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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
ARKANSAS ST (7-4) AT W KENTUCKY (7-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
407: ARKANSAS ST
408: W KENTUCKY
56.0
-6.0
29.5 / 26.0
30.5 / 24.0
7-4
7-4
6-5-0
5-6-0
6-5-0
4-6-1
205.5
201.2
212.9
262.1
418.5
463.3
186.5
157.5
232.5
181.9
419.1
339.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARKANSAS ST  
W KENTUCKY-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-01-017-160-01-08-100-01-010-23
in all games6-525-1290-876-516-2048-627-427-1081-133
in all lined games6-525-1290-876-516-2048-627-427-1074-104
as an underdog3-17-257-501-33-619-312-23-622-86
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-01-04-70-01-04-20-01-03-8
in road games3-213-448-501-46-1121-362-310-724-97
in road lined games3-213-448-501-46-1121-362-310-724-75
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-14-211-141-11-58-171-13-37-18
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 561-14-29-71-11-54-121-13-34-12
against conference opponents4-216-648-514-211-1132-375-120-257-52
when playing on a Saturday5-419-1081-775-413-1540-516-321-869-126
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-213-760-674-29-1029-424-215-558-86
after playing a conference game3-216-547-463-210-1129-374-119-245-59
in games played on turf6-418-1028-316-413-1418-267-320-828-34
in November games3-18-224-283-17-319-184-010-027-33
off a win against a conference rival2-214-526-283-110-920-223-117-225-30
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-113-316-132-08-812-112-015-118-11
when playing against a team with a winning record3-18-420-192-24-89-172-28-410-34

W KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points2-34-54-60-42-62-73-25-45-5
in all games5-623-1338-314-618-1631-357-421-1529-66
in all lined games5-623-1338-314-618-1631-357-421-1523-46
as a favorite3-58-118-142-59-811-95-311-811-11
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-01-01-10-01-01-10-01-01-1
in home games2-28-813-171-39-613-152-28-811-25
in home lined games2-28-813-171-39-613-152-28-88-22
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-04-47-91-05-38-71-04-44-12
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 561-02-23-51-03-15-21-01-31-7
against conference opponents2-414-824-191-411-1019-223-314-818-33
when playing on a Saturday4-519-1033-284-415-1228-306-318-1125-61
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-416-728-203-313-922-245-216-720-31
after playing a conference game1-411-920-182-311-918-193-212-814-26
in games played on turf4-517-1225-252-615-1222-256-318-1120-38
in November games1-26-513-81-26-58-123-07-49-17
off a win against a conference rival0-27-58-60-26-66-71-17-57-7
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-18-28-20-34-64-62-17-37-3
when playing against a team with a winning record1-26-410-70-35-56-111-24-64-14
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-4+16-56-529.514.9418.5(5.7)1.126.015.0419.1(5.9)1.5
Road Games2-3+0.23-21-418.87.4389.0(5)1.028.015.8433.4(6.5)1.2
Last 3 Games3-0+2.42-13-038.314.0402.7(5.5)1.322.717.3376.0(5.8)2.0
Turf Games7-3+26-46-431.616.1418.1(5.8)1.124.814.4414.2(5.8)1.5
Conference Games5-1+3.54-24-230.011.5377.3(5.4)1.023.516.5430.5(5.8)2.0
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.514.921.329:4544-206(4.6)20-2869.3%213(7.5)73-418(5.7)(14.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.32.518.221.830:5339-197(5)20-3361.3%249(7.6)72-446(6.2)(13.7)
Offense Road Games18.87.422.231:4443-158(3.7)25-3571.4%231(6.6)78-389(5)(20.7)
Defense (All Games)26.015.020.030:1239-187(4.8)18-3255.4%233(7.3)71-419(5.9)(16.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.713.119.330:0339-163(4.2)18-3157.4%221(7.1)70-384(5.5)(14.4)
Defense Road Games28.015.820.828:1638-230(6)16-2857.0%204(7.2)67-433(6.5)(15.5)

W KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-4-1.75-64-630.517.5463.3(6.3)2.524.011.1339.5(5.5)1.8
Home Games2-2-3.92-21-330.719.5502.0(6.7)2.723.29.2310.2(5.2)1.5
Last 3 Games3-0+31-21-234.313.7417.0(5.8)1.317.35.7295.7(4.8)3.0
Turf Games5-3-3.64-41-629.616.2471.5(6.4)2.119.78.4315.4(5.2)2.0
Conference Games3-3-5.22-41-430.518.2479.5(6.3)2.024.29.5347.7(5.4)2.0
W KENTUCKY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.517.524.132:6040-201(5)22-3466.2%262(7.8)74-463(6.3)(15.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.517.621.530:5840-199(5)18-2961.3%230(7.8)69-429(6.2)(13.6)
Offense Home Games30.719.526.032:5841-215(5.2)24-3372.7%286(8.7)74-502(6.7)(16.3)
Defense (All Games)24.011.116.126:5836-158(4.4)15-2657.0%182(7)62-339(5.5)(14.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.712.819.830:0842-192(4.6)16-2757.7%189(7)69-381(5.5)(14.8)
Defense Home Games23.29.216.027:0338-158(4.2)12-2254.0%152(7)60-310(5.2)(13.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 24.1,  W KENTUCKY 21.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ARKANSAS ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/12/2013IDAHO48-24W-27.5L62.5O45-19022-32-375138-17415-41-2121
10/22/2013LA LAFAYETTE7-23L-1.5L69U25-7911-21-89158-26518-28-2051
11/2/2013@ S ALABAMA17-16W3W64U47-18921-25-160140-14315-30-2281
11/9/2013@ LA MONROE42-14W3W55O58-25916-23-235128-13717-37-1912
11/16/2013TEXAS ST38-21W-7.5W51.5O57-32814-18-96133-15818-30-2100
11/23/2013GEORGIA ST35-33W-24L58O45-13814-19-152240-18414-26-2484
11/30/2013@ W KENTUCKY            

W KENTUCKY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/3/2013@ LA MONROE31-10W-7W48.5U40-16024-36-370127-11621-40-2752
10/15/2013LA LAFAYETTE20-37L-3L61.5U38-13323-29-338452-2545-12-901
10/26/2013TROY26-32L-10L62U41-13331-48-399230-9120-33-3061
11/2/2013@ GEORGIA ST44-28W-19L56.5O46-20318-29-241227-8526-41-3252
11/9/2013@ ARMY21-17W-5.5L57U40-13516-24-199246-2778-12-702
11/23/2013@ TEXAS ST38-7W-4.5W50U46-32120-32-152029-2115-30-1095
11/30/2013ARKANSAS ST            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
W KENTUCKY is 4-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1992
W KENTUCKY is 2-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at W KENTUCKY since 1992
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1992
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY since 1992
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/29/2012W KENTUCKY2657.5SU ATS01930:2241-24311-19122005-40
 ARKANSAS ST13-1.5 Under132329:3839-12724-41208118-81
10/1/2011ARKANSAS ST26-11.5SU Under102428:3228-2538-50419009-91
 W KENTUCKY2252.5 ATS71631:2837-15214-241590211-64
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring W KENTUCKY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 47.7% of the time since 1992. (74-81)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 37.3% of the time since 1992. (22-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 54.7% of the time since 1992. (52-43)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 59.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 60.3% of the time since 1992. (35-23)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 67.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-9)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ARKANSAS ST
[CB] 10/08/2013 - Jamaris Hart out for season ( Achilles )
W KENTUCKY
No significant injuries.
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