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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
KENTUCKY (1-5) AT ARKANSAS (2-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
173: KENTUCKY
174: ARKANSAS
53.0
-18.5
20.5 / 30.2
23.3 / 35.0
1-5
2-4
1-5-0
1-5-0
4-2-0
4-1-0
113.7
110.5
215.5
299.0
329.2
409.5
187.0
140.7
209.0
338.0
396.0
478.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
KENTUCKY  
ARKANSAS-16 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-20-725-212-07-016-140-20-78-38
in all games1-513-18110-1184-217-1272-671-512-1999-143
against conference opponents0-37-1275-871-211-851-460-34-1545-118
when playing on a Saturday1-413-16103-1083-216-1164-571-411-1893-131
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-410-1477-943-215-758-421-48-1668-113
after playing a conference game0-27-1073-831-18-848-440-25-1258-103
in games played on turf0-10-25-91-01-11-50-10-25-9
in October games0-14-637-380-17-326-190-12-824-52
off a loss against a conference rival0-27-753-591-16-726-360-25-944-73
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-25-433-351-15-314-190-24-526-46
when playing against a team with a losing record0-03-431-230-04-314-120-03-431-24
in weeks 5 through 90-24-741-461-18-330-220-22-927-61
in all lined games1-513-18110-1184-217-1272-671-512-1988-142
as an underdog0-46-1476-852-211-950-490-43-1738-124
as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points0-00-17-50-01-02-40-00-10-12
as a road underdog of 17.5 to 21 points0-00-15-50-01-02-30-00-10-10
in road games0-23-846-511-15-628-320-21-1027-71
in road lined games0-23-846-511-15-628-320-21-1027-71
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-11-38-110-11-35-140-10-45-14
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-00-13-70-00-12-80-00-12-8

ARKANSAS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-03-113-140-03-19-50-04-022-5
in all games1-518-13119-1154-119-1083-692-423-9139-108
against conference opponents1-212-789-762-114-564-491-213-678-86
when playing on a Saturday1-517-11107-1024-118-873-552-422-7129-92
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-415-1095-754-119-667-461-417-8105-72
after playing a conference game1-113-578-781-111-756-491-114-484-78
in games played on turf0-43-56-93-04-37-51-34-47-8
in October games1-06-341-290-15-422-231-08-140-33
off a win against a conference rival0-08-434-390-08-428-230-09-343-33
when playing against a team with a losing record1-03-127-210-12-213-71-04-040-9
in weeks 5 through 91-16-445-341-16-427-251-18-245-38
in all lined games1-518-13119-1154-119-1083-692-422-9127-107
as a favorite0-313-763-612-011-738-361-218-296-28
in home games0-411-668-563-010-542-341-314-494-43
in home lined games0-411-668-563-010-542-341-313-482-42
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-16-120-81-05-214-140-15-217-11
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-05-013-20-03-27-80-04-110-5
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-5-4.71-54-220.59.7329.2(4.9)1.830.216.2396.0(5.4)1.2
Road Games0-2-10-21-17.03.5296.0(4.6)2.535.023.0434.5(6)0.5
Last 3 Games0-3-20-31-210.38.0230.0(3.8)1.734.317.0392.7(5.4)1.3
Turf Games0-1-10-11-014.07.0373.0(5.3)2.032.022.0466.0(6.5)0.0
Conference Games0-3-20-31-210.38.0230.0(3.8)1.734.317.0392.7(5.4)1.3
KENTUCKY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)20.59.719.724:2729-114(3.9)23-3860.3%215(5.6)67-329(4.9)(16.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.17.18.417.727:4532-112(3.5)19-3358.0%203(6.2)65-315(4.9)(18.5)
Offense Road Games7.03.518.022:5925-126(4.9)21-3955.1%170(4.4)64-296(4.6)(42.3)
Defense (All Games)30.216.223.035:3344-187(4.2)20-2969.3%209(7.1)74-396(5.4)(13.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.916.821.133:1342-190(4.5)17-2663.8%208(8)68-398(5.9)(12.5)
Defense Road Games35.023.024.037:0145-209(4.6)20-2675.5%225(8.5)72-434(6)(12.4)

ARKANSAS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-4-3.31-54-123.314.3409.5(5.9)2.835.015.5478.7(6.1)1.2
Home Games1-3-4.50-43-026.516.5392.5(6.2)3.036.216.5458.7(5.7)0.5
Last 3 Games1-2-2.31-22-120.010.0459.7(6.4)2.333.313.7520.7(7.1)1.7
Turf Games1-3-4.50-43-026.516.5392.5(6.2)3.036.216.5458.7(5.7)0.5
Conference Games1-2+0.21-22-111.36.7341.3(4.7)3.339.017.0491.7(7)1.7
ARKANSAS - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.314.320.326:0631-110(3.5)20-3753.8%299(8)69-409(5.9)(17.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.112.719.328:2334-119(3.5)20-3458.1%245(7.3)67-364(5.4)(16.5)
Offense Home Games26.516.519.523:5829-98(3.3)18-3451.4%295(8.5)64-392(6.2)(14.8)
Defense (All Games)35.015.525.333:5238-141(3.7)26-4064.0%338(8.4)78-479(6.1)(13.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.518.621.732:3640-164(4.1)20-3360.5%240(7.3)72-405(5.6)(12.8)
Defense Home Games36.216.524.536:0241-146(3.6)25-4061.9%312(7.8)81-459(5.7)(12.7)
Average power rating of opponents played: KENTUCKY 42,  ARKANSAS 39.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
KENTUCKY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/2/2012@ LOUISVILLE14-32L14L43O19-9335-51-280246-21922-26-2470
9/8/2012KENT ST47-14W-6W46.5O30-18530-39-354037-18228-43-2271
9/15/2012W KENTUCKY31-32L-6.5L50O19-4137-61-332451-16316-22-1602
9/22/2012@ FLORIDA0-38L23.5L52U32-1598-27-60345-20018-27-2031
9/29/2012S CAROLINA17-38L20L51.5O39-12013-24-123248-20015-19-1481
10/6/2012MISSISSIPPI ST14-27L10L48.5U34-8415-27-144039-15823-39-2692
10/13/2012@ ARKANSAS            
10/20/2012GEORGIA            
10/27/2012@ MISSOURI            
11/3/2012VANDERBILT            

ARKANSAS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012JACKSONVILLE ST49-24W-40.5L -35-16423-34-400344-9518-37-2271
9/8/2012LA MONROE31-34L-30L61.5O26-9617-40-281235-13842-68-4121
9/15/2012ALABAMA0-52L20L49O37-5811-25-79545-22514-20-2130
9/22/2012RUTGERS26-35L-8.5L49.5O19-7320-39-419239-12825-35-3970
9/29/2012@ TEXAS A&M10-58L13L65O39-14229-59-373332-21834-47-4980
10/6/2012@ AUBURN24-7W7W55.5U32-13021-28-242232-4022-35-2815
10/13/2012KENTUCKY            
10/27/2012OLE MISS            
11/3/2012TULSA            
11/10/2012@ S CAROLINA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
ARKANSAS is 3-3 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1992
KENTUCKY is 4-2 straight up against ARKANSAS since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at ARKANSAS since 1992
KENTUCKY is 2-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS since 1992
KENTUCKY is 2-1 straight up against ARKANSAS since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 46.2% of the time since 1992. (92-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 59.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 51.3% of the time since 1992. (99-94)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 51.3% of the time since 1992. (61-58)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS games 50.8% of the time since 1992. (66-64)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-16)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
KENTUCKY
[RB] 10/02/2012 - Josh Clemons out for season ( Knee )
[TE] 08/25/2012 - Anthony Kendrick out for season ( Eligibility )
[RB] 10/03/2012 - CoShik Williams out for season ( Hip )
[QB] 10/01/2012 - Maxwell Smith out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[CB] 09/17/2012 - Marcus Caffey out for season ( Academics )
[DT] 10/10/2012 - Mister Cobble probable Saturday vs. Arkansas ( Infection )
[DB] 10/01/2012 - Dakotah Tyler out for season ( Knee )
[S] 10/11/2012 - Martavius Neloms doubtful Saturday vs. Arkansas ( Hamstring )
[QB] 10/08/2012 - Patrick Towles expected to miss Saturday vs. Arkansas ( Ankle )
[S] 10/11/2012 - Mikie Benton doubtful Saturday vs. Arkansas ( Ankle )
[S] 10/11/2012 - Ashely Lowery doubtful Saturday vs. Arkansas ( Concussion )
[QB] 10/08/2012 - Jalen Whitlow expected to start Saturday vs. Arkansas ( None )
ARKANSAS
[WR] 08/03/2012 - Maudrecus Humphrey out for season ( Disciplinary )
[TE] 09/05/2012 - Andrew Peterson out for season ( Disciplinary )
[WR] 09/05/2012 - Marquel Wade out for season ( Disciplinary )
[FB] 09/12/2012 - Kiero Small out for season ( Foot )
[CB] 10/10/2012 - Tevin Mitchel is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Concussion )
[RB] 09/09/2012 - Kody Walker out for season ( Leg )
[TE] 10/10/2012 - Chris Gragg is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Leg )
[DE] 10/10/2012 - Tenarius Wright out for season ( Shoulder )
[LB] 10/08/2012 - Alonzo Highsmith out for season ( Foot )
[CB] 10/10/2012 - Kaelon Kelleybrew is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Concussion )
[QB] 10/09/2012 - Tyler Wilson probable Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 10/10/2012 - Chris Smith probable Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Legal problems )
[RB] 10/12/2012 - Ronnie Wingo probable Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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