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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 9:45 PM
BAYLOR (7-5) AT UCLA (9-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
221: BAYLOR
222: UCLA
82.0
-3.0
44.1 / 38.2
35.1 / 25.9
7-5
9-4
8-4-0
8-5-0
8-3-0
9-4-0
225.5
203.0
353.3
271.6
578.8
474.6
190.8
154.6
323.1
255.4
513.9
410.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BAYLOR-3
UCLA  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BAYLOR - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-01-12-20-01-12-20-01-12-2
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-18-521-172-110-315-92-18-516-22
when playing against a team with a winning record6-212-946-636-218-334-263-510-1120-89
when the line is +3 to -31-14-519-151-17-210-111-14-521-13
in all games8-422-15106-1208-326-1056-487-524-1493-151
in all lined games8-422-15106-1208-326-1056-487-523-1477-151
as an underdog5-18-966-924-212-533-372-45-1224-135
as a neutral field underdog of 3 points or less0-00-20-20-01-11-10-00-20-2
against Pac Twelve conference opponents0-01-06-30-01-04-20-01-04-5
when playing on a Thursday0-01-03-30-01-04-10-01-03-3
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-12-311-141-03-26-50-12-310-15
after playing a conference game6-214-1169-905-319-640-334-414-1146-117
after a bye week0-22-411-161-03-27-51-13-311-16
in games played on a grass field1-112-862-671-114-636-320-213-854-90
in games played on a neutral field1-03-25-31-04-15-31-03-25-4
in December games1-03-14-20-12-23-31-03-14-2
in non-conference games1-27-433-282-05-517-153-010-247-29
off a win against a conference rival3-08-520-232-110-316-102-19-417-26

UCLA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-15-80-00-15-80-00-14-9
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-02-225-200-01-416-270-02-324-25
when playing against a team with a winning record4-19-767-515-011-659-533-28-962-61
when the line is +3 to -31-21-627-273-05-228-241-21-627-28
in all games8-516-22126-1209-420-19110-1169-419-20141-114
in all lined games8-516-22126-1209-420-19110-1169-419-20140-114
as a favorite4-45-766-724-45-760-646-210-2100-43
against Big 12 conference opponents0-01-28-80-03-011-40-01-28-9
when playing on a Thursday1-01-32-51-02-23-41-01-33-4
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest1-01-118-201-01-117-211-01-119-20
after playing a conference game5-411-1580-837-213-1473-796-312-1582-87
after a bye week1-01-415-221-02-316-211-01-417-21
in games played on a grass field7-313-17102-986-414-1786-1007-316-15118-90
in games played on a neutral field0-00-15-80-00-15-80-00-14-9
in December games0-01-210-90-01-29-110-00-35-15
in non-conference games3-05-549-322-16-436-383-06-451-32
off a loss against a conference rival2-17-639-361-25-927-452-17-732-47
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BAYLOR - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-5+3.88-48-344.121.2578.7(7)1.738.221.1513.9(6.2)2.1
Road Games2-4-14-25-144.522.5582.5(6.7)1.548.328.0579.3(7)1.8
Last 3 Games3-0+6.23-02-148.324.3623.0(6.9)1.034.318.3496.3(6.1)3.0
Grass Games0-2-11-11-127.515.5482.5(5.8)2.038.524.5508.5(5.7)2.0
BAYLOR - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)44.121.228.626:4144-225(5.1)24-3861.5%353(9.2)83-579(7)(13.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.814.921.429:4737-156(4.3)21-3559.7%263(7.5)72-419(5.9)(14.1)
Offense Road Games44.522.529.327:2546-198(4.3)25-4260.8%384(9.2)87-582(6.7)(13.1)
Defense (All Games)38.221.127.233:1940-191(4.7)28-4364.0%323(7.5)83-514(6.2)(13.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.33.817.42331:1938-170(4.5)22-3661.9%269(7.4)74-438(5.9)(13)
Defense Road Games48.328.029.732:3541-205(5)30-4271.8%374(8.8)83-579(7)(12)

UCLA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-4+4.68-59-435.121.2474.6(6.1)1.925.913.4410.0(5.6)2.2
Road Games4-2+2.74-25-136.822.5466.8(6.4)2.531.214.7422.0(5.5)1.8
Last 3 Games1-2-0.22-13-026.316.0400.3(5.4)1.330.017.3406.3(5.8)1.3
Grass Games7-3+47-36-434.619.7480.8(6)1.423.412.7396.7(5.5)2.1
UCLA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.121.224.230:0444-203(4.6)23-3467.1%272(8)78-475(6.1)(13.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.514.621.530:1338-162(4.3)21-3559.8%243(6.8)74-405(5.5)(14.2)
Offense Road Games36.822.524.227:0540-209(5.3)23-3469.0%258(7.6)73-467(6.4)(12.7)
Defense (All Games)25.913.421.229:5638-155(4.1)23-3662.9%255(7.1)74-410(5.6)(15.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.715.12230:1838-162(4.3)21-3560.1%250(7.1)73-413(5.6)(13.9)
Defense Road Games31.214.722.532:5542-150(3.6)24-3568.6%272(7.8)77-422(5.5)(13.5)
Average power rating of opponents played: BAYLOR 39.8,  UCLA 40.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BAYLOR - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/3/2012KANSAS41-14W-16.5W69.5U49-29926-42-367041-24611-26-962
11/10/2012@ OKLAHOMA34-42L21W74.5O51-25212-33-172040-18325-36-2772
11/17/2012KANSAS ST52-24W12W75O49-34220-32-238231-7627-51-2863
11/24/2012*TEXAS TECH52-45W-3W80.5O57-27822-37-396032-20830-41-3594
12/1/2012OKLAHOMA ST41-34W4W87U55-31923-39-296137-21831-53-3422
12/27/2012*UCLA            

UCLA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/3/2012ARIZONA66-10W-3W72.5O63-30825-30-303040-12117-30-1363
11/10/2012@ WASHINGTON ST44-36W-16L62O38-7318-21-261330-6737-57-4573
11/17/2012USC38-28W5W65O50-17222-30-234130-17223-43-3413
11/24/2012STANFORD17-35L3L50O33-7320-38-261249-22115-22-1601
11/30/2012@ STANFORD24-27L8.5W47O38-28423-32-177143-17016-23-1550
12/27/2012*BAYLOR            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring UCLA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 42.2% of the time since 1992. (86-118)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 60.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCLA games 49.5% of the time since 1992. (107-109)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCLA games 58.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-14)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 53.3% of the time since 1992. (49-43)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCLA games 57.9% of the time since 1992. (103-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCLA games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BAYLOR
[DT] 08/30/2012 - Kaeron Johnson out for season ( Back )
[DB] 10/04/2012 - Demetri Goodson out indefinitely ( Arm )
[LB] 11/14/2012 - Rodney Chadwick out indefinitely ( Knee )
UCLA
[DE] 08/07/2012 - Sam Tai out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 08/14/2012 - Patrick Larimore has left team ( Concussion )
[S] 08/16/2012 - Alex Mascarenas has left team ( Concussion )
[S] 08/16/2012 - Dietrich Riley out for season ( Neck )
[RB] 09/07/2012 - Malcolm Jones has left team ( Personal )
[CB] 09/17/2012 - Ishmael Adams out for season ( Shoulder )
[OG] 10/12/2012 - Greg Capella out indefinitely ( Concussion )
[WR] 12/02/2012 - Devin Lucien is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Baylor ( Collarbone )
[RB] 11/19/2012 - Damien Thigpen out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 12/11/2012 - Ellis McCarthy is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. Baylor ( Knee )
[LB] 12/02/2012 - Dalton Hilliard is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Baylor ( Shoulder )
[OT] 12/26/2012 - Simon Goines probable Thursday vs. Baylor ( Knee )
[S] 12/22/2012 - Tevin McDonald expected to miss Thursday vs. Baylor ( Suspension )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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