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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
ARKANSAS ST (7-3) AT TROY (5-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
403: ARKANSAS ST
404: TROY
68.0
+4.0
35.1 / 27.1
31.2 / 30.1
7-3
5-5
6-4-0
6-4-0
5-4-0
6-4-0
212.8
174.5
254.7
325.0
467.5
499.5
168.0
184.4
223.7
255.6
391.7
440.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARKANSAS ST-8 
TROY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points2-06-013-121-13-37-102-06-020-5
in all games6-423-1281-825-416-1841-557-321-1471-129
off a win against a conference rival3-112-421-263-19-716-194-012-419-29
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins3-09-312-122-16-69-93-010-213-11
in weeks 10 through 132-05-420-261-15-414-172-06-321-33
in all lined games6-423-1281-825-416-1841-557-321-1464-100
as a favorite4-315-727-333-310-1123-276-119-344-16
as a road favorite2-06-17-120-22-55-112-07-010-9
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points1-02-02-50-10-20-41-02-03-4
in road games4-113-544-482-37-1119-323-28-1021-94
in road lined games4-113-544-482-37-1119-323-28-1021-72
in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 701-13-23-21-12-32-30-20-50-5
against conference opponents4-215-742-493-311-1127-345-117-550-51
when playing on a Saturday3-418-1174-733-313-1534-464-316-1361-123
when playing with 8 days rest0-10-11-31-01-01-31-01-02-2
after playing a conference game4-114-641-443-210-1025-335-014-638-58
in games played on turf6-411-719-275-46-1111-207-311-718-31
in November games2-05-420-271-15-415-172-06-322-33

TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-02-28-60-01-35-80-01-35-9
in all games6-414-2168-616-419-1652-445-516-19134-85
when playing against a team with a winning record1-13-519-162-06-218-61-12-611-25
in weeks 10 through 132-04-619-192-07-317-111-14-636-25
in all lined games6-414-2168-616-419-1652-445-516-1963-67
as an underdog4-28-737-283-39-627-162-43-1214-51
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-00-10-00-00-10-00-00-1
in home games2-34-1123-233-27-816-212-39-674-13
in home lined games2-34-1123-233-27-816-212-39-635-11
in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-14-10-00-11-40-01-05-0
against conference opponents2-47-1533-323-39-1325-333-311-11100-37
when playing on a Saturday6-312-2057-555-418-1446-335-415-17116-77
when playing with 6 or less days rest5-29-1444-403-412-1134-283-410-1390-55
in games played on turf5-311-1430-274-412-1324-255-315-1036-25
in November games2-04-619-182-07-317-101-14-637-25
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-3+3.46-45-435.118.6467.5(6.4)1.327.115.1391.7(5.3)1.9
Road Games3-2+3.64-12-333.616.6447.4(6.3)1.033.021.4464.6(5.9)2.8
Last 3 Games3-0+3.63-02-144.024.3511.3(7.2)0.323.09.7427.7(5.8)3.0
Turf Games7-3+3.46-45-435.118.6467.5(6.4)1.327.115.1391.7(5.3)1.9
Conference Games5-1+3.44-23-335.819.0434.3(6.3)1.024.08.7393.7(5.2)2.0
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.118.624.028:1341-213(5.1)21-3266.0%255(8)73-467(6.4)(13.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.817.721.529:2938-173(4.5)20-3360.6%237(7.3)71-410(5.8)(13.3)
Offense Road Games33.616.621.827:5539-195(5)21-3265.4%252(7.8)71-447(6.3)(13.3)
Defense (All Games)27.115.121.231:4640-168(4.2)22-3364.5%224(6.7)73-392(5.3)(14.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.714.820.431:3940-179(4.4)18-3060.2%208(6.9)70-386(5.5)(13.9)
Defense Road Games33.021.424.232:0543-198(4.6)23-3566.7%266(7.6)78-465(5.9)(14.1)

TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-5-26-46-431.217.5499.5(6.2)2.030.117.4440.0(6.3)1.7
Home Games2-3-0.82-33-230.616.0512.6(6.1)2.233.220.4425.6(6.5)1.4
Last 3 Games1-2-2.92-13-038.725.0566.3(6.9)1.040.023.0542.0(7.2)1.3
Turf Games5-3+2.25-34-429.616.0486.6(6.1)2.426.515.7407.6(6.1)1.9
Conference Games3-3-2.42-43-326.715.5442.0(5.5)2.026.015.3379.8(5.6)1.7
TROY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)31.217.526.129:5739-174(4.5)28-4265.7%325(7.7)81-499(6.2)(16)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.115.820.830:3138-161(4.3)20-3261.3%239(7.4)70-401(5.7)(13.8)
Offense Home Games30.616.028.830:0037-154(4.2)33-4769.4%358(7.6)84-513(6.1)(16.8)
Defense (All Games)30.117.421.430:0240-184(4.6)16-2956.3%256(8.7)69-440(6.3)(14.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.313.520.631:3839-161(4.2)19-3159.6%234(7.5)70-395(5.7)(14.5)
Defense Home Games33.220.419.229:6040-197(4.9)14-2557.7%229(9.3)65-426(6.5)(12.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 27.9,  TROY 27.7
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ARKANSAS ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/22/2012ALCORN ST56-0W-39.5W -56-39614-16-238133-9814-27-322
9/29/2012W KENTUCKY13-26L-1.5L57.5U39-12724-41-208241-24311-19-1220
10/4/2012@ FLA INTERNATIONAL34-20W-2.5W56.5U37-19815-23-223048-18819-31-1532
10/13/2012S ALABAMA36-29W-20.5L51.5O37-11317-22-203350-13224-38-2411
10/23/2012@ LA LAFAYETTE50-27W3.5W62O50-25721-31-269023-7628-41-3745
11/3/2012@ NORTH TEXAS37-19W-4.5W58.5U33-14625-32-328030-8428-49-3162
11/8/2012LA MONROE45-23W-7.5W59.5O34-20026-34-334127-7637-53-3572
11/17/2012@ TROY            
12/1/2012MIDDLE TENN ST            

TROY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/22/2012@ NORTH TEXAS14-7W0W58U30-10829-44-274143-18612-29-2360
9/29/2012@ S ALABAMA31-10W-7W51U51-21418-27-281543-1938-20-594
10/11/2012W KENTUCKY26-31L0L54.5O40-12016-28-254035-11221-31-2552
10/20/2012FLA INTERNATIONAL38-37W-6.5L57O42-18729-45-245238-11218-29-3163
10/27/2012@ FLA ATLANTIC27-34L-7.5L51.5O36-16417-35-217140-16026-40-2611
11/3/2012@ TENNESSEE48-55L18.5W69O39-22538-60-496029-18829-47-5301
11/10/2012NAVY41-31W3W60.5O36-18234-40-415254-3288-15-1592
11/17/2012ARKANSAS ST            
11/24/2012@ MIDDLE TENN ST            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
ARKANSAS ST is 5-3 against the spread versus TROY since 1992
TROY is 4-4 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TROY since 1992
ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TROY since 1992
TROY is 2-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TROY over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/3/2011TROY1457 Over142324:3625-6232-52311223-33
 ARKANSAS ST45-17.5SU ATS242735:2441-13325-37356016-61
9/25/2010ARKANSAS ST2866 ATS142130:5447-21316-33237126-60
 TROY35-10SU Under242229:0641-18619-39319116-47
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (69-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 52.8% of the time since 1992. (56-50)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 51.8% of the time since 1992. (43-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 41.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 54% of the time since 1992. (47-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 53.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-15)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ARKANSAS ST
[WR] 08/31/2012 - Earl Lucas has been dismissed ( Dismissed )
[WR] 08/31/2012 - Tres Houston out for season ( Suspension )
[WR] 09/12/2012 - Allen Muse has been dismissed ( Legal problems )
TROY
[WR] 08/09/2012 - Jamel Johnson out for season ( Academics )
[RB] 08/24/2012 - Chris Anderson out for season ( Academics )
[OL] 09/18/2012 - Zach Johnson out for season ( Concussion )
[OL] 09/24/2012 - Christopher Hawkins out for season ( Leg )
[DT] 11/13/2012 - Shermane TeArt probable Saturday vs. Arkansas State ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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