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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
DUKE (9-2) AT N CAROLINA (6-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
353: DUKE
354: N CAROLINA
60.5
-5.0
34.3 / 22.8
32.8 / 24.9
9-2
6-5
9-2-0
6-4-1
5-5-1
4-7-0
179.3
139.0
239.4
292.0
418.6
431.0
165.0
183.3
225.4
219.5
390.4
402.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DUKE  
N CAROLINA-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points1-14-535-351-15-419-170-22-713-58
in all games9-221-15121-1185-519-1453-529-218-1865-188
in all lined games9-221-15121-1185-519-1453-529-218-1858-186
as an underdog4-112-13102-963-215-1046-433-28-1733-169
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-02-08-60-00-21-40-02-06-8
in road games4-07-762-541-27-618-314-07-724-95
in road lined games4-07-762-541-27-618-314-07-724-95
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-02-16-20-02-14-50-02-13-6
against conference opponents6-113-1087-844-214-835-405-29-1430-145
when playing on a Saturday9-221-14120-1155-518-1451-529-218-1765-184
when playing with 6 or less days rest6-217-11104-924-316-1047-406-214-1452-151
after playing a conference game5-111-1077-814-115-536-325-18-1337-131
in games played on a grass field7-216-15109-1125-418-1150-487-213-1857-178
in November games3-04-634-352-07-219-153-03-710-60
off a win against a conference rival4-06-213-152-16-17-74-06-211-18
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins5-18-313-123-26-46-85-18-314-11
when playing against a team with a winning record3-010-659-471-210-627-223-07-918-89

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points2-08-529-270-25-818-262-010-342-15
in all games6-418-17127-1254-718-1682-896-521-15147-119
in all lined games6-418-17127-1254-718-1682-896-521-15137-118
as a favorite4-115-1065-713-313-1136-475-120-6102-37
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points1-03-010-80-12-15-71-03-012-6
in home games4-113-660-643-311-737-434-216-487-50
in home lined games4-113-660-643-311-737-434-216-477-49
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 631-12-14-41-12-13-51-12-13-5
against conference opponents5-212-1187-872-513-1053-624-312-1188-87
when playing on a Saturday5-315-15114-1144-517-1273-776-320-11134-108
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-212-1292-914-214-1059-604-215-9106-84
in games played on a grass field6-418-14116-1184-715-1672-836-521-12137-110
in November games4-07-339-383-16-422-274-07-346-31
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins3-05-434-393-07-223-243-06-343-31
when playing against a team with a winning record3-28-758-513-210-544-472-37-848-62
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-2+99-25-534.315.5418.6(5.9)1.722.813.8390.4(5.3)1.9
Road Games4-0+6.74-01-226.08.5379.5(5.3)2.216.710.7308.7(4.3)2.2
Last 3 Games3-0+3.43-02-038.015.0414.0(6)1.723.711.3408.3(5.4)2.3
Grass Games7-2+77-25-435.716.6417.4(6)1.724.014.6423.2(5.5)1.9
Conference Games5-2+6.16-14-233.013.3385.4(5.7)2.028.416.7434.6(5.6)1.9
DUKE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)34.315.520.627:4839-179(4.6)20-3264.5%239(7.5)71-419(5.9)(12.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.215.220.329:1538-162(4.2)19-3260.2%229(7.2)70-391(5.6)(13.8)
Offense Road Games26.08.520.028:1538-141(3.7)20-3458.5%238(7.1)72-379(5.3)(14.6)
Defense (All Games)22.813.820.732:1242-165(3.9)18-3255.9%225(7)74-390(5.3)(17.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.912.719.231:5040-167(4.2)17-3056.7%203(6.7)71-370(5.2)(14.9)
Defense Road Games16.710.717.231:4539-121(3.1)17-3252.8%187(5.9)71-309(4.3)(18.4)

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-5-3.26-44-732.819.9431.0(6)1.424.912.3402.7(5.3)1.6
Home Games4-2-2.24-13-342.223.3500.7(6.7)1.224.310.2418.0(5.2)2.2
Last 3 Games3-0+33-03-053.031.3486.0(7.3)1.320.35.3348.7(4.5)1.7
Grass Games6-5-3.26-44-732.819.9431.0(6)1.424.912.3402.7(5.3)1.6
Conference Games4-3+15-22-528.618.6393.0(5.7)1.421.710.6378.4(5.1)1.7
N CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)32.819.921.327:2637-139(3.8)22-3564.3%292(8.4)72-431(6)(13.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.413.519.529:2638-155(4.1)19-3259.2%227(7.2)69-381(5.5)(14.4)
Offense Home Games42.223.323.828:2039-155(4)24-3568.4%346(9.8)74-501(6.7)(11.9)
Defense (All Games)24.912.321.032:3444-183(4.1)18-3256.4%219(6.9)76-403(5.3)(16.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.3116.221.231:3440-179(4.5)20-3261.2%238(7.4)72-417(5.8)(13.4)
Defense Home Games24.310.221.831:3943-193(4.5)20-3755.4%225(6.1)80-418(5.2)(17.2)
Average power rating of opponents played: DUKE 31.1,  N CAROLINA 36.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DUKE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/12/2013NAVY35-7W-4W57U37-13432-39-301050-2306-14-893
10/19/2013@ VIRGINIA35-22W2.5W52.5O44-18022-40-292139-10020-38-2631
10/26/2013@ VIRGINIA TECH13-10W12W47U28-917-26-107446-17321-38-2144
11/9/2013NC STATE38-20W-11W57O31-12320-34-198448-16413-33-2484
11/16/2013MIAMI48-30W3W64O52-35816-24-185029-18630-49-3791
11/23/2013@ WAKE FOREST28-21W-6.5W49P35-12125-32-257140-12412-27-1242
11/30/2013@ N CAROLINA            

N CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/5/2013@ VIRGINIA TECH17-27L8L45U38-9923-35-277334-4819-28-2930
10/17/2013MIAMI23-27L8.5W65.5U36-10532-43-395245-23419-35-3224
10/26/2013BOSTON COLLEGE34-10W-5.5W59U44-11022-29-282038-20211-22-591
11/2/2013@ NC STATE27-19W-5W55.5U38-15224-38-275148-21214-29-1762
11/9/2013VIRGINIA45-14W-13W52.5O41-20116-29-214140-11222-43-2042
11/16/2013@ PITTSBURGH34-27W1.5W53.5O35-14915-27-173240-4623-39-3132
11/23/2013OLD DOMINION80-20W-17W78O40-31221-28-409138-22515-34-1461
11/30/2013DUKE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
DUKE is 11-10 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992
N CAROLINA is 19-2 straight up against DUKE since 1992
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1992
N CAROLINA is 5-5 against the spread versus DUKE since 1992
N CAROLINA is 9-1 straight up against DUKE since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/20/2012N CAROLINA30-10.5 Over62226:2138-17720-33237202-20
 DUKE3362.5SU ATS202833:3953-23423-36276018-79
11/26/2011DUKE2156 Over141523:3121-4626-41285229-79
 N CAROLINA37-14SU ATS202536:2940-18722-35321019-75
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DUKE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 51% of the time since 1992. (107-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 55.5% of the time since 1992. (122-98)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-14)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 50% of the time since 1992. (47-47)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 56% of the time since 1992. (84-66)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-17)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DUKE
[DL] 11/24/2013 - Jonathan Woodruff "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Arm )
[DL] 10/15/2013 - Jamal Wallace out for season ( Ankle )
[DL] 09/19/2013 - A.J. Wolf out indefinitely ( Leg )
[LB] 08/30/2013 - Britton Grier out indefinitely ( Upper Body )
[DB] 08/30/2013 - Jared Boyd out indefinitely ( Leg )
[QB] 08/30/2013 - Thomas Sirk out indefinitely ( Achilles )
[OL] 08/15/2013 - Tanner Stone out for season ( Ankle )
N CAROLINA
[RB] 11/24/2013 - A.J. Blue "?" Saturday vs. Duke ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 11/24/2013 - Caleb Peterson "?" Saturday vs. Duke ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 11/24/2013 - Eric Ebron "?" Saturday vs. Duke ( Shoulder )
[QB] 11/05/2013 - Bryn Renner out for season ( Shoulder )
[WR] 08/15/2013 - Dalton Stogner out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 08/15/2013 - Nathan Staub out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DB] 08/15/2013 - Sam Smiley out for season ( Toe )
[LB] 08/15/2013 - Shakeel Rashad out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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