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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:00 PM
FLORIDA ST (6-1) AT MIAMI (4-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
365: FLORIDA ST
366: MIAMI
56.5
+21.0
46.0 / 11.6
27.9 / 32.3
6-1
4-3
3-4-0
4-3-0
3-2-0
4-2-0
233.3
140.7
297.4
296.9
530.7
437.6
74.9
254.4
147.1
252.9
222.0
507.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
FLORIDA ST-15 
MIAMI 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
FLORIDA ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-36-639-401-23-926-412-19-366-13
in all games3-417-16128-1243-211-2081-976-125-9198-62
in all lined games3-317-15128-1233-211-2081-975-123-9191-62
as a favorite3-415-12110-1063-27-1861-816-122-5177-40
as a road favorite0-25-439-420-21-822-381-16-360-22
in road games0-26-647-540-24-834-461-17-567-35
in road lined games0-26-647-540-24-834-461-17-567-35
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-01-27-90-01-26-100-01-27-9
against conference opponents2-210-1183-813-19-1251-503-114-7132-34
when playing on a Saturday3-414-15110-1053-211-1669-736-122-8174-47
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-413-1289-833-29-1554-645-119-6141-36
after playing a conference game1-211-981-802-16-1454-593-016-4126-38
in games played on a grass field3-415-16119-1183-211-1874-916-123-9187-58
in October games1-16-439-391-14-630-231-17-360-19
off a win against a conference rival0-27-662-661-13-1037-482-011-2100-30
when playing against a team with a winning record0-210-1072-611-16-1452-611-113-784-49
in weeks 5 through 91-26-544-421-24-731-262-18-367-20

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-12-13-51-11-25-41-11-21-8
in all games4-316-16117-1194-214-1580-1014-317-15179-73
in all lined games4-316-16117-1194-214-1580-1014-317-15166-73
as an underdog2-26-530-222-26-526-231-33-822-31
as a home underdog of 17.5 to 21 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in home games2-17-951-641-15-830-502-19-799-29
in home lined games2-17-951-641-15-830-502-19-786-29
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 631-03-18-41-02-25-71-04-012-0
against conference opponents4-012-872-743-110-948-583-111-9106-43
when playing on a Saturday4-314-1299-994-211-1366-814-315-11152-60
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-310-1373-743-28-1346-643-311-12115-42
after playing a conference game1-29-969-712-16-1142-631-210-8103-43
in games played on a grass field3-215-1497-1012-211-1565-873-216-13147-64
in October games1-16-636-400-25-725-290-26-659-19
off a loss against a conference rival0-04-315-220-02-413-180-06-124-16
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-00-18-90-01-08-70-00-19-9
when playing against a team with a winning record3-111-764-532-28-948-562-29-974-45
in weeks 5 through 92-17-639-451-26-729-311-27-665-21
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
FLORIDA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-1-123-43-246.026.9530.7(7.9)1.111.64.9222.0(3.4)1.4
Road Games1-1-130-20-223.014.5384.0(5.8)0.517.01.5296.5(4)2.0
Last 3 Games2-1-131-21-232.320.0472.3(7)1.013.73.3272.7(3.9)1.7
Grass Games6-1-123-43-246.026.9530.7(7.9)1.111.64.9222.0(3.4)1.4
Conference Games3-1-132-23-142.024.7567.7(8)1.515.27.0275.5(3.9)0.7
FLORIDA ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)46.026.924.029:3737-233(6.3)22-3071.8%297(9.8)67-531(7.9)(11.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.39.621.222.730:5441-216(5.3)21-3265.6%255(8)72-470(6.5)(11.9)
Offense Road Games23.014.518.031:4138-154(4.1)18-2864.3%230(8.2)66-384(5.8)(16.7)
Defense (All Games)11.64.913.326:5831-75(2.4)17-3448.9%147(4.3)64-222(3.4)(19.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.20.711.717.328:2335-114(3.2)19-3454.9%217(6.3)70-331(4.8)(16)
Defense Road Games17.01.517.528:1929-95(3.2)23-4453.4%201(4.6)73-296(4)(17.4)

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-3+44-34-227.913.7437.6(6.1)1.632.316.4507.3(6.5)1.9
Home Games2-102-11-132.015.7497.3(6.5)1.721.712.0501.7(6)3.0
Last 3 Games1-2-12-11-220.311.0450.3(6.2)1.032.014.0579.0(7)2.3
Grass Games3-2+43-22-228.213.8477.2(6.5)1.428.414.2502.2(6.4)1.8
Conference Games3-1+64-03-135.217.5522.5(6.4)1.530.717.7527.7(6.5)2.5
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)27.913.721.425:3931-141(4.5)24-4058.3%297(7.3)72-438(6.1)(15.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.412.319.628:2635-151(4.3)21-3559.2%234(6.7)70-384(5.5)(16.4)
Offense Home Games32.015.724.026:4035-160(4.5)22-4154.5%337(8.2)76-497(6.5)(15.5)
Defense (All Games)32.316.426.934:2049-254(5.1)17-2959.8%253(8.7)79-507(6.5)(15.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.916.121.732:3443-208(4.8)17-2957.4%214(7.4)72-422(5.9)(14.1)
Defense Home Games21.712.026.733:2048-243(5.1)20-3654.6%259(7.2)84-502(6)(23.2)
Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA ST 25,  MIAMI 38.1
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
FLORIDA ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012MURRAY ST69-3W-44W -42-28525-35-321232-3919-38-1173
9/8/2012SAVANNAH ST55-0W-67L -23-16717-21-246018-192-15-91
9/15/2012WAKE FOREST52-0W-27.5W51O45-38519-28-227135-4310-24-830
9/22/2012CLEMSON49-37W-14.5L55O40-28727-35-380238-13622-39-2901
9/29/2012@ S FLORIDA30-17W-17L53U40-18319-26-242032-12517-33-1433
10/6/2012@ NC STATE16-17L-17L53.5U36-12517-30-218127-6630-55-2591
10/13/2012BOSTON COLLEGE51-7W-29W52.5O33-20129-38-448232-9616-33-1291
10/20/2012@ MIAMI            
10/27/2012DUKE            
11/8/2012@ VIRGINIA TECH            
11/17/2012@ MARYLAND            

MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012@ BOSTON COLLEGE41-32W-2.5W43O34-20828-45-207134-10132-51-4413
9/8/2012@ KANSAS ST13-52L7L58O29-4021-28-222360-2889-11-2101
9/15/2012BETHUNE-COOKMAN38-10W-35L -29-21520-35-211253-23310-26-1222
9/22/2012@ GEORGIA TECH42-36W14W61O32-17331-52-436258-2873-8-1320
9/29/2012NC STATE44-37W-2W56.5O32-8526-49-566146-22424-42-4406
10/6/2012*NOTRE DAME3-41L16.5L55.5U18-8418-35-201051-37619-26-2110
10/13/2012N CAROLINA14-18L7.5W71U45-18021-39-235244-27225-40-2141
10/20/2012FLORIDA ST            
11/1/2012VIRGINIA TECH            
11/10/2012@ VIRGINIA            
11/17/2012S FLORIDA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
MIAMI is 11-10 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1992
FLORIDA ST is 11-10 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1992
FLORIDA ST is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
MIAMI is 6-5 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1992
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/12/2011MIAMI1951 ATS72432:4436-14022-34243219-55
 FLORIDA ST23-12.5SU Under171327:1629-6317-231960010-76
10/9/2010FLORIDA ST4549.5SU ATS241932:0441-29812-21173018-79
 MIAMI17-5.5 Over72727:5636-18920-49235118-56
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring FLORIDA ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 55.5% of the time since 1992. (127-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 55.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49% of the time since 1992. (98-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 61.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-10)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 46.4% of the time since 1992. (70-81)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51% of the time since 1992. (80-77)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-12)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
FLORIDA ST
[CB] 08/04/2012 - Greg Reid has been dismissed ( Dismissed )
[RB] 08/08/2012 - Mario Pender out for season ( Groin )
[DT] 08/23/2012 - Jacobbi McDaniel out for season ( Ankle )
[DT] 10/17/2012 - Derrick Mitchell doubtful Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Back )
[DT] 10/17/2012 - Moses McCray doubtful Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Concussion )
[OL] 10/12/2012 - Daniel Foose out for season ( Back )
[TE] 08/31/2012 - Dan Hicks out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 09/04/2012 - Brandon Jenkins out for season ( Foot )
[S] 10/17/2012 - Justin Bright doubtful Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Head )
[LB] 10/17/2012 - Ukeme Eligwe doubtful Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Hand )
[T] 10/17/2012 - Garrett Faircloth doubtful Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Hip )
[DE] 09/24/2012 - Chris Cashner out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 09/29/2012 - Colin Blake out for season ( Shoulder )
[OL] 10/17/2012 - Trey Pettis doubtful Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Head )
[WR] 10/19/2012 - Josh Gehres expected to miss Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Hamstring )
MIAMI
[LB] 09/09/2012 - Ramon Buchanan out for season ( Leg )
[LS] 09/17/2012 - Sean McNally out for season ( Lower Body )
[WR] 09/23/2012 - Malcolm Lewis out for season ( Ankle )
[OL] 10/01/2012 - Jermaine Johnson out indefinitely ( Personal )
[OL] 10/18/2012 - Ben Jones out for season ( Foot )
[S] 10/14/2012 - Rayshawn Jenkins "?" Saturday vs. Florida State ( Upper Body )
[QB] 10/14/2012 - Stephen Morris is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Florida State ( Ankle )
[QB] 10/15/2012 - Ryan Williams expected to start Saturday vs. Florida State ( None )
[RB] 10/16/2012 - Duke Johnson probable Saturday vs. Florida State ( Toe )
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