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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
CINCINNATI (5-0) AT TOLEDO (6-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
331: CINCINNATI
332: TOLEDO
64.5
+5.0
37.0 / 14.4
36.4 / 28.1
5-0
6-1
3-2-0
5-2-0
2-1-0
3-3-0
220.6
188.9
244.8
286.1
465.4
475.0
101.6
167.7
250.6
308.7
352.2
476.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CINCINNATI-4 
TOLEDO  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points1-03-324-200-12-410-151-04-233-11
in all games3-215-15115-1012-111-1549-685-019-11135-109
against MAC opponents1-04-014-101-02-27-101-04-017-7
when playing on a Saturday2-212-1397-832-09-1236-474-016-9112-93
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-18-974-691-08-727-382-010-784-75
in games played on turf2-211-971-661-17-927-514-014-698-62
in October games1-15-439-361-04-48-222-07-244-38
in non-conference games2-29-651-432-06-520-324-011-468-52
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-15-532-302-05-421-223-08-245-22
when playing against a team with a winning record1-06-648-331-04-823-301-05-740-48
in weeks 5 through 92-16-444-382-05-412-233-08-250-41
in all lined games3-215-15115-1012-111-1549-685-019-11118-102
as a favorite2-211-853-541-16-924-394-016-382-26
as a road favorite0-03-117-200-01-310-130-04-025-12
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-16-50-00-14-20-01-09-2
in road games0-04-753-490-03-826-290-05-646-65
in road lined games0-04-753-490-03-826-290-05-642-62
in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-01-10-00-01-10-00-00-2

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points1-04-015-171-02-214-141-04-012-21
in all games5-219-1389-773-318-1360-516-123-10156-87
against Big East conference opponents0-00-14-70-01-04-20-00-14-7
when playing on a Saturday5-214-767-533-311-939-296-116-5128-63
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-212-858-503-212-740-286-017-3113-52
after playing a conference game1-210-859-502-014-439-313-016-3108-53
in games played on turf4-213-1163-463-214-950-316-017-882-40
in October games1-16-527-292-07-417-152-09-255-26
in non-conference games2-15-723-281-16-519-182-15-841-36
off a win against a conference rival1-29-739-342-013-325-193-014-353-24
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-26-726-312-19-418-154-010-462-32
when playing against a team with a winning record0-04-623-280-09-121-200-06-430-37
in weeks 5 through 92-17-530-352-17-519-193-010-261-32
in all lined games5-219-1389-773-318-1360-516-123-10101-69
as an underdog3-08-532-401-27-732-312-16-825-49
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-05-20-00-04-20-00-03-4
in home games2-18-748-301-18-533-133-011-490-28
in home lined games2-18-748-301-18-533-133-011-457-21
in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 701-01-14-21-02-06-01-01-14-2
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-0+3.93-22-137.016.2465.4(6.8)1.614.45.4352.2(5.1)2.4
Road Games1-0+1.91-01-027.06.0495.0(6.6)2.024.07.0402.0(6.3)3.0
Last 3 Games3-0+2.92-12-042.714.7465.3(6.8)0.718.39.0361.7(5.2)2.7
Turf Games4-0+22-21-139.518.7458.0(6.9)1.512.05.0339.7(4.8)2.2
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)37.016.222.428:3739-221(5.7)16-2956.6%245(8.4)68-465(6.8)(12.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.3114.721.729:1840-205(5.1)17-2961.1%228(8)68-433(6.3)(14)
Offense Road Games27.06.024.030:1032-103(3.2)20-4346.5%392(9.1)75-495(6.6)(18.3)
Defense (All Games)14.45.418.231:2330-102(3.4)23-4059.1%251(6.3)70-352(5.1)(24.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.219.618.631:4131-107(3.4)23-3662.5%249(6.8)68-357(5.3)(16.9)
Defense Road Games24.07.016.029:5034-160(4.7)17-3056.7%242(8.1)64-402(6.3)(16.7)

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-1+4.65-23-336.417.6475.0(6.3)1.128.112.1476.4(6.5)2.0
Home Games3-0+22-11-138.317.0429.0(6.1)1.726.012.7385.3(5.4)1.0
Last 3 Games3-0+32-12-146.319.3536.3(7.5)1.733.012.7467.3(6.6)2.3
Turf Games6-0+5.64-23-239.718.2494.5(6.8)1.228.812.5451.8(6.3)1.8
TOLEDO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)36.417.623.731:1739-189(4.9)23-3763.2%286(7.8)76-475(6.3)(13)
Opponents Defensive Avg.32.415.621.431:1940-187(4.7)21-3362.9%241(7.3)73-428(5.9)(13.2)
Offense Home Games38.317.021.029:4535-142(4)25-3570.5%287(8.2)70-429(6.1)(11.2)
Defense (All Games)28.112.123.928:4334-168(5)25-4063.3%309(7.7)74-476(6.5)(16.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.113.821.830:4235-145(4.2)23-3860.0%268(7)73-413(5.7)(15.2)
Defense Home Games26.012.720.330:1529-86(3)27-4264.6%300(7.1)71-385(5.4)(14.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 19.8,  TOLEDO 23
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/6/2012PITTSBURGH34-10W-4.5W50.5U31-25914-28-205042-13724-37-2782
9/15/2012DELAWARE ST23-7W-44.5L -49-25920-27-208626-11018-36-1512
9/29/2012*VIRGINIA TECH27-24W6W47O32-10320-43-392234-16017-30-2423
10/6/2012MIAMI OHIO52-14W-19.5W58O50-27213-23-157019-5927-53-3204
10/13/2012FORDHAM49-17W-40L -33-21015-24-262029-4231-42-2621
10/20/2012@ TOLEDO            
10/26/2012@ LOUISVILLE            
11/3/2012SYRACUSE            
11/10/2012@ TEMPLE            
11/17/2012RUTGERS            

TOLEDO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012@ ARIZONA17-24L10.5W64U47-16121-47-197141-23730-47-3873
9/8/2012@ WYOMING34-31W3.5W58.5O44-20425-41-300036-18422-32-3423
9/15/2012BOWLING GREEN27-15W-3W61U39-13021-29-322129-13524-36-2161
9/22/2012COASTAL CAROLINA38-28W-29L -31-11227-36-290134-7630-47-3560
9/29/2012@ W MICHIGAN37-17W1W57U37-27822-33-243030-17326-46-2324
10/6/2012C MICHIGAN50-35W-11.5W64O36-18326-40-250324-4628-44-3272
10/13/2012@ E MICHIGAN52-47W-15L55O37-25421-32-401241-32318-29-3011
10/20/2012CINCINNATI            
10/27/2012@ BUFFALO            
11/6/2012BALL ST            
11/14/2012@ N ILLINOIS            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
TOLEDO is 2-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at TOLEDO since 1992
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO since 1992
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TOLEDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (97-83)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 51% of the time since 1992. (76-73)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 45.5% of the time since 1992. (46-55)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 47.1% of the time since 1992. (48-54)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-13)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
No significant injuries.
TOLEDO
[DT] 10/14/2012 - Danny Farr "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Knee )
[DE] 10/01/2012 - T.J. Fatinikun out for season ( Achilles )
[DE] 10/07/2012 - Christian Smith out indefinitely ( Knee )
[WR] 10/16/2012 - Cassius McDowell is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Leg )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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