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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 6-13 | 42-40 | 252-221 | 5-10 | 38-38 | 147-186 | 14-7 | 65-26 | 356-162 | | in all lined games | 6-13 | 42-40 | 252-221 | 5-10 | 38-38 | 147-186 | 12-7 | 56-26 | 323-160 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-8 | 22-21 | 85-81 | 5-5 | 24-17 | 75-90 | 6-4 | 30-13 | 116-52 | | as a favorite | 5-10 | 32-31 | 181-154 | 3-8 | 25-32 | 102-139 | 11-4 | 50-13 | 275-64 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-2 | 3-3 | 21-18 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 23-16 | | in road games | 1-5 | 12-16 | 88-85 | 2-4 | 16-12 | 50-63 | 2-4 | 14-14 | 83-95 | | in road lined games | 1-5 | 12-16 | 88-85 | 2-4 | 16-12 | 50-63 | 2-4 | 14-14 | 82-94 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 27-26 | 2-0 | 9-2 | 27-26 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 25-29 | | against conference opponents | 2-6 | 20-27 | 146-135 | 1-7 | 25-22 | 88-118 | 5-3 | 31-16 | 182-106 | | in February games | 0-0 | 6-9 | 56-47 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 36-36 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 68-40 | | after a conference game | 2-5 | 20-26 | 141-137 | 1-6 | 26-20 | 91-116 | 4-3 | 30-16 | 181-106 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-2 | 8-7 | 50-47 | 0-2 | 9-6 | 32-33 | 1-1 | 11-4 | 62-41 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-10 | 34-21 | 148-132 | 5-8 | 27-25 | 95-106 | 11-5 | 45-16 | 209-89 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-4 | 16-9 | 70-73 | 1-5 | 11-13 | 46-51 | 6-1 | 20-5 | 102-50 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 2-1 | 6-1 | 22-18 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 13-11 | 2-1 | 6-1 | 25-24 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-11 | 32-33 | 179-170 | 4-9 | 34-30 | 116-147 | 7-7 | 42-25 | 227-141 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-4 | 20-20 | 98-100 | 1-5 | 23-17 | 72-92 | 3-3 | 25-15 | 117-90 |
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| in all games | 8-11 | 35-46 | 238-234 | 8-9 | 41-37 | 172-198 | 15-7 | 51-37 | 362-171 | | in all lined games | 8-11 | 35-46 | 238-234 | 8-9 | 41-37 | 172-198 | 12-7 | 46-37 | 315-170 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-1 | 9-11 | 55-49 | 2-2 | 14-7 | 52-55 | 3-1 | 10-11 | 68-39 | | as an underdog | 4-4 | 12-14 | 64-69 | 5-3 | 20-8 | 59-51 | 3-5 | 8-20 | 37-99 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4-15 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 10-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4-15 | | in all home games | 2-6 | 18-21 | 102-97 | 2-5 | 16-19 | 65-77 | 8-3 | 35-9 | 206-42 | | in home lined games | 2-6 | 18-21 | 102-97 | 2-5 | 16-19 | 65-77 | 5-3 | 30-9 | 161-42 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 21-20 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 22-20 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 32-10 | | against conference opponents | 3-5 | 18-26 | 144-139 | 2-6 | 24-22 | 103-125 | 2-6 | 17-29 | 176-118 | | in February games | 0-0 | 5-8 | 59-42 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 30-47 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 71-35 | | after a conference game | 3-4 | 17-25 | 142-139 | 2-5 | 23-21 | 100-128 | 3-5 | 17-28 | 176-117 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 1-0 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5-3 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 2-2 | 8-9 | 37-41 | 1-3 | 9-8 | 32-29 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 45-35 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-2 | 12-14 | 62-50 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 42-45 | 2-3 | 12-15 | 64-50 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-2 | 2-5 | 14-17 | 1-1 | 5-3 | 16-7 | 1-1 | 5-3 | 22-12 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-8 | 28-32 | 189-178 | 7-8 | 33-28 | 140-155 | 12-6 | 34-30 | 231-155 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-4 | 11-19 | 108-102 | 2-4 | 16-16 | 77-102 | 1-5 | 9-23 | 117-100 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-4 | 7-15 | 66-69 | 2-4 | 15-8 | 58-66 | 1-5 | 6-17 | 73-67 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-10 | 16-25 | 103-113 | 6-8 | 26-15 | 94-96 | 8-7 | 20-22 | 127-98 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 14-7 | -4.2 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 66.9 | 32.1 | 43.2% | 36.2 | 55.0 | 25.2 | 40.3% | 31.4 | | Road Games | 3-5 | +0.4 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 60.4 | 26.6 | 39.5% | 31.9 | 64.5 | 33.0 | 45.1% | 36.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +0.8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 54.2 | 25.4 | 38.3% | 31.6 | 56.0 | 28.2 | 40.7% | 33.2 | | Conference Games | 5-3 | +2.7 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 56.5 | 26.7 | 39.7% | 33.9 | 52.9 | 24.6 | 40.3% | 32.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 66.9 | 32.1 | 25-57 | 43.2% | 8-23 | 34.9% | 10-16 | 60.8% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.5 | 29.8 | 23-55 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-18 | 68.7% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.4 | 26.6 | 22-55 | 39.5% | 7-23 | 32.4% | 9-16 | 57.7% | 32 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 55.0 | 25.2 | 20-51 | 40.3% | 4-12 | 32.2% | 10-14 | 70.5% | 31 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.8 | 32.6 | 25-55 | 44.6% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-19 | 70.5% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.5 | 33.0 | 23-51 | 45.1% | 4-11 | 33.7% | 14-19 | 75.0% | 36 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
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| All Games | 15-7 | -0.5 | 8-11 | 8-9 | 72.3 | 34.5 | 42.9% | 34.9 | 66.6 | 30.4 | 42.7% | 34.8 | | Home Games | 8-3 | -5.2 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 69.0 | 32.0 | 42.0% | 36.8 | 63.2 | 28.1 | 42.4% | 31.5 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -7.5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 62.2 | 27.8 | 40.4% | 30.8 | 69.4 | 32.0 | 48.3% | 32.6 | | Conference Games | 2-6 | -8.7 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 64.1 | 29.9 | 40.0% | 32.7 | 69.2 | 31.2 | 45.6% | 34.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.3 | 34.5 | 25-59 | 42.9% | 8-25 | 33.2% | 13-19 | 72.0% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.3 | 30.2 | 23-55 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 67.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 69.0 | 32.0 | 25-59 | 42.0% | 8-24 | 31.2% | 12-17 | 67.2% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.6 | 30.4 | 23-55 | 42.7% | 7-19 | 34.6% | 13-19 | 67.9% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.6 | 32.6 | 25-57 | 44.1% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.2 | 28.1 | 22-53 | 42.4% | 7-19 | 35.7% | 12-17 | 69.0% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 75.5, ILLINOIS 73.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| WISCONSIN is 18-13 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 17-16 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 13 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| WISCONSIN is 4-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 4-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| WISCONSIN is 6-5 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | ILLINOIS is 9-4 straight up against WISCONSIN since 1997 | | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/12/2013 | ILLINOIS | 51 | 128 | Under | 19 | 18-51 | 35.3% | 2-14 | 14.3% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 24 | 8 | 9 | | | WISCONSIN | 74 | -6.5 | SU ATS | 39 | 28-57 | 49.1% | 10-23 | 43.5% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 43 | 18 | 13 | 3/4/2012 | ILLINOIS | 56 | 116 | Over | 18 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 32 | 6 | 10 | | | WISCONSIN | 70 | -9.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 21-47 | 44.7% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 21-27 | 77.8% | 32 | 6 | 7 | 1/22/2012 | WISCONSIN | 67 | -1 | SU ATS | 26 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 10-18 | 55.6% | 33 | 7 | 10 | | | ILLINOIS | 63 | 112.5 | Over | 26 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 12-15 | 80.0% | 31 | 4 | 9 | 1/15/2011 | ILLINOIS | 66 | 124 | Over | 25 | 16-53 | 30.2% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 30-36 | 83.3% | 35 | 14 | 7 | | | WISCONSIN | 76 | -6 | SU ATS | 27 | 18-46 | 39.1% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 34-41 | 82.9% | 35 | 11 | 7 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (195-191) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 54.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (202-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (140-151) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (154-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-32) | |
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| [F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None ) | | [G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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