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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 3:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN (8-4) AT SAN JOSE ST (10-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
217: BOWLING GREEN
218: SAN JOSE ST
45.5
-7.0
23.2 / 15.8
35.3 / 21.4
8-4
10-2
8-4-0
10-2-0
1-10-0
7-4-0
157.4
124.3
216.5
327.4
373.9
451.8
116.7
123.7
173.0
227.8
289.7
351.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BOWLING GREEN  
SAN JOSE ST-8 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOWLING GREEN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-01-30-00-02-20-00-03-2
when playing against a team with a winning record1-24-818-291-25-717-141-22-1019-45
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-05-420-170-03-67-150-03-611-27
in all games8-420-1692-771-1013-2245-598-415-21133-112
in all lined games8-420-1692-771-1013-2245-598-415-2189-84
as an underdog2-213-1148-360-49-1522-301-37-1726-59
as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-00-10-00-00-10-00-00-1
on a neutral field where the total is between 45.5 and 490-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against WAC opponents0-11-12-40-10-22-41-02-02-4
when playing on a Thursday0-01-03-20-00-11-40-01-04-4
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-00-07-60-00-04-20-00-013-6
after playing a conference game5-211-1059-511-66-1526-405-28-1389-74
after a bye week1-01-210-140-10-38-81-01-217-15
in games played on a grass field2-110-949-460-38-1127-331-26-1378-56
in games played on a neutral field1-01-02-30-10-12-31-01-05-2
in December games0-00-01-30-00-03-10-00-03-2
in non-conference games2-27-529-230-35-615-182-25-736-40
off a win against a conference rival4-14-431-301-43-515-214-14-437-28

SAN JOSE ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-01-0
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins6-17-120-105-25-38-126-16-215-16
when playing against a team with a winning record4-19-425-354-17-612-204-16-712-53
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points1-01-118-71-02-06-81-01-119-6
in all games10-223-1398-897-418-1640-6110-216-2181-146
in all lined games10-223-1398-897-418-1640-6110-216-2065-124
as a favorite7-27-631-186-29-214-158-110-338-11
as a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
on a neutral field where the total is between 45.5 and 490-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against MAC opponents0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
when playing on a Thursday0-00-00-10-00-01-00-00-00-1
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-10-35-141-03-05-60-10-36-20
after playing a conference game4-110-861-573-212-624-385-08-1047-85
after a bye week0-10-34-151-03-06-50-10-35-21
in games played on a grass field3-013-1067-662-113-930-452-18-1661-107
in games played on a neutral field0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in December games0-01-03-20-00-11-30-00-12-3
in non-conference games6-011-434-262-35-813-185-18-828-60
off a win against a conference rival3-14-223-202-24-28-144-05-121-24
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOWLING GREEN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-4+3.68-41-1023.211.0373.9(5.4)1.415.78.5289.7(4.6)1.7
Road Games4-3+2.25-20-717.77.1328.0(4.7)1.417.49.9298.3(4.4)1.3
Last 3 Games2-1+0.62-11-223.714.3345.3(5.2)2.017.35.7288.7(4.4)1.3
Grass Games1-202-10-311.77.0301.0(4.1)2.323.711.7319.3(4.9)1.0
BOWLING GREEN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.211.019.631:2135-157(4.5)19-3454.8%216(6.4)69-374(5.4)(16.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.916.822.530:0839-186(4.8)20-3359.9%243(7.4)72-429(6)(13.4)
Offense Road Games17.77.117.930:4634-148(4.3)18-3550.0%180(5.1)70-328(4.7)(18.5)
Defense (All Games)15.78.514.828:3632-117(3.6)17-3155.7%173(5.6)63-290(4.6)(18.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.212.118.530:5937-149(4)19-3257.9%208(6.4)69-357(5.2)(15.4)
Defense Road Games17.49.916.629:0836-128(3.6)17-3353.5%170(5.2)68-298(4.4)(17.1)

SAN JOSE ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games10-2+710-27-435.218.7451.7(6.4)1.921.412.7351.4(5.2)2.6
Road Games5-1+3.16-04-234.718.7389.0(6.1)2.216.38.5304.7(4.4)2.7
Last 3 Games3-0+2.43-02-139.727.0492.7(7.2)1.321.311.3394.3(5.1)3.3
Grass Games2-1+1.13-02-134.019.0386.3(6.5)1.720.311.3328.0(4.5)2.0
SAN JOSE ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.218.722.932:2335-124(3.5)25-3571.3%327(9.2)71-452(6.4)(12.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.314.921.930:2438-164(4.3)21-3461.9%247(7.3)72-411(5.7)(14)
Offense Road Games34.718.719.329:2731-106(3.4)23-3269.7%283(8.7)64-389(6.1)(11.2)
Defense (All Games)21.412.718.127:3734-124(3.6)19-3457.9%228(6.8)68-351(5.2)(16.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.514.820.530:5338-164(4.3)18-3160.5%221(7.2)69-385(5.6)(14)
Defense Road Games16.38.516.730:3341-134(3.3)15-2853.6%170(6.2)69-305(4.4)(18.7)
Average power rating of opponents played: BOWLING GREEN 22,  SAN JOSE ST 26.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOWLING GREEN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/7/2012@ OHIO U26-14W2.5W47.5U36-1977-17-91044-9921-34-1450
11/17/2012KENT ST24-31L-3L46.5O31-8322-44-355342-3349-17-913
11/23/2012*BUFFALO21-7W-8.5W42U42-8218-30-228329-2913-31-1681
12/27/2012*SAN JOSE ST            

SAN JOSE ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/3/2012@ IDAHO42-13W-21W54.5O29-8527-39-328437-8117-37-2072
11/10/2012@ NEW MEXICO ST47-7W-20.5W53.5O35-20315-26-301138-12012-29-1004
11/17/2012BYU20-14W3W47.5U32-5925-34-305133-8728-51-3353
11/24/2012LOUISIANA TECH52-43W-3.5W76.5O41-24325-37-367222-5839-60-4833
12/27/2012*BOWLING GREEN            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOWLING GREEN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (70-82)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 39.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN JOSE ST games 48.8% of the time since 1992. (79-83)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN JOSE ST games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOWLING GREEN games 52.1% of the time since 1992. (50-46)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOWLING GREEN games 48.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN JOSE ST games 43.8% of the time since 1992. (39-50)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN JOSE ST games 37.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-18)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOWLING GREEN
[DT] 08/23/2012 - Hunter Maynard out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 09/26/2012 - Jairus Campbell out for season ( Foot )
[WR] 10/12/2012 - Heath Jackson out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 10/14/2012 - Jermal Hosley out for season ( Knee )
[Backup RB] 10/18/2012 - Jamel Martin out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 10/19/2012 - Tim Moore out for season ( Undisclosed )
[DB] 12/27/2012 - Darrell Hunter is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. San Jose State ( Ankle )
[DB] 12/25/2012 - Devon McKoy expected to miss Thursday vs. San Jose State ( Disciplinary )
SAN JOSE ST
[DT] 08/28/2012 - Joe Nigos out for season ( Knee )
[OT] 10/11/2012 - Keith Bendixen out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 11/10/2012 - Tyler Ervin out indefinitely ( Collarbone )
[LB] 11/02/2012 - Derek Muaava out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 11/14/2012 - David Freeman out for season ( Suspension )
[WR] 11/14/2012 - Chris Kearney out for season ( Suspension )
[CB] 12/03/2012 - Damon Ogburn "?" Thursday vs. Bowling Green ( Hamstring )
[DT] 12/25/2012 - Anthony Larceval expected to miss Thursday vs. Bowling Green ( Illness )
[LB] 12/25/2012 - Hector Roach expected to miss Thursday vs. Bowling Green ( Eligibility )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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