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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points | 1-0 | 3-1 | 8-4 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 12-0 | | in all games | 3-3 | 18-13 | 83-75 | 4-2 | 14-16 | 45-53 | 4-2 | 20-12 | 99-105 | | against conference opponents | 1-1 | 11-8 | 50-41 | 2-0 | 12-7 | 34-29 | 2-0 | 13-6 | 53-42 | | when playing on a Saturday | 1-3 | 11-10 | 69-66 | 2-2 | 8-12 | 34-42 | 2-2 | 13-9 | 88-92 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-1 | 10-9 | 57-55 | 2-0 | 9-10 | 30-36 | 2-0 | 11-8 | 70-68 | | after playing a conference game | 0-1 | 10-7 | 42-40 | 1-0 | 10-7 | 30-31 | 1-0 | 11-6 | 47-43 | | in games played on turf | 2-0 | 5-1 | 15-15 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 11-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 9-24 | | in October games | 1-1 | 6-4 | 27-24 | 2-0 | 8-2 | 18-9 | 2-0 | 8-2 | 37-28 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 6-5 | 22-23 | 1-0 | 6-5 | 18-21 | 1-0 | 8-3 | 30-20 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 0-0 | 5-2 | 18-21 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14-13 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 24-20 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-1 | 6-6 | 37-32 | 1-0 | 7-5 | 21-18 | 1-0 | 9-3 | 51-24 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 1-2 | 6-5 | 29-30 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 19-13 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 41-35 | | in all lined games | 3-3 | 18-13 | 83-75 | 4-2 | 14-16 | 45-53 | 4-2 | 19-12 | 76-85 | | as a favorite | 2-3 | 14-11 | 42-38 | 4-1 | 12-12 | 24-25 | 4-1 | 18-7 | 60-21 | | as a road favorite | 1-0 | 5-4 | 15-16 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 12-6 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 22-10 | | in road games | 2-0 | 8-6 | 43-39 | 1-1 | 8-6 | 23-25 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 34-70 | | in road lined games | 2-0 | 8-6 | 43-39 | 1-1 | 8-6 | 23-25 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 32-53 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 2-9 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6-13 |
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| as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-8 | 1-13 | | in all games | 2-4 | 12-18 | 98-117 | 2-3 | 11-18 | 44-59 | 1-5 | 4-26 | 93-144 | | against conference opponents | 1-1 | 8-10 | 61-77 | 0-2 | 4-14 | 24-41 | 1-1 | 2-16 | 55-86 | | when playing on a Saturday | 2-4 | 11-17 | 90-106 | 2-3 | 10-17 | 29-53 | 1-5 | 4-24 | 88-128 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-3 | 10-12 | 74-81 | 2-2 | 7-15 | 25-43 | 0-4 | 3-19 | 70-100 | | after playing a conference game | 0-1 | 7-8 | 59-66 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 25-37 | 0-1 | 2-13 | 53-82 | | in games played on turf | 2-2 | 6-3 | 25-16 | 2-1 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 1-3 | 2-7 | 15-28 | | in October games | 1-1 | 3-8 | 32-40 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 15-18 | 1-1 | 2-9 | 35-44 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 7-6 | 43-32 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 16-23 | 0-0 | 2-11 | 31-50 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-1 | 3-4 | 28-34 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 12-20 | 0-1 | 0-7 | 16-47 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 1-1 | 3-8 | 35-45 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 16-21 | 1-1 | 2-9 | 37-50 | | in all lined games | 2-4 | 12-18 | 98-117 | 2-3 | 11-18 | 44-59 | 1-5 | 4-26 | 78-142 | | as an underdog | 2-3 | 11-17 | 68-73 | 2-3 | 11-17 | 37-45 | 1-4 | 3-25 | 30-114 | | in home games | 1-2 | 5-10 | 46-61 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 21-30 | 1-2 | 3-12 | 60-63 | | in home lined games | 1-2 | 5-10 | 46-61 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 21-30 | 1-2 | 3-12 | 45-63 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3-6 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9-12 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 1-8 | 7-14 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 4-2 | +0.7 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 33.2 | 19.2 | 409.0 | (5.8) | 1.3 | 22.8 | 8.0 | 351.5 | (5.2) | 2.0 | | Road Games | 1-1 | -1 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 36.0 | 22.5 | 369.0 | (5.7) | 2.0 | 22.5 | 8.5 | 368.0 | (4.7) | 3.5 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +0.7 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 31.3 | 15.7 | 428.3 | (5.9) | 0.7 | 24.0 | 10.3 | 355.7 | (5.7) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 1-1 | -1 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 36.0 | 22.5 | 369.0 | (5.7) | 2.0 | 22.5 | 8.5 | 368.0 | (4.7) | 3.5 | | Conference Games | 2-0 | +2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 39.0 | 18.5 | 445.0 | (6.4) | 0.5 | 25.5 | 12.0 | 360.5 | (5.6) | 1.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 33.2 | 19.2 | 21.2 | 31:42 | 37-159 | (4.3) | 22-33 | 66.2% | 250 | (7.6) | 70-409 | (5.8) | (12.3) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 30.8 | 15.3 | 21.3 | 31:18 | 38-162 | (4.2) | 20-34 | 60.3% | 247 | (7.4) | 72-410 | (5.7) | (13.3) | | Offense Road Games | 36.0 | 22.5 | 17.0 | 29:26 | 34-154 | (4.5) | 19-30 | 65.0% | 214 | (7.1) | 64-369 | (5.7) | (10.2) | | Defense (All Games) | 22.8 | 8.0 | 18.7 | 28:04 | 34-137 | (4) | 20-33 | 59.0% | 214 | (6.4) | 68-351 | (5.2) | (15.4) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.4 | 13.1 | 19.9 | 29:18 | 38-157 | (4.2) | 20-34 | 58.6% | 225 | (6.7) | 71-382 | (5.3) | (13.9) | | Defense Road Games | 22.5 | 8.5 | 22.0 | 29:54 | 39-162 | (4.2) | 24-39 | 62.8% | 205 | (5.3) | 78-368 | (4.7) | (16.4) |
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| All Games | 1-5 | -3.7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 18.3 | 9.8 | 288.2 | (4.5) | 1.8 | 31.7 | 15.8 | 423.3 | (5.6) | 2.0 | | Home Games | 1-2 | -2.7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 20.3 | 8.0 | 334.3 | (4.8) | 3.0 | 26.0 | 14.7 | 350.7 | (5) | 1.7 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | +0.8 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 226.0 | (3.7) | 1.3 | 29.7 | 14.7 | 363.3 | (5.3) | 2.3 | | Turf Games | 1-3 | -2.7 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 22.2 | 11.2 | 324.0 | (4.9) | 2.2 | 27.7 | 15.2 | 417.7 | (5.4) | 1.5 | | Conference Games | 1-1 | +0.8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 263.0 | (3.9) | 2.0 | 25.5 | 13.5 | 295.0 | (4.8) | 1.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 18.3 | 9.8 | 16.0 | 29:04 | 38-127 | (3.3) | 15-25 | 59.6% | 161 | (6.4) | 64-288 | (4.5) | (15.7) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 28.1 | 15 | 21.6 | 30:53 | 41-185 | (4.5) | 19-31 | 60.8% | 225 | (7.3) | 72-411 | (5.7) | (14.6) | | Offense Home Games | 20.3 | 8.0 | 19.3 | 30:05 | 43-147 | (3.4) | 16-26 | 59.5% | 188 | (7.1) | 69-334 | (4.8) | (16.4) | | Defense (All Games) | 31.7 | 15.8 | 24.3 | 30:56 | 40-170 | (4.2) | 22-36 | 61.6% | 253 | (7) | 76-423 | (5.6) | (13.4) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.4 | 12.3 | 22 | 30:07 | 38-158 | (4.2) | 21-35 | 61.5% | 246 | (7.1) | 73-404 | (5.6) | (14.7) | | Defense Home Games | 26.0 | 14.7 | 21.3 | 29:55 | 37-155 | (4.2) | 19-33 | 58.0% | 196 | (5.9) | 70-351 | (5) | (13.5) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: UCF 31, MEMPHIS 22.5 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 8/30/2012 | @ AKRON | 56-14 | W | -24.5 | W | 48.5 | O | 46-206 | 14-19-180 | 1 | 27-69 | 31-54-256 | 4 | | 9/8/2012 | @ OHIO ST | 16-31 | L | 16 | W | 50 | U | 23-103 | 25-41-249 | 3 | 51-256 | 18-24-155 | 3 | | 9/15/2012 | FLA INTERNATIONAL | 33-20 | W | -14.5 | L | 49.5 | O | 40-170 | 21-32-261 | 2 | 34-152 | 13-29-154 | 1 | | 9/29/2012 | MISSOURI | 16-21 | L | -2 | L | 48.5 | U | 35-128 | 29-45-267 | 1 | 29-89 | 19-30-257 | 1 | | 10/4/2012 | E CAROLINA | 40-20 | W | -12 | W | 45 | O | 36-167 | 15-21-269 | 1 | 29-64 | 23-36-298 | 1 | | 10/13/2012 | SOUTHERN MISS | 38-31 | W | -16.5 | L | 52 | O | 42-182 | 27-40-272 | 0 | 36-194 | 14-27-165 | 2 | | 10/20/2012 | @ MEMPHIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | @ MARSHALL | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/3/2012 | SMU | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | @ UTEP | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | @ TULSA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/1/2012 | TENN-MARTIN | 17-20 | L | -9 | L | | - | 44-202 | 12-28-157 | 3 | 38-181 | 19-39-211 | 3 | | 9/8/2012 | @ ARKANSAS ST | 28-33 | L | 23.5 | W | 60 | O | 32-139 | 14-24-154 | 0 | 54-317 | 23-43-302 | 1 | | 9/15/2012 | MIDDLE TENN ST | 30-48 | L | 5.5 | L | 54.5 | O | 33-74 | 26-37-325 | 4 | 45-179 | 23-31-260 | 1 | | 9/22/2012 | @ DUKE | 14-38 | L | 21.5 | L | 61 | U | 28-71 | 13-22-81 | 0 | 44-177 | 27-40-323 | 4 | | 10/6/2012 | RICE | 14-10 | W | 5.5 | W | 60 | U | 51-164 | 9-14-81 | 2 | 28-104 | 16-30-117 | 1 | | 10/13/2012 | @ E CAROLINA | 7-41 | L | 17.5 | L | 48.5 | U | 43-115 | 16-26-166 | 2 | 32-61 | 25-33-308 | 2 | | 10/20/2012 | UCF | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | @ SMU | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/3/2012 | @ MARSHALL | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | TULANE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | @ UAB | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| UCF is 5-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS since 1992 | | UCF is 7-0 straight up against MEMPHIS since 1992 | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| MEMPHIS is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons | | UCF is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MEMPHIS is 2-1 against the spread versus UCF since 1992 | | UCF is 3-0 straight up against MEMPHIS since 1992 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| MEMPHIS is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons | | UCF is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 10/29/2011 | MEMPHIS | 0 | 48 | Under | 0 | 6 | 19:57 | 21-33 | 10-25 | 101 | 1 | 0 | 3-25 | | | UCF | 41 | -29.5 | SU ATS | 21 | 28 | 40:03 | 49-261 | 20-27 | 244 | 0 | 0 | 5-45 | | 11/27/2010 | UCF | 37 | -26.5 | SU Under | 16 | 17 | 31:51 | 38-104 | 14-17 | 252 | 1 | 0 | 6-42 | | | MEMPHIS | 17 | 56 | ATS | 7 | 14 | 28:09 | 21-23 | 21-34 | 272 | 1 | 1 | 5-35 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 50% of the time since 1992. (70-70) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MEMPHIS games 44.1% of the time since 1992. (82-104) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MEMPHIS games 52% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-12) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 45.9% of the time since 1992. (39-46) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 42.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MEMPHIS games 47.8% of the time since 1992. (43-47) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MEMPHIS games 52.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-10) | |
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| [WR] 10/17/2012 - Rannell Hall is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Memphis ( Shoulder ) | |
| [QB] 08/30/2012 - Taylor Reed has transfered to Arkansas ( None ) | | [RB] 09/22/2012 - Jerrell Rhodes out indefinitely ( Personal ) | | [DL] 10/10/2012 - Zach Gholson out for season ( Foot ) |
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