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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:00 PM
C MICHIGAN (2-2) AT TOLEDO (4-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
373: C MICHIGAN
374: TOLEDO
68.0
-11.5
25.3 / 38.5
30.6 / 23.0
2-2
4-1
1-3-0
4-1-0
2-0-1
1-3-0
159.3
177.0
239.8
270.4
399.0
447.4
245.8
161.0
218.0
306.6
463.8
467.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
C MICHIGAN  
TOLEDO-21
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
C MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-12-315-171-03-17-51-11-44-28
in all games1-38-2075-832-015-947-402-28-20109-130
when playing against a team with a winning record0-12-823-241-08-215-120-10-1019-50
in weeks 5 through 90-11-1029-341-06-515-180-12-940-52
in all lined games1-38-2075-832-015-947-402-28-2069-94
as an underdog1-25-1340-532-013-428-141-22-1617-79
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points1-02-18-61-03-04-31-01-23-11
in road games1-15-1139-522-012-431-191-13-1343-86
in road lined games1-15-1139-522-012-431-191-13-1330-62
in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-02-20-00-02-20-00-01-3
against conference opponents0-14-1356-551-09-829-290-14-1382-83
when playing on a Saturday1-25-1462-692-012-633-271-24-1587-116
when playing with 6 or less days rest0-14-1454-621-011-729-300-13-1580-94
after playing a conference game0-04-1046-610-09-527-300-03-1169-93
in games played on turf1-35-1447-502-08-729-292-28-1157-56
in October games0-01-927-290-05-513-160-02-837-44
off a loss against a conference rival0-02-821-330-05-59-80-03-719-36

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-06-220-120-05-27-50-08-027-6
in all games4-118-1288-761-316-1358-514-121-10154-87
off a win against a conference rival0-18-638-330-011-323-191-012-351-24
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-15-625-300-17-416-152-08-460-32
in weeks 5 through 91-06-429-340-15-517-191-08-259-32
in all lined games4-118-1288-761-316-1358-514-121-1099-69
as a favorite1-110-756-360-19-626-202-015-274-20
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-01-25-60-02-03-00-03-09-2
in home games1-17-747-300-17-532-132-010-489-28
in home lined games1-17-747-300-17-532-132-010-456-21
in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-13-20-01-05-00-00-13-2
against conference opponents2-013-565-480-210-839-332-016-2113-51
when playing on a Saturday4-113-666-521-39-937-294-114-5126-63
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-111-757-491-210-738-284-015-3111-52
after playing a conference game0-19-758-490-012-437-311-014-3106-53
in games played on turf3-112-1062-451-212-948-314-015-880-40
in October games0-05-426-280-05-415-150-07-253-26
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
C MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-2+31-32-025.215.2399.0(6)2.038.521.5463.7(6.6)0.5
Road Games1-1+41-12-028.018.5428.0(6.1)1.043.019.0526.0(7.5)0.5
Last 3 Games1-2+31-22-021.012.3367.0(5.5)1.742.320.7515.7(7.1)0.7
Turf Games2-2+31-32-025.215.2399.0(6)2.038.521.5463.7(6.6)0.5
Conference Games0-1-10-11-024.014.0462.0(6.5)2.055.024.0622.0(7.1)0.0
C MICHIGAN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.215.221.530:4033-159(4.8)19-3456.6%240(7.1)67-399(6)(15.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.613.220.530:0239-183(4.6)16-2856.2%181(6.5)67-363(5.4)(16)
Offense Road Games28.018.522.034:2232-120(3.7)23-3761.3%307(8.2)70-428(6.1)(15.3)
Defense (All Games)38.521.522.229:2041-246(5.9)16-2858.4%218(7.7)70-464(6.6)(12)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.316.11930:5839-182(4.7)17-2958.2%192(6.7)68-374(5.5)(14.2)
Defense Road Games43.019.025.525:3841-311(7.5)15-2951.7%215(7.4)70-526(7.5)(12.2)

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-1+2.64-11-330.617.0447.4(5.8)0.623.010.8467.6(6.2)2.2
Home Games2-0+11-10-132.517.0427.0(6.3)1.021.58.5391.5(5.4)0.5
Last 3 Games3-0+22-10-234.018.0458.3(6.7)0.720.08.0396.0(5.4)1.7
Turf Games4-0+3.63-11-234.017.7469.7(6.5)0.522.711.0428.5(5.9)2.0
Conference Games2-0+22-00-232.018.5486.5(7.1)0.516.05.0378.0(5.4)2.5
TOLEDO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.617.023.832:1040-177(4.5)23-3762.4%270(7.3)77-447(5.8)(14.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.715.320.231:2139-165(4.2)22-3463.8%243(7.1)73-408(5.6)(13.7)
Offense Home Games32.517.020.030:1335-121(3.5)24-3273.8%306(9.4)67-427(6.3)(13.1)
Defense (All Games)23.010.823.427:5034-161(4.7)26-4263.5%307(7.4)76-468(6.2)(20.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.113.522.229:2434-130(3.8)26-4261.3%297(7.1)76-427(5.6)(15.7)
Defense Home Games21.58.519.529:4731-105(3.3)27-4165.1%286(6.9)73-391(5.4)(18.2)
Average power rating of opponents played: C MICHIGAN 28.5,  TOLEDO 24
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
C MICHIGAN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/30/2012SE MISSOURI ST38-27W-27.5L -45-32414-23-171342-18811-18-1200
9/8/2012MICHIGAN ST7-41L17.5L48P22-7217-38-173341-17325-37-3221
9/22/2012@ IOWA32-31W14W51O34-11126-35-283028-21516-25-2151
9/29/2012@ N ILLINOIS24-55L10L57O31-13020-40-332255-40714-33-2150
10/6/2012@ TOLEDO            
10/12/2012NAVY            
10/20/2012BALL ST            
10/27/2012AKRON            
11/3/2012W MICHIGAN            

TOLEDO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012@ ARIZONA17-24L10.5W64U47-16121-47-197141-23730-47-3873
9/8/2012@ WYOMING34-31W3.5W58.5O44-20425-41-300036-18422-32-3423
9/15/2012BOWLING GREEN27-15W-3W61U39-13021-29-322129-13524-36-2161
9/22/2012COASTAL CAROLINA38-28W-29L -31-11227-36-290134-7630-47-3560
9/29/2012@ W MICHIGAN37-17W1W57U37-27822-33-243030-17326-46-2324
10/6/2012C MICHIGAN            
10/13/2012@ E MICHIGAN            
10/20/2012CINCINNATI            
10/27/2012@ BUFFALO            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TOLEDO is 7-6 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 12-8 straight up against C MICHIGAN since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TOLEDO since 1992
TOLEDO is 4-3 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 6-3 straight up against C MICHIGAN since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/18/2011TOLEDO44-14SU ATS202434:5741-23624-33275006-65
 C MICHIGAN1774 Under102025:0324-11320-37233015-53
11/26/2010C MICHIGAN3152 Over141830:4126-6328-39322215-63
 TOLEDO42-4SU ATS282029:1933-8425-33332006-30
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring C MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in C MICHIGAN games 47.2% of the time since 1992. (67-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in C MICHIGAN games 41.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 51.7% of the time since 1992. (76-71)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-14)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in C MICHIGAN games 38.8% of the time since 1992. (31-49)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in C MICHIGAN games 36.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 48% of the time since 1992. (48-52)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 60.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-11)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
C MICHIGAN
[OL] 09/30/2012 - Jake Olson is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Toledo ( Knee )
[WR] 10/03/2012 - Jerry Harris is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Toledo ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 10/03/2012 - Alex Smith expected to miss Saturday vs. Toledo ( Undisclosed )
TOLEDO
[DT] 10/04/2012 - Danny Farr is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Knee )
[DE] 10/01/2012 - T.J. Fatinikun out for season ( Achilles )
[OL] 10/01/2012 - Zac Kerin injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 10/01/2012 - Christian Smith injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Knee )
[DE] 10/02/2012 - Keenen Gibbs expected to miss Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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