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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:00 PM
E CAROLINA (3-2) AT UCF (2-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
303: E CAROLINA
304: UCF
46.5
-11.5
20.6 / 24.0
30.3 / 21.5
3-2
2-2
3-2-0
2-2-0
1-3-0
2-2-0
120.2
151.8
225.6
239.3
345.8
391.0
124.2
141.5
280.4
205.5
404.6
347.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
E CAROLINA  
UCF-11 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
E CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-23-521-221-14-411-70-21-76-37
in all games3-216-14115-1101-316-1364-673-214-16123-121
in weeks 5 through 91-07-442-400-13-817-261-07-447-40
in all lined games3-216-14115-1101-316-1364-673-214-16111-120
as an underdog1-210-1165-641-213-838-391-27-1439-95
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-01-16-60-01-14-20-01-13-9
in road games1-26-858-551-28-627-331-25-949-70
in road lined games1-26-858-551-28-627-331-25-948-69
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-00-08-80-00-08-80-00-08-8
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-00-07-30-00-03-70-00-06-4
against conference opponents2-011-769-600-210-836-422-011-779-53
when playing on a Thursday0-01-03-70-01-05-50-01-04-6
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-213-1087-711-312-1142-472-211-1292-79
after playing a conference game0-16-1064-650-111-542-390-15-1163-67
in games played on a grass field2-214-1294-841-214-1151-552-213-13100-93
in October games0-06-440-360-03-713-240-06-443-36
off a win against a conference rival0-13-740-360-17-326-270-13-742-35

UCF - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-13-411-101-04-36-71-05-218-3
in all games2-217-1282-742-212-1643-532-218-1297-105
when playing against a team with a winning record0-05-317-210-04-412-140-03-511-32
in weeks 5 through 90-15-428-290-16-317-130-16-339-35
in all lined games2-217-1282-742-212-1643-532-217-1274-85
as a favorite1-213-1041-372-110-1222-252-116-758-21
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-02-15-20-01-21-40-02-15-2
in home games0-28-637-331-14-918-261-111-462-32
in home lined games0-28-637-331-14-918-261-110-441-29
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-13-113-70-11-37-120-13-111-9
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-12-112-50-11-27-90-12-19-8
against conference opponents0-010-749-400-010-732-290-011-651-42
when playing on a Thursday1-01-22-21-02-12-21-01-21-3
when playing with 6 or less days rest0-19-956-551-08-1029-361-010-869-68
in games played on a grass field0-212-1166-581-19-1332-451-115-985-80
in October games0-05-326-230-06-216-90-06-235-28
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
E CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-2+3.23-21-320.67.4345.8(4.9)2.424.011.6404.6(5.6)2.2
Road Games1-2+1.21-21-213.33.0288.0(4.5)2.029.712.7434.0(5.8)1.3
Last 3 Games2-1+2.22-10-319.37.7312.0(4.6)1.719.79.0358.7(5)2.3
Grass Games2-2+12-21-219.78.5375.2(5.2)3.026.512.7424.7(6)2.0
Conference Games2-0+3.22-00-226.08.5351.5(5.1)2.016.08.5313.0(4.3)3.5
E CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)20.67.418.831:6033-120(3.7)23-3762.0%226(6)70-346(4.9)(16.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.812.820.632:0238-152(4)21-3362.5%218(6.6)71-370(5.2)(14.9)
Offense Road Games13.33.014.731:1530-79(2.6)20-3557.7%209(6)65-288(4.5)(21.6)
Defense (All Games)24.011.621.027:6035-124(3.6)20-3853.2%280(7.5)72-405(5.6)(16.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2614.219.828:5637-152(4.1)18-3157.0%232(7.5)68-384(5.6)(14.7)
Defense Road Games29.712.722.728:4535-117(3.3)22-3956.8%317(8.1)75-434(5.8)(14.6)

UCF - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-2-1.32-22-230.219.5391.0(5.6)1.721.56.0347.0(5)2.2
Home Games1-1-0.30-21-124.516.5413.0(5.4)1.520.53.5326.0(5.3)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-1.31-21-221.714.3392.7(5.5)2.024.08.0354.3(5.4)1.7
Grass Games1-1-0.30-21-124.516.5413.0(5.4)1.520.53.5326.0(5.3)1.0
UCF - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.219.520.531:5236-152(4.2)22-3465.0%239(7)70-391(5.6)(12.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.116.120.932:0136-136(3.8)23-3761.8%263(7.1)73-400(5.5)(13.3)
Offense Home Games24.516.524.034:1837-149(4)25-3864.9%264(6.9)76-413(5.4)(16.9)
Defense (All Games)21.56.018.727:4835-141(4)20-3459.1%205(6)69-347(5)(16.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.314.920.729:1937-160(4.3)22-3661.4%247(6.9)73-407(5.6)(13)
Defense Home Games20.53.515.525:4231-120(3.8)16-2954.2%205(7)61-326(5.3)(15.9)
Average power rating of opponents played: E CAROLINA 31.4,  UCF 30.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
E CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012APPALACHIAN ST35-13W-14W -35-14828-43-242232-11923-40-3003
9/8/2012@ S CAROLINA10-48L21L50O24-7030-47-333534-13123-40-3971
9/15/2012@ SOUTHERN MISS24-14W7W56.5U33-5713-27-171043-9117-35-2333
9/22/2012@ N CAROLINA6-27L14.5L63.5U33-10917-30-124129-12927-43-3210
9/29/2012UTEP28-18W-4W48.5U39-21728-40-258436-15110-30-1514
10/4/2012@ UCF            
10/13/2012MEMPHIS            
10/20/2012@ UAB            
10/27/2012NAVY            
11/3/2012HOUSTON            

UCF - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/30/2012@ AKRON56-14W-24.5W48.5O46-20614-19-180127-6931-54-2564
9/8/2012@ OHIO ST16-31L16W50U23-10325-41-249351-25618-24-1553
9/15/2012FLA INTERNATIONAL33-20W-14.5L49.5O40-17021-32-261234-15213-29-1541
9/29/2012MISSOURI16-21L-2L48.5U35-12829-45-267129-8919-30-2571
10/4/2012E CAROLINA            
10/13/2012SOUTHERN MISS            
10/20/2012@ MEMPHIS            
10/27/2012@ MARSHALL            
11/3/2012SMU            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
UCF is 4-3 against the spread versus E CAROLINA since 1992
E CAROLINA is 8-2 straight up against UCF since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at UCF since 1992
UCF is 2-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA since 1992
E CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against UCF since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at UCF over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/19/2011UCF31-7 Over171634:1042-11518-32198029-96
 E CAROLINA3851SU ATS171825:5035-18619-31203115-43
10/30/2010E CAROLINA3553.5 Over142129:5226-11139-54310012-15
 UCF49-8.5SU ATS282130:0848-2658-12159103-24
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring E CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E CAROLINA games 48.7% of the time since 1992. (94-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E CAROLINA games 52% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 50.7% of the time since 1992. (70-68)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-13)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E CAROLINA games 54.1% of the time since 1992. (60-51)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E CAROLINA games 57.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 45.8% of the time since 1992. (38-45)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 41.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
E CAROLINA
[DE] 09/11/2012 - Justin Dixon out for season ( Knee )
[CB] 10/02/2012 - Jacobi Jenkins expected to miss Thursday vs. Central Florida ( Leg )
[WR] 09/25/2012 - Dayon Arrington dismissed from team ( Legal problems )
[RB] 10/02/2012 - Reggie Bullock expected to miss Thursday vs. Central Florida ( Concussion )
[LB] 10/02/2012 - Daniel Drake probable Thursday vs. Central Florida ( Leg )
UCF
[RB] 10/02/2012 - Latavius Murray probable Thursday vs. East Carolina ( Shoulder )
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