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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
FLORIDA ST (5-0) AT NC STATE (3-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
337: FLORIDA ST
338: NC STATE
54.0
+16.0
51.0 / 11.4
30.2 / 21.4
5-0
3-2
2-3-0
1-3-1
2-1-0
2-2-0
261.4
161.2
283.2
284.4
544.6
445.6
72.4
112.2
128.4
278.6
200.8
390.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
FLORIDA ST-15 
NC STATE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
FLORIDA ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-26-539-391-13-826-402-09-266-12
in all games2-316-15127-1232-110-1980-965-024-8197-61
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-26-865-702-14-1034-513-010-4102-33
when playing against a team with a winning record0-110-972-601-06-1352-601-013-684-48
in weeks 5 through 90-15-443-410-13-630-251-07-266-19
in all lined games2-216-14127-1222-110-1980-964-022-8190-61
as a favorite2-314-11109-1052-16-1760-805-021-4176-39
as a road favorite0-15-339-410-11-722-371-06-260-21
in road games0-16-547-530-14-734-451-07-467-34
in road lined games0-16-547-530-14-734-451-07-467-34
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-13-211-80-12-35-131-04-115-4
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-11-17-20-10-21-81-02-09-0
against conference opponents1-19-1082-802-08-1150-492-013-6131-33
when playing on a Saturday2-313-14109-1042-110-1568-725-021-7173-46
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-312-1188-822-18-1453-634-018-5140-35
in games played on a grass field2-314-15118-1172-110-1773-905-022-8186-57
in October games0-05-338-380-03-529-220-06-259-18

NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-00-116-120-00-110-120-00-16-22
in all games1-316-12108-1142-211-1767-773-220-11134-113
off a loss against a conference rival0-06-139-390-02-519-300-07-043-41
when playing against a team with a winning record0-18-554-491-05-940-430-18-648-61
in weeks 5 through 90-14-431-481-05-427-240-14-536-46
in all lined games1-316-12108-1142-211-1767-773-219-11116-113
as an underdog0-29-564-492-05-1045-410-28-746-72
as a home underdog of 14.5 to 17 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in home games1-19-453-560-15-734-382-013-285-46
in home lined games1-19-453-560-15-734-382-012-267-46
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-15-311-90-13-510-111-07-114-7
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-05-110-50-03-39-70-05-110-6
against conference opponents0-110-675-811-08-949-520-19-875-87
when playing on a Saturday1-212-1088-1001-29-1358-553-116-9112-97
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-210-1072-851-17-1246-542-112-889-79
after playing a conference game0-010-670-790-06-1046-490-010-674-84
in games played on a grass field1-216-9103-1061-210-1562-743-120-8129-104
in October games0-04-331-400-04-425-210-04-434-39
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
FLORIDA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-0+22-32-151.028.2544.6(8.1)1.011.45.4200.8(3.3)1.6
Road Games1-0+10-10-130.013.0425.0(6.4)0.017.03.0268.0(4.1)3.0
Last 3 Games3-0+21-22-143.721.7568.0(8)1.018.08.0273.3(4.1)1.3
Grass Games5-0+22-32-151.028.2544.6(8.1)1.011.45.4200.8(3.3)1.6
Conference Games2-0+11-12-050.526.0639.5(8.6)1.518.510.5276.0(4.1)0.5
FLORIDA ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)51.028.224.429:4338-261(6.9)21-2973.8%283(9.8)67-545(8.1)(10.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.44.823.923.730:0140-229(5.7)21-3266.7%260(8.1)72-488(6.8)(10.9)
Offense Road Games30.013.020.034:0840-183(4.6)19-2673.1%242(9.3)66-425(6.4)(14.2)
Defense (All Games)11.45.410.825:2931-72(2.3)14-3047.0%128(4.3)61-201(3.3)(17.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.18.51015.528:3535-111(3.2)18-3254.6%192(5.9)67-303(4.5)(16.4)
Defense Road Games17.03.014.025:5232-125(3.9)17-3351.5%143(4.3)65-268(4.1)(15.8)

NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-201-32-230.220.2445.6(5.7)2.621.410.4390.8(6)2.2
Home Games2-0+11-10-141.535.0449.5(5.9)1.010.53.5270.0(5)2.5
Last 3 Games2-101-21-140.028.0521.0(6.5)2.721.710.0397.0(6.3)2.0
Grass Games3-1+11-21-232.521.7455.2(5.8)2.218.07.5357.5(5.8)2.5
Conference Games0-1-10-11-037.014.0664.0(7.5)6.044.023.0651.0(8)1.0
NC STATE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.220.222.632:3843-161(3.8)22-3660.9%284(7.9)78-446(5.7)(14.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.220.420.731:1642-182(4.3)17-3058.4%224(7.6)72-406(5.7)(13)
Offense Home Games41.535.024.534:1947-204(4.4)21-2972.9%245(8.3)76-449(5.9)(10.8)
Defense (All Games)21.410.417.227:2233-112(3.4)19-3260.0%279(8.7)65-391(6)(18.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.112.918.429:4437-151(4.1)18-2959.6%215(7.3)66-366(5.5)(14.6)
Defense Home Games10.53.513.025:4132-125(3.9)14-2165.1%145(6.7)53-270(5)(25.7)
Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA ST 20.2,  NC STATE 24.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
FLORIDA ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012MURRAY ST69-3W-44W -42-28525-35-321232-3919-38-1173
9/8/2012SAVANNAH ST55-0W-67L -23-16717-21-246018-192-15-91
9/15/2012WAKE FOREST52-0W-27.5W51O45-38519-28-227135-4310-24-830
9/22/2012CLEMSON49-37W-14.5L55O40-28727-35-380238-13622-39-2901
9/29/2012@ S FLORIDA30-17W-17L53U40-18319-26-242032-12517-33-1433
10/6/2012@ NC STATE            
10/13/2012BOSTON COLLEGE            
10/20/2012@ MIAMI            
10/27/2012DUKE            

NC STATE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2012*TENNESSEE21-35L3L52.5O32-11927-48-288438-19127-41-3331
9/8/2012@ CONNECTICUT10-7W-3T48U41-5415-30-204132-3515-27-2044
9/15/2012S ALABAMA31-7W-29.5L50U43-12724-34-257023-5124-36-2633
9/22/2012THE CITADEL52-14W-19W -51-28219-25-233241-1994-7-272
9/29/2012@ MIAMI37-44L2L56.5O46-22424-42-440632-8526-49-5661
10/6/2012FLORIDA ST            
10/20/2012@ MARYLAND            
10/27/2012@ N CAROLINA            
11/3/2012VIRGINIA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NC STATE is 11-8 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1992
FLORIDA ST is 14-6 straight up against NC STATE since 1992
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NC STATE since 1992
NC STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1992
FLORIDA ST is 6-4 straight up against NC STATE since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NC STATE over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/29/2011NC STATE052 Under01227:3928-3619-34130123-20
 FLORIDA ST34-18.5SU ATS242332:2137-12325-34321015-42
10/28/2010FLORIDA ST24-4 Under211527:0233-17717-281962010-81
 NC STATE2858.5SU ATS72332:5853-18918-28178119-60
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring FLORIDA ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 55.5% of the time since 1992. (126-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 45.3% of the time since 1992. (86-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-11)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 46.3% of the time since 1992. (69-80)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 46.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1992. (62-65)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 44% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
FLORIDA ST
[CB] 08/04/2012 - Greg Reid has been dismissed ( Dismissed )
[RB] 08/08/2012 - Mario Pender out for season ( Groin )
[DT] 08/23/2012 - Jacobbi McDaniel out for season ( Ankle )
[DT] 10/05/2012 - Derrick Mitchell is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. NC State ( Back )
[DT] 10/05/2012 - Moses McCray is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. NC State ( Concussion )
[OL] 10/05/2012 - Daniel Foose is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. NC State ( Back )
[TE] 08/31/2012 - Dan Hicks out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 09/04/2012 - Brandon Jenkins out for season ( Foot )
[S] 10/05/2012 - Justin Bright is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. NC State ( Head )
[LB] 10/05/2012 - Ukeme Eligwe is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. NC State ( Hand )
[T] 10/05/2012 - Garrett Faircloth is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. NC State ( Hip )
[DE] 09/24/2012 - Chris Cashner out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 09/29/2012 - Colin Blake out for season ( Shoulder )
[OL] 10/05/2012 - Trey Pettis expected to miss Saturday vs. NC State ( Head )
NC STATE
No significant injuries.
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