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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 3-2 | 5-5 | 26-22 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 11-18 | 3-2 | 6-4 | 35-13 | | in all games | 6-4 | 18-17 | 118-103 | 4-5 | 13-19 | 51-72 | 8-3 | 22-14 | 138-112 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-0 | 5-1 | 34-30 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 12-17 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 50-19 | | in all lined games | 6-4 | 18-17 | 118-103 | 4-5 | 13-19 | 51-72 | 8-3 | 22-14 | 121-105 | | as a favorite | 5-4 | 14-10 | 56-56 | 2-5 | 7-13 | 25-43 | 7-2 | 19-5 | 85-28 | | as a road favorite | 1-1 | 4-2 | 18-21 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 26-13 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9-3 | | in road games | 1-1 | 5-8 | 54-50 | 1-2 | 4-10 | 27-31 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 47-67 | | in road lined games | 1-1 | 5-8 | 54-50 | 1-2 | 4-10 | 27-31 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 43-64 | | in a road game where the total is 42 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | | in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | | against conference opponents | 4-1 | 9-10 | 67-59 | 2-4 | 7-13 | 31-39 | 4-2 | 11-9 | 70-59 | | when playing on a Saturday | 4-4 | 14-15 | 99-85 | 3-3 | 10-15 | 37-50 | 6-2 | 18-11 | 114-95 | | after playing a conference game | 3-2 | 8-10 | 60-56 | 1-3 | 6-11 | 28-43 | 4-1 | 10-8 | 74-53 | | in games played on a grass field | 2-0 | 5-6 | 35-32 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 22-18 | 2-0 | 6-5 | 29-43 | | in December games | 0-0 | 2-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-4 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-2 | 4-6 | 31-33 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 18-24 | 2-1 | 6-4 | 42-27 |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 2-2 | 7-4 | 21-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 12-17 | 2-3 | 7-5 | 16-17 | | in all games | 3-5 | 15-18 | 80-59 | 3-8 | 15-19 | 44-53 | 5-6 | 18-18 | 84-83 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 5-4 | 13-14 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 12-13 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 12-15 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 0-0 | 3-2 | 18-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 22-15 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 8-4 | 35-23 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 26-23 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 26-33 | | in all lined games | 3-5 | 15-18 | 80-59 | 3-8 | 15-19 | 44-53 | 5-6 | 18-18 | 71-72 | | as an underdog | 2-3 | 8-10 | 48-35 | 2-5 | 8-12 | 25-34 | 2-5 | 8-12 | 25-60 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 1-0 | 4-0 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 7-4 | | in home games | 2-2 | 11-6 | 39-25 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 21-25 | 3-2 | 13-5 | 54-31 | | in home lined games | 2-2 | 11-6 | 39-25 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 21-25 | 3-2 | 13-5 | 42-24 | | in a home game where the total is 42 or less | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 7-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4-6 | | in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 7-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4-6 | | against conference opponents | 2-3 | 10-9 | 36-28 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 28-31 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 29-37 | | when playing on a Saturday | 1-4 | 11-14 | 68-49 | 2-6 | 11-15 | 37-38 | 3-5 | 14-14 | 70-73 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-5 | 9-12 | 51-39 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 31-27 | 3-4 | 11-11 | 56-54 | | after playing a conference game | 2-2 | 10-7 | 34-25 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 27-26 | 2-3 | 10-8 | 29-33 | | in games played on a grass field | 2-2 | 13-13 | 64-43 | 1-6 | 11-16 | 32-43 | 4-3 | 16-13 | 73-62 | | in December games | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-5 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-3 | +1 | 6-4 | 4-5 | 30.7 | 14.7 | 437.5 | (6.4) | 1.6 | 17.2 | 7.6 | 373.8 | (5.2) | 1.9 | | Road Games | 2-2 | -0.3 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 28.7 | 15.0 | 449.5 | (6.5) | 1.7 | 24.2 | 10.0 | 387.0 | (5.6) | 1.5 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | -0.7 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 21.3 | 12.3 | 395.0 | (6.3) | 0.7 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 331.0 | (4.7) | 1.7 | | Grass Games | 2-0 | +2.9 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 30.5 | 15.0 | 483.5 | (7.1) | 1.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 334.5 | (5.1) | 2.0 | | Conference Games | 4-2 | +0.3 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 27.3 | 14.2 | 412.0 | (6.3) | 1.3 | 16.3 | 6.8 | 401.8 | (5.3) | 1.7 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 30.7 | 14.7 | 20.9 | 28:46 | 39-211 | (5.4) | 16-29 | 54.7% | 226 | (7.9) | 68-438 | (6.4) | (14.2) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27.3 | 13.6 | 21 | 30:36 | 38-174 | (4.5) | 18-30 | 60.9% | 231 | (7.6) | 69-405 | (5.9) | (14.8) | | Offense Road Games | 28.7 | 15.0 | 21.2 | 29:32 | 37-194 | (5.3) | 15-32 | 47.3% | 255 | (7.9) | 69-449 | (6.5) | (15.6) | | Defense (All Games) | 17.2 | 7.6 | 19.4 | 31:14 | 36-139 | (3.9) | 20-36 | 55.1% | 235 | (6.4) | 72-374 | (5.2) | (21.8) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 23.9 | 10.8 | 19.8 | 30:24 | 35-139 | (3.9) | 21-34 | 61.1% | 240 | (7.1) | 69-378 | (5.5) | (15.8) | | Defense Road Games | 24.2 | 10.0 | 18.2 | 30:28 | 37-155 | (4.2) | 16-32 | 52.0% | 231 | (7.3) | 69-387 | (5.6) | (16) |
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| All Games | 5-6 | -0.7 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 17.8 | 11.1 | 313.4 | (4.7) | 2.1 | 18.5 | 6.7 | 305.7 | (4.5) | 1.0 | | Home Games | 3-2 | -0.7 | 2-2 | 0-5 | 21.2 | 15.0 | 339.4 | (5) | 1.8 | 12.2 | 3.4 | 272.4 | (4.2) | 1.2 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +3.6 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 17.7 | 12.3 | 304.3 | (4.5) | 1.7 | 16.7 | 2.3 | 344.7 | (4.7) | 0.7 | | Grass Games | 4-3 | -0.7 | 2-2 | 1-6 | 19.4 | 13.1 | 321.0 | (4.8) | 1.9 | 13.6 | 4.4 | 264.3 | (4.1) | 1.3 | | Conference Games | 2-4 | -0.7 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 13.3 | 10.7 | 304.7 | (4.5) | 2.2 | 21.0 | 6.7 | 358.3 | (5) | 0.8 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 17.8 | 11.1 | 16.7 | 30:60 | 35-93 | (2.6) | 18-31 | 57.5% | 221 | (7.1) | 66-313 | (4.7) | (17.6) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 26.6 | 13.7 | 20 | 30:09 | 38-156 | (4.1) | 18-31 | 59.7% | 227 | (7.4) | 69-384 | (5.5) | (14.4) | | Offense Home Games | 21.2 | 15.0 | 16.6 | 32:55 | 40-107 | (2.7) | 17-28 | 62.1% | 232 | (8.3) | 68-339 | (5) | (16) | | Defense (All Games) | 18.5 | 6.7 | 16.0 | 28:59 | 36-100 | (2.8) | 17-32 | 53.3% | 205 | (6.4) | 68-306 | (4.5) | (16.5) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 24.4 | 12 | 20.1 | 30:51 | 37-143 | (3.8) | 20-33 | 58.4% | 236 | (7.1) | 71-378 | (5.4) | (15.5) | | Defense Home Games | 12.2 | 3.4 | 12.6 | 27:05 | 36-90 | (2.5) | 14-29 | 48.3% | 183 | (6.4) | 64-272 | (4.2) | (22.3) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 28.5, CONNECTICUT 31.5 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 10/6/2012 | MIAMI OHIO | 52-14 | W | -19.5 | W | 58 | O | 50-272 | 13-23-157 | 0 | 19-59 | 27-53-320 | 4 | | 10/13/2012 | FORDHAM | 49-17 | W | -40 | L | | - | 33-210 | 15-24-262 | 0 | 29-42 | 31-42-262 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | @ TOLEDO | 23-29 | L | -5 | L | 64.5 | U | 35-251 | 15-37-227 | 2 | 43-229 | 13-24-126 | 1 | | 10/26/2012 | @ LOUISVILLE | 31-34 | L | 3 | T | 53 | O | 41-196 | 13-28-157 | 3 | 37-108 | 24-41-416 | 1 | | 11/3/2012 | SYRACUSE | 35-24 | W | -4.5 | W | 56 | O | 53-263 | 16-27-207 | 3 | 41-193 | 23-47-286 | 2 | | 11/10/2012 | @ TEMPLE | 34-10 | W | -8 | W | 56 | U | 40-228 | 13-21-244 | 0 | 35-125 | 12-32-142 | 1 | | 11/17/2012 | RUTGERS | 3-10 | L | -6.5 | L | 47.5 | U | 28-90 | 17-31-251 | 2 | 47-234 | 11-20-186 | 2 | | 11/23/2012 | S FLORIDA | 27-10 | W | -14 | W | 50.5 | U | 40-194 | 17-27-178 | 0 | 38-130 | 21-39-176 | 2 | | 12/1/2012 | @ CONNECTICUT | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 10/6/2012 | @ RUTGERS | 3-19 | L | 7.5 | L | 40 | U | 28-53 | 14-33-191 | 5 | 35-123 | 18-27-157 | 1 | | 10/13/2012 | TEMPLE | 14-17 | L | -5 | L | 41 | U | 41-88 | 22-39-293 | 1 | 49-202 | 13-26-132 | 2 | | 10/19/2012 | @ SYRACUSE | 10-40 | L | 5 | L | 43.5 | O | 18--6 | 23-41-296 | 2 | 53-251 | 14-20-251 | 0 | | 11/3/2012 | @ S FLORIDA | 6-13 | L | 7 | T | 46.5 | U | 31-43 | 24-38-284 | 3 | 34-81 | 20-32-202 | 1 | | 11/9/2012 | PITTSBURGH | 24-17 | W | 3.5 | W | 43.5 | U | 42-132 | 19-25-213 | 1 | 25-48 | 19-34-302 | 0 | | 11/24/2012 | @ LOUISVILLE | 23-20 | W | 10 | W | 46 | U | 39-149 | 9-28-92 | 1 | 28-27 | 35-65-374 | 1 | | 12/1/2012 | CINCINNATI | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| CONNECTICUT is 5-3 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 | | CINCINNATI is 6-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1992 | | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | | CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| CONNECTICUT is 3-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 | | CONNECTICUT is 2-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | | CONNECTICUT is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 12/3/2011 | CONNECTICUT | 27 | 47.5 | Over | 6 | 15 | 31:26 | 34-18 | 20-40 | 252 | 2 | 1 | 8-65 | | | CINCINNATI | 35 | -7.5 | SU ATS | 28 | 18 | 28:34 | 40-102 | 15-35 | 217 | 1 | 2 | 9-92 | | 11/27/2010 | CINCINNATI | 17 | 55.5 | Under | 10 | 26 | 26:19 | 27-111 | 26-50 | 288 | 1 | 4 | 5-39 | | | CONNECTICUT | 38 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 24 | 22 | 33:41 | 52-236 | 11-24 | 121 | 0 | 1 | 9-94 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.5% of the time since 1992. (99-86) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-17) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (70-60) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-14) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 43.4% of the time since 1992. (46-60) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 53.7% of the time since 1992. (44-38) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 57.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-11) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [Backup QB] 08/09/2012 - Michael Nebrich expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [TE] 08/18/2012 - Sean McQuillan out for season ( Undisclosed ) | | [RB] 08/30/2012 - D.J. Shoemate out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [DE] 09/13/2012 - Ted Jennings out for season ( Knee ) | | [DE] 09/17/2012 - Jesse Joseph out for season ( Achilles ) | | [FB] 11/01/2012 - Michael Osiecki has left team ( Concussion ) | | [T] 10/30/2012 - Adam Masters out for season ( Ankle ) | | [DE] 11/01/2012 - EJ Norris out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [QB] 11/29/2012 - Chandler Whitmer is upgraded to probable, but may not start Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Concussion ) |
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