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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 6:45 PM
MIAMI (9-3) AT LOUISVILLE (11-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
227: MIAMI
228: LOUISVILLE
58.0
-4.5
35.9 / 26.0
35.1 / 12.4
9-3
11-1
5-7-0
5-7-0
7-5-0
3-8-0
172.5
150.2
274.3
302.9
446.8
453.1
182.3
86.5
233.4
171.7
415.8
258.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
LOUISVILLE-5 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-08-80-00-07-80-00-08-8
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-02-216-100-03-115-90-00-412-14
in all games5-721-15127-1267-519-1689-1099-322-14191-78
in all lined games5-721-15127-1267-519-1689-1099-322-14178-78
as an underdog2-111-435-231-27-828-272-16-925-34
as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-01-0
against American Athletic conference opponents1-03-05-31-01-21-71-03-06-2
when playing on a Saturday4-519-10107-1046-316-1274-866-318-11160-65
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest1-01-021-261-01-020-151-01-028-20
after playing a conference game1-612-974-774-310-1147-694-312-9109-48
after a bye week1-13-123-311-11-320-212-04-036-19
in games played on a neutral field0-00-18-100-00-18-90-00-18-10
in games played on turf0-01-120-180-02-015-140-01-132-9
in December games0-00-06-70-00-06-60-00-08-5
in non-conference games3-16-649-462-24-734-464-09-378-30
off a win against a conference rival1-35-656-521-35-631-483-15-682-29
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins3-34-558-643-35-438-535-16-398-30
when playing against a team with a winning record2-412-668-574-210-853-593-39-978-49

LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-01-15-80-02-08-50-01-16-7
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-00-218-230-00-25-140-01-127-14
in all games5-719-18126-1253-814-2077-8011-129-9166-100
in all lined games5-719-18126-1253-814-2077-8011-129-9156-100
as a favorite5-711-1682-843-88-1745-5811-123-5129-40
as a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-00-10-00-01-00-00-00-1
against ACC opponents0-02-114-30-02-15-70-01-210-7
when playing on a Saturday3-412-1293-881-57-1436-527-018-6123-71
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-12-414-180-13-312-111-03-317-15
after playing a conference game2-510-1063-672-510-1148-426-116-584-52
after a bye week1-23-524-231-24-422-143-05-328-19
in games played on a neutral field0-01-15-70-02-07-50-01-16-6
in games played on turf3-510-1145-493-410-1026-237-118-460-37
in December games1-01-16-91-02-09-61-01-18-7
in non-conference games3-18-859-551-25-734-374-012-477-49
off a win against a conference rival1-56-942-392-49-734-255-112-456-31
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins3-57-1141-503-510-932-307-115-460-35
when playing against a team with a winning record1-38-447-442-26-738-313-19-443-50
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-3+1.55-77-535.921.5446.8(7)1.726.013.1415.7(5.6)2.2
Road Games3-2+1.42-33-232.222.6482.4(6.9)2.232.815.2469.8(6.5)1.8
Last 3 Games2-1-0.61-23-038.724.0448.3(7)1.035.014.7509.0(6.3)2.0
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.921.519.426:2134-172(5.1)18-3059.9%274(9.2)64-447(7)(12.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.27.414.519.129:2338-157(4.2)17-3057.7%211(7)68-368(5.4)(13.4)
Offense Road Games32.222.622.228:0335-170(4.8)20-3458.7%313(9.1)70-482(6.9)(15)
Defense (All Games)26.013.121.633:3941-182(4.5)19-3358.2%233(7.1)74-416(5.6)(16)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.413.518.731:3438-153(4.1)17-3056.5%207(6.8)68-359(5.3)(14.1)
Defense Road Games32.815.222.631:5740-195(4.9)21-3363.9%275(8.3)73-470(6.5)(14.3)

LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games11-1-2.55-73-935.119.4453.1(6.6)0.812.43.8258.2(4.3)2.2
Road Games5-0+33-21-430.616.4460.6(6.5)0.611.43.2285.8(4.6)2.8
Last 3 Games3-0+21-21-225.012.3368.7(4.9)0.718.07.7300.7(4.4)1.3
Turf Games7-1-4.53-53-537.420.1445.7(6.6)1.014.54.6262.1(4.3)1.7
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.119.423.033:2635-150(4.2)23-3370.1%303(9.2)68-453(6.6)(12.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.515.520.731:3736-141(3.9)21-3361.7%260(7.8)69-400(5.8)(14.1)
Offense Road Games30.616.424.034:5537-162(4.3)22-3466.1%299(8.9)71-461(6.5)(15.1)
Defense (All Games)12.43.814.126:0731-86(2.7)15-2951.2%172(6)60-258(4.3)(20.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.611.418.429:5236-127(3.5)18-3158.3%219(7)67-345(5.2)(15.3)
Defense Road Games11.43.215.225:0530-86(2.8)16-3249.7%200(6.2)62-286(4.6)(25.1)
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 36.5,  LOUISVILLE 26.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/2/2013@ FLORIDA ST14-41L21.5L63U29-8316-28-192244-19221-29-3252
11/9/2013VIRGINIA TECH24-42L-5.5L43.5O24-2816-29-324247-18325-31-3660
11/16/2013@ DUKE30-48L-3L64O29-18630-49-379152-35816-24-1850
11/23/2013VIRGINIA45-26W-21L58O25-9013-27-214246-24323-45-2404
11/29/2013@ PITTSBURGH41-31W0W55.5O34-18017-28-296033-22024-43-2812
12/28/2013*LOUISVILLE            

LOUISVILLE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/8/2013@ CONNECTICUT31-10W-28L50.5U30-8121-37-288133-5820-38-1795
11/16/2013HOUSTON20-13W-17L60.5U41-12919-29-203129-7416-35-1210
11/23/2013MEMPHIS24-17W-21.5L43U40-12226-36-220035-13511-24-1442
12/5/2013@ CINCINNATI31-24W-3W48.5O41-17723-37-255139-12422-41-3042
12/28/2013*MIAMI            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring LOUISVILLE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 48.8% of the time since 1992. (105-110)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 49.1% of the time since 1992. (105-109)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50.6% of the time since 1992. (86-84)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 50.4% of the time since 1992. (68-67)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[WR] 12/25/2013 - Herb Waters is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Louisville ( Knee )
[WR] 12/10/2013 - Phillip Dorsett probable Saturday vs. Louisville ( Knee )
[LB] 12/08/2013 - Alex Figueroa "?" Saturday vs. Louisville ( Arm )
[DB] 12/08/2013 - Ladarius Gunter "?" Saturday vs. Louisville ( Neck )
[DB] 11/26/2013 - Corn Elder out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 11/25/2013 - Nate Dortch out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 11/03/2013 - Duke Johnson out for season ( Ankle )
[Backup QB] 09/18/2013 - Preston Dewey out for season ( Back )
[OL] 08/28/2013 - Hunter Wells out for season ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 08/24/2013 - Jontavious Carter left the team ( Personal )
[DL] 08/20/2013 - Dyron Dye has been dismissed ( Eligibility )
[RB] 08/20/2013 - Danny Dillard dismissed from team ( Dismissed )
[OL] 08/15/2013 - Hunter Knighton out for season ( Shoulder )
LOUISVILLE
[LB] 12/27/2013 - George Durant expected to miss Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 12/17/2013 - Michael Dyer is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Groin )
[WR] 12/08/2013 - Kai De La Cruz "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Groin )
[DB] 12/08/2013 - Charles Gaines "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Knee )
[LB] 12/03/2013 - Keith Brown out indefinitely ( Knee )
[RB] 09/03/2013 - Corvin Lamb out indefinitely ( Knee )
[TE] 09/03/2013 - Hunter Bowles out indefinitely ( Neck )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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