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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:00 PM
MIDDLE TENN ST (8-3) AT ARKANSAS ST (8-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
325: MIDDLE TENN ST
326: ARKANSAS ST
63.0
-11.0
29.0 / 26.5
35.6 / 27.7
8-3
8-3
7-3-1
7-4-0
5-5-0
6-4-0
184.6
214.0
225.4
265.1
410.0
479.1
180.8
159.2
253.5
244.0
434.4
403.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIDDLE TENN ST  
ARKANSAS ST-18
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-12-410-120-14-28-70-10-62-20
in all games7-314-2179-755-517-1545-478-316-2082-98
off a win against a conference rival3-15-530-212-36-522-124-16-528-25
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-13-218-141-32-414-83-14-220-15
when playing against a team with a winning record1-12-617-161-14-412-91-12-610-25
in all lined games7-314-2179-755-517-1545-478-316-2071-84
as an underdog2-25-1038-392-28-720-272-23-1217-60
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-01-04-30-01-02-20-00-11-6
in road games5-110-849-394-29-727-245-19-935-64
in road lined games5-110-849-394-29-727-245-19-932-56
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-11-33-70-12-23-70-10-42-8
against conference opponents5-111-1147-463-411-1030-296-112-1159-44
when playing on a Saturday6-213-1573-624-513-1337-387-215-1475-83
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-28-1356-484-312-931-275-211-1160-62
after playing a conference game4-17-1343-423-310-929-265-110-1149-50
in games played on turf6-210-1645-444-414-1030-287-213-1456-44
in December games0-01-12-40-01-14-20-01-12-4

ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-16-48-111-06-411-71-09-117-2
in all games7-424-1282-826-417-1842-558-322-1472-129
off a win against a conference rival4-113-422-264-110-717-195-013-420-29
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins4-010-313-123-17-610-94-011-214-11
when playing against a team with a winning record2-14-415-182-13-57-132-14-46-32
in all lined games7-424-1282-826-417-1842-558-322-1465-100
as a favorite5-316-728-334-311-1124-277-120-345-16
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-22-60-01-14-30-01-16-2
in home games2-310-636-323-19-620-224-113-350-32
in home lined games2-310-636-323-19-620-224-113-343-25
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 631-23-45-72-14-36-62-15-28-4
against conference opponents5-216-743-494-312-1128-346-118-551-51
when playing on a Saturday4-419-1175-734-314-1535-465-317-1362-123
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-01-17-80-01-17-30-01-15-23
after playing a conference game5-115-642-444-211-1026-336-015-639-58
after a bye week1-04-110-101-03-210-51-04-19-24
in games played on turf7-412-720-276-47-1112-208-312-719-31
in December games0-01-02-20-01-02-20-01-02-2
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-3+3.87-35-529.012.8410.0(6)1.526.511.7434.4(6)2.5
Road Games5-1+4.85-14-231.314.7427.3(5.9)1.029.015.2428.0(6.1)2.7
Last 3 Games3-0+4.82-01-226.013.3371.7(5.5)0.720.710.0416.0(5.7)3.7
Turf Games7-2+4.86-24-429.713.0410.6(6)1.224.210.9434.1(5.9)2.6
Conference Games6-1+6.85-13-428.312.0416.1(6.2)1.023.09.6436.9(5.8)2.7
MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.012.820.928:4140-185(4.6)18-2963.5%225(7.8)69-410(6)(14.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.514.220.729:0136-151(4.2)20-3361.1%240(7.3)69-392(5.7)(13.8)
Offense Road Games31.314.723.231:0146-211(4.6)17-2764.2%216(8)73-427(5.9)(13.6)
Defense (All Games)26.511.723.131:1840-181(4.5)21-3266.1%254(7.8)73-434(6)(16.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2713.621.231:1940-170(4.3)19-3162.2%230(7.4)71-400(5.6)(14.8)
Defense Road Games29.015.223.028:5839-165(4.3)21-3265.3%263(8.3)70-428(6.1)(14.8)

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-3+4.47-46-435.618.7479.1(6.5)1.327.715.3403.2(5.5)1.8
Home Games4-1-0.22-33-136.620.6487.6(6.5)1.621.28.8318.8(4.6)1.0
Last 3 Games3-0+33-02-141.022.3534.3(7.4)0.725.313.0450.3(5.9)1.7
Turf Games8-3+4.47-46-435.618.7479.1(6.5)1.327.715.3403.2(5.5)1.8
Conference Games6-1+4.45-24-336.619.1457.3(6.5)1.025.49.9411.4(5.5)1.9
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.618.724.828:4541-214(5.2)22-3366.1%265(8.1)74-479(6.5)(13.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.21721.430:4238-174(4.5)20-3260.5%238(7.4)71-412(5.8)(13.6)
Offense Home Games36.620.626.228:3244-231(5.2)21-3166.7%257(8.2)75-488(6.5)(13.3)
Defense (All Games)27.715.321.431:1539-159(4)22-3465.4%244(7.2)73-403(5.5)(14.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.814.620.831:3840-178(4.4)19-3161.5%219(7)71-396(5.6)(14.3)
Defense Home Games21.28.818.231:2837-138(3.8)20-3262.1%181(5.6)69-319(4.6)(15)
Average power rating of opponents played: MIDDLE TENN ST 24.4,  ARKANSAS ST 28.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIDDLE TENN ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/6/2012LA MONROE17-31L3.5L62.5U19-6923-34-238351-20427-39-2961
10/13/2012@ FLA INTERNATIONAL34-30W-1.5W55.5O53-25617-30-267041-14224-40-3801
10/20/2012@ MISSISSIPPI ST3-45L18.5L58U41-13120-32-174333-23120-26-2151
10/27/2012NORTH TEXAS38-21W-3W57O37-13920-30-349043-21117-29-2214
11/1/2012@ W KENTUCKY34-29W9W56O50-22411-17-118032-15519-31-2832
11/17/2012@ S ALABAMA20-12W-7W56U41-21216-29-233040-14917-30-1894
11/24/2012TROY24-21W-3T69U27-15218-37-176239-19131-48-2815
12/1/2012@ ARKANSAS ST            

ARKANSAS ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/4/2012@ FLA INTERNATIONAL34-20W-2.5W56.5U37-19815-23-223048-18819-31-1532
10/13/2012S ALABAMA36-29W-20.5L51.5O37-11317-22-203350-13224-38-2411
10/23/2012@ LA LAFAYETTE50-27W3.5W62O50-25721-31-269023-7628-41-3745
11/3/2012@ NORTH TEXAS37-19W-4.5W58.5U33-14625-32-328030-8428-49-3162
11/8/2012LA MONROE45-23W-7.5W59.5O34-20026-34-334127-7637-53-3572
11/17/2012@ TROY41-34W-3W68O41-22628-42-369133-7128-38-4471
12/1/2012MIDDLE TENN ST            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-4 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1992
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-4 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ARKANSAS ST since 1992
ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992
ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/19/2011ARKANSAS ST45-13.5SU ATS252934:3151-20329-41333214-28
 MIDDLE TENN ST1958 Over191725:2935-8028-48219108-78
11/2/2010MIDDLE TENN ST24-2.5 Over172634:4760-23619-37146346-59
 ARKANSAS ST5157.5SU ATS232625:1338-20518-29288013-25
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 44.8% of the time since 1992. (64-79)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (69-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 56.6% of the time since 1992. (47-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 52.4% of the time since 1992. (44-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIDDLE TENN ST
No significant injuries.
ARKANSAS ST
[WR] 08/31/2012 - Earl Lucas has been dismissed ( Dismissed )
[WR] 08/31/2012 - Tres Houston out for season ( Suspension )
[WR] 09/12/2012 - Allen Muse has been dismissed ( Legal problems )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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