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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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FRESNO ST | | | BOISE ST | -20 |  |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-0 | 4-1 | 28-20 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 16-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 20-29 | in all games | 6-0 | 16-14 | 118-123 | 2-3 | 18-12 | 76-72 | 4-2 | 16-16 | 147-111 | against conference opponents | 2-0 | 9-8 | 70-87 | 1-1 | 10-7 | 39-47 | 2-0 | 10-7 | 101-59 | when playing on a Saturday | 6-0 | 15-12 | 99-99 | 2-3 | 17-10 | 56-49 | 4-2 | 15-14 | 123-92 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 5-0 | 11-10 | 81-83 | 2-3 | 13-9 | 49-43 | 3-2 | 10-13 | 98-77 | after playing a conference game | 1-0 | 6-9 | 70-79 | 0-1 | 9-7 | 41-43 | 1-0 | 7-9 | 96-63 | in games played on turf | 6-0 | 10-2 | 39-30 | 2-3 | 6-5 | 31-17 | 4-2 | 6-6 | 31-39 | in October games | 1-0 | 3-5 | 29-45 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 18-23 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 45-33 | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 5-4 | 51-42 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 26-31 | 1-0 | 4-5 | 64-33 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 0-0 | 2-3 | 36-38 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 26-24 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 45-34 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-0 | 3-4 | 32-37 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 24-23 | 0-1 | 1-7 | 23-48 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-0 | 4-5 | 32-51 | 1-1 | 6-3 | 23-25 | 2-0 | 6-4 | 53-35 | in all lined games | 6-0 | 16-14 | 118-123 | 2-3 | 18-12 | 76-72 | 4-2 | 15-16 | 132-110 | as an underdog | 2-0 | 10-5 | 60-49 | 0-2 | 10-6 | 40-33 | 0-2 | 5-11 | 34-77 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 1-0 | 2-0 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7-9 | in road games | 3-0 | 9-5 | 59-62 | 0-3 | 10-5 | 41-37 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 54-70 | in road lined games | 3-0 | 9-5 | 59-62 | 0-3 | 10-5 | 41-37 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 52-70 | in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 12-7 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 11-9 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 10-10 |
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as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-1 | 1-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 25-3 | in all games | 3-2 | 17-14 | 105-63 | 2-3 | 15-15 | 53-59 | 4-1 | 28-3 | 154-34 | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 6-10 | 63-38 | 1-0 | 7-8 | 34-32 | 1-0 | 14-2 | 93-13 | when playing on a Saturday | 2-1 | 9-11 | 72-48 | 2-1 | 11-8 | 30-34 | 3-0 | 19-1 | 113-25 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-1 | 7-9 | 63-38 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 31-33 | 2-0 | 14-2 | 93-18 | in games played on turf | 2-1 | 10-12 | 65-44 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 33-43 | 3-0 | 20-2 | 105-17 | in October games | 1-0 | 6-3 | 33-22 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 19-15 | 1-0 | 9-0 | 53-6 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 1-1 | 10-10 | 72-41 | 2-0 | 11-9 | 42-42 | 2-0 | 18-2 | 105-14 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-0 | 5-4 | 37-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 20-24 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 42-11 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 36-24 | 2-0 | 7-3 | 20-16 | 2-0 | 10-0 | 58-7 | in all lined games | 3-2 | 17-14 | 105-63 | 2-3 | 15-15 | 53-59 | 4-1 | 28-3 | 143-28 | as a favorite | 2-2 | 15-14 | 84-53 | 2-2 | 14-14 | 46-48 | 4-0 | 27-2 | 129-10 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 4-0 | in home games | 1-1 | 4-10 | 50-30 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 21-29 | 2-0 | 13-1 | 86-7 | in home lined games | 1-1 | 4-10 | 50-30 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 21-29 | 2-0 | 13-1 | 75-6 | in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 22-1 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 4-2 | +2 | 6-0 | 2-3 | 39.5 | 25.8 | 495.3 | (6.4) | 1.3 | 23.3 | 14.8 | 337.7 | (4.8) | 3.0 | Road Games | 1-2 | 0 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 26.3 | 13.3 | 379.0 | (4.6) | 0.7 | 25.3 | 17.3 | 378.3 | (5.1) | 2.7 | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 35.3 | 23.3 | 475.7 | (5.7) | 2.0 | 24.7 | 14.7 | 314.0 | (4.7) | 3.3 | Turf Games | 4-2 | +2 | 6-0 | 2-3 | 39.5 | 25.8 | 495.3 | (6.4) | 1.3 | 23.3 | 14.8 | 337.7 | (4.8) | 3.0 | Conference Games | 2-0 | +2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 531.5 | (6.2) | 2.0 | 23.5 | 13.5 | 294.0 | (4.9) | 3.5 |
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Offense (All Games) | 39.5 | 25.8 | 23.8 | 30:48 | 37-180 | (4.9) | 27-41 | 66.4% | 315 | (7.8) | 77-495 | (6.4) | (12.5) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 31.2 | 17.4 | 22.9 | 30:10 | 38-161 | (4.2) | 23-36 | 63.4% | 268 | (7.4) | 74-429 | (5.8) | (13.8) | Offense Road Games | 26.3 | 13.3 | 21.0 | 33:05 | 38-152 | (4) | 27-44 | 60.2% | 227 | (5.1) | 82-379 | (4.6) | (14.4) | Defense (All Games) | 23.3 | 14.8 | 16.7 | 29:12 | 40-150 | (3.8) | 16-30 | 54.4% | 188 | (6.2) | 70-338 | (4.8) | (14.5) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 30 | 16.7 | 20.6 | 30:50 | 41-180 | (4.4) | 18-31 | 59.0% | 211 | (6.7) | 72-390 | (5.4) | (13) | Defense Road Games | 25.3 | 17.3 | 19.7 | 26:55 | 43-182 | (4.3) | 16-32 | 51.0% | 196 | (6.1) | 75-378 | (5.1) | (14.9) |
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All Games | 4-1 | +1 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 26.2 | 15.2 | 378.0 | (5.8) | 1.4 | 15.6 | 3.8 | 337.2 | (4.9) | 3.4 | Home Games | 2-0 | +1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 23.0 | 7.5 | 430.0 | (6.1) | 1.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 213.5 | (3.9) | 2.5 | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 26.3 | 16.0 | 361.7 | (5.6) | 1.0 | 16.3 | 0.0 | 332.7 | (4.9) | 4.3 | Turf Games | 3-0 | +2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 28.7 | 12.7 | 390.0 | (5.7) | 1.0 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 283.7 | (4.5) | 3.3 | Conference Games | 1-0 | 0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 32.0 | 25.0 | 514.0 | (7.8) | 2.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 374.0 | (5.7) | 3.0 |
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Offense (All Games) | 26.2 | 15.2 | 20.6 | 28:47 | 35-152 | (4.4) | 19-31 | 63.4% | 226 | (7.4) | 65-378 | (5.8) | (14.4) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 25.2 | 13.2 | 19.7 | 29:44 | 35-146 | (4.2) | 20-32 | 61.1% | 220 | (6.9) | 67-366 | (5.5) | (14.5) | Offense Home Games | 23.0 | 7.5 | 23.0 | 33:04 | 42-205 | (4.8) | 19-28 | 68.4% | 224 | (7.9) | 71-430 | (6.1) | (18.7) | Defense (All Games) | 15.6 | 3.8 | 18.0 | 31:11 | 43-182 | (4.3) | 15-27 | 57.9% | 155 | (5.8) | 69-337 | (4.9) | (21.6) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 23.5 | 12.6 | 20.4 | 31:12 | 41-175 | (4.3) | 17-29 | 57.2% | 186 | (6.4) | 70-361 | (5.2) | (15.4) | Defense Home Games | 9.0 | 4.5 | 11.0 | 26:55 | 31-94 | (3) | 14-23 | 61.7% | 119 | (5.1) | 54-213 | (3.9) | (23.7) |
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Average power rating of opponents played: FRESNO ST 28.7, BOISE ST 33.4 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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9/1/2012 | WEBER ST | 37-10 | W | -21.5 | W | | - | 39-217 | 20-26-298 | 0 | 29-67 | 26-33-207 | 1 | 9/8/2012 | @ OREGON | 25-42 | L | 33 | W | 76 | U | 34-131 | 29-47-234 | 0 | 58-366 | 19-27-166 | 3 | 9/15/2012 | COLORADO | 69-14 | W | -14.5 | W | 56.5 | O | 38-288 | 20-29-377 | 2 | 41-105 | 11-30-173 | 4 | 9/22/2012 | @ TULSA | 26-27 | L | 5.5 | W | 66.5 | U | 37-133 | 26-44-231 | 2 | 43-126 | 14-38-228 | 3 | 9/29/2012 | SAN DIEGO ST | 52-40 | W | -8 | W | 61 | O | 30-119 | 42-56-536 | 4 | 40-179 | 13-23-160 | 5 | 10/6/2012 | @ COLORADO ST | 28-7 | W | -17.5 | W | 59.5 | U | 43-191 | 25-42-217 | 0 | 27-55 | 16-31-194 | 2 | 10/13/2012 | @ BOISE ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/20/2012 | WYOMING | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | @ NEW MEXICO | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/3/2012 | HAWAII | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | @ NEVADA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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BOISE ST is 10-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1992 | BOISE ST is 10-2 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992 | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons | BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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BOISE ST is 5-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1992 | BOISE ST is 5-0 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992 | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons | BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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10/7/2011 | BOISE ST | 57 | -21 | SU ATS | 37 | 22 | 32:18 | 38-183 | 26-37 | 281 | 0 | 0 | 2-15 | | FRESNO ST | 7 | 58.5 | Over | 0 | 9 | 27:42 | 26-144 | 17-31 | 126 | 2 | 2 | 9-85 | 11/19/2010 | FRESNO ST | 0 | 66 | Under | 0 | 9 | 23:31 | 27-49 | 6-24 | 76 | 1 | 2 | 5-51 | | BOISE ST | 51 | -29 | SU ATS | 20 | 31 | 36:29 | 40-125 | 30-42 | 391 | 1 | 1 | 4-35 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (110-94) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 42.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-15) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOISE ST games 53.2% of the time since 1992. (82-72) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOISE ST games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 55.1% of the time since 1992. (70-57) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-9) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOISE ST games 43% of the time since 1992. (43-57) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOISE ST games 33.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-16) | |
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[FB] 08/30/2012 - Tapa Taumoepeau out for season ( Knee ) | [LB] 10/10/2012 - Jeremiah Toma probable Saturday vs. Boise State ( Ankle ) | [LB] 09/17/2012 - Jamaal Rose out indefinitely ( Knee ) | [DL] 10/12/2012 - Anthony Williams out for season ( Foot ) | |
[C] 08/04/2012 - Cory Yriarte out for season ( Knee ) | [S] 08/28/2012 - Taylor Loffler out for season ( Knee ) | [OL] 10/10/2012 - Michael Ames probable Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Undisclosed ) | [OL] 10/07/2012 - Jake Broyles "?" Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Undisclosed ) | [TE] 10/12/2012 - Gabe Linehan out indefinitely ( Hamstring ) | [RB] 10/07/2012 - Drew Wright "?" Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Undisclosed ) | [WR] 10/10/2012 - Mitch Burroughs probable Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Wrist ) | [TE] 10/11/2012 - Hayden Plinke "?" Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Undisclosed ) | [TE] 10/12/2012 - Kyle Sosnowski out indefinitely ( Undisclosed ) |
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