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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3-17 | | in all games | 3-8 | 14-22 | 117-122 | 3-6 | 15-18 | 74-83 | 6-5 | 22-15 | 151-105 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-3 | 5-7 | 41-42 | 1-2 | 3-8 | 24-33 | 2-2 | 7-5 | 52-36 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 6-8 | 35-44 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 33-35 | 2-1 | 5-9 | 26-54 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 30-38 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 29-17 | 1-2 | 7-3 | 40-28 | | in all lined games | 3-8 | 14-22 | 117-122 | 3-6 | 15-18 | 74-83 | 6-5 | 21-15 | 136-104 | | as an underdog | 2-1 | 7-4 | 51-41 | 1-2 | 6-5 | 38-36 | 1-2 | 2-9 | 32-61 | | as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-4 | | as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-8 | | in road games | 1-4 | 7-9 | 59-52 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 34-38 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 58-55 | | in road lined games | 1-4 | 7-9 | 59-52 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 34-38 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 57-55 | | in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7-9 | | against conference opponents | 2-5 | 8-14 | 78-81 | 3-4 | 10-12 | 52-54 | 5-2 | 13-9 | 91-70 | | when playing on a Saturday | 2-7 | 11-19 | 103-107 | 2-5 | 12-15 | 59-69 | 4-5 | 18-13 | 139-88 | | after playing a conference game | 2-4 | 11-10 | 65-86 | 2-3 | 8-12 | 44-56 | 4-2 | 13-8 | 82-77 | | in games played on turf | 3-7 | 6-8 | 22-18 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 11-12 | 6-4 | 9-5 | 28-13 | | in November games | 0-3 | 3-7 | 30-38 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 29-17 | 1-2 | 7-3 | 40-28 |
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| as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 4-0 | 4-3 | 24-33 | 2-2 | 4-3 | 13-17 | 4-0 | 6-1 | 47-10 | | in all games | 10-1 | 20-15 | 122-124 | 4-6 | 20-15 | 78-75 | 8-3 | 20-17 | 151-112 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-1 | 8-5 | 54-43 | 2-3 | 8-5 | 28-33 | 4-1 | 7-6 | 67-34 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 2-1 | 4-4 | 38-39 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 27-26 | 2-1 | 3-5 | 47-35 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-1 | 4-5 | 33-38 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 25-24 | 1-2 | 2-8 | 24-49 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 38-35 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 18-22 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 48-26 | | in all lined games | 10-1 | 20-15 | 122-124 | 4-6 | 20-15 | 78-75 | 8-3 | 19-17 | 136-111 | | as a favorite | 8-0 | 10-9 | 62-74 | 4-3 | 10-8 | 38-41 | 8-0 | 14-5 | 102-33 | | in home games | 5-0 | 9-8 | 55-53 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 26-32 | 5-0 | 12-6 | 90-32 | | in home lined games | 5-0 | 9-8 | 55-53 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 26-32 | 5-0 | 11-6 | 77-31 | | in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 | 4-0 | 7-3 | 14-11 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 12-13 | 4-0 | 8-2 | 18-7 | | against conference opponents | 6-1 | 13-9 | 74-88 | 3-4 | 12-10 | 41-50 | 6-1 | 14-8 | 105-60 | | when playing on a Saturday | 10-1 | 19-13 | 103-100 | 4-6 | 19-13 | 58-52 | 8-3 | 19-15 | 127-93 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14-22 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 19-17 | | after playing a conference game | 5-1 | 10-10 | 74-80 | 2-4 | 11-10 | 43-46 | 5-1 | 11-10 | 100-64 | | after a bye week | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15-24 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 17-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 21-18 | | in games played on turf | 9-1 | 13-3 | 42-31 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 32-20 | 7-3 | 9-7 | 34-40 | | in November games | 2-0 | 5-5 | 38-38 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 19-23 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 50-27 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 6-5 | -7.4 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 29.7 | 16.7 | 446.7 | (6) | 2.1 | 26.9 | 13.7 | 383.3 | (5.6) | 1.1 | | Road Games | 1-4 | -7.2 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 23.6 | 12.4 | 392.2 | (5.1) | 2.2 | 33.0 | 17.8 | 400.0 | (5.7) | 1.0 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 17.0 | 5.7 | 356.3 | (4.7) | 3.7 | 25.3 | 13.7 | 281.3 | (4.2) | 1.0 | | Turf Games | 6-4 | -6.4 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 31.8 | 18.1 | 452.1 | (6.2) | 1.9 | 26.8 | 13.7 | 394.8 | (5.6) | 1.0 | | Conference Games | 5-2 | -0.7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 30.1 | 18.9 | 432.3 | (5.9) | 2.1 | 25.0 | 15.3 | 370.0 | (5.4) | 1.4 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 29.7 | 16.7 | 23.6 | 28:47 | 63-336 | (5.4) | 7-12 | 58.9% | 111 | (9.5) | 74-447 | (6) | (15) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 33.1 | 18.8 | 22.3 | 29:26 | 42-216 | (5.1) | 17-28 | 62.0% | 212 | (7.7) | 70-429 | (6.1) | (13) | | Offense Road Games | 23.6 | 12.4 | 22.6 | 29:10 | 60-259 | (4.3) | 9-17 | 53.5% | 133 | (7.7) | 77-392 | (5.1) | (16.6) | | Defense (All Games) | 26.9 | 13.7 | 20.1 | 31:13 | 43-205 | (4.7) | 17-25 | 65.0% | 179 | (7) | 69-383 | (5.6) | (14.2) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 25.8 | 12.7 | 20.8 | 31:47 | 43-199 | (4.6) | 16-27 | 58.4% | 183 | (6.8) | 70-383 | (5.4) | (14.8) | | Defense Road Games | 33.0 | 17.8 | 20.8 | 30:50 | 46-231 | (5) | 15-24 | 63.6% | 169 | (7.1) | 70-400 | (5.7) | (12.1) |
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| All Games | 8-3 | +4 | 10-1 | 4-6 | 39.5 | 24.3 | 478.9 | (6.2) | 1.4 | 22.9 | 14.0 | 337.5 | (4.7) | 2.7 | | Home Games | 5-0 | +3 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 49.0 | 38.4 | 541.8 | (7.2) | 1.8 | 17.6 | 8.0 | 288.8 | (4.2) | 3.0 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +2 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 48.7 | 25.7 | 526.7 | (6.8) | 1.0 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 366.0 | (4.8) | 3.0 | | Turf Games | 7-3 | +3 | 9-1 | 3-6 | 38.6 | 25.3 | 466.8 | (6) | 1.4 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 331.8 | (4.6) | 2.8 | | Conference Games | 6-1 | +4 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 39.7 | 23.1 | 479.9 | (6) | 1.6 | 22.7 | 13.1 | 324.9 | (4.7) | 2.7 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 39.5 | 24.3 | 23.5 | 30:09 | 37-171 | (4.6) | 26-41 | 64.7% | 308 | (7.6) | 77-479 | (6.2) | (12.1) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 30.8 | 16.9 | 22 | 30:49 | 40-184 | (4.6) | 20-32 | 61.6% | 232 | (7.3) | 72-416 | (5.8) | (13.5) | | Offense Home Games | 49.0 | 38.4 | 24.8 | 29:08 | 37-180 | (4.9) | 26-38 | 68.7% | 362 | (9.4) | 75-542 | (7.2) | (11.1) | | Defense (All Games) | 22.9 | 14.0 | 17.9 | 29:51 | 40-165 | (4.1) | 16-31 | 52.0% | 173 | (5.5) | 72-337 | (4.7) | (14.7) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 28.4 | 15.7 | 20.8 | 30:17 | 42-187 | (4.5) | 18-29 | 60.0% | 197 | (6.8) | 71-385 | (5.4) | (13.6) | | Defense Home Games | 17.6 | 8.0 | 14.6 | 30:52 | 35-103 | (2.9) | 18-34 | 54.2% | 186 | (5.5) | 68-289 | (4.2) | (16.4) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: AIR FORCE 24.6, FRESNO ST 29.5 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/29/2012 | COLORADO ST | 42-21 | W | -14 | W | 56 | O | 67-459 | 2-5-57 | 2 | 34-129 | 24-36-312 | 3 | | 10/6/2012 | NAVY | 21-28 | L | -9.5 | L | 54.5 | U | 64-363 | 9-13-144 | 3 | 54-285 | 6-6-74 | 0 | | 10/13/2012 | @ WYOMING | 28-27 | W | -6 | L | 59.5 | U | 51-230 | 7-10-141 | 1 | 44-252 | 23-37-195 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | NEW MEXICO | 28-23 | W | -10.5 | L | 57.5 | U | 51-291 | 5-7-75 | 3 | 59-409 | 6-11-34 | 1 | | 10/26/2012 | NEVADA | 48-31 | W | 3.5 | W | 68.5 | O | 82-461 | 6-7-139 | 2 | 40-169 | 15-27-211 | 1 | | 11/3/2012 | @ ARMY | 21-41 | L | -7 | L | 62 | P | 43-103 | 17-29-235 | 5 | 76-314 | 4-6-100 | 0 | | 11/10/2012 | @ SAN DIEGO ST | 9-28 | L | 6.5 | L | 58 | U | 68-320 | 9-19-73 | 4 | 41-178 | 11-18-90 | 2 | | 11/16/2012 | HAWAII | 21-7 | W | -23.5 | L | 59 | U | 68-338 | 0-0-0 | 2 | 31-37 | 14-29-125 | 1 | | 11/24/2012 | @ FRESNO ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/29/2012 | SAN DIEGO ST | 52-40 | W | -8 | W | 61 | O | 30-119 | 42-56-536 | 4 | 40-179 | 13-23-160 | 5 | | 10/6/2012 | @ COLORADO ST | 28-7 | W | -17.5 | W | 59.5 | U | 43-191 | 25-42-217 | 0 | 27-55 | 16-31-194 | 2 | | 10/13/2012 | @ BOISE ST | 10-20 | L | 7 | L | 56 | U | 30-56 | 29-43-266 | 2 | 42-215 | 13-24-120 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | WYOMING | 42-14 | W | -17 | W | 60 | U | 32-126 | 32-48-268 | 2 | 30-83 | 20-44-170 | 2 | | 10/27/2012 | @ NEW MEXICO | 49-32 | W | -15 | W | 55 | O | 34-184 | 31-44-416 | 1 | 51-349 | 4-15-45 | 2 | | 11/3/2012 | HAWAII | 45-10 | W | -32 | W | 61 | U | 44-151 | 18-33-329 | 1 | 34-79 | 21-38-221 | 3 | | 11/10/2012 | @ NEVADA | 52-36 | W | -3 | W | 70 | O | 44-280 | 17-35-220 | 1 | 50-190 | 21-39-214 | 4 | | 11/24/2012 | AIR FORCE | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| AIR FORCE is 4-2 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1992 | | AIR FORCE is 4-2 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992 | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| AIR FORCE is 2-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1992 | | AIR FORCE is 2-1 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 53.4% of the time since 1992. (110-96) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (112-96) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 51.1% of the time since 1992. (69-66) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 55.3% of the time since 1992. (73-59) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 62.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-11) | |
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| [LB] 08/04/2012 - Jamil Cooks out for season ( Suspension ) | | [TE] 08/04/2012 - Devin Durden out for season ( Suspension ) | | [DB] 08/04/2012 - Jay Fullam out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [WR] 08/04/2012 - Brandon Hirneise out for season ( Suspension ) | | [WR] 08/04/2012 - Mikel Hunter out for season ( Suspension ) | | [DB] 08/04/2012 - Anthony Wooding out for season ( Suspension ) | | [QB] 08/25/2012 - Mitch Greibel has left team ( Personal ) | | [C] 09/03/2012 - Michael Husar out for season ( Knee ) | | [LB] 10/10/2012 - Josh Kusan out for season ( Knee ) | | [RB] 10/16/2012 - Broam Hart out indefinitely ( Hand ) | | [C] 10/22/2012 - Austin Hayes out for season ( Knee ) | | [LB] 10/22/2012 - Connor Healy out indefinitely ( Leg ) | |
| [FB] 08/30/2012 - Tapa Taumoepeau out for season ( Knee ) | | [LB] 09/17/2012 - Jamaal Rose out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [DL] 10/12/2012 - Anthony Williams out for season ( Foot ) | | [LB] 10/17/2012 - Patrick Su'a out for season ( Knee ) | | [WR] 11/05/2012 - Victor Dean out for season ( Knee ) | | [WR] 11/18/2012 - Josh Harper "?" Saturday vs. Air Force ( Groin ) | | [C] 11/21/2012 - Lars Bramer "?" Saturday vs. Air Force ( Suspension ) | | [DL] 11/23/2012 - Andy Jennings probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Ankle ) |
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