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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
AIR FORCE (2-9) AT COLORADO ST (6-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
395: AIR FORCE
396: COLORADO ST
59.5
-16.5
25.7 / 38.4
33.4 / 29.9
2-9
6-6
3-8-0
8-4-0
7-4-0
7-3-1
272.5
201.0
103.1
247.2
375.6
448.2
252.1
152.1
225.5
277.1
477.6
429.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
AIR FORCE  
COLORADO ST-19 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
AIR FORCE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-21-410-141-23-212-100-30-53-21
in all games3-812-25120-1327-420-1482-882-915-22153-116
in all lined games3-812-25120-1327-420-1482-882-915-22138-115
as an underdog3-68-1154-496-313-645-401-83-1633-71
as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points0-00-12-30-01-03-20-00-10-5
as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points0-00-14-50-01-05-30-00-10-9
in road games2-27-861-553-19-538-390-44-1158-60
in road lined games2-27-861-553-19-538-390-44-1157-60
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 632-15-59-113-05-49-100-32-87-13
against conference opponents2-58-1480-876-115-759-550-78-1491-78
when playing on a Saturday2-59-20105-1144-314-1264-732-513-16141-95
when playing with 8 days rest0-01-05-60-01-03-60-00-14-7
after playing a conference game2-49-1267-924-212-849-590-69-1282-85
in games played on turf3-87-1625-277-412-919-162-98-1530-23
in November games1-23-831-413-06-433-171-25-641-31
off a loss against a conference rival2-46-725-484-28-524-260-65-829-47
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses2-45-520-253-35-516-141-54-627-22

COLORADO ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-01-116-151-02-012-51-02-026-5
in all games8-416-19126-1217-318-1586-846-613-23139-128
in all lined games8-416-19126-1217-318-1586-846-613-23122-127
as a favorite5-26-554-594-17-341-275-29-378-37
in home games3-27-955-472-17-731-363-27-1071-48
in home lined games3-27-955-472-17-731-363-27-1057-47
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-20-39-71-01-16-80-20-37-9
against conference opponents4-310-1188-784-211-1054-564-38-1493-78
when playing on a Saturday8-316-18105-1066-317-1570-656-513-22119-112
when playing with 6 or less days rest8-213-1589-916-315-1258-616-410-1998-98
after playing a conference game4-210-885-714-29-1054-534-28-1189-75
in games played on turf7-310-1117-306-212-719-116-49-1319-29
in November games2-26-432-322-25-626-212-24-737-32
off a loss against a conference rival2-07-430-381-13-924-292-05-734-39
when playing against a team with a losing record4-16-538-373-18-330-174-17-553-27
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
AIR FORCE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-9-7.33-87-425.715.3375.6(5.5)1.138.420.3477.6(6.3)0.8
Road Games0-4-32-23-127.215.5374.5(5.6)1.240.016.5484.5(6.4)0.7
Last 3 Games1-2-1.31-23-033.316.3399.0(6.2)0.738.025.0455.7(6)0.3
Turf Games2-9-7.33-87-425.715.3375.6(5.5)1.138.420.3477.6(6.3)0.8
Conference Games0-7-6.32-56-126.115.1363.6(5.4)0.944.023.4534.9(6.7)1.3
AIR FORCE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.715.319.527:4054-273(5.1)7-1453.2%103(7.4)68-376(5.5)(14.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.71622.730:3543-212(4.9)19-3062.4%223(7.4)73-435(5.9)(14.2)
Offense Road Games27.215.519.728:2552-263(5.1)8-1553.3%112(7.4)67-374(5.6)(13.7)
Defense (All Games)38.420.327.132:2049-252(5.1)19-2772.3%226(8.5)76-478(6.3)(12.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.614.922.431:4345-220(4.9)17-2959.9%204(7.1)74-424(5.8)(14.3)
Defense Road Games40.016.527.731:3450-291(5.8)18-2574.0%194(7.7)75-484(6.4)(12.1)

COLORADO ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-6+1.28-47-333.418.5448.2(6.2)1.429.914.0429.2(5.9)1.5
Home Games3-2+0.43-22-137.620.4553.4(7.4)1.230.413.8464.0(6.3)1.0
Last 3 Games2-1+12-11-234.712.3468.0(6.6)1.024.010.3376.3(5.4)0.7
Turf Games6-4+2.67-36-236.821.2480.4(6.5)1.428.713.1429.9(5.8)1.7
Conference Games4-3+1.54-34-235.419.6484.9(6.3)1.428.314.3429.7(6)1.9
COLORADO ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.418.521.730:1840-201(5.1)20-3361.0%247(7.5)72-448(6.2)(13.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.32.317.722.330:2541-197(4.7)20-3261.6%245(7.6)74-442(6)(13.7)
Offense Home Games37.620.425.629:5740-237(5.9)23-3565.9%317(9.2)75-553(7.4)(14.7)
Defense (All Games)29.914.020.929:4138-152(4)22-3463.3%277(8)72-429(5.9)(14.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.715.121.830:5141-185(4.5)20-3360.7%240(7.4)74-425(5.8)(14.3)
Defense Home Games30.413.822.830:0339-162(4.1)23-3466.9%302(8.8)74-464(6.3)(15.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: AIR FORCE 28.1,  COLORADO ST 27.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
AIR FORCE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/5/2013@ NAVY10-28L13.5L56U57-2317-16-82351-2736-10-540
10/10/2013SAN DIEGO ST20-27L3.5L53U49-1696-12-150146-21415-26-2492
10/26/2013NOTRE DAME10-45L19.5L55.5U65-2908-12-49237-13518-26-3310
11/2/2013ARMY42-28W1W54.5O46-3437-8-111170-3088-14-1090
11/8/2013@ NEW MEXICO37-45L3L61O48-25715-23-188065-4511-3-280
11/21/2013UNLV21-41L-2L59O55-2284-13-70158-33015-18-1411
11/30/2013@ COLORADO ST            

COLORADO ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/12/2013SAN JOSE ST27-34L-3L61P27-13719-34-310245-17728-35-4312
10/19/2013@ WYOMING52-22W6.5W67O54-29018-23-219134-16522-37-2513
10/26/2013@ HAWAII35-28W-2W58O49-23115-26-177229-3231-57-3864
11/2/2013BOISE ST30-42L7L59.5O56-22936-53-397231-13219-27-3052
11/9/2013NEVADA38-17W-8.5W65.5U37-33120-27-239133-16431-47-2470
11/16/2013@ NEW MEXICO66-42W-6.5W61O49-34720-28-302046-27811-18-2492
11/23/2013@ UTAH ST0-13L11L57U34-3816-39-147248-1488-18-430
11/30/2013AIR FORCE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
COLORADO ST is 11-10 against the spread versus AIR FORCE since 1992
AIR FORCE is 11-10 straight up against COLORADO ST since 1992
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at COLORADO ST since 1992
AIR FORCE is 5-4 against the spread versus COLORADO ST since 1992
COLORADO ST is 5-4 straight up against AIR FORCE since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/29/2012COLORADO ST2156 Over142231:4634-12924-363121211-86
 AIR FORCE42-14SU ATS352428:1467-4592-557207-30
11/26/2011AIR FORCE45-14SU ATS312630:5249-3449-12221103-15
 COLORADO ST2153 Over71829:0849-3218-131252110-83
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring COLORADO ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 53.2% of the time since 1992. (115-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in COLORADO ST games 54.6% of the time since 1992. (119-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in COLORADO ST games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 49.7% of the time since 1992. (72-73)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in COLORADO ST games 47.9% of the time since 1992. (69-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in COLORADO ST games 39.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-17)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
AIR FORCE
[DB] 11/24/2013 - Dexter Walker "?" Saturday vs. Colorado State ( Knee )
[LB] 11/24/2013 - Joey Nichol "?" Saturday vs. Colorado State ( Groin )
[OL] 11/19/2013 - Robert Green out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DB] 11/19/2013 - Chris Miller out for season ( Concussion )
[WR] 10/20/2013 - Ty MacArthur out for season ( Concussion )
[QB] 09/25/2013 - Jaleel Awini out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[DL] 09/17/2013 - Joseph Champaign out indefinitely ( ACL )
[QB] 09/05/2013 - Kale Pearson out for season ( Knee )
COLORADO ST
[RB] 11/28/2013 - Donnell Alexander is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Leg )
[LB] 11/26/2013 - Cory James doubtful Saturday vs. Air Force ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/26/2013 - Aaron Davis is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Air Force ( Leg )
[DL] 11/26/2013 - Joe Kawulok doubtful Saturday vs. Air Force ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 11/25/2013 - Kapri Bibbs is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Air Force ( Ankle )
[TE] 11/24/2013 - Jake Levin "?" Saturday vs. Air Force ( Neck )
[OL] 10/30/2013 - Zack Golditch out for season ( Knee )
[DL] 10/19/2013 - Josh Lovingood out for season ( Foot )
[LB] 10/17/2013 - Kevin Davis out for season ( Knee )
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