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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
AIR FORCE (6-5) AT FRESNO ST (8-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
183: AIR FORCE
184: FRESNO ST
60.5
-16.5
29.7 / 26.9
39.5 / 22.9
6-5
8-3
3-8-0
10-1-0
3-6-1
4-6-0
335.5
170.5
111.2
308.4
446.7
478.9
204.7
164.9
178.5
172.5
383.3
337.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
AIR FORCE  
FRESNO ST-16 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
AIR FORCE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-01-29-110-01-210-80-00-33-17
in all games3-814-22117-1223-615-1874-836-522-15151-105
off a win against a conference rival1-35-741-421-23-824-332-27-552-36
when playing against a team with a winning record1-26-835-441-27-733-352-15-926-54
in weeks 10 through 130-33-730-380-24-529-171-27-340-28
in all lined games3-814-22117-1223-615-1874-836-521-15136-104
as an underdog2-17-451-411-26-538-361-22-932-61
as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points0-01-02-20-00-12-20-00-10-4
as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points0-01-14-40-00-24-30-00-20-8
in road games1-47-959-521-36-934-381-47-958-55
in road lined games1-47-959-521-36-934-381-47-957-55
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 631-33-47-90-31-55-101-33-47-9
against conference opponents2-58-1478-813-410-1252-545-213-991-70
when playing on a Saturday2-711-19103-1072-512-1559-694-518-13139-88
after playing a conference game2-411-1065-862-38-1244-564-213-882-77
in games played on turf3-76-822-183-55-711-126-49-528-13
in November games0-33-730-380-24-529-171-27-340-28

FRESNO ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points4-04-324-332-24-313-174-06-147-10
in all games10-120-15122-1244-620-1578-758-320-17151-112
off a win against a conference rival4-18-554-432-38-528-334-17-667-34
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-14-438-391-26-227-262-13-547-35
when playing against a team with a winning record2-14-533-381-26-425-241-22-824-49
in weeks 10 through 132-05-538-351-15-518-222-05-548-26
in all lined games10-120-15122-1244-620-1578-758-319-17136-111
as a favorite8-010-962-744-310-838-418-014-5102-33
in home games5-09-855-532-27-926-325-012-690-32
in home lined games5-09-855-532-27-926-325-011-677-31
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 634-07-314-112-24-612-134-08-218-7
against conference opponents6-113-974-883-412-1041-506-114-8105-60
when playing on a Saturday10-119-13103-1004-619-1358-528-319-15127-93
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-02-214-220-04-017-100-02-219-17
after playing a conference game5-110-1074-802-411-1043-465-111-10100-64
after a bye week0-02-215-240-04-017-130-02-221-18
in games played on turf9-113-342-313-67-832-207-39-734-40
in November games2-05-538-381-15-519-232-05-550-27
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
AIR FORCE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-5-7.43-83-629.716.7446.7(6)2.126.913.7383.3(5.6)1.1
Road Games1-4-7.21-41-323.612.4392.2(5.1)2.233.017.8400.0(5.7)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-40-30-217.05.7356.3(4.7)3.725.313.7281.3(4.2)1.0
Turf Games6-4-6.43-73-531.818.1452.1(6.2)1.926.813.7394.8(5.6)1.0
Conference Games5-2-0.72-53-430.118.9432.3(5.9)2.125.015.3370.0(5.4)1.4
AIR FORCE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.716.723.628:4763-336(5.4)7-1258.9%111(9.5)74-447(6)(15)
Opponents Defensive Avg.33.118.822.329:2642-216(5.1)17-2862.0%212(7.7)70-429(6.1)(13)
Offense Road Games23.612.422.629:1060-259(4.3)9-1753.5%133(7.7)77-392(5.1)(16.6)
Defense (All Games)26.913.720.131:1343-205(4.7)17-2565.0%179(7)69-383(5.6)(14.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.812.720.831:4743-199(4.6)16-2758.4%183(6.8)70-383(5.4)(14.8)
Defense Road Games33.017.820.830:5046-231(5)15-2463.6%169(7.1)70-400(5.7)(12.1)

FRESNO ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-3+410-14-639.524.3478.9(6.2)1.422.914.0337.5(4.7)2.7
Home Games5-0+35-02-249.038.4541.8(7.2)1.817.68.0288.8(4.2)3.0
Last 3 Games3-0+23-02-148.725.7526.7(6.8)1.026.016.0366.0(4.8)3.0
Turf Games7-3+39-13-638.625.3466.8(6)1.422.013.0331.8(4.6)2.8
Conference Games6-1+46-13-439.723.1479.9(6)1.622.713.1324.9(4.7)2.7
FRESNO ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)39.524.323.530:0937-171(4.6)26-4164.7%308(7.6)77-479(6.2)(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.816.92230:4940-184(4.6)20-3261.6%232(7.3)72-416(5.8)(13.5)
Offense Home Games49.038.424.829:0837-180(4.9)26-3868.7%362(9.4)75-542(7.2)(11.1)
Defense (All Games)22.914.017.929:5140-165(4.1)16-3152.0%173(5.5)72-337(4.7)(14.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.415.720.830:1742-187(4.5)18-2960.0%197(6.8)71-385(5.4)(13.6)
Defense Home Games17.68.014.630:5235-103(2.9)18-3454.2%186(5.5)68-289(4.2)(16.4)
Average power rating of opponents played: AIR FORCE 24.6,  FRESNO ST 29.5
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
AIR FORCE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012COLORADO ST42-21W-14W56O67-4592-5-57234-12924-36-3123
10/6/2012NAVY21-28L-9.5L54.5U64-3639-13-144354-2856-6-740
10/13/2012@ WYOMING28-27W-6L59.5U51-2307-10-141144-25223-37-1951
10/20/2012NEW MEXICO28-23W-10.5L57.5U51-2915-7-75359-4096-11-341
10/26/2012NEVADA48-31W3.5W68.5O82-4616-7-139240-16915-27-2111
11/3/2012@ ARMY21-41L-7L62P43-10317-29-235576-3144-6-1000
11/10/2012@ SAN DIEGO ST9-28L6.5L58U68-3209-19-73441-17811-18-902
11/16/2012HAWAII21-7W-23.5L59U68-3380-0-0231-3714-29-1251
11/24/2012@ FRESNO ST            

FRESNO ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012SAN DIEGO ST52-40W-8W61O30-11942-56-536440-17913-23-1605
10/6/2012@ COLORADO ST28-7W-17.5W59.5U43-19125-42-217027-5516-31-1942
10/13/2012@ BOISE ST10-20L7L56U30-5629-43-266242-21513-24-1201
10/20/2012WYOMING42-14W-17W60U32-12632-48-268230-8320-44-1702
10/27/2012@ NEW MEXICO49-32W-15W55O34-18431-44-416151-3494-15-452
11/3/2012HAWAII45-10W-32W61U44-15118-33-329134-7921-38-2213
11/10/2012@ NEVADA52-36W-3W70O44-28017-35-220150-19021-39-2144
11/24/2012AIR FORCE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
AIR FORCE is 4-2 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1992
AIR FORCE is 4-2 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at FRESNO ST since 1992
AIR FORCE is 2-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1992
AIR FORCE is 2-1 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992
Games played at FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 53.4% of the time since 1992. (110-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (112-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 51.1% of the time since 1992. (69-66)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 55.3% of the time since 1992. (73-59)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 62.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-11)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
AIR FORCE
[LB] 08/04/2012 - Jamil Cooks out for season ( Suspension )
[TE] 08/04/2012 - Devin Durden out for season ( Suspension )
[DB] 08/04/2012 - Jay Fullam out for season ( Shoulder )
[WR] 08/04/2012 - Brandon Hirneise out for season ( Suspension )
[WR] 08/04/2012 - Mikel Hunter out for season ( Suspension )
[DB] 08/04/2012 - Anthony Wooding out for season ( Suspension )
[QB] 08/25/2012 - Mitch Greibel has left team ( Personal )
[C] 09/03/2012 - Michael Husar out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 10/10/2012 - Josh Kusan out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/16/2012 - Broam Hart out indefinitely ( Hand )
[C] 10/22/2012 - Austin Hayes out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 10/22/2012 - Connor Healy out indefinitely ( Leg )
FRESNO ST
[FB] 08/30/2012 - Tapa Taumoepeau out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 09/17/2012 - Jamaal Rose out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DL] 10/12/2012 - Anthony Williams out for season ( Foot )
[LB] 10/17/2012 - Patrick Su'a out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 11/05/2012 - Victor Dean out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 11/18/2012 - Josh Harper "?" Saturday vs. Air Force ( Groin )
[C] 11/21/2012 - Lars Bramer "?" Saturday vs. Air Force ( Suspension )
[DL] 11/23/2012 - Andy Jennings probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Ankle )
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