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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-2 | 3-5 | 21-22 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11-7 | 0-2 | 1-7 | 6-37 | | in all games | 3-2 | 16-14 | 115-110 | 1-3 | 16-13 | 64-67 | 3-2 | 14-16 | 123-121 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 1-0 | 7-4 | 42-40 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 17-26 | 1-0 | 7-4 | 47-40 | | in all lined games | 3-2 | 16-14 | 115-110 | 1-3 | 16-13 | 64-67 | 3-2 | 14-16 | 111-120 | | as an underdog | 1-2 | 10-11 | 65-64 | 1-2 | 13-8 | 38-39 | 1-2 | 7-14 | 39-95 | | as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-9 | | in road games | 1-2 | 6-8 | 58-55 | 1-2 | 8-6 | 27-33 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 49-70 | | in road lined games | 1-2 | 6-8 | 58-55 | 1-2 | 8-6 | 27-33 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 48-69 | | in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-8 | | in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-4 | | against conference opponents | 2-0 | 11-7 | 69-60 | 0-2 | 10-8 | 36-42 | 2-0 | 11-7 | 79-53 | | when playing on a Thursday | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-6 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 2-2 | 13-10 | 87-71 | 1-3 | 12-11 | 42-47 | 2-2 | 11-12 | 92-79 | | after playing a conference game | 0-1 | 6-10 | 64-65 | 0-1 | 11-5 | 42-39 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 63-67 | | in games played on a grass field | 2-2 | 14-12 | 94-84 | 1-2 | 14-11 | 51-55 | 2-2 | 13-13 | 100-93 | | in October games | 0-0 | 6-4 | 40-36 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13-24 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 43-36 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 3-7 | 40-36 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 26-27 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 42-35 |
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| as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11-10 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 18-3 | | in all games | 2-2 | 17-12 | 82-74 | 2-2 | 12-16 | 43-53 | 2-2 | 18-12 | 97-105 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-0 | 5-3 | 17-21 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11-32 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 28-29 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 17-13 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 39-35 | | in all lined games | 2-2 | 17-12 | 82-74 | 2-2 | 12-16 | 43-53 | 2-2 | 17-12 | 74-85 | | as a favorite | 1-2 | 13-10 | 41-37 | 2-1 | 10-12 | 22-25 | 2-1 | 16-7 | 58-21 | | as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-2 | | in home games | 0-2 | 8-6 | 37-33 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 18-26 | 1-1 | 11-4 | 62-32 | | in home lined games | 0-2 | 8-6 | 37-33 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 18-26 | 1-1 | 10-4 | 41-29 | | in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 13-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 11-9 | | in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 12-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 9-8 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 10-7 | 49-40 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 32-29 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 51-42 | | when playing on a Thursday | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 1-3 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 0-1 | 9-9 | 56-55 | 1-0 | 8-10 | 29-36 | 1-0 | 10-8 | 69-68 | | in games played on a grass field | 0-2 | 12-11 | 66-58 | 1-1 | 9-13 | 32-45 | 1-1 | 15-9 | 85-80 | | in October games | 0-0 | 5-3 | 26-23 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 35-28 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 3-2 | +3.2 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 20.6 | 7.4 | 345.8 | (4.9) | 2.4 | 24.0 | 11.6 | 404.6 | (5.6) | 2.2 | | Road Games | 1-2 | +1.2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 13.3 | 3.0 | 288.0 | (4.5) | 2.0 | 29.7 | 12.7 | 434.0 | (5.8) | 1.3 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +2.2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 19.3 | 7.7 | 312.0 | (4.6) | 1.7 | 19.7 | 9.0 | 358.7 | (5) | 2.3 | | Grass Games | 2-2 | +1 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 19.7 | 8.5 | 375.2 | (5.2) | 3.0 | 26.5 | 12.7 | 424.7 | (6) | 2.0 | | Conference Games | 2-0 | +3.2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 351.5 | (5.1) | 2.0 | 16.0 | 8.5 | 313.0 | (4.3) | 3.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 20.6 | 7.4 | 18.8 | 31:60 | 33-120 | (3.7) | 23-37 | 62.0% | 226 | (6) | 70-346 | (4.9) | (16.8) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 24.8 | 12.8 | 20.6 | 32:02 | 38-152 | (4) | 21-33 | 62.5% | 218 | (6.6) | 71-370 | (5.2) | (14.9) | | Offense Road Games | 13.3 | 3.0 | 14.7 | 31:15 | 30-79 | (2.6) | 20-35 | 57.7% | 209 | (6) | 65-288 | (4.5) | (21.6) | | Defense (All Games) | 24.0 | 11.6 | 21.0 | 27:60 | 35-124 | (3.6) | 20-38 | 53.2% | 280 | (7.5) | 72-405 | (5.6) | (16.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26 | 14.2 | 19.8 | 28:56 | 37-152 | (4.1) | 18-31 | 57.0% | 232 | (7.5) | 68-384 | (5.6) | (14.7) | | Defense Road Games | 29.7 | 12.7 | 22.7 | 28:45 | 35-117 | (3.3) | 22-39 | 56.8% | 317 | (8.1) | 75-434 | (5.8) | (14.6) |
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| All Games | 2-2 | -1.3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 30.2 | 19.5 | 391.0 | (5.6) | 1.7 | 21.5 | 6.0 | 347.0 | (5) | 2.2 | | Home Games | 1-1 | -0.3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 24.5 | 16.5 | 413.0 | (5.4) | 1.5 | 20.5 | 3.5 | 326.0 | (5.3) | 1.0 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -1.3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 21.7 | 14.3 | 392.7 | (5.5) | 2.0 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 354.3 | (5.4) | 1.7 | | Grass Games | 1-1 | -0.3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 24.5 | 16.5 | 413.0 | (5.4) | 1.5 | 20.5 | 3.5 | 326.0 | (5.3) | 1.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 30.2 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 31:52 | 36-152 | (4.2) | 22-34 | 65.0% | 239 | (7) | 70-391 | (5.6) | (12.9) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 30.1 | 16.1 | 20.9 | 32:01 | 36-136 | (3.8) | 23-37 | 61.8% | 263 | (7.1) | 73-400 | (5.5) | (13.3) | | Offense Home Games | 24.5 | 16.5 | 24.0 | 34:18 | 37-149 | (4) | 25-38 | 64.9% | 264 | (6.9) | 76-413 | (5.4) | (16.9) | | Defense (All Games) | 21.5 | 6.0 | 18.7 | 27:48 | 35-141 | (4) | 20-34 | 59.1% | 205 | (6) | 69-347 | (5) | (16.1) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 31.3 | 14.9 | 20.7 | 29:19 | 37-160 | (4.3) | 22-36 | 61.4% | 247 | (6.9) | 73-407 | (5.6) | (13) | | Defense Home Games | 20.5 | 3.5 | 15.5 | 25:42 | 31-120 | (3.8) | 16-29 | 54.2% | 205 | (7) | 61-326 | (5.3) | (15.9) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: E CAROLINA 31.4, UCF 30.8 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/1/2012 | APPALACHIAN ST | 35-13 | W | -14 | W | | - | 35-148 | 28-43-242 | 2 | 32-119 | 23-40-300 | 3 | | 9/8/2012 | @ S CAROLINA | 10-48 | L | 21 | L | 50 | O | 24-70 | 30-47-333 | 5 | 34-131 | 23-40-397 | 1 | | 9/15/2012 | @ SOUTHERN MISS | 24-14 | W | 7 | W | 56.5 | U | 33-57 | 13-27-171 | 0 | 43-91 | 17-35-233 | 3 | | 9/22/2012 | @ N CAROLINA | 6-27 | L | 14.5 | L | 63.5 | U | 33-109 | 17-30-124 | 1 | 29-129 | 27-43-321 | 0 | | 9/29/2012 | UTEP | 28-18 | W | -4 | W | 48.5 | U | 39-217 | 28-40-258 | 4 | 36-151 | 10-30-151 | 4 | | 10/4/2012 | @ UCF | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/13/2012 | MEMPHIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/20/2012 | @ UAB | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | NAVY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/3/2012 | HOUSTON | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| UCF is 4-3 against the spread versus E CAROLINA since 1992 | | E CAROLINA is 8-2 straight up against UCF since 1992 | | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | UCF is 1-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| UCF is 2-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA since 1992 | | E CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against UCF since 1992 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | UCF is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 11/19/2011 | UCF | 31 | -7 | Over | 17 | 16 | 34:10 | 42-115 | 18-32 | 198 | 0 | 2 | 9-96 | | | E CAROLINA | 38 | 51 | SU ATS | 17 | 18 | 25:50 | 35-186 | 19-31 | 203 | 1 | 1 | 5-43 | | 10/30/2010 | E CAROLINA | 35 | 53.5 | Over | 14 | 21 | 29:52 | 26-111 | 39-54 | 310 | 0 | 1 | 2-15 | | | UCF | 49 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 28 | 21 | 30:08 | 48-265 | 8-12 | 159 | 1 | 0 | 3-24 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E CAROLINA games 48.7% of the time since 1992. (94-99) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E CAROLINA games 52% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-12) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 50.7% of the time since 1992. (70-68) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-13) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in E CAROLINA games 54.1% of the time since 1992. (60-51) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in E CAROLINA games 57.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-11) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 45.8% of the time since 1992. (38-45) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCF games 41.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-14) | |
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| [DE] 09/11/2012 - Justin Dixon out for season ( Knee ) | | [CB] 10/02/2012 - Jacobi Jenkins expected to miss Thursday vs. Central Florida ( Leg ) | | [WR] 09/25/2012 - Dayon Arrington dismissed from team ( Legal problems ) | | [RB] 10/02/2012 - Reggie Bullock expected to miss Thursday vs. Central Florida ( Concussion ) | | [LB] 10/02/2012 - Daniel Drake probable Thursday vs. Central Florida ( Leg ) | |
| [RB] 10/02/2012 - Latavius Murray probable Thursday vs. East Carolina ( Shoulder ) |
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