72-61-756.526.739.7%33.952.924.640.3%32.9
WISCONSIN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.932.125-5743.2%8-2334.9%10-1660.8%36111314694
vs opponents surrendering64.529.823-5541.6%6-1833.3%13-1868.7%33912177133
Team Stats (Road Games)60.426.622-5539.5%7-2332.4%9-1657.7%321011174103
Stats Against (All Games)55.025.220-5140.3%4-1232.2%10-1470.5%3178175123
vs opponents averaging68.832.625-5544.6%6-1834.3%14-1970.5%35913177134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.533.023-5145.1%4-1133.7%14-1975.0%3689185113

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-7-0.58-118-972.334.542.9%34.966.630.442.7%34.8
Home Games8-3-5.22-62-569.032.042.0%36.863.228.142.4%31.5
Last 5 Games1-4-7.52-31-462.227.840.4%30.869.432.048.3%32.6
Conference Games2-6-8.73-52-664.129.940.0%32.769.231.245.6%34.4
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.334.525-5942.9%8-2533.2%13-1972.0%351111188124
vs opponents surrendering65.330.223-5542.0%6-1833.4%13-1967.4%34912177133
Team Stats (Home Games)69.032.025-5942.0%8-2431.2%12-1767.2%371211168145
Stats Against (All Games)66.630.423-5542.7%7-1934.6%13-1967.9%351012176152
vs opponents averaging69.632.625-5744.1%7-1934.8%13-1968.9%361014177133
Stats Against (Home Games)63.228.122-5342.4%7-1935.7%12-1769.0%32812177152
Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 75.5,  ILLINOIS 73.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
WISCONSIN is 18-13 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
WISCONSIN is 17-16 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997
13 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1997
WISCONSIN is 6-5 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
ILLINOIS is 9-4 straight up against WISCONSIN since 1997
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/12/2013ILLINOIS51128 Under1918-5135.3%2-1414.3%13-2065.0%2489
 WISCONSIN74-6.5SU ATS3928-5749.1%10-2343.5%8-1361.5%431813
3/4/2012ILLINOIS56116 Over1821-5339.6%4-1723.5%10-1471.4%32610
 WISCONSIN70-9.5SU ATS3121-4744.7%7-1936.8%21-2777.8%3267
1/22/2012WISCONSIN67-1SU ATS2624-5444.4%9-2240.9%10-1855.6%33710
 ILLINOIS63112.5 Over2624-5543.6%3-1225.0%12-1580.0%3149
1/15/2011ILLINOIS66124 Over2516-5330.2%4-1625.0%30-3683.3%35147
 WISCONSIN76-6SU ATS2718-4639.1%6-2030.0%34-4182.9%35117
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring WISCONSIN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (195-191)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 54.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (202-184)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (140-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (154-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WISCONSIN
[F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None )
[G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee )
ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
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