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Page last updated on Fri Mar 06 10:42:49 EST 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
MICHIGAN ST (4-3) AT MICHIGAN (4-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
357: MICHIGAN ST
358: MICHIGAN
43.0
-8.5
21.0 / 15.7
33.8 / 17.5
4-3
4-2
1-6-0
3-3-0
1-5-1
3-3-0
144.0
232.5
236.3
186.0
380.3
418.5
91.3
148.2
178.9
134.0
270.1
282.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN ST  
MICHIGAN-17
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-03-429-290-03-435-170-02-519-38
in all games1-618-16115-1261-514-18102-844-326-8138-110
against conference opponents0-312-879-831-29-1170-511-215-584-79
when playing on a Saturday1-517-14112-1161-413-1698-753-323-8133-102
when playing with 6 or less days rest0-513-1292-941-410-1480-652-318-7108-82
after playing a conference game0-211-873-891-110-969-501-114-580-82
in games played on turf1-13-370-761-02-354-492-04-292-60
in October games0-27-438-441-14-732-281-18-344-38
off a loss against a conference rival0-11-326-511-03-133-271-04-038-39
when playing against a team with a winning record0-212-557-580-27-1054-450-211-648-68
in weeks 5 through 90-37-543-481-24-836-321-28-449-43
in all lined games1-618-16115-1261-514-18102-844-326-8133-109
as an underdog0-06-454-550-05-558-350-05-535-74
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points0-00-04-30-00-03-20-00-01-6
in road games1-17-447-511-03-745-242-08-342-56
in road lined games1-17-447-511-03-745-242-08-342-56
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 450-00-06-50-00-09-20-00-03-8
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 491-12-114-131-02-021-52-03-013-14

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-03-421-400-04-334-250-05-238-22
in all games3-314-17110-1333-315-16105-984-222-10175-74
against conference opponents2-07-1170-861-110-865-662-011-7110-49
when playing on a Saturday3-314-17104-1243-315-1595-924-221-10165-68
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-210-1482-1061-311-1276-793-117-7131-58
after playing a conference game1-05-1166-870-18-966-651-09-8103-53
in games played on turf2-23-223-242-22-419-223-15-133-15
in October games2-05-535-441-16-426-372-06-457-25
off a win against a conference rival1-03-645-600-14-642-481-06-476-32
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins0-14-848-640-16-646-510-19-486-30
when playing against a team with a winning record1-15-1253-681-19-964-541-19-974-50
in weeks 5 through 92-05-540-481-16-430-412-06-467-25
in all lined games3-314-17110-1333-315-16105-984-222-10173-73
as a favorite3-112-1083-1072-210-1273-764-020-3150-43
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points0-01-16-90-01-18-60-02-09-6
in home games2-110-859-701-29-849-493-015-3107-28
in home lined games2-110-859-701-29-849-493-015-3105-27
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 450-00-06-110-00-010-70-00-013-4
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 491-01-115-270-11-120-221-02-030-12
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-3-41-61-521.09.6380.3(5.1)1.115.710.1270.1(4.3)1.4
Road Games2-0+21-11-036.019.0452.5(5.7)0.517.013.5281.0(4.4)1.5
Last 3 Games1-2-40-31-221.09.0347.0(4.8)0.321.012.3319.0(4.7)1.3
Turf Games2-0+21-11-036.019.0452.5(5.7)0.517.013.5281.0(4.4)1.5
Conference Games1-2-40-31-221.09.0347.0(4.8)0.321.012.3319.0(4.7)1.3
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.09.620.033:4138-144(3.8)21-3755.0%236(6.3)75-380(5.1)(18.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.111.620.431:5039-181(4.6)19-3259.0%214(6.6)71-394(5.5)(15.7)
Offense Road Games36.019.024.036:3041-146(3.5)24-3863.6%306(7.9)80-452(5.7)(12.6)
Defense (All Games)15.710.114.926:1929-91(3.1)18-3454.0%179(5.3)63-270(4.3)(17.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.281520.329:0836-171(4.8)19-3159.2%216(6.9)67-388(5.8)(13.9)
Defense Road Games17.013.516.523:2920-53(2.6)25-4358.1%227(5.3)63-281(4.4)(16.5)

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-2-13-33-333.818.0418.5(6.6)2.217.512.3282.2(4.4)1.7
Home Games3-002-11-246.324.3511.3(8.1)1.012.77.7270.0(3.9)1.0
Last 3 Games2-102-11-231.715.0411.7(6.1)2.78.76.7195.3(3.6)2.7
Turf Games3-1-12-22-238.220.0450.7(7.3)1.519.713.5310.2(4.6)1.0
Conference Games2-0+12-01-144.522.5468.0(6.9)1.06.55.0173.5(3)3.0
MICHIGAN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.818.019.330:5941-232(5.6)12-2253.4%186(8.4)64-418(6.6)(12.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.312.518.930:4438-161(4.3)17-2959.5%203(6.9)67-364(5.4)(15)
Offense Home Games46.324.322.329:1642-287(6.9)13-2260.0%224(10.4)63-511(8.1)(11)
Defense (All Games)17.512.316.229:0140-148(3.7)13-2355.0%134(5.7)64-282(4.4)(16.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.716.519.830:1642-194(4.6)17-2760.8%187(6.9)69-381(5.5)(13.8)
Defense Home Games12.77.716.030:4448-169(3.5)11-2249.2%101(4.7)70-270(3.9)(21.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 36.1,  MICHIGAN 37.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MICHIGAN ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2012BOISE ST17-13W-8L47U52-21322-38-248424-3715-32-1692
9/8/2012@ C MICHIGAN41-7W-17.5W48P41-17325-37-322122-7217-38-1733
9/15/2012NOTRE DAME3-20L-4.5L44U25-5023-45-187134-12214-32-1780
9/22/2012E MICHIGAN23-7W-31.5L47U44-26916-29-159129-4613-26-1371
9/29/2012OHIO ST16-17L-3L41.5U22-3422-42-269044-20416-23-1793
10/6/2012@ INDIANA31-27W-15L49O42-12024-40-290019-3533-48-2820
10/13/2012IOWA16-19L-8L39U39-14912-31-179134-12319-36-1341
10/20/2012@ MICHIGAN            
10/27/2012@ WISCONSIN            
11/3/2012NEBRASKA            
11/17/2012NORTHWESTERN            

MICHIGAN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012*ALABAMA14-41L13L48.5O29-6911-27-200342-23211-21-1991
9/8/2012AIR FORCE31-25W-21.5L58.5U31-21414-25-208171-29010-19-1270
9/15/2012MASSACHUSETTS63-13W-44.5W53.5O43-29416-25-291136-11215-30-1471
9/22/2012@ NOTRE DAME6-13L6L49U41-16113-25-138631-9411-19-1452
10/6/2012@ PURDUE44-13W-3W55O54-3048-16-105126-5623-35-1574
10/13/2012ILLINOIS45-0W-24W48U51-3539-15-174137-1057-16-292
10/20/2012MICHIGAN ST            
10/27/2012@ NEBRASKA            
11/3/2012@ MINNESOTA            
11/10/2012NORTHWESTERN            
11/17/2012IOWA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
MICHIGAN ST is 10-9 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1992
MICHIGAN is 11-8 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1992
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1992
MICHIGAN is 5-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1992
MICHIGAN is 7-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1992
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/15/2011MICHIGAN1447 Under72029:2736-8212-31168015-40
 MICHIGAN ST28-3SU ATS71630:3339-21313-241202013-124
10/9/2010MICHIGAN ST3465.5SU ATS172435:5542-24919-26287006-65
 MICHIGAN17-5 Under101924:0534-16217-29215033-35
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (107-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 36.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 48.8% of the time since 1992. (101-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1992. (89-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 59.2% of the time since 1992. (100-69)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN ST
[DE] 08/30/2012 - Taylor Calero has left team ( Personal )
[NT] 08/31/2012 - Brandon Clemons out for season ( Foot )
[T] 09/16/2012 - Fou Fonoti out indefinitely ( Foot )
[C] 10/01/2012 - Travis Jackson out for season ( Leg )
[TE] 10/14/2012 - Dion Sims "?" Saturday vs. Michigan ( Ankle )
[DT] 10/17/2012 - Tyler Hoover is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Michigan ( Calf )
[S] 10/15/2012 - Jairus Jones "?" Saturday vs. Michigan ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 10/15/2012 - Lawrence Thomas injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Michigan ( Concussion )
MICHIGAN
[LB] 08/08/2012 - Antonio Poole out indefinitely ( Pectoral )
[OL] 08/23/2012 - Chris Bryant out for season ( Tibia )
[LB] 08/24/2012 - Kaleb Ringer out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 08/24/2012 - Chris Wormley out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 09/03/2012 - Blake Countess out for season ( ACL )
[DT] 10/06/2012 - Nathan Brink out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 10/15/2012 - Stephen Hopkins is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Hamstring )
[TE] 10/17/2012 - Brandon Moore probable Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Knee )
[QB] 10/14/2012 - Denard Robinson injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Finger )
[RB] 10/15/2012 - Vincent Smith "?" Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Hamstring )
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