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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
WISCONSIN (17-7) AT MINNESOTA (17-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: WISCONSIN
512: MINNESOTA
118.5
-5.5
67.4 / 56.5
71.4 / 61.2
17-7
17-7
8-14
13-9
8-10
7-9
42.7
45.6
61.9
68.7
34.7
34.8
40.0
39.9
70.1
65.8
30.4
34.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
WISCONSIN  
MINNESOTA-2 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1444-41254-2228-1041-38150-18617-768-26359-162
in all lined games8-1444-41254-2228-1041-38150-18615-759-26326-160
when the total is 119.5 or less0-313-1632-340-313-1631-351-219-1046-20
as an underdog2-310-968-623-214-543-442-36-1345-91
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-22-414-201-15-114-100-20-68-27
in road games2-513-1689-853-417-1251-633-415-1484-95
in road lined games2-513-1689-853-417-1251-633-415-1483-94
in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less0-25-79-110-26-611-91-18-414-6
against conference opponents4-722-28148-1364-728-2291-1188-334-16185-106
in February games2-18-1058-483-013-539-363-014-471-40
after a conference game4-622-27143-1384-629-2094-1167-333-16184-106
off a win against a conference rival3-413-2091-903-419-1461-835-221-12120-64
when playing against a team with a winning record5-1234-34181-1717-937-30119-14710-745-25230-141
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-522-21100-1014-526-1775-926-328-15120-90
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-510-1654-713-415-1147-624-314-1267-61
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-916-23101-1075-719-2070-946-622-17126-88

MINNESOTA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-943-44212-2287-938-42147-15517-757-36282-224
in all lined games13-943-44212-2287-938-42147-15515-752-36226-222
when the total is 119.5 or less0-03-16-50-01-34-70-02-24-7
as a favorite10-724-30104-1075-720-2871-7114-340-15161-54
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-03-314-160-04-29-110-04-221-9
in all home games7-519-26110-1083-617-2470-7912-236-14202-75
in home lined games7-519-26110-1083-617-2470-7910-231-14149-73
in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less0-02-12-30-01-21-40-02-12-3
against conference opponents6-522-28133-1525-625-2596-1075-618-32118-172
in February games0-34-1450-620-36-1233-461-23-1544-71
after a conference game5-522-26134-1454-622-2691-1094-619-30124-165
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-210-851-581-212-642-401-27-1144-69
off a loss against a conference rival2-312-1877-862-313-1757-651-49-2169-97
after allowing 60 points or less8-415-1563-703-513-1349-529-324-886-64
after scoring 60 points or less2-18-753-581-27-840-461-26-953-62
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-04-725-320-03-820-200-03-828-33
when playing against a team with a winning record10-830-36159-1767-831-32111-12211-736-32163-194
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-519-21100-1054-520-2069-833-614-2675-133
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-413-1361-733-416-1052-522-58-1846-89
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-719-2285-1064-721-1973-727-619-2382-118
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-7-1.18-148-1067.431.942.7%37.056.525.540.0%32.6
Road Games4-5+1.42-74-461.927.339.9%32.664.932.045.0%35.8
Last 5 Games4-1+32-33-261.428.438.5%37.460.426.040.0%36.6
Conference Games8-3+5.84-74-760.527.839.7%36.156.625.439.7%35.0
WISCONSIN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.431.924-5742.7%8-2234.7%11-1761.9%37111314694
vs opponents surrendering64.529.823-5541.6%6-1933.2%13-1869.0%33912176133
Team Stats (Road Games)61.927.322-5439.9%7-2232.2%11-1959.9%331011174103
Stats Against (All Games)56.525.521-5340.0%4-1330.4%10-1470.1%3378185122
vs opponents averaging69.132.625-5544.6%6-1834.4%14-1970.9%35913177134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.932.024-5345.0%4-1131.4%14-1974.3%3689195113

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-7-5.213-97-971.434.645.6%39.461.228.339.9%30.0
Home Games12-2-2.97-53-674.136.447.6%41.657.126.238.2%28.1
Last 5 Games2-3-5.52-31-458.629.442.3%35.457.427.241.2%28.6
Conference Games5-6-9.56-55-666.029.444.9%37.563.130.042.9%29.1
MINNESOTA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.434.625-5545.6%5-1634.8%16-2368.7%391315179146
vs opponents surrendering63.929.423-5541.6%6-1733.4%12-1868.1%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)74.136.427-5647.6%5-1534.0%15-2366.5%4214171510137
Stats Against (All Games)61.228.321-5439.9%6-1834.2%12-1865.8%30912198143
vs opponents averaging69.332.424-5544.3%7-1935.5%14-1971.1%35913177124
Stats Against (Home Games)57.126.220-5438.2%7-2034.1%9-1563.8%28913198153
Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 75.8,  MINNESOTA 77.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MINNESOTA is 13-13 against the spread versus WISCONSIN since 1997
WISCONSIN is 20-6 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1997
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MINNESOTA since 1997
MINNESOTA is 6-6 against the spread versus WISCONSIN since 1997
WISCONSIN is 7-5 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/26/2013MINNESOTA44123 ATS2416-4634.8%5-1145.5%7-1258.3%2979
 WISCONSIN45-3.5SU Under2417-4637.0%7-2231.8%4-850.0%35810
2/28/2012MINNESOTA45118 ATS2311-4623.9%2-1118.2%21-2972.4%371310
 WISCONSIN52-10SU Under1612-3930.8%6-2227.3%22-2975.9%2858
2/9/2012WISCONSIN68-1SU ATS3219-5335.8%9-2339.1%21-2584.0%34109
 MINNESOTA61116 Over2423-5541.8%6-1735.3%9-1464.3%38813
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MINNESOTA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (196-193)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 53.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (174-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 45.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-39)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (141-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (134-125)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-33)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WISCONSIN
[F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None )
[G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee )
MINNESOTA
No significant injuries.
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