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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:30 PM
FRESNO ST (0-0) AT USC (0-0) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
191: FRESNO ST
192: USC
58.0
-20.5
00.0 / 00.0
00.0 / 00.0
0-0
0-0
0-0-0
0-0-0
0-0-0
0-0-0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
00.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
FRESNO ST  
USC-16 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
FRESNO ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-00-013-110-00-010-50-00-02-22
in all games0-016-10128-1330-011-1385-820-020-6163-115
in all lined games0-016-10128-1330-011-1385-820-020-6148-114
as an underdog0-02-260-510-00-440-350-00-434-79
as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points0-00-06-50-00-05-30-00-00-11
as a road underdog of 17.5 to 21 points0-00-04-20-00-03-20-00-00-6
in road games0-08-364-650-05-646-400-07-460-72
in road lined games0-08-364-650-05-646-400-07-458-72
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-01-112-80-01-112-90-02-011-10
against Pac Twelve conference opponents0-02-119-110-01-212-80-01-211-19
when playing on a Saturday0-016-6109-1050-08-1262-580-018-4137-94
in games played on a grass field0-02-081-930-01-146-560-02-0118-72
in August games0-00-12-20-01-01-20-01-03-2
in non-conference games0-05-449-400-03-439-270-05-449-54

USC - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-03-437-420-04-332-350-06-169-11
in all games0-010-17140-1330-010-17114-1300-017-10194-80
in all lined games0-010-17140-1330-010-17114-1300-017-10192-80
as a favorite0-08-13111-1100-08-1390-1040-015-6172-47
in home games0-07-668-620-03-1049-650-09-4102-30
in home lined games0-07-668-620-03-1049-650-09-4100-30
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-02-19-130-00-312-110-03-018-5
against Mountain West conference opponents0-01-33-60-00-41-50-04-08-1
when playing on a Saturday0-08-14125-1190-08-14101-1150-013-9173-72
in games played on a grass field0-07-12113-1080-07-1288-1100-010-9159-63
in August games0-00-12-10-00-11-20-01-03-0
in non-conference games0-02-748-460-02-737-460-06-371-24
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
FRESNO ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games11-2+0.85-86-743.424.5547.4(6.5)1.730.312.6430.7(5.6)1.8
Road Games4-2-2.23-33-343.022.7517.5(6.4)1.832.716.2455.3(5.7)2.5
Last 3 Games1-2-4.21-21-232.021.3453.3(6.3)2.741.328.0509.0(6.3)2.0
Grass Games1-0+11-00-135.07.0341.0(4.5)0.028.07.0507.0(5.8)2.0
FRESNO ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)43.424.528.428:2432-151(4.7)36-5268.3%396(7.6)84-547(6.5)(12.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.3317.522.630:5740-186(4.6)21-3462.4%257(7.5)75-442(5.9)(13.4)
Offense Road Games43.022.727.227:2030-160(5.4)35-5167.5%358(7)81-517(6.4)(12)
Defense (All Games)30.312.620.530:5841-147(3.6)22-3660.5%283(8)76-431(5.6)(14.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.914.821.630:0941-175(4.3)20-3460.3%247(7.3)74-422(5.7)(14.6)
Defense Road Games32.716.222.531:1941-130(3.2)23-3960.3%325(8.3)80-455(5.7)(13.9)

USC - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games10-4-3.47-75-929.719.1399.1(6)1.221.28.9334.9(5)1.6
Home Games5-2-6.24-32-521.414.7346.7(5.3)0.916.77.3304.7(4.7)1.4
Last 3 Games2-1+0.11-21-235.321.7416.7(6)1.728.06.7320.7(4.9)1.3
Grass Games6-4-7.24-64-624.815.0374.8(5.7)1.222.28.5335.2(5.1)1.4
USC - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.719.119.832:5338-172(4.5)18-2864.1%227(8.2)66-399(6)(13.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.2915.121.530:2340-162(4.1)21-3560.2%256(7.4)74-418(5.6)(14.4)
Offense Home Games21.414.718.432:2337-137(3.6)17-2861.3%210(7.6)65-347(5.3)(16.2)
Defense (All Games)21.28.918.226:5630-121(4)21-3756.9%214(5.8)67-335(5)(15.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.716.622.230:3337-159(4.3)23-3761.1%272(7.3)75-431(5.8)(13.6)
Defense Home Games16.77.316.327:3732-118(3.7)19-3356.8%186(5.7)65-305(4.7)(18.2)
Average power rating of opponents played: FRESNO ST 26.8,  USC 40.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
FRESNO ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/30/2014@ USC            
9/6/2014@ UTAH            
9/13/2014NEBRASKA            
9/20/2014S UTAH            
9/26/2014@ NEW MEXICO            

USC - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/30/2014FRESNO ST            
9/6/2014@ STANFORD            
9/13/2014@ BOSTON COLLEGE            
9/27/2014OREGON ST            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
FRESNO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus USC since 1992
USC is 2-1 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at USC since 1992
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus USC since 1992
USC is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1992
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at USC over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/21/2013FRESNO ST2065.5 Under61418:336-3730-55217115-65
NUSC45-4.5SU ATS352338:4745-14322-303441111-98
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring FRESNO ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 53.2% of the time since 1992. (118-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 49.4% of the time since 1992. (115-118)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 54.1% of the time since 1992. (79-67)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 52% of the time since 1992. (103-95)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 70.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-7)
Edge=Over
Key Player Injuries
FRESNO ST
[DB] 08/29/2014 - Corey Ferguson has been dismissed ( Disciplinary )
[LB] 08/29/2014 - Robert Stanley expected to miss Saturday vs. USC ( Suspension )
[LB] 08/29/2014 - T.J. Thomas expected to miss 2 games ( Suspension )
[WR] 08/25/2014 - Dillon Root expected to miss Saturday vs. USC ( Suspension )
[RB] 08/21/2014 - Kurt Scoby out indefinitely ( Concussion )
USC
[DB] 08/29/2014 - Anthony Brown quit the team ( Personal )
[OG] 08/28/2014 - Jordan Simmons expected to miss Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Knee )
[RB] 08/28/2014 - Tre Madden is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Toe )
[CB] 08/26/2014 - Joshua Shaw out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[DT] 08/26/2014 - Kenny Bigelow out indefinitely ( Knee )
[LB] 08/26/2014 - Lamar Dawson out indefinitely ( Knee )
[OL] 08/25/2014 - Khaliel Rodgers is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Knee )
[WR] 08/22/2014 - Steven Mitchell doubtful Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Knee )
[LB] 08/14/2014 - Jabari Ruffin out for season ( Knee )
[TE] 08/07/2014 - Jalen Cope-Fitzpatrick out for season ( Academics )
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