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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 5:30 PM
ARKANSAS ST (7-5) AT UCF (6-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
207: ARKANSAS ST
208: UCF
50.0
-5.5
27.0 / 22.2
30.1 / 24.1
7-5
6-6
6-6-0
8-4-0
3-9-0
4-7-1
150.9
151.9
245.2
209.6
396.2
361.5
154.3
181.2
220.2
200.4
374.5
381.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARKANSAS ST-1
UCF  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-23-30-02-03-30-00-22-4
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points2-13-222-180-30-59-162-12-313-27
in all games6-622-16114-1033-920-1669-797-523-15105-149
in all lined games6-622-16114-1033-920-1669-797-523-1598-120
as an underdog2-25-764-571-35-725-392-23-926-96
as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-01-0
on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 520-00-01-10-00-02-00-00-00-2
against American Athletic conference opponents0-00-00-40-00-01-30-00-00-7
when playing on a Saturday3-416-1198-883-414-1155-624-317-1086-137
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest1-03-213-111-04-112-71-03-212-25
after playing a conference game5-215-864-542-517-547-436-117-663-66
after a bye week2-05-318-151-16-217-112-05-318-28
in games played on a neutral field0-00-23-40-02-04-30-00-22-5
in games played on turf6-521-1351-442-918-1437-417-423-1152-46
in December games0-11-24-40-12-14-41-02-15-3
in non-conference games0-45-948-451-34-920-350-43-1128-92
off a win against a conference rival5-113-640-342-414-435-265-114-539-36

UCF - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-14-30-01-04-30-00-13-4
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points2-14-221-181-13-215-122-14-225-14
in all games8-418-19113-1034-716-1772-806-615-22132-130
in all lined games8-418-19113-1034-716-1772-806-615-22109-110
as a favorite5-211-961-541-58-939-425-212-887-29
as a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-01-0
on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 520-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against Sun Belt conference opponents0-00-02-30-00-01-30-00-05-1
when playing on a Saturday8-413-1588-894-713-1156-586-610-18109-113
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-10-311-140-01-17-100-10-313-20
after playing a conference game4-312-1062-581-511-1051-473-49-1370-58
after a bye week0-12-416-160-01-49-150-12-418-23
in games played on a neutral field0-00-24-40-02-05-30-00-23-5
in games played on turf2-14-523-262-15-421-171-22-719-33
in December games0-01-16-60-02-06-60-01-16-6
in non-conference games3-15-844-422-25-518-332-24-955-73
off a loss against a conference rival2-15-627-231-25-618-172-13-822-29
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-04-821-261-06-312-171-02-1021-41
when playing against a team with a winning record1-25-628-301-27-423-230-33-820-43
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-5-11.76-63-927.013.0396.2(5.6)1.322.212.1374.5(5.2)1.6
Road Games3-3+0.62-41-525.87.3375.7(5.2)0.823.714.8360.3(5.1)1.8
Last 3 Games2-1+0.61-20-330.09.0422.0(5.5)0.313.78.0263.7(4.1)2.3
Turf Games6-4-12.75-52-827.913.9412.3(5.8)1.519.910.4345.7(4.9)1.6
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)27.013.019.528:4740-151(3.8)18-3158.2%245(7.8)71-396(5.6)(14.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.214.721.231:3141-176(4.3)18-3158.6%236(7.6)72-412(5.7)(14.6)
Offense Road Games25.87.318.729:3639-124(3.2)19-3457.4%252(7.5)73-376(5.2)(14.5)
Defense (All Games)22.212.119.531:0941-154(3.8)17-3154.3%220(7)72-374(5.2)(16.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.712.820.830:3340-168(4.2)19-3258.5%227(7.2)72-395(5.5)(14.8)
Defense Road Games23.714.819.330:2440-163(4)16-3152.7%198(6.4)71-360(5.1)(15.2)

UCF - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-6-0.78-44-730.115.4361.5(4.8)1.824.110.9381.7(4.9)2.1
Road Games3-3+1.44-24-232.217.3367.0(5)1.831.514.0411.8(5.1)1.8
Last 3 Games1-2-1.21-21-225.012.7342.7(4.2)1.728.711.3434.7(5.6)1.7
Turf Games1-202-12-130.320.0342.3(4.9)2.032.014.7344.7(4.6)1.7
UCF - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.115.419.327:0841-152(3.7)18-3354.5%210(6.3)75-361(4.8)(12)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.915.220.930:4740-174(4.3)19-3258.0%232(7.2)73-406(5.6)(14)
Offense Road Games32.217.319.327:3041-159(3.9)17-3353.6%208(6.4)73-367(5)(11.4)
Defense (All Games)24.110.920.632:3945-181(4)18-3452.0%200(5.9)79-382(4.9)(15.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.314.920.830:1741-181(4.5)19-3258.0%220(6.9)73-401(5.5)(14.2)
Defense Road Games31.514.021.732:0541-152(3.7)23-3958.8%260(6.7)80-412(5.1)(13.1)
Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 22,  UCF 30.5
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ARKANSAS ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/29/2016LA MONROE51-10W-21W55O31-11824-41-316042-17414-29-1622
11/3/2016@ GEORGIA ST31-16W-4W48U41-9315-35-212131-9422-46-2372
11/12/2016NEW MEXICO ST41-22W-18.5W62.5O38-21622-29-293140-18226-45-2562
11/17/2016@ TROY35-3W10W53U51-20814-26-180024-5520-39-2075
11/26/2016@ LA LAFAYETTE19-24L-6L49U33-12835-57-393133-5013-24-2420
12/3/2016@ TEXAS ST36-14W-25L54U44-17813-21-179046-11714-27-1202
12/17/2016*UCF            

UCF - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/22/2016@ CONNECTICUT24-16W-4.5W45U30-8329-45-317045-17118-35-2420
10/29/2016@ HOUSTON24-31L9W58.5U33-4019-33-155449-15826-37-2404
11/5/2016TULANE37-6W-16.5W47U32-14712-23-150264-2805-21-685
11/12/2016CINCINNATI24-3W-10.5W54.5U43-15522-34-150036-10719-42-2203
11/19/2016TULSA20-35L-1.5L63.5U33-8825-52-233256-34812-25-1261
11/26/2016@ S FLORIDA31-48L12.5L66O35-6428-47-338348-35117-26-1521
12/17/2016*ARKANSAS ST            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 48.2% of the time since 1992. (93-100)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 51.3% of the time since 1992. (99-94)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 69.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-10)
Edge=ARKANSAS ST
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 50.8% of the time since 1992. (66-64)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 42.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (65-70)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-16)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ARKANSAS ST
[LB] 12/13/2016 - Trent Ellis is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Central Florida ( Undisclosed )
[DL] 12/13/2016 - Waylon Roberson is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Central Florida ( Knee )
[DE] 12/12/2016 - Chase Robison is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Central Florida ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 12/12/2016 - Devin Mondie is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Central Florida ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/16/2016 - Quanterio Heath has left team ( Concussion )
[QB] 10/03/2016 - D.J. Pearson has been dismissed ( Legal problems )
[DE] 09/20/2016 - Griffin Riggs out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[RB] 09/12/2016 - Armond Weh-Weh out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 09/12/2016 - Antwon Turnage out for season ( Knee )
UCF
[OL] 10/20/2016 - Tyler Hudanick out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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