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Matchup Reports

Friday at 8:30 PM
LOUISVILLE (7-1) AT CONNECTICUT (0-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
115: LOUISVILLE
116: CONNECTICUT
49.0
+27.0
39.4 / 10.6
16.4 / 35.1
7-1
0-7
4-4-0
1-6-0
2-5-0
5-2-0
161.6
77.6
333.6
217.0
495.2
294.6
80.9
172.1
164.0
226.9
244.9
399.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
LOUISVILLE-26 
CONNECTICUT  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points0-00-114-80-00-07-50-01-022-0
in all games4-418-15125-1222-513-1776-777-125-9162-100
in all lined games4-418-15125-1222-513-1776-777-125-9152-100
as a favorite4-410-1381-812-57-1444-557-119-5125-40
as a road favorite2-13-332-280-31-518-203-06-045-15
in road games2-110-464-500-35-838-333-011-363-54
in road lined games2-110-464-500-35-838-333-011-362-54
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 491-04-114-40-11-413-61-04-110-9
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 491-02-16-40-10-37-31-02-14-6
against conference opponents1-310-766-671-38-1042-403-113-585-51
after playing a conference game1-29-762-641-29-847-392-112-580-52
after a bye week0-12-423-220-13-321-131-03-326-19
in games played on a grass field2-19-680-750-34-951-563-010-5104-63
in November games0-05-337-310-05-328-160-05-339-31
off a win against a conference rival0-25-641-361-18-433-221-18-452-31
when playing against a team with a losing record2-15-834-411-25-817-193-09-457-20
in weeks 10 through 130-04-334-300-05-226-140-04-336-30

CONNECTICUT - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points0-10-16-41-01-02-20-10-11-9
in all games1-68-2081-665-216-1450-550-710-2184-91
in all lined games1-68-2081-665-216-1450-550-710-2171-80
as an underdog1-35-1149-393-110-829-350-44-1425-65
in home games1-36-1040-292-27-924-270-47-1054-36
in home lined games1-36-1040-292-27-924-270-47-1042-29
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-24-521-102-04-615-170-25-521-11
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-22-311-62-03-310-80-22-410-8
against conference opponents0-35-1136-322-110-731-320-35-1229-41
after playing a conference game0-25-834-282-09-530-260-25-929-36
after a bye week0-21-414-141-13-310-140-21-510-20
in games played on a grass field1-47-1365-483-210-1236-450-59-1473-68
in November games0-04-125-130-03-315-110-04-224-21
off a loss against a conference rival0-24-421-132-05-417-130-24-517-20
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-44-523-133-24-611-100-53-717-25
when playing against a team with a winning record0-24-635-262-07-329-230-24-626-36
in weeks 10 through 130-04-125-130-03-315-110-04-224-21
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-1-4.54-42-639.421.9495.2(7.5)0.910.62.5244.9(4.4)2.1
Road Games3-0+22-10-330.317.0500.7(7.2)0.37.72.0254.7(4.7)2.3
Last 3 Games2-1-5.51-21-231.016.0463.7(7)1.717.05.7273.0(4.9)2.7
Grass Games3-0+22-10-330.317.0500.7(7.2)0.37.72.0254.7(4.7)2.3
Conference Games3-1-5.51-31-330.718.0479.0(7.1)1.214.54.2268.5(4.8)2.5
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)39.421.923.533:3334-162(4.8)23-3273.3%334(10.5)66-495(7.5)(12.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30162131:4436-148(4.1)21-3363.8%267(8.2)69-416(6.1)(13.8)
Offense Road Games30.317.024.736:4738-184(4.8)22-3171.3%317(10.1)70-501(7.2)(16.5)
Defense (All Games)10.62.512.725:4730-81(2.7)13-2651.9%164(6.3)56-245(4.4)(23)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.311.517.229:3136-130(3.6)16-2858.0%202(7.2)64-333(5.2)(14.9)
Defense Road Games7.72.012.723:1326-83(3.1)13-2746.3%172(6.3)54-255(4.7)(33.2)

CONNECTICUT - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games0-7-18.21-65-216.49.9294.6(4.3)2.435.120.4399.0(5.8)2.1
Home Games0-4-15.81-32-217.511.0308.0(4.5)1.525.510.7352.7(5.1)2.2
Last 3 Games0-3-2.80-32-114.37.7322.0(4.5)2.738.727.3426.7(6.4)2.0
Grass Games0-5-15.81-43-217.410.8293.0(4.4)2.032.817.6387.6(5.6)2.2
Conference Games0-3-2.80-32-114.37.7322.0(4.5)2.738.727.3426.7(6.4)2.0
CONNECTICUT - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)16.49.917.127:5932-78(2.4)18-3650.0%217(6)68-295(4.3)(17.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.811.818.328:1534-120(3.5)19-3257.9%223(7)66-343(5.2)(15)
Offense Home Games17.511.017.227:4230-92(3)19-3751.0%216(5.8)68-308(4.5)(17.6)
Defense (All Games)35.120.418.932:0142-172(4.1)15-2656.2%227(8.6)68-399(5.8)(11.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.30.915.219.532:4140-161(4)17-2960.0%236(8.2)68-396(5.8)(12.8)
Defense Home Games25.510.717.532:1844-185(4.2)12-2547.5%168(6.8)69-353(5.1)(13.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 25.2,  CONNECTICUT 32.3
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
LOUISVILLE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/14/2013@ KENTUCKY27-13W-11W58U41-24216-28-250131-16217-37-2143
9/21/2013FLA INTERNATIONAL72-0W-41W55.5O29-21022-27-254034-34-9-271
10/5/2013@ TEMPLE30-7W-33L58U34-17725-36-348028-4813-26-2072
10/10/2013RUTGERS24-10W-19L55.5U36-15121-31-310327-1220-37-2284
10/18/2013UCF35-38L-14.5L55.5O24-10429-38-341232-19621-33-2502
10/26/2013@ S FLORIDA34-3W-19W45.5U40-13226-30-353020-388-19-952
11/8/2013@ CONNECTICUT            
11/16/2013HOUSTON            
11/23/2013MEMPHIS            
12/5/2013@ CINCINNATI            

CONNECTICUT - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/14/2013MARYLAND21-32L4.5L47O33-3429-46-349243-22415-28-2773
9/21/2013MICHIGAN21-24L18.5W51U25-4716-32-159149-19211-23-974
9/28/2013@ BUFFALO12-41L-2.5L48.5O39-2712-29-193443-15310-21-1771
10/12/2013S FLORIDA10-13L-3.5L40.5U37-20715-43-149134-1228-28-1061
10/19/2013@ CINCINNATI16-41L14L46O32-5624-42-321336-13721-30-3883
10/26/2013@ UCF17-62L24L52.5O30-9114-32-142438-17626-35-3512
11/8/2013LOUISVILLE            
11/16/2013@ SMU            
11/23/2013@ TEMPLE            
11/30/2013RUTGERS            
12/7/2013MEMPHIS            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
CONNECTICUT is 6-3 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1992
LOUISVILLE is 5-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CONNECTICUT since 1992
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1992
CONNECTICUT is 2-2 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/24/2012CONNECTICUT2346SU ATS101227:3339-1499-2892014-31
 LOUISVILLE20-10 Under02332:2728-2735-65374015-50
11/19/2011LOUISVILLE3442SU ATS141538:1943-12615-23173217-50
 CONNECTICUT20-2 Over101621:4123-7618-45253117-45
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring LOUISVILLE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (104-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 46.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 54% of the time since 1992. (74-63)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-13)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 51.5% of the time since 1992. (68-64)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 63.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 54.5% of the time since 1992. (48-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 59.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-9)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
LOUISVILLE
[OL] 11/07/2013 - Abraham Garcia is downgraded to expected to miss Friday vs. Connecticut ( Knee )
[WR] 11/04/2013 - Kai De La Cruz probable Friday vs. Connecticut ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 11/03/2013 - Keith Brown "?" Friday vs. Connecticut ( Knee )
[RB] 09/03/2013 - Corvin Lamb out indefinitely ( Knee )
[TE] 09/03/2013 - Hunter Bowles out indefinitely ( Neck )
CONNECTICUT
[DB] 11/07/2013 - Ty-Meer Brown "?" Friday vs. Louisville ( Neck )
[OL] 11/07/2013 - Gus Cruz out indefinitely ( Heart )
[DB] 11/05/2013 - Taylor Mack probable Friday vs. Louisville ( Shoulder )
[QB] 11/04/2013 - Chandler Whitmer doubtful Friday vs. Louisville ( Hand )
[QB] 11/04/2013 - Tim Boyle expected to start Friday vs. Louisville ( None )
[RB] 08/23/2013 - Joseph Williams out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[QB] 08/22/2013 - Richard Lagow has left the team ( Personal )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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