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Page last updated on Sat Mar 28 23:05:20 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:20 PM
CINCINNATI (9-3) AT N CAROLINA (6-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
225: CINCINNATI
226: N CAROLINA
57.0
-2.5
33.3 / 19.5
32.2 / 25.1
9-3
6-6
6-6-0
6-5-1
7-4-1
4-8-0
168.3
146.2
314.0
286.2
482.3
432.4
98.7
183.6
214.5
224.0
313.2
407.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CINCINNATI  
N CAROLINA-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-02-04-70-02-05-60-02-06-5
when the line is +3 to -33-16-323-223-16-412-203-16-422-24
in all games6-622-15126-1097-418-1660-769-329-9149-115
in all lined games6-622-15126-1097-418-1660-769-329-9132-108
as an underdog1-14-363-481-16-227-301-14-437-78
as a neutral field underdog of 3 points or less0-01-01-00-01-01-00-01-01-0
against ACC opponents0-03-04-20-02-12-30-03-03-3
when playing on a Saturday5-417-13105-894-413-1342-547-223-7122-97
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-13-316-150-13-311-100-15-123-13
after playing a conference game4-313-866-595-211-935-456-117-482-54
after a bye week1-24-421-182-15-315-131-26-227-17
in games played on a grass field0-16-437-330-15-524-190-17-331-44
in games played on a neutral field0-03-05-70-03-06-60-03-07-5
in December games0-14-19-71-05-09-60-14-111-5
in non-conference games2-210-654-462-18-423-343-113-372-54
off a loss against a conference rival0-13-229-241-02-311-191-04-133-26

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-17-50-01-07-60-00-17-6
when the line is +3 to -31-01-222-281-03-020-201-01-222-28
in all games6-518-18127-1264-818-1782-906-621-16147-120
in all lined games6-518-18127-1264-818-1782-906-621-16137-119
as a favorite4-215-1165-723-413-1236-485-220-7102-38
against American Athletic conference opponents0-00-310-120-01-210-110-02-112-10
when playing on a Saturday5-415-16114-1154-617-1373-786-420-12134-109
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-10-317-170-12-113-150-10-318-17
after playing a conference game6-112-1088-764-314-854-595-212-1099-73
after a bye week1-12-321-210-22-316-190-20-522-21
in games played on a grass field6-518-15116-1194-815-1772-846-621-13137-111
in games played on a neutral field0-00-19-50-01-08-60-00-18-7
in December games0-00-14-60-01-05-50-00-15-6
in non-conference games1-26-640-382-25-629-272-29-459-32
off a loss against a conference rival2-18-346-351-26-525-341-26-551-36
when playing against a team with a winning record3-38-858-523-310-644-482-47-948-63
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-3-1.26-67-433.317.2482.3(6.3)2.219.510.3313.2(4.8)1.7
Road Games4-2-4.23-33-326.813.7467.3(5.9)2.321.010.8286.2(4.4)1.5
Last 3 Games2-1+12-12-133.320.7540.0(6.7)2.321.78.0355.7(4.6)1.7
Grass Games0-1-4.20-10-120.06.0350.0(5.1)4.026.023.0241.0(4.4)1.0
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.317.224.631:4040-168(4.2)24-3668.1%314(8.7)76-482(6.3)(14.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.416.121.931:4938-168(4.4)20-3362.4%254(7.8)71-422(5.9)(13.4)
Offense Road Games26.813.724.331:2338-141(3.8)26-4163.8%326(8)79-467(5.9)(17.4)
Defense (All Games)19.510.317.228:1931-99(3.1)20-3458.0%214(6.4)65-313(4.8)(16.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.911.618.829:0833-118(3.5)20-3557.9%230(6.6)68-347(5.1)(15.2)
Defense Road Games21.010.815.328:3733-94(2.9)18-3354.1%192(5.9)65-286(4.4)(13.6)

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-6-5.46-54-832.219.5432.4(6)1.425.112.7407.6(5.3)1.6
Road Games2-3-12-31-421.615.8347.4(5.1)1.625.614.8384.4(5.3)1.0
Last 3 Games2-1-0.22-12-146.329.3497.0(7.3)1.724.711.0397.0(5.1)1.3
Grass Games6-6-5.46-54-832.219.5432.4(6)1.425.112.7407.6(5.3)1.6
N CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)32.219.521.327:1237-146(4)22-3562.9%286(8.2)72-432(6)(13.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.213.619.730:3538-155(4.1)19-3258.8%229(7.2)70-384(5.5)(14.7)
Offense Road Games21.615.818.226:2234-120(3.5)20-3459.3%227(6.6)69-347(5.1)(16.1)
Defense (All Games)25.112.721.532:4844-184(4.1)18-3257.1%224(6.9)77-408(5.3)(16.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.3116.221.230:2540-179(4.5)20-3261.2%238(7.4)72-418(5.8)(13.5)
Defense Road Games25.614.820.033:3846-172(3.7)15-2658.1%213(8.2)72-384(5.3)(15)
Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 25.5,  N CAROLINA 36.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/30/2013@ MEMPHIS34-21W-2W44.5O41-10829-37-329128-9217-33-1402
11/9/2013SMU28-25W-6.5L67U45-16327-32-299320-4838-47-4030
11/16/2013@ RUTGERS52-17W-1W54O28-11228-43-507233-10827-51-2492
11/23/2013@ HOUSTON24-17W1.5W60U40-17230-51-401331-3318-41-2452
12/5/2013LOUISVILLE24-31L3L48.5O39-12422-41-304241-17723-37-2551
12/28/2013*N CAROLINA            

N CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/2/2013@ NC STATE27-19W-5W55.5U38-15224-38-275148-21214-29-1762
11/9/2013VIRGINIA45-14W-13W52.5O41-20116-29-214140-11222-43-2042
11/16/2013@ PITTSBURGH34-27W1.5W53.5O35-14915-27-173240-4623-39-3132
11/23/2013OLD DOMINION80-20W-17W78O40-31221-28-409138-22515-34-1461
11/30/2013DUKE25-27L-5L61.5U39-22517-36-223246-18723-36-2741
12/28/2013*CINCINNATI            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (107-92)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 55.7% of the time since 1992. (123-98)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 56.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-14)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 45.4% of the time since 1992. (54-65)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 55.6% of the time since 1992. (84-67)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-18)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
No significant injuries.
N CAROLINA
[RB] 12/08/2013 - A.J. Blue "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Back )
[OL] 12/08/2013 - Caleb Peterson "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 12/08/2013 - Eric Ebron "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Shoulder )
[QB] 11/05/2013 - Bryn Renner out for season ( Shoulder )
[WR] 08/15/2013 - Dalton Stogner out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 08/15/2013 - Nathan Staub out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DB] 08/15/2013 - Sam Smiley out for season ( Toe )
[LB] 08/15/2013 - Shakeel Rashad out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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